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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Sunday, June 01, 2008
The Brewers don’t pick in the first round until No. 16, but shortly after that, the action will get fast and furious. As compensation for losing free-agent relievers Francisco Cordero and Scott Linebrink last winter, they get supplemental picks Nos. 32 and 35 after the first round.
As additional compensation for losing those free agents, the Brewers have picks Nos. 53 and 54 in the second round (previously belonging to Cincinnati and the Chicago White Sox) as well as their own selection at No. 62.
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No organization scouts Canada better than the Brewers, so another player to keep an eye on is outfielder / infielder Brett Lawrie, a prep slugger from Langley, British Columbia. Finding a set position might take some time - he plays shortstop now but probably will be moved to second or third base - but Lawrie’s offensive prowess has him moving up the draft charts.
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This draft is deep with college first basemen, such as Justin Smoak of South Carolina and Yonder Alonso of Miami, as well as college relievers, including Georgia’s Joshua Fields and TCU’s Andrew Cashner. The relievers might not fit the Brewers’ drafting profile, however.
“Not many college closers have become long-term guys (in the majors),” Melvin said. “(Oakland’s) Huston Street and (Washington’s) Chad Cordero did it. It’s a little bit of a gamble with those guys.”
Good bat, questionable glove/undefined position? Sounds like the Brewers’ kind of player!
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1. The Keith Law Blog Blah Blah (battlekow) Posted: June 01, 2008 at 05:13 AM (#2801900)I do find it odd to see no mention of Lawrie possibly being able to catch, especially since it seems opinion is swinging towards that opinion, not away from it.
Craig Hansen. Maybe Melvin is thinking of him.
Is it a lower percentage success rate than any other position?
Maybe or maybe not, but wouldn't it have to be a significantly better success rate than other positions to make it worthwhile?
Agreed on prep pitchers. But why no Hewitt?
I watched video on him, albeit, 10 swings. He has a very nice, compact, powerful swing. He is very athletic and apparently has a good arm. He is already "thick" so staying at SS may not pan out, but he should have the athleticism to play just about anywhere else.
He appears to be a Bill Hall type. But stronger. I really do like his swing. I should have gone to see him in person, he is just an hour away.
Other opinions, I think G Cole is going to have to change most of his throwing motion otherwise face shoulder issues. I like Tim Beckham, but he looks like a taller H Kendrick and I'm not sure if a H Kendrick is worthy of a #1 overall choice. This draft is shallow at the top.
Actually, Brett Wallace fits that comp better.
I don't think Hicks or Skipworth reaches 16. Melville might. And word last night is that Lawrie won't.
Just seems like too much of a gamble to me. I'd prefer a surer thing with a first round pick. If he's available in the supplemental (unlikely), great; he can be Brent Brewer II.
If you pass on Reese Havens, you're passing on greatness. Keep that in mind.
Goodness, maybe. Greatness, not likely, especially if he has to move off SS as many people think he will.
-- MWE
Really! I had no idea that he was rated so highly.
I'm waaaay out of the draft loop this year, but I like his bat a lot. Guess I'm not alone...
I also like Havens and made a Hewitt/Henry comp yesterday... cool. No way Havens stays at short though - I (naively) think he could be pretty good behind the plate, if given a shot.
I do agree with the overall frustration on prep 1st rd pitchers, especially ones Milwaukee drafts in the 1st. I believe the only, ONLY, prep 1st rd pitcher ever drafted by Milwaukee to make the Majors was Jeff D'Amico. This is out of (9-10) 1st rd prep pitcher choices. Not even a cup of coffee for a 2nd. Milwaukee used to and still does to an extent, have the worst medical staff or (luck) of any franchise with regards to young pitching.
Yet, I don't think you can totally pass on them. I just want my team to have conviction in their pick. For example, I'd pay to see the Twins or Brewers draft board. You'd see different opinions for sure. That to me would be worth it. Although I will "settle" for Keith's list, it is pretty good, of course, I agree with his observations most of the time. I'm sure he doesn't care what I think.
*I wouldn't crap on Brent Brewer yet. I think he has to be given several years, he has shown ability to progress. I still think he is just as likely to be playing SS in Milwaukee in 2012 than Escobar.
If you are talking about someone in particular, why don't you name them? If you are talking about me, you need to grow up a little. Brewer is more raw than Escobar. So what? Raw players develop into excellent players all of the time. Most don't, but then again, most players never make it, raw or not. As for your comment that a team should never draft a raw player (such as insert example here) in the 1st, you need to expand on that a little.
There are many team that draft raw players high and are able to development them into a nice payoff. It happens all the time.
Brewer was signed into pro ball in 2006 3rd year in pro ball
Obviously neither of you can read what I wrote in #25
Beyond that, I stand by my claim that Brewer and Escobar are both just as likely to be playing short in Milwaukee in 2012. That speaks to the relative difficulty of reaching the big leagues in general just as much as it speaks to Escobar being better than Brewer or Brewer being better than Escobar. Odds are neither of them will be playing SS in Milwaukee in 2012.
Hitting wise, Brewer still has had better success with the bat than Escobar did in his full season debut. Escobar's record with the bat was behind that of Brewer at the same age/level. Of course there is a 1 year age difference in that, so you have to consider that, but that is what makes this an in-exact science and very difficult to project. Escobar has seen a jump to another level in the past year, this happens all of the time to developing players, it can just a likely happen to Brewer and he has more upside to reach. So much of Brewers value is in his strength and power upside, which is real.
Your overconfidence speaks volumes about your immaturity Horry-Kow. Both have to show a lot to prove they can play everyday in the Majors. I'm done talking about this.
Fun stuff.
When does Gamel get a cup of coffee? M Gamel's D can't be worse than Hall's D at 3rd can it?
Yeah, it can.
-- MWE
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