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Thursday, June 25, 2009

NBC Sports/Gleeman - Daily Dose: McGowan’s career in danger?

Dustin McGowan emerged as one of the AL’s most promising young pitchers by winning 14 games with a 3.62 ERA and 169 strikeouts in 32 starts from mid-2007 to mid-2008, but began struggling following a 125-pitch outing last June and had season-ending shoulder surgery a month later. His recovery has gone poorly and general manager J.P. Ricciardi hinted Wednesday that his career is in jeopardy.

“He’s not where he should be from a rehab standpoint,” Ricciardi noted. “I don’t know if he’s never going to throw again, but right now he’s struggling.” Toronto’s pitching staff has been wrecked by all kinds of injuries during the past two years, but losing a young right-hander with a mid-90s fastball who missed plenty of bats and induced quite a few ground balls is perhaps the biggest long-term blow.

plus, And That Happened: Wednesday’s scores and recaps, the best re-cap page around…

Baseball-Birthdays.com Posted: June 25, 2009 at 11:44 AM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: blue jays

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   1. Eugene Freedman Posted: June 25, 2009 at 02:32 PM (#3232412)
Halladay's a horse, so why not treat everyone else the same way. Gustavo Chacin hurt. Dustin McGowan hurt. Sean Marcum hurt. Jesse Litsch hurt. Watch out Ricky Romero and Brett Cecil. You too will be hurt soon enough.

It seems that Toronto brings someone up. He pitches well and probably too much. Then, blows out his arm after 1.5 seasons and never comes back. Sad. I don't follow the NL as closely, but has any team had this same track record recently?
   2. RJ in TO Posted: June 25, 2009 at 02:41 PM (#3232423)
It seems that Toronto brings someone up. He pitches well and probably too much. Then, blows out his arm after 1.5 seasons and never comes back.


McGowan's career high in innings was 195, at the age of 25. Litsch's career high was 196, at the age of 23. Marcum's career high was 168, at the age of 25. These guys were not being overpitched by any real standard.

Now, if you want to complain about training techniques possibly contributing to injuries, or about players possibly being rushed back from injury, then we can probably have a discussion.
   3. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: June 25, 2009 at 02:52 PM (#3232436)
I think it more speaks of the general folly of trying to build almost entirely around young pitching.
   4. AROM Posted: June 25, 2009 at 03:04 PM (#3232448)
Sad. I hope McGowan can recover, but this is a familiar story throught baseball history. And I'm 90% sure the problem is the limits of what his arm can accomplish than any irresponsible handling by the Jays.

Right now Ervin Santana is in limbo for the Angels. They have been extremely conservative with starter pitch counts for the Scioscia years. For a team that is supposedly anti-stat analysis, they have followed limiting pitch counts like a bible. This is in spite of the old Stats vs Scouts thread (could somebody post a link?) where I think Eddie Bane said they didn't pay attention to pitch counts.

Now there's a chance Santana will miss most of 2009, come back in 2010 after rest, get hurt again, finally have surgery, and be out until late 2011. It makes you wonder if the best option is just to pitch em till they break, like the Marlins did with AJ Burnett. He went down in early 2003 but at least he was back in mid season 2004.
   5. The Good Face Posted: June 25, 2009 at 03:12 PM (#3232455)
It makes you wonder if the best option is just to pitch em till they break, like the Marlins did with AJ Burnett. He went down in early 2003 but at least he was back in mid season 2004.


I'm drifting towards this belief myself. It appears guys are going to break no matter what. By working them hard at least you'll successfully identify the horses, while milking as many innings as possible from the guys who can't hold up.
   6. Petuniaviles Posted: June 25, 2009 at 07:04 PM (#3232950)
but began struggling following a 125-pitch outing last June an evening where he ate beef for dinner rather than chicken


FTFTFA to reflect an equally likely underlying cause.

Stats vs Scouts thread (could somebody post a link?)

Just on the off-chance you were serious: http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/features/050107debate.html
   7. mashimaro Posted: June 26, 2009 at 01:40 AM (#3233616)
McGowan had Tommy John when he was in the minors. He also found out he had diabetes.

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