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Thursday, August 30, 2012
The 2012 College football thread!
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Meth.
Spoken like a Mountaineer fan. How long have you been on board again?
I doubt ESPN will do gameday for a fox game.
Mid 2005 or so. That gives me the loss to Louisville in 2006, the inexplicable USF losses, the Backyard Brawl in 07, the 24-3 (I think) loss to ECU at ####### home, the @ Colorado game, and pretty much every game in the Bill Stewart era after they got a number next to the team name. So yeah, even in my short tenure as a fan, I'm used to the team falling apart right as they get any kind of buzz. And as my wife can attest to, I take my fandom very seriously, despite having no real connection to the school.
I doubt ESPN will do gameday for a fox game.
Good point. And a bummer. And looking at the schedule, they will have other valid options (Florida-USCe, LSU-A&M, MSU-Michigan).
WVU has always seem to play down when they get a lot of praise and that number next to their name. It seems crazy now, but they went almost 20 years with a frickin bowl victory.
Stewart's teams were god awful in this regard, but it hasn't been reserved to just him. It happened to Nehlen, Rodriguez, and even Holgerson. Last year WVU went to the carrier dome and got smacked by a Syracuse team that won 1 ####### BE game.
Anyway, enough salt in the old wounds.
Going to Lubbock this weekend terrifies me because TTU seems to pull out one significant upset every season. WVU is only -4, which makes me feel even mor uncomfortable.
That was a brutal loss. I kept thinking they were going to turn it on at some point, get back into it. And then it just got worse. I remember resigning myself to another season of crap, with a Belk Bowl appearance. I didn't really get back into the season until Bailey made that absurd catch against USF in the last game of the season.
Going to Lubbock this weekend terrifies me because TTU seems to pull out one significant upset every season. WVU is only -4, which makes me feel even mor uncomfortable.
Yeah, this and the Iowa St. game are going to be nerve wracking.
They are doing an NBC game this week.
Michigan wins that game if they don't turn it over 6 times, heck, turn it over 3 times they probably win. Oh well, Robinson is what he is, and paired with Al "I'm the Smartest Man In All Rooms" Borges it often results in a square peg trying to go into a round hole.
But ND has a legit team this year, legit top 15 anyways. I'm glad they came out and whupped on MSU and Miami as it bodes well for Michigan going forward.
Also, LSU is way over-rated. They are running on reputation right now.
Computer rankings that use MOV love them just as much as BCS computer rankings do.
http://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
Actually I don't care about college football at all, even if Ole Miss won a national title I'd still be prouder of the pretty girls and tailgating in the Grove.
I actually worried (too much) that my post would read as referencing today alone. I wasn't. A lot of traditional SEC teams would be down four scores to Bama, but not a lot of them are facing 0-4 in the conference after losing to Vanderbilt at home.
Missouri just looks out-classed. SEC partisans are usually full of it when they talk about the fancy razzle-dazzle finesse spread teams of the Big XII and Pac 12 being weak-kneed along the lines of scrimmage, but it really seems accurate with regards to Mizzou.
CFBF I get your point, but Mizzo are not alone this year in the sec cellar.
Nope. No doubt it's only a matter of time, though.
And oh the defense is ####### terrible and decided to stop tackling all together mid way thru the 2nd quarter.
Doesnt matter who is the coach. This program just can't handle success.
No kidding, time to get ready for the Holiday bowl.
Don't worry, #17 wvu will beat #5 ksu by 17 next weekend. Its almost guaranteed.
That's depressing.
Hell of a goalline stand.
I think the call was wrong, but I'm not broken up about it. Titanically unimaginitive playcalling from Stanford, especially against a strong rushing defense. They deserved to lose that game, based on poor QB play and shitty coaching.
But if his forward progress is stopped, which I thought happened, then the ref has to rule him down.
I thought his elbow was down when he reached but I think the real issue for the officials was that he was whistled down before that last lunge toward the end zone. At least the line judge is already on the field before his last reach.
EDIT: But I must admit that I'm biased since I'm a big ND fan.
LSU DL is incredible. Too bad they have to play offense too.
and now the msu coach is supposedly on the hot seat and has been combative in news conferences
The Spartans were supposed to be favorites - flawed favorites, but favorites - and they've now had their flaws laid bare for two weeks in a row.
Purdue was a fashionable darkhorse, but now they're looking done.
Michigan seems like they've gotten their act together - but have done so against a couple really weak squads.
Wisconsin seems like they might be in a position to salvage their season.
Nebraska might be the best bowl eligible B1G10 team, but they got run over.
Iowa seems to have really put things together since conference play started.
