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Saturday, February 02, 2008

MLB: Manager La Russa prizes on-base percentage at top of order

Duh…

“On-base percentage is the highest thing on the list,” manager Tony La Russa said at the team’s annual Winter Warm-Up. “If you’ve proven that you can get on base, that will give you the best chance to lead off. It doesn’t mean it’s the only thing. Say [Molina] has an on-base percentage of .700 in Spring Training. I don’t think I’m going to lead him off because he clogs those bases a little bit. But I’m going to wait, let guys play.”

Repoz Posted: February 02, 2008 at 04:17 PM | 57 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: cardinals

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   1. Levi Stahl Posted: February 02, 2008 at 04:54 PM (#2682240)
I'm sure there have been slower runners in MLB history, but Yadi's the slowest I can remember seeing.
   2. Justin 'The Cespedobear' T Posted: February 02, 2008 at 05:04 PM (#2682245)
Oh c'mon, Yadi's not even the slowest Molina in baseball.
   3. greenback Posted: February 02, 2008 at 05:16 PM (#2682250)
In the next installments, we will learn that Tony prizes power in the middle of the order and strikeouts out of the bullpen.

Sure, it seems facile, but some people out there believe TLR doesn't pay attention (or at least enough attention) to OBP. That is how I end up in a position of defending a man I can't stand.
   4. Chase Utley, Shooty's Favorite Robot (Joey Belle) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 05:33 PM (#2682255)
From the quote it sounds like La Russa doesn't know what a good OBP is. If .700 is his standard, I think he might be a bit disappointed.
   5. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: February 02, 2008 at 05:47 PM (#2682257)
If Molina actually could produce a .700 OBP why not have him lead off?
   6. Sparkles Peterson Posted: February 02, 2008 at 05:50 PM (#2682260)
In the next installments, we will learn that Tony prizes power in the middle of the order and strikeouts out of the bullpen.


I wasn't there, but I'm pretty sure he was reassuring fans that he wasn't going to bat Izturis leadoff, not presenting this as a groundbreaking discovery.

Oh c'mon, Yadi's not even the slowest Molina in baseball.


Ah, but he's close despite being the youngest and fittest of the Molinas. Just imagine how slow he'll be when he gets as old and as fat as Bengie.
   7. InThroughTheOutDoor Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:12 PM (#2682272)
I'm guessing Tony wasn't drunk when he said that, right?
   8. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:18 PM (#2682273)
I'm sure there have been slower runners in MLB history, but Yadi's the slowest I can remember seeing.


I am pretty sure there is one playing now.

Bengie Molina is really friggin' slow. I'd have a hard time believing that his younger brother is slower. When B-Mo was still with the Halos in 2005 he was just a terribly bad baserunner - it has to have gotten worse with more wear and tear on the knees...
   9. Francoeur Sans Gages (AlouGoodbye) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:27 PM (#2682275)
When Manny Acta says this it's amazing and refreshing and everyone here loves him.

When TLR says it, snarks and complaints.

Talking about him strictly as a manager, I really don't understand the amount of flak he catches here.
   10. Shooty: Applying to be Fearless Leader Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:42 PM (#2682279)
Talking about him strictly as a manager, I really don't understand the amount of flak he catches here.

Tony's good and I have a soft spot for him because those A's teams of his were a blast when I was in high school, but he creates a lot of animosity because of his overt arrogance and occasional moralizing. I understand why he rubs people the wrong way. Also, I think Tony's biggest problem is that he seems to completely lack any kind of sense of humor about himself or his profession or even exessive faltulence. This may not be true, and he may be a funny guy in person, but he comes across as a someone who needs to lighten up a bit. (This is just public preception I'm talking about. Personally, I think his drive and focus are one of the things that have made him a great manager. Nobody outworks Tony and I think his professionalism and drive rubs off on his players, at least his players that don't hate his guts for it.)
   11. Justin 'The Cespedobear' T Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:42 PM (#2682280)
Tony LaRussa never should have written that book.
   12. Repoz Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:50 PM (#2682282)
MLB 100 yard dash...(Non-Molina Division)

1-Elston Howard
2-Sean Casey
3-Ron Hassey
4-John Wockenfuss
5-Frank Howard
6-Gus Triandos
   13. Harveys Wallbangers Posted: February 02, 2008 at 06:54 PM (#2682284)
Alou:

LaRussa is and has been a fine manager. His teams play smart, they play hard every night, and they play tough. A LaRussa managed team is always a legit challenge.

