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Baseball Primer Newsblog — The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand Monday, March 18, 2013MLB: Blue-collar Colletti at helm of new-look DodgersNed Colletti entertains…questions from MLB.
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1. RollingWave Posted: March 18, 2013 at 06:06 AM (#4390350)I'll bet they win more games than the Phillies, Yankees and Red Sox.
yeah, they kind of did a thing where they purposely traded for players whose teams thought they had no chance at being worth their salary because their performance had declined precipitously, and as a result the dodgers are now paying $75 million to carl crawford, hanley ramirez, adrian gonzalez and josh beckett and expecting those players to shoulder a large burden of the teams' offense/defense/pitching.
the issue here is that the dodgers will be lucky if these players perform at 80% of their peak, but even if they get that. they'll be paying them to perform at 120% of their peak.
Hanley and Beckett are being paid $15 mil. They don't need to be 7-8 WAR players to justify that. 80% of their peak (4-5 WAR) will do quite nicely. Crawford is an albatross absolutely, and Gonzalez may prove to be also. But Hanley and Josh are among the least of their worries.
That is not accurate of the Red Sox. Exactly which mega-contract are they paying right now thats on the back-end of success?
But Hanley hasn't been anywhere close to his peak in ages. By b-r, he's been below average for the last 3 years (esp the last 2) but he's one of the players where bWAR and fWAR disagree most strongly. He's not a major worry because he's only got 2/$31 left but he's likely to be a waste of money while he's there. Gonzalez meanwhile was worth 3.2 WAR last year and is just one year removed from his peak. It remains to be seen if last year was just a fluke down year but even if he just repeats 2012, he's no bigger a waste than Hanley is likely to be. He's not (likely) a 2013 problem, he's a problem because he's got another 6 years to go.
Guess I'm going to have to make some adjustments, as a fan of the team that now has the 2nd highest payroll in MLB. I'm OK with my favorite team spending more than 28 other MLB teams, but I believe I'm supposed to be OUTRAGED that one team spends more. Do I have that right, Red Sox fans?
Wow, I love that album cover so much I actually want to marry it. Was there really a time in American history when it was normal for party guests to break out the trombone and trumpet in the middle of the living room? I was born too late!
Looks pretty meh for a 100M roster even. Lots of dead weight and no bargains (unless 2012 reflects AJ Ellis' talents, but quality seasons out of career minor leaguers rarely repeat).
I always preferred A Lineup? For Screaming!!!
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