All imperative baked paprika-parmesan chicken talk aside, Michael Kay. Kingman - .302 OBP ~ Dunn - .373 OBP
Dunn is striking out in 37.2 percent of his plate appearances: 121 strikeouts in 325 PAs. In second place is Pedro Alvarez, the Pirates’ can’t-miss prospect-turned-misses-a-lot project, at 32.5 percent. As Bogira notes, Dunn’s on pace to strike out 261 times, which would break the major league record by thirty-eight strikeouts.
But perhaps this is unfair to Dunn. He’s played in all 75 of the White Sox’s games this year, and at 325 plate appearances, has averaged 4.33 per game. He’s had fewer than four in only three games. Of players with more, only Adrian Gonzalez regularly hits below first or second in the order, and he’s been aided by some long extra-inning games. In short, Dunn’s played almost every inning available to him this whole season, and is on track for 702 plate appearances in 162 games.
Dunn’s a hardy player—when you strike out, walk, and hit home runs as often as he does, you don’t have to run as much or as fast—and has finished just shy of 162 games seven times in his career. But he’s never actually played every game, and he’s never broken 700 plate appearances. In seasons that he’s played 152 games or more, i.e. ones without serious injury, he’s averaged 664 plate appearances, which is a fair enough number to work with.
If Dunn gets 664 plate appearances and continues to strike out at the rate he’s doing so now, he’ll finish with a mere 247 Ks, a merciful 11 percent higher than the existing record.
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1. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: June 28, 2012 at 10:16 PM (#4169127)He's on pace for 51 HRs, 126 BBs and 258 Ks
c'mon Adam--you can do it!!
42% of his hits have been homeruns. Only 2 players have had over 40% of their hits be homeruns in a season with at least 300 AB: Barry Bonds in his 73 homer season, and Mark McGwire who did it 3 times (with 2 more at 39%.)
Bautista is also sitting at 39.4% this year.
Player SO/PA SO PA Year Age Tm Lg G Adam Dunn 37.2% 121 325 2012 32 CHW AL 75 Mark Reynolds 35.4% 211 596 2010 26 ARI NL 145 Mark Reynolds 33.7% 223 662 2009 25 ARI NL 155 Dave Nicholson 33.7% 175 520 1963 23 CHW AL 126 Mark Reynolds 33.3% 204 613 2008 24 ARI NL 152 Jack Cust 32.9% 197 598 2008 29 OAK AL 148 Rob Deer 32.9% 186 566 1987 26 MIL AL 134 Rob Deer 32.8% 179 546 1986 25 MIL AL 134 Pedro Alvarez 32.5% 81 249 2012 25 PIT NL 66 Rob Deer 32.5% 175 539 1991 30 DET AL 134 Benji Gil 32.4% 147 454 1995 22 TEX AL 130 Jack Cust 32.3% 164 507 2007 28 OAK AL 124 Jose Hernandez 32.3% 188 582 2002 32 MIL NL 152 Rob Deer 31.8% 169 532 1993 32 TOT AL 128 Mark Reynolds 31.6% 196 620 2011 27 BAL AL 155 Bryan LaHair 31.5% 73 232 2012 29 CHC NL 65 Jose Hernandez 31.3% 185 592 2001 31 MIL NL 152 Jose Hernandez 31.0% 177 571 2003 33 TOT NL 150 Adam Dunn 30.7% 199 648 2010 30 WSN NL 158 Ryan Howard 30.7% 199 648 2007 27 PHI NL 144 Bo Jackson 30.7% 172 561 1989 26 KCR AL 135 Pete Incaviglia 30.5% 185 606 1986 22 TEX AL 153 Jack Cust 30.2% 185 612 2009 30 OAK AL 149 Mike Napoli 30.2% 76 252 2012 30 TEX AL 66 Drew Stubbs 30.1% 205 681 2011 26 CIN NL 158EDIT: 3.1 PA/G qualifier just barely excludes Dunn's 2011 season: 496 PA; 35.7% SO/PA; 177 SO
IP% = In play % = 1 - TTO%
2011 and 2012 seem anomalous in terms of SO/PA and SO/Outs, but the SO/Outs has been trending up since 2009 and the SO/PA since 2010.
Lima-time!
I was there for that homerun. You knew it was gone right off the bat. Steve Finley (I believe) was playing centerfield and kept going back like he had a play on the ball, and then it disappeared over the batter's eye building. Found out later it bounced off the concourse, out of the stadium, bounced off Mehring Way and down the levee to the river, where someone found it resting against a piece of driftwood. So, it didn't actually end up in the river, but, it was sure close.
It's amazing that in this era of high K's and long careers that it hasn't been shattered already. It's the Bob Beamon of baseball records.
Nope. Technically, when Stargell retired, Stargell was #2 - Jackson had already passed him. #3 is a guy I should have guessed before looking it up.
You're right about that. I thought he retired a couple of years before 1982.
Kong?
Bonds was indeed #3 when Willie retired. But that is not who I was referring to. because like I said earlier, I didn't realize Stargell played till 1982. For some reason, I thought he retired in 1980. So I'll rephrase. After the 1980 season, when Stargell was #1 all time in strikeouts, who was #2?
Well, 2 is multiple, but ARod and Dunn are the only active guys within 1,400 of him who have any chance of getting there. You have to go all the way to Ryan Howard at a little over 1200 before you find someone who has a shot, and even he's a longshot.
edit: But then only 2 guys passed Smith as well, so the comparison is valid.
edit 2.0: Billy Wagner sure looked like he would pass Smith as well. What happened to him? 37 saves, 1.43 ERA 13.5 K/9 at age 38 and then gone.
Active leaders:
608 Rivera
329 Francisco Cordero (age 37)
300 Isringhausen (age 39)
292 K-Rod (age 30)
279 Nathan (age 37)
256 Valverde (age 35)
237 Papelbon (age 31)
225 Lidge (age 35)
204 Fuentes (age 36)
189 Huston Street (age 28)
173 Bobby Jenks (age 31)
171 Brian Wilson (age 30)
165 Putz (age 35)
With the season record getting repeatedly smashed, I was a bit surprised at how few players have even a long shot at Reggie's total. ARod would need to play out his full contract as close to a full timer to get there, IMO, and I don't see that happening. Granderson? Only a year younger than Howard and almost 200 behind, but will probably age a lot better. Mark Reynolds might've been a candidate, but not now unless he has a Dunn-like rebirth very soon. Not many of the 2012 season leaders in Ks are close to the top in OPS, and with one superlongshot candidate they're all 30+, injury-prone, or mediocre hitters - sometimes two or all three. My dark horse is Giancarlo Stanton, who's only 22. However, his top season is "only" 166, and he'll need a bunch of years at 175+ to complete, I'd think.
I remember seeing on TV the monster HR Reggie Jackson hit in the 1971 All-Star Game, the one that hit the light tower. One wonders how far that one would have gone if it had missed the tower and been allowed to travel its full length.
I'll see you Reggie's and raise you Mantle's 1963 shot off the YS facade.
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