Don't overlook the Wildcats -- this weekend's tilt against Nebraska looms huge... Even with the PSU loss, they still control their own destiny.
wisconsin was also pushed by utah state a team that opened its conference season by sacking the opponent's qb 13 times. utah state is a solid team.
i am not suggesting wisconsin is a world beater. but this team has two losses by a total of six points on the road.
the wisconsin defense is legitimately solid and the pass rush is improving as guys get back from injury
the young qb is getting his sea legs.
the placekicker and punter are still shaky and too much of the return game centers on number 4 who is also the team's best receiver
but if wisconsin gets to the big10 championship game i don't think it will be an embarrassment to the conference.
I'm just saying at this point, it feels like you could say the same about 6-7 -- maybe even 8 -- teams.
Three weeks in and the only thing I can say for sure is that Ohio State looks like the only legit national power, and they're not going anywhere.
To be fair, Michigan played a fine game against ND but turnovered the game away. It was a bit flukey. The main argument against Michigan is that they got shitstomped by 'Bama - but, like, so what?
(This is not to say Michigan is a good team, but they're leaps and bounds better than the little sisters of the Big 10.)
awesome? no, better than this? yeah, at least good enough to win a crap league.
He's capable of some of the most reckless (good and bad) plays. Late last week at La Tech in that wild 59-57 game, he nearly took a 35 yard sack on a play deep in the red zone. Then he's busting off another long run, and throwing for 400 yards, rushing for 180.
EDIT, I now see where you said "nearly". Still, how is that feasible?
They barely got by AF, though, and the two teams that they stomped look like the two worst teams in the conference... Heck, Illinois might be able to make a case that they're the worst BCS team in the country by season's end, the way they're playing.
Purdue, I don't know what's happened to them... but since losing that close one - in a game where they looked pretty decent - to ND, they just seem to have packed it in.
Maybe Michigan has finally decided that they'll live or die with Robinson -- something they should have understood offensively from before game 1 anyway -- but nothing beyond Robinson especially impresses or scares me. I'm not trashing their defense, but neither does it frighten me. I don't think their O line is anything like the Michigan O lines of the past decades. Special teams, receiving corp, ground game... I'm not saying they look awful in any of them, but I see nothing special beyond a truly exciting QB.
I was at the game on Saturday. A little bummed that Harrison dropped the wide open TD pass that would have made it a 30-7 drubbing. But beating Sewercuse is always a good thing. Have fun in the ACC! Maybe you'll finish ahead of BC or Duke once in a while....
i watched a badger running back named chucky davis reverse his field approximately 7 times and take a 20 7ard loss
kids do weird stuff because they cannot give up
I still think the likeliest result is a 9-3 regular season record, which would be mildly disappointing after a 6-0 start. But it's nice to be competitive and relevant again.
btw: LSU at Texas A&M this weekend. This was to be my annual SEC game to attend this fall, but I've been summoned elsewhere this weekend/next week.
At Tennessee
Mississippi State
At LSU
Texas A&M
I don't think lose to Tennessee, but the other 3 games are challenging in their own right and it would not surprise me to see them drop one of these games.
Win those four, got a gimme game against Western Carolina and another should be gimme against Auburn
You know, if they win out, I assume they'll go into the SEC title game having passed Alabama for #1, at least in the BCS. But they're about equally likely to drop a bunch of games and miss the BCS altogether. Hard to know what to make of the Gators this year.
Mich opening line -10.5 against MSU. Where are the folks upthread who were talking about how awesome MSU was going to be this season.
846. Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: August 27, 2012 at 05:57 PM (#4219501)
If anything, I think MSU is a little overrated. I agree that their defense will be very good, but a lot of question marks on offense. They may fill those holes, they may not.
From the previous thread. I gotta brag about something.
Iowa has a good defense, a very good o-line, and a good running back in Weisman, who may be out this weekend.
Their passing game has been terrible, with Vandeberg ranking something like #112 in the country in passing efficiency. He was very good last year, if he can turn things around we'll have a good team.
WVU/TT was surprising, but I suppose it really shouldn't have been. WVU is in a tricky situation this year - they're probably going to lose every game where they can't throw the ball at a very high level. Big 12 is a total mess this year. It's good, but I think which teams look like the favorites each week is going to change. The one constant I think is going to be OU. I don't see any way KSU can get through the conference without a couple of losses.
I hope you're right about this, at least during their tussle w ND.
They really need Alston back. With him and Buie, they would be a much more formidable running team.
Robert Smith showed some clips of how the WVU CBs were playing Tech receivers, and it was just horrible. They were playing way off the line and still getting beat deep because they didn't open their hips and start running with the WRs until the WRs were right on top of them. They may be young, but the coaching is really not reaching them. If there isn't some improvement in the secondary soon, Holgorsen should take a hard look at his defensive staff.
That said, the way the run defense has played this year leaves me mildly optimistic about Saturday's game, even though Klein poses a new and unique challenge.
The one constant I think is going to be OU.
We will see. They still have some tough road games to get through, @ WVU, Iowa State and TCU. Iowa State and TCU should be able to give them enough problems with their defenses to create the possibility of an upset and WVU should be able to keep up with them, but will still probably lose.
