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1. Fred Lynn Nolan Ryan Sweeney Agonistes Posted: August 19, 2012 at 02:38 PM (#4211972)Boy howdy. This is one of those things that, sure, people can tell you how it's going to go, but it's still a surprise when it happens to you.
Anyway, I think this
is part of the secret to both Rose's and Jeter's durability. When you're hustling all the time, your body doesn't get surprised and pull or tweak something when all of a sudden you need it to GO. And a singles hitter who doesn't hustle is probably not long for the majors.
I'm pretty sure hustle has made Jeter the greatest modern player at reaching on error. Over his career, he's averaged 10-11 ROEs a season, 9.4/600 PA.
I don't know of any current player with a better rate over a substantial career. Ichiro! would seem to be exactly the kind of hitter who'd stand out here, but he's down at 7.8/600. Adam Rosales has CRAZY hustle, and ROEs at about the same rate as Jeter - but Jeter's got nine years on him and more than 10K plate appearances. Rose himself finished his career at 7.9/600.
(n.b. I said "modern player" because error rates have been dropping steadily for so long. I was trying to think of exactly the kind of player who would do poorly on ROEs, who also wasn't a strikeout-walk-homer guy, and came up with Smoky Burgess - who turned out to have a very high rate. I forgot, Forbes Field was to errors as Colorado is to offense in general.)
That assumes Jeter plays next season and the option year on his current contract. If he goes beyond that by even 1 season, Aaron (3771) comes in range and even Cobb's record for most hits for one team, 3900, if Jeter has 2 more reasonably productive years on his next contract. Father Time may have something to say about this, but it's worth watching.
• Righty hitting. Righties should have more ROE because 3B and SS commit more errors. Jeter and Rosales are righty hitters, Ichiro and Rose aren't.
• Groundball rate (GB%). Jeter's GB% is, shockingly to me, even higher than Ichiro's (58.1% vs. 55.7%). Rosales tries to put the ball in the air, at 41.7%. Rose we don't know.
• Speed. Independent of "hustle", you're still going to force more errors if your "base" running speed is faster. Ichiro is very fast, Jeter pretty fast, Rose and Rosales mediocre so far as I know.
You do have the countervailing factor that, as mentioned, Jeter goes the opposite way a lot. And I certainly don't deny that he hustles. I would be interested, though, to see how he ranks among other fast righty hitters with a very high GB%.
Derek Jeter: 3248 Hits in Career-2012
Location
This is true, and the flipside to the high number of ROE for a player with a profile like Jeter's is he tends to hit into a lot of double plays, more than your lefthanded batter of a similar profile. Jeter has 80 more GDP than ROE in his career.
In contrast, the quickest lefties tend to have more ROE than GDP. Ichiro was among the all-time best at this until he started to lose a step. Brett Butler, with 137 ROE to only 62 GDP, is the moodern gold standard, as far as I can tell.
FTFA:
“I don’t pay attention to prognostication, prediction,” he said, putting on socks, jock, pants, jersey. “One of the worst phrases in sports is ‘on pace for.’ ”
This paragraph is creepy and stupid and irrelevant.
Ahh, good old position #25. Go down a block and a half where that green Dart is, hang a louie, through the alley, turn right and stand on the corner outside Milligan's. Nothing ever got past me!
Righties make up a larger portion of the total at bats. But it's only about 30% more doesn't come close to making up the discrepency that McCoy points out(he gave the wrong list though, he gave the vs list not the actual list... rhb =1119 roe and lhb = 664 roe)
Righties reach on error at 1 per 85 at bats, lefties 1 per 107 at bats. (last year)
I will readily confess that I thought Jeter was on the verge of collapse after 2010 -- if it hadn't happened already. So I give him full credit for rebounding (though in fairness I did expect _some_ rebound, just not this much).
It's worth noting how he's doing it: he's concentrated his game on mashing lefties. He's hitting lefties as well or better than he ever has before. Meanwhile, his hitting against righties hasn't been worth a damned since 2009. This most certainly is _not_ the old Jeter. It's just Old Jeter, which is plenty good enough.
Blazing speed from the left-handed batter's box actually works against a high ROE rate, as it favors the "wouldn't have had a play anyway" scoring decision.
What are the odds that this is really the strategy that he's focused on? As opposed to it just being one of those statistical quirks we all love.
Actually I gave out a bit of both. According to BRef PI RHB had 1228 ROE and LHB had 742 ROE. I had the vs LHP in my original post.
PI states that there were 1970 ROE in 2011. If you go to the league splits page it says that there 1783 ROE and if you go to retrosheet they say there were 1979 ROE.
I find the Jeter worship as nauseating as anyone but I think it's true that he hustles as much as any player in baseball as far as "hustle" is defined as the on field stuff we see (running out grounders, going full out for batted balls, etc...). He never seems to go half assed on any ball even if it's a routine play.
Granderson, yes. A-Rod, no. Yankee Hustle ranks: Jeter-Teixeira-Granderson-(gap)-A-Rod-don't care.
I agree with this.
One (of the many) annoying things about Jeter as a non-Yankee fan, is that he seems to have decided very early on that he needed live by example of hustle / grit / gamer-ness, and then he has done that, pretty consistently, for nearly 20 years. He just never seems to dog it, ever.
Since when does Father Time affect Yankees players?
Who is the real most hustley player in the bigs? Adam Rosales? Is it Bryce Harper?
Since that Gerhig guy had a disease named after him.
I give Pete credit for honesty. I never really buy it when a guy says "It's OK with me if my record is broken."
Ball Saxbury.
Centaur might be a complete toolshed, but he busts his ass on every play when he's healthy.
Tesh, though an unrepentant loaf-pincher, is a good add.
I think my defining memory of him as a Yankee is his scoring on the play where Luis Castillo dropped the sure game ending pop out. The only way that happens is if the base runner is going full out the entire time, and Tesh busts his huffy-puffy, piano-lugging ass the entire damn play, even though the chances of it mattering are somewhere in the order of one in ten thousand ...
on a very local level carlos gomez hustles non-stop. carlos races around the bases on his home runs which for a fan is both disconcerting and amusing. you barely get to clap for a guy. at least for someone like me as it takes a good ten seconds to get out of my seat and by that time he's rounding third
Jeter even hustles to stare down the home plate ump if there is an unapproved called strike, whereas other guys just lazily let it slide.....
And Norman Rockwell with the glove.
I would have gone with Venus de Milo.
He puts his socks on first?
Wha? A-Rod doesn't bust it all the time anymore now that he's apparently made of glass and silly putty, but up until the past couple of years, he went hard on almost every play. I can think of maybe a couple of times in his Yankee tenure that he got burned watching a home run that turned out to not actually be a home run, but otherwise he almost always hustled out of the box. I do agree that Jeter's hustle is beyond reproach though.
Well, it's gotta go on before the jock...
Sticking with Rockwell. On defense, Jeter
- is prolific
- is overrated by the masses
- has been provided opportunities and awards beyond those that were merited
- has limited range
- cannot go left.
Also, I swear I've seen a Norman Rockwell print depicting a gift basket.
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