However, it was Don Tony who introduced the fire drill of relievers that slow the game and clutter up my godd#mn scorecard. It's Tony who keeps the whole notion of retaliation via head-hunting alive and well and then has the unmitigated GALL to complain about other teams going after HIS players. And THEN, in sophistry that would make a politician blush, claims to have worked to ban the practice but to no avail. Finally, he has worked diligently to create an "us against them" mentality on his team making the Cards a unified force and impressive to watch play but Jes_s H Chr#st a bunch of whiny brats. B#tch, b#tch, b#tch. "Everybody is out to get us.". "The umpires have a grudge.". And blah, blah, blah.

Have your team face this nonsense 19 times a year EVERY d#mn year and Tony would wear a bit thin. Guaranteed.

Great manager.

But in looking to get that edge he and his team take the joy out of almost every contest.
   14. frannyzoo Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:09 PM (#2682287)
Anybody got an update to this 2005 analysis?

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/run-slowly-and-carry-a-big-bat/

I'm betting on Matt Stairs for the 2007 title (non-Molina/catcher division)
   15. robinred Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:16 PM (#2682293)
Talking about him strictly as a manager, I really don't understand the amount of flak he catches here


"Strictly as a manager," I don't think he gets much flak, but I agree in the sense that sometimes his record does not get the respect it warrants from sabermterically-inclined media outlets and fans. HW, in contrast, always makes a point of acknowledging LaRussa's strengths and accomplishments before he talks about the aspects of TLR as a manager and as a guy, he does not like.

What TLR does take #### for, and often deservedly, is his self-righteousness, pomposity, and tendency to bash players in the press.
   16. slothinator Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:22 PM (#2682297)
As for the coming down on LaRussa, I can think of a few reasons why he is not looked upon in the best light by some on this forum:

1. His stance on steroids is somewhat laughable, seeing as that he managed two of the poster boys for the problem in Canseco and McGwire.

2. His alienation of players on his team. If he wants to confront them privately, that's the way to handle it. Calling them out to the media is cowardly.

3. Playing David Eckstein everyday and batting him lead off - this has been covered enough.

4. His and Duncan's handling of Anthony Reyes. He's a power pitcher with a good 4 seam fastball, and they keep telling him to throw a 2 seamer and pitch to contact. They are messing with what works for the kid. If I'm not mistaken, Duncan and LaRussa have preached this pitch to contact philosophy for a while with their starters.

5. The whole "pitcher 8th, hitter 9th" in the batting order.
   17. Voros McCracken, Human Shield Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:27 PM (#2682299)
My dad says that Sherm Lollar was really slow.
   18. Shooty: Applying to be Fearless Leader Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:34 PM (#2682301)
Oh yeah, and Greg Luzinski. In 82 or 83 I saw him get thrown out at first by the rightfielder. I remember being shocked that was even possible. On my Little League team we would have nicknamed him Truck.
   19. Harveys Wallbangers Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:37 PM (#2682302)
To follow up on Sloth's comment, the fact that Chuck Knoblauch gets tracked down to testify while Tony LaRussa is ignored by any and all investigating authorities defies explanation.

I would like someone to come into this forum and with a straight face tell the masses at BBTF that Tony LaRussa doesn't know what goes on in his clubhouse.

Which, as many of you have likely guessed, I don't buy for a minute. Tony LaRussa knows EXACTLY what is going on in his clubhouse. And it is HIS. He has made that clear to any member of the media who crosses Tony.

I have kept my distance from the entire steroids brouhaha but one thing I would be fascinated to watch is Tony LaRussa take an oath of honesty and tell whomever that he was "shocked, SHOCKED" to discover steroids were being used in baseball.

Now THAT would be interesting television.

It's possible that Tony might even blink...............
   20. tfbg9 Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:39 PM (#2682304)
Willie Aikens was said by Bill James to be very very slow. Ernie Lombardi, of course.
   21. tfbg9 Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:42 PM (#2682306)
Cecil Fielder. Dougie Mirabelli.
   22. DCW3 Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:49 PM (#2682308)
3. Playing David Eckstein everyday and batting him lead off - this has been covered enough.

