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Tuesday, December 04, 2018

No matter what Cubs do this Hot Stove season, last year’s failures hang over like a dark cloud

If the Cubs truly aren’t able to afford the top free agents on the open market this offseason, the main reason for that is because they’ve had to spend so much money in free agency on pitching the last few years. It’s also because they swung and missed in a major way last winter and are still feeling the effects.

The Cubs entered last winter feeling pretty good about the state of their offense but wanted to augment the pitching staff in a big way. So they went out and handed $198 million to Tyler Chatwood ($38 million), Brandon Morrow ($21 million), Steve Cishek ($13 million) and Yu Darvish ($126 million). They also paid Drew Smyly $3 million in 2018 to rehab from Tommy John surgery before he and the $7 million remaining on his deal were shipped off to the Texas Rangers last month.

The four free agent pitchers (not including Smyly, who didn’t throw a single pitch) combined for 1.1 WAR (FanGraphs) across 244.2 innings in 2018.

Alternatively, cleaning out the vents will get rid of much of that dark cloud in a hurry, especially if they open up a window.

QLE Posted: December 04, 2018 at 07:48 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: bad deals, cubs, hot stove, pitching

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   1. Red Voodooin Posted: December 04, 2018 at 02:51 PM (#5793870)

The only "dark cloud" is the Addison Russell situation. All the rest of the hand-wringing this off-season is really silly.
   2. bbmck Posted: December 04, 2018 at 03:36 PM (#5793893)
21 players have at least one season of 300+ PA for the 2014-18 Cubs, WAR with the 2014-18 Cubs split for Fowler and Coghlan:

Acquired by draft, amateur free agent or waivers: Kris Bryant 21.6, Javier Baez 11.9, Willson Contreras 8.4, Albert Almora 3.5, Starlin Castro 2.9, Kyle Schwarber 2.7, Ian Happ 2.3, Luis Valbuena 1.7, Welington Castillo 1.4, Jorge Soler 1.1, Arismendy Alcántara 0.4, Junior Lake -1.8

Acquired by trade: Anthony Rizzo 24.1, Addison Russell 12, 2015 Dexter Fowler 2.4, Miguel Montero 1.5, 2016 Chris Coghlan 0.9

Acquired as a free agent: Ben Zobrist 7.4, Jason Heyward 5.2, 2016 Dexter Fowler 4.1, 2014-15 & 18 Chris Coghlan 2.5, Jon Jay 1.0, Nate Schierholtz -0.8

57.9 WAR and Lake by draft and such, 40.9 WAR from trades, 20.2 WAR and Nate from free agents. Cubs might have been pretty successful the last few years if they didn't miss on Heyward and Darvish to date.

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