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Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Nationals haven’t played in a week. Is that a problem?

You’ll hear the question posed in the headline a lot in early going of tonight’s Game 1. If the Astros jump out to a lead and/or go on to win the game, it’ll likely transform from a question to an assertion. The “[Team] had too many days off between games” thing is often cited by commentators and fans as a reason for the team with a lot of time off after the LCS woofin’ it in the World Series.

Does more rest hurt a World Series team compared to a team that played more recently? Yes, at least in recent years.

The team with less time off before Game 1 of the World Series has won nine of the past ten World Series, with last year’s Red Sox team — which had four days off to the Dodgers’ three before Game 1 — being the exception. In the three years before that — 2006 through 2008 — the team with less time off won two of three. Ah ha! it’s settled then.

Or not. Because before that — from the advent of the Wild Card round, which was first played in 1995, through 2005 — the team with more rest won the World Series ten of eleven times.

Clearly it didn’t matter tonight- but still of interest as a consideration both of this myth and why it might have come to be.

 

QLE Posted: October 23, 2019 at 12:49 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: jim leyland, nationals, time off, world series

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   1. the Hugh Jorgan returns Posted: October 23, 2019 at 04:44 AM (#5893263)
Nationals haven’t played in a week. Is that a problem?


Apparently not.

Juan Soto says you can take your theories and small sample sizes and get stuffed!
   2. fran Posted: October 23, 2019 at 11:02 PM (#5893749)
It certainly does not seem to be a problem.

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