Oh dear God. There is no way this could be considered a bad move on La Russa's part. Eckstein is a good player, and a fine leadoff hitter.

And every sabermetric evaluation has shown #5 on that list to be the correct approach.
   23. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: February 02, 2008 at 07:58 PM (#2682314)
So far we have:

C - Mirabelli, Lombardi, 5 Molinas, Howard, Wockenfuss, Hassey, Triandos, Lollar
1B - Cecil, Casey, Aikens, McGwire*
2B -
SS - Ed Brinkman*
3B - Ken Reitz*
LF - Luzinski, Howard
CF - Gorman Thomas*
RF - Stairs

* My nominations
   24. Sparkles Peterson Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:08 PM (#2682319)
I don't think McGwire was as slow as John Mabry.
   25. walt williams bobblehead Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:14 PM (#2682320)
I think even Benjie Molina could beat Frank Thomas in a race.
   26. GotowarMissAgnes Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:15 PM (#2682321)
Let's see:

At SS, Dick Grote or Cal Ripken
At 2b: Mazeroski
At 3B; I gotta go with Brooksie
DH: Harold Baines or Ken Singleton
Gotta make room for Le Grand L'Orange in that OF
   27. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:31 PM (#2682329)
1-Elston Howard
2-Sean Casey
3-Ron Hassey
4-John Wockenfuss
5-Frank Howard
6-Gus Triandos



Smoky Burgess has them all beat (if "beat" is the word I'm looking for here)

My boy Rocky was very slow, also; the Indians had a fat, jolly first baseman named Bob Chance in the early 60s, who was one of the slowest players I've ever seen; he didn't play long enough to cement his reputation
   28. greenback Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:47 PM (#2682333)
Tony LaRussa knows EXACTLY what is going on in his clubhouse.

I doubt that too, as LaRussa isn't much for hobnobbing with his players. 3NiA portrays him very much as an isolated loner, even if Bissinger wasn't bright enough to recognize this.
   29. GotowarMissAgnes Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:50 PM (#2682334)
The Orioles can put together a pretty awesome base clogging team: Triandos, Powell, Dave Johnson, Ripken, Brooks, Bob Niemann, Devereaux (best option in CF, I guess, and the only real weak position), Singleton, Baines. Together that group totaled 1,695 career GIDP, just 254 triples, and stole 258 bases at a 52% success rate.
   30. MM1f Posted: February 02, 2008 at 08:56 PM (#2682338)
"3. Playing David Eckstein everyday and batting him lead off - this has been covered enough."

What?
How do you find this to be a problem?
The guy was an average or above shortstop during his time in St. Louis.. and his STL OBPs were in the 350-363 range. Why do you hate him leading off?

Who did you want in there? Hector Luna?

and #5, A.. hardly matters, B, is probably the right call
   31. Shooty: Applying to be Fearless Leader Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:04 PM (#2682341)
That goes for Sandy Alderson too, who mysteriously quit working in the MLB front office and went back to the Padres shortly after the March 2005 Congressional hearing.

I don't think this was all that mysterious. I think Sandy was looking to leave when it became clear Bud wasn't going to give up the job anytime soon.
   32. Designated Sitter (GGC) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:08 PM (#2682344)
Dustin Pedroia gets lifted for a pinch runner on occasion. I can't recall that happening to a second baseman before.
   33. MSI Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:10 PM (#2682346)
Matt Stairs actually can get a little bit of speed when he's sprinting, even though it looks like he's waddling. Overbay and Thomas are also slow on the jays. Molina was the slowest I have ever seen.
   34. Harveys Wallbangers Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:33 PM (#2682358)
greenback:

You know your baseball, but I am baffled that you honestly believe that a control freak like LaRussa wasn't or isn't privy to what transpires in the room next to his office.

Setting aside actions there is talk. There are likely visitors. There are the player's physiques. Trainers' comments and/or observations.

Tony LaRussa doesn't walk around covering his ears and eyes shut. That guy is more focussed on his players than a just released prisoner on a $2 hooker.
   35. cardsfanboy Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:51 PM (#2682367)
glad to see comments 32 and 23 mirroring my sentiments, I was just thinking the original poster was trying to come up with reasons to dislike TLR and couldn't come up with much so had to exagerrate.
   36. Srul Itza Posted: February 02, 2008 at 09:56 PM (#2682368)
"3. Playing David Eckstein everyday and batting him lead off - this has been covered enough."