I would say WVU beats K-state by 2 scores, given how WVU loves to not show up for the likes of TT and Syracuse, but show up for the big games. I"m hesitant because K-state's defense is mostly upperclassmen with a lot of experience. KSU will be ready and will probably play better than they did in Ames Saturday.
I still think WVU pulls out a victory, and I would take WVU in the -2 to -3 range that I have seen.
Now that ND is back in form (somewhat) it is time to stir up my own echoes. A sidebar reason is my own selfish reasons to hope to see Kansas State play for the title. I did the same in '98, before things went bad in OT vs A&M in that Big XII CCG. I know this appears to directly conflict with my aforementioned remarks, but I have a ton of admiration for Bill Snyder, despite what the bowl game executive honks think of him and some in the media. He was nice to me the two times I engaged with him as a member of the media, and his work at K-State is truly remarkable. I don't think KSU stands a chance to make the game as a 3rd undefeated team (assuming two others are either: Bama, UO, or ND, or UF).
It's not that they "decided to live or die with robinson" it's that they a) aren't playing that semi-pro team down in Tuscaloosa anymore and b) decided (hopefully) once and for all that Denard is not Cade Mcnown / Steve Young / Vince Young Texas / etc. He's Denard Robinson. Let him run the read option, the QB power, and the vast majority of passes are of the "you have two reads, one is your primary target, the next is run" variety.
Al Borges is a bit of a stubborn knucklehead at times, but he's not an idiot. Denard is not a guy you want ever turning his back to the LOS or rolling out. Let him survey the field from the shotgun and make an easy read, if it's not there, run, he runs a 4.3 40 and Put on a show verse a decent Illini defense.
And of course all this is predicated on a very good Michigan defense. Michigan held a good ND offense in check and curb-stombed Purdue and Illinois. Yea those teams are bad, but Michigan didn't even let them get off the mat. Greg Mattison is a genius at the college level and hybrid linebacker / DE Jake Ryan is a playermaker in the Clay Matthews mode (I'm serious, he does the same stuff and even has the exact same hair) to complement a solid if not spectacular secondary and d-line.
Michigan could easily lose 1 or more games the rest of the way (@ Lincoln, @ Ohio) but they could also easily be in the Rose Bowl. The B1G sucks, Michigan might be very good -- not elite -- but very good.
Who do people hate the Yankees?
Actually, now it's about how comically overrated they are every year, and how they end up in BCS bowls getting their heads stomped while better teams play in the Toilet Bowl.
This, and that the "Pugnacious Hibernians" typically come across as just a wee bit sanctimonious for my tastes. All of that Touchdown Jesus and "win one for the Gipper" stuff just rubs me the wrong way.
For me, personally, I grew up about 20 minutes outside of South Bend... and I actually WAS an ND fan until I went off to college - Lou Holtz's national title came when I was in HS and I suspect in some trunk somewhere, I still have old Catholics vs. Convicts and Catholics vs Creminals T-shirts.
Once you're outside that bubble, though - it just really starts to grind you how obnoxious the whole thing gets... I fell out of love with ND even when I initially landed at Northwestern and Gary Barnett was taking over those awful Francis Peay teams at Northwestern, but would still lukewarm cheer for them against most opponents (generally, non-Big 10 games).
I was at the 17-15 NU-ND game in 1995, and that was the moment I went from an ex-ND fan to ND hater -- because there's nothing quite like the stunned, silent opposition that had spent the previous evening out at the bars talking up their inherent and undeniable superiority, spent the entire tailgate telling you the same, and only excepting the last few minutes, still insisted that somehow 'God would find a way for ND to win.' It's sort of like the valedictorian star QB who was a little bit douchy, but not really bullyish enough to be hated, finally getting the comeuppance....
At gameday for the ND/Stanford game somebody was sporting a "Catholics vs. Conifers" sign. I got a chuckle out of it.
I couldn't disagree more. Which gets at why I hate Notre Dame, along with many of the other traditional powers. In a given year, one or two of them might have certain players or attributes that make me like them, but I'd rather see some underdogs reach the biggest games.
Alabama/LSU/Florida vs. Oklahoma/Texas/USC/Ohio State for the national title every year is boring to me.
I "hate" FSU the way most people "hate" ND. They have been absurdly overranked during the time I have been following the sport and it has been irritating to listen to. They would probably be the one non-SEC team I don't want to see win the MNC.
Little town called New Carlisle -- pretty much smack dab in between LaPorte and South Bend on highway 20...
I have been thru New Carlisle several times, although not for a good many years. I have relatives who formerly lived in LaPorte and my family would visit during the summers. It is my aunt's fault that I wasted 30 years of my life as a Cubs fan, she would have the game on during the day and I would watch. During the 1969 season she promised to take me to the World Series if the Cubs made it; needless to say I'm still waiting.
My favorite quote so far:
Have I been in a coma for 20+ years?
Still hilarious though, but for different reasons.
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