All imperative baked paprika-parmesan chicken talk aside, Michael Kay. Kingman - .302 OBP ~ Dunn - .373 OBP
Dunn is striking out in 37.2 percent of his plate appearances: 121 strikeouts in 325 PAs. In second place is Pedro Alvarez, the Pirates’ can’t-miss prospect-turned-misses-a-lot project, at 32.5 percent. As Bogira notes, Dunn’s on pace to strike out 261 times, which would break the major league record by thirty-eight strikeouts.
But perhaps this is unfair to Dunn. He’s played in all 75 of the White Sox’s games this year, and at 325 plate appearances, has averaged 4.33 per game. He’s had fewer than four in only three games. Of players with more, only Adrian Gonzalez regularly hits below first or second in the order, and he’s been aided by some long extra-inning games. In short, Dunn’s played almost every inning available to him this whole season, and is on track for 702 plate appearances in 162 games.
Dunn’s a hardy player—when you strike out, walk, and hit home runs as often as he does, you don’t have to run as much or as fast—and has finished just shy of 162 games seven times in his career. But he’s never actually played every game, and he’s never broken 700 plate appearances. In seasons that he’s played 152 games or more, i.e. ones without serious injury, he’s averaged 664 plate appearances, which is a fair enough number to work with.
If Dunn gets 664 plate appearances and continues to strike out at the rate he’s doing so now, he’ll finish with a mere 247 Ks, a merciful 11 percent higher than the existing record.