That's 2006 World Series MVP David Eckstein to you, Bub -- and do-on't you ferget it.
   37. Hack Wilson Posted: February 02, 2008 at 10:01 PM (#2682372)
My dad says that Sherm Lollar was really slow.
Yeah slowest sox player I ever saw unless it was his teammate big Ted Klu.

BTW the two of them once pulled off a double steal-I think the catcher was doubled up with laughter.
   38. Misirlou's got a busy day, he's wearing a vest Posted: February 02, 2008 at 10:14 PM (#2682376)
Willie Aikens was said by Bill James to be very very slow.


James's comments on Aikens in the 82 Abstract remains some of his best/funniest writing.

Johnny Ray for 2B
   39. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: February 02, 2008 at 10:46 PM (#2682385)
The Orioles can put together a pretty awesome base clogging team: Triandos, Powell, Dave Johnson, Ripken, Brooks, Bob Niemann, Devereaux (best option in CF, I guess, and the only real weak position), Singleton, Baines. Together that group totaled 1,695 career GIDP, just 254 triples, and stole 258 bases at a 52% success rate.
What, no Larry Sheets?

And Devereaux? WTF? You want a slow Os CF, try the 36-year old corpse of Fred Lynn that was in the OF for them in the late 80s.
   40. Tuque Posted: February 02, 2008 at 10:50 PM (#2682387)
That guy is more focussed on his players than a just released prisoner on a $2 hooker.


whoo! congrats on that one!
   41. Dag Nabbit apealing [sic] his own check swing Posted: February 02, 2008 at 11:15 PM (#2682393)
I've geeked around with the team batting splits at b-ref (specificially for this post, performance by batting slot) and which managers did what . . . . Tony LaRussa is probably the best at filling out the line-up card in the last half-century.
   42. IronChef Chris Wok Posted: February 03, 2008 at 01:40 AM (#2682473)
2B -

Mark Loretta, for a skinny White guy he's the slowest mofo I've ever seen.
   43. Bob Dernier Cri Posted: February 03, 2008 at 02:01 AM (#2682488)
Rafael Palmeiro, in his second stint in Texas, was frighteningly slow. It was the effect of injuries and age, of course – he was not terribly slow when younger – but he was just painful to watch: he couldn't round bases smoothly, or start and stop easily; he'd have to come to a full stop, set himself, and then proceed in the chosen direction. You'd be watching an outfielder make a play, figure Palmeiro was on third already, look back at the infield and he'd be just rounding second. He'd be en route from first to second on a hit-and-run play, and have to check if the ball got through, which most runners would do with a little flick of their head, but Raffy would have to come to a full stop, shift his feet, look around, and then motor up again. It was awful.
   44. AJM Posted: February 03, 2008 at 02:05 AM (#2682490)
Jason Phillips looks like he has a stick up his ass when he runs.
   45. GotowarMissAgnes Posted: February 03, 2008 at 02:42 AM (#2682503)
Don't know how I missed Lynn, David. I was trying to limit it to guys who had several years as a starter and not being too hard on guys who ran well when young, but faded with age. But, Lynn certainly is a better pick.

Sheets didn't have enough time to beat out Baines and Singleton at DH and RF, imo. But, he was an arterial plaque on the basepaths.
   46. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:01 AM (#2682522)
Yeah, I understand you didn't want to pick someone who only played a few games out there, but given that speed was often Devereaux's only asset -- especially after the beaning, when he couldn't hit the outside pitch with a pair of stilts -- I didn't want to see him put down for that.
   47. Rafael Bellylard: Built like a Molina Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:14 AM (#2682530)
My pick at 1B would be McCovey, who was slow before he had bad knees.

3B has to be Brooksie, who I believe is the only player in MLB history to ground into two TP's in his career.

Robby Thompson was pretty slow at the end of his career, but he also had back problems. And I distinctly remember Mike Piazza barely getting from 1st to 2nd on a long single to right at Candlestick.
   48. Sparkles Peterson Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:25 AM (#2682535)
To follow up on Sloth's comment, the fact that Chuck Knoblauch gets tracked down to testify while Tony LaRussa is ignored by any and all investigating authorities defies explanation.


