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1. NTNgod Posted: September 27, 2007 at 04:52 AM (#2545050)Padres (J. Cassel 1-1, 4.00) at Brewers (Y. Gallardo 9-4, 3.59)
Braves (J. Smoltz 14-7, 2.95) at Phillies (K. Kendrick 9-4, 3.83)
Rockies (F. Morales 2-2, 3.15) at Dodgers (E. Loaiza 1-3, 8.53)
SEPTEMBER:
COL 17-7
ATL 14-9
PHI 14-10
SDP 13-11
thats the spirit!!
..
The Rockies have to lose sooner or later, right?
yeah they'll be on tomorrows list for sure. :)
edit. OK, COL/ARI have only three games against each other. Both play other teams today. But it could still work out.
I don't much care. I just want the Brewers to lose.
Actually, I take that back--I want the heat to be on the Pads long enough for them to have to use Peavy in the Brewers series. Then again, if the Cubs take care of business and/or the Pads do well in the first 3 games, the Sunday matchups won't matter.
By the standards set last year, the Cubs would be slightly overqualified to become world champs with their 84 regular season wins, but given their history, they could use a bit of a cushion.
I'm not sure, but presumably they'd first have to sort out the division winners, which would require a round robin in the West. then probably another round robin WC playoff. It would be awesome. And it probably would have to be done over 2 days.
How would you like to be the traveling secretary for one of the teams?
Brewers and Padres split.
Mets go 2-2
Phillies go 3-1
Rockies win tonight, then beat the Dbacks 2-1 and Dbacks lose tonight or Dbacks win tonight, Rockies lose and Rockies sweep this weekend.
If the Phillies, Padres and Rockies finish in a tie for the National League wild card, head-to-head records would designate teams as Clubs A, B and C. The team with the best record (the Rockies at 14-11) would have the first choice. The team with the second-best record (the Phillies at 7-7) would have the second choice. The team with the worst record would take the remaining option (the Padres at 11-14).
The Rockies would choose between being Club B or C. Club B would host Club A on Monday and host Club C on Tuesday. Or the Rockies could be Club C, have a bye Monday and play one game on the road against Club A or B on Tuesday.
It would not be a surprise if the Rockies chose Club C, which means the Phillies could host two one-game playoffs next week at Citizens Bank Park.
The Dbacks desperately need to win today to maintain at least one game lead over SD and two game lead over CO going into their 3 game set at Coors. The Dbacks also have Webb going for them. If they lose with their ace on the hill and get swept by the Pirates, the Dbacks are done. Mark it.
It would be a craptastic choke job given their 3 game lead over SD with 6 games to play, but given the Dbacks notorious streakiness and propensity to go ice cold at the drop of the hat, I won't be shocked at all if it transpires. But no worries, they'll be really hot in October...
Baseball's so damn weird. The Pirates are on the verge of sweeping the D'Backs (well, maybe not quite "on the verge," with Webb starting, but you know what I mean), after having lost 9 straight coming into this series, and having just been swept impressively by the Cubs, who are now depending on a Steve Trachsel start to avoid being swept by the Marlins.
(Incidentally, when they did all the coin flips, were the Mets and/or Rockies even invoivled?)
Using 5 from each team, but not necessarily the best because they need catchers, I get this,
SS Rollins, 3B Wright, CF Beltran, 1B Howard, LF Holliday, 2B Utley, RF Alou, C Bard
Chris Snyder, Helton, Tulowitzki, Jose Reyes, Byrnes
Peavy, Webb, Hamels, Chris Young, Francis
Heath Bell, Brett Myers, Tony Pena, Brandon Lyon, Manny Corpas, Hoffman, Wagner
Mets would be at Philly for the division.
I thought I saw that Webb was going Friday against the Rockies... So the Diamondbacks will come into Coors needing to win at least one game to clinch the division, and they won't have their ace going in any of the three. Sweet.
Playoff Odds (Division Chance)
Cubs: 89.4 (89.4)
Mets: 85.8 (77.4)
Diamondbacks: 83.0 (62.3)
Padres 57.2 (22.2)
Phillies: 41.7 (22.4)
Rockies: 32.5 (15.3)
Brewers: 10.1 (10.1)
They also say there's a 30.5% chance of a tie in the West, with a 6.7% chance of a three-way tie. The Wild Card has a 44.1% chance of a two-way tie, 32.3% outright winner, 17.5% three-way tie, 5.3% four-way tie and 0.8% chance of a five-way.
I love that there's twice as much chance of their being a tie as of an outright winner in the Wild Card race. I wonder what the overall odds are that there'll be at least one tie somewhere in the NL.
Also, how weird is it that the Cubs have the best overall odds of making the playoffs (and that they took over the top spot by losing their second straight to the Marlins)?
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