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1. ptodd Posted: August 02, 2011 at 01:03 PM (#3891007)Ozzie should be fired and investigated to make sure he was not betting against his own team.
When I read this I did a double take. I know Dunn has struggled, but you must be overstating for effect. But Dunn is having such a bad season that I at least had to look. And you are stating the cold hard facts with no embellishment. 3 for 77, all singles, batting .039.
Perhaps the worst hitting pitcher to have a big league career was Dean Chance, who struck out about 2/3 of the time. Even Dean hit .066 for his career. Though he did have a few seasons worse than Dunn vs LHP. 2 for 76 in 1966, 3 for 92 the year after.
It's pretty sad to see a player who was good as recently as last season just lose it like this. It's really mind-boggling though.
But Adam's season is just plain dreadful. He looks completely overmatched.
I have to agree...with the sentiment, not the hyperbole. Bad enough my team lost, then I tune into a close Yankee-White Sox game to see Adam Dunn bat against Sabathia in the 8th inning? Thanks Ozzie.
I mean, he's gotta be hurt. At the least he can clear his head a bit. I can't imagine that a fully healthy player would go from Dunn 2010 to Dunn 2011 in one year.
You had Brent Morel, who has 10 extra base hits and three walks in 77 games. Yes, 3 walks in 77 games. Good thing he's got that mighty .250 batting average bolstering his production.
You got Alexis Rios, with a lower OBP and a lower SLG than Adam Dunn.
You got Dunn, whose batting average is .162, and has 19 more strikeouts than anyone else in the AL despite missing over one-seventh his team's games.
You got Brent Lillebridge, who had an amazingly great first two months to the see, but has hit .200./.288/.262 since June 3. (And that's about what you normally expect from him -- it's a lot closer to his normal line than his first two months production).
You got Gordon Beckham, with his 82 OPS+.
You got Juan Pierre. Thanks to a hot surge over the last five-plus weeks (.342 average in that spell), his OPS+ has risen all the way to 80.
That's two-thirds of the lineup.
Quentin has been good. AJ is defying father time. Ramirez is good.
Sadly, given that Dunn's only strength is power, and that multiple guys in the lineup have worse OPS+ on the year than him, he probably belonged somewhere in the heart of that lineup. Maybe not #4, but at least #6. Yikes.
The real problem is that after slotting Dunn in the #4 hole, Rios was pencilled in at #5. That's one hell of a 4-5 combo.
Wait, I thought I heard Sterling say that..."C.C.s facing a tough lineup".
Or was it Kay...
Yeah, but that's like being the tastiest flavor of hemlock.
And yeah, I know this is a feeble effort at reverse jinxing, but with this year's version of Phil Hughes, you need every bullet in the barrel.
if he continues on this pace, he will suffer a 75 point loss in OPS+ (138 to 63) from last season. I'm wondering if that's the largest ever (for a full-time player).
P.S. one of the largest drops ever was Norm Cash, who went from an ungodly 201 in 1961 to a still respectable 136 in 62
I'm most curious about how Ozzie Guillen is managing this, considering he didn't seem to want Dunn on the team at all and has a history of jerking around underperforming players (see: Swisher, Nick)
Good point, I forgot about the more stringent testing requirements in AL cities.
Teddy Ballgame 179-->114 58-59
Sixto Lezcano 164-->98 79-80
Lou Boudreau 165-->99 48-49
John Mayberry 168-->94 75-76
John Olerud 186-->124 93-94
Ripken 162--> 92 91-92
What's a better explanation for the immense variance among lots of players this season?
How is that an explanation at all? If Dunn or anyone else that has demonstrated such variance have been using PEDs, what would have caused them to alter their regimens between 2010 and 2011? There is nothing different in the testing or punishment aspects of the PED policy, so if they've been getting away with it until now, what reason did they have to stop?
I mean, he's gotta be hurt. At the least he can clear his head a bit. I can't imagine that a fully healthy player would go from Dunn 2010 to Dunn 2011 in one year.
I was thinking the same thing. Has he had his eyes checked?
Bagwell 213 to 142
Jim Gentile 187 to 125
George Foster 150 to 90
Adrian Beltre 163 to 93
More pitchers are doing steroids.
It's not really an explanation. But neither is "suddenly a whole bunch of formerly good players all aged or started having massive bad luck at the same time."
Sixto Lezcano 164-->98 79-80 PEDs
Lou Boudreau 165-->99 48-49 PEDs
John Mayberry 168-->94 75-76 PEDs
John Olerud 186-->124 93-94 PEDs
Ripken 162--> 92 91-92 PEDs
Bagwell 213 to 142 PEDs
Jim Gentile 187 to 125 PEDs
George Foster 150 to 90 PEDs
Adrian Beltre 163 to 93 PEDs
If you're going to bring PEDs into the discussion you might want to think about what had changed between this and last on the PED front.
If a player's ability is a function of PED use and he's been beating the tests why would he stop?
If he did stop and got off to a start as brutal as Dunn's why wouldn't he restart?
It is plausible that there are PEDs out there that a) work and b) are (currently) undetectable. The drug warriors will always lament that the users are ahead of the game. However nobody can explain why Dunn would suddenly choose to stop taking said PEDs.
Also note that discussions about PEDs and Ibanez or Bautista or Dunn are now in the form of steroids as magic beans. It's a belief in a drug that doesn't produce a bigger body, but something that makes a player better at hitting a baseball without producing any kind of physical change.
(And yes, I know I've argued that steroids in themselves didn't make Bonds bigger -- that this was a training decision)
Did I accuse anything? I referred to the PED argument as a suggestion. I submit that the suggestion that "everyone" stopped hitting due to suddenly getting old or bad luck is as unproven as the PED argument.
Pretty much. What do you attribute previous downturns in offensive output throughout history?
Those are called amphetamines.
If he did stop and got off to a start as brutal as Dunn's why wouldn't he restart?
It is plausible that there are PEDs out there that a) work and b) are (currently) undetectable. The drug warriors will always lament that the users are ahead of the game. However nobody can explain why Dunn would suddenly choose to stop taking said PEDs.
The only reason I could see would be health problems that a player thought had been caused by the PEDs.
That said, I think it's unlikely that Dunn's problem has anything to do with PEDs. Even I don't think they have that much of an effect.
It seems pretty obvious to me. He got a one-time injection of undetectable steroids at the start of his career. The steroids were implanted into his appendix where they were released slowly over time. This all happened when he was beamed aboard a spaceship over rural Texas, and his memory of the incident has been erased.
He's due!
Since Andy has assured us all that amphetamines are not performance enhancing, the answer must lie elsewhere.
Jimmmy Wynn 140-71 (and then back to 146)
Maybe they just developed a test for his favorite previously undetectable drug, and his second-favorite still-undetectable drug isn't as good?
First plate appearance - base hit.
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