Why exactly would Congress single out LaRussa when it has become increasingly clear that every clubhouse had the exact same things going on? If they're going to call in TLR and take him to task for not taking a more proactive stance on this, they need to call in roughly 100 other managers as well.
   49. Shock Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:30 AM (#2682536)

3B has to be Brooksie, who I believe is the only player in MLB history to ground into two TP's in his career.


Fun.

Actually, according to PI, he grounded into a minimum of three, and lined into another:

http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/shareit/jg6Y
   50. cardsfanboy Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:40 AM (#2682544)
Why exactly would Congress single out LaRussa when it has become increasingly clear that every clubhouse had the exact same things going on? If they're going to call in TLR and take him to task for not taking a more proactive stance on this, they need to call in roughly 100 other managers as well.


you are pretending like Congress would be actually interested in finding out facts or actually doing something other than grab face time. TLR is a big name, has connections to a couple of big names who have already been revealed/outed, so he is perfectly logical for this type of witch hunt.
   51. slothinator Posted: February 03, 2008 at 03:54 AM (#2682548)
Well, I'm not one to shy away from admitting I'm wrong. I didn't go look up the numbers on Eckstein before I made the comment about him, and it bit me. The OBP is solid, and it's not like LaRussa had alternatives (both points that someone else made). The fielding numbers were a little better than I expected as well. So that will be the last time I hold that one against him.

I have read before that batting order doesn't really matter, and I've seen others mention that the pithcer 8th/hitter 9th doesn't really matter either. Can someone link me to something that explains this? This just seems wrong to me, but I'm not one to argue if the numbers prove otherwise. Thanks for calling me on my comments; I need that once in a while.
   52. Crispix Attacks Posted: February 03, 2008 at 05:29 AM (#2682588)

http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/run-slowly-and-carry-a-big-bat/


Ha, it's amazing just how many catchers are on that list.

I didn't even realize Gary Bennett, Jason LaRue, Henry Blanco, Matt Treanor, Mike Redmond or Todd Greene were slow, but there they are with Bengie, Estrada, Toby Hall and Hatteberg. I guess I should just assume that about all catchers from now on, no matter how skinny they are (Yadier).
   53. cardsfanboy Posted: February 03, 2008 at 06:26 AM (#2682605)
Do you understand what the team "witchhunt" actually means?

Wait, let me guess... Never mind, I already have the answer:

N-O.



It's not that complicated of a concept to be honest, innuendo used as evidence is pretty much all I need to call something a witch hunt. Sure the Congress grandstanding (hey MLB why couldn't your testing policy be as effective as such paragons of virtue as the NFL and USOC) is also a big part of it. I know you seem to think that roids are the worse thing to ever happen to baseball, me personally I don't give one rats behind, it makes zero difference to me in the big picture, and Congress using a meaningless hot button issue is pretty much the norm for politics nowadays--or always, distract the brainless with meaningless issues so that they don't realize that there are bad things happening.


Once again, congress business in the steroid controversy is purely a grandstanding event, fans speculating on who is doing is pure witch hunt.
   54. DCW3 Posted: February 03, 2008 at 07:39 AM (#2682618)
Can someone link me to something that explains this? This just seems wrong to me, but I'm not one to argue if the numbers prove otherwise. Thanks for calling me on my comments; I need that once in a while.

I don't know of an Internet link that explains it, but there's a good explanation in The Book by MGL and Tango Tiger. From page 146, where the authors are running a Markov-chain simulation to see how many runs different lineup orders would be expected to score for an average team.

Let's re-run our model by swapping the players in the eighth and ninth spots. That is, let's test thesecond leadoff theory. This time, the model generated 4.847 runs per game [as opposed to 4.835 with the pitcher batting ninth]! It exists! This is a gain of .012 runs per game (or two runs per season). So, the cost of having the pitcher get more PA is indeed more than balanced by having a half-way decent hitter set the table for the top of the order.

They then present a table showing the expected runs per game with the pitcher hitting in each spot in the lineup: having the pitcher bat eighth does result in the most expected runs.

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