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Tuesday, July 01, 2014

Notes: The history behind why Tanaka, Abreu count as rookies | FOX Sports

Rosenthal’s latest notes.

The holdup bears a resemblance to the delays that occasionally occur in free agency when players fail physicals and teams try to rework deals.
If indeed Aiken failed his physical, the Astros would have the right to offer him 40 percent of his signing bonus value, according to the new draft rules that were negotiated into the collective bargaining agreement in 2011.
The signing bonus value for the No. 1 overall pick is $7,922,100. Forty percent of that would be $3,168,840. (The Astros, according to MLB.com’s Jim Callis, have agreed to a $6.5 million bonus for Aiken).
If the Astros failed to make the adjusted offer, Aiken would become a free agent. If they made the offer and Aiken rejected it, he could re-enter the draft in 2015 or enroll in a four-year college and become draft-eligible again after his junior year.
Again, only the parties involved know if Aiken actually failed his physical. The best guess is that he will still join the Astros.

This isn’t a great trendline for Pedroia.

According to STATS LLC, here are Pedroia’s numbers against the fastball since 2011 (at-bats that ended in fastball).

2011: .350
2012: .322
2013: .284
2014: .283
Pedroia was at .274 entering the weekend, but went 3 for 5 on fastballs against the Yankees. Overall, he was 6 for 7 in the final two games.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 01, 2014 at 06:48 AM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: rumors

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   1. TDF, situational idiot Posted: July 01, 2014 at 12:37 PM (#4740717)
Many sabermetricians downplay the value of RBI, pointing out that the statistic hinges on opportunity and preferring instead to focus on rate stats such as on-base percentage and slugging percentage.

The Yankees’ Joe Girardi, a manager well-versed in metrics, takes more of an old-school view on this particular topic. Girardi describes Mark Teixeira as “a true RBI” guy, adding there is an “art” to driving in runs.

Teixeira, Girardi said, reacts differently to different situations, and his success at times stems from not trying to do too much. If a sacrifice fly is required, Teixeira will settle for a sacrifice fly, the sure RBI.

Sabermetricians long have debated whether clutch hitting is an actual skill, or even exists at all. No question, certain hitters get far more chances than others with runners in scoring position, helping produce a greater number of RBI. But Girardi’s explanation makes sense, too.
Girardi's explanation "makes sense"? Under what circumstance is a SF better than a hit?
   2. Batman Posted: July 01, 2014 at 12:44 PM (#4740730)
In his career with a runner on third and less than two outs, Teixeira selfishly has 115 hits, 74 walks, 13 HBP, and only 56 sac flies.
   3. Jose is El Absurd Pollo Posted: July 01, 2014 at 01:11 PM (#4740766)
Teixeira, Girardi said, reacts differently to different situations, and his success at times stems from not trying to do too much. If a sacrifice fly is required, Teixeira will settle for a sacrifice fly, the sure RBI.


I'm all for the idea of situational hitting and guys being able to accomplish different things more in tune with the moment. The thing is we have the ability to do the research on this. Shouldn't it be relatively easy to see Teixeira's fly ball rate in those situations compared to ordinary situations and determine if he really is adapting? I mean hey, a sac fly is better than a strikeout, agreed. How tough can it be to show that a player is in fact able to make those adjustments?
   4. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: July 01, 2014 at 02:02 PM (#4740851)
Girardi's explanation "makes sense"? Under what circumstance is a SF better than a hit?


Where did Girardi say a SF is better than a hit? It seems Girardi is saying a SF* is better than trying to do too much and striking out (or popping up, I suppose), thus leaving that guy on third base. And in that sense, he's absolutely right.

* Whether Mark Teixeira is actually better at sac flying in those situations is another matter.

   5. Bhaakon Posted: July 01, 2014 at 08:28 PM (#4741565)
Girardi's explanation "makes sense"? Under what circumstance is a SF better than a hit?


Man on 3rd in a tie game in the ninth. I'd take a SF over an infield hit that fails to advance the runner.
   6. bobm Posted: July 02, 2014 at 08:03 AM (#4741742)
Shouldn't it be relatively easy to see Teixeira's fly ball rate in those situations compared to ordinary situations and determine if he really is adapting? I mean hey, a sac fly is better than a strikeout, agreed. How tough can it be to show that a player is in fact able to make those adjustments?

His fly ball : ground ball ratio does go up in sac fly situations, both those are a small percent of his overall career PA.

Mark Teixeira: 6878 Plate Appearances in Career-2014

Batted Ball Type
Not (785 BB / 1194 K / 102 HBP)         2081
                    Ground Ball         1854
                       Fly Ball         1554
                     Line Drive          962
                        Pop Fly          427


EDIT: 56 SF

Mark Teixeira: 437 Plate Appearances in Career-2014, less than 2 outs and 3rd Occupied

Batted Ball Type
Not (74 BB / 48 K / 13 HBP)          135
                   Fly Ball          107
                Ground Ball          106
                 Line Drive           61
                    Pop Fly           28


EDIT: 56 SF

Mark Teixeira: 188 Plate Appearances in Career-2014, less than 2 outs, score tied or down 1 runs and 3rd Occupied

Batted Ball Type
Not (33 BB / 20 K  / 8 HBP)     61
                   Fly Ball     52
                Ground Ball     41
                 Line Drive     24
                    Pop Fly     10


EDIT: 24 SF

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