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I think he was trying to take everything into consideration, including peak. In baseball, I'm generally more of a career over peak person, but I do think peak in basketball needs to be weighed a little heavier than in baseball since one player at his absolute best can have a greater impact on a teams championship chances. Shaq vs Kobe is a tough one. I'd still probably go with Shaq at this point because of the peak, but Kobe's getting closer every year. Another few seasons like his last couple and I might change my mind.
I guess, but though he filled a niche (*) he doesn't really write or think with anything resembling gravitas. He writes in the voice of a fan in a perpetual state of arrested development -- good for business in this era, but not much more. I enjoyed the book, but it really isn't on par with any serious books, even ones about sports. The distance between TBOB and, say The Breaks of the Game is a chasm; Simmons "admits" that, but I wonder whether he really believes it. He's carved out a great place for himself in new media, but I'd bet he confuses that with skill as an analyst/writer. We joke about his biases, but he really is biased ... and how serious an analyst can you be if you're that in the tank for certain teams and hate other teams that much?
(*) There hadn't really been a survey history of the league written by anyone before TBOB.
http://20secondtimeout.blogspot.com/2012/04/seven-games-of-life-without-kobe-bryant.html
___________
This guy also noted that Barnes and MWP both played very well when Kobe was out, although he failed to mention that Kobe himself does not have a very good shooting percentage. But OTOH, Abbott did not include the numbers above in his piece today, and I found them in about 15 seconds on Google. Abbott also cherry-picked a couple of plays when Bynum was supposedly bypassed but failed to note in any detail how Denver was defending overall; indeed; he hardly mentioned Denver in the piece, which is one of the biggest Haterboy blind spots: thinking everything that happens revolves around what Kobe does. Finally, Abbott made this assertion today in that piece as well:
But he didn't back it up, ending the essay a couple of sentences later.
I think his answer would be that he put Kareem and Magic 3 and 4 all-time, and Bird 5. He now has Kobe 8. He ranks the 1987 Lakers as the 4th-best team of all-time.
Not saying that proves you're wrong or anything, but I think that is how he would see it.
I don't know. I am not a big fan of adjusted +/-. Simple rating has Bynum at +7.8, Bryant at +7.7, and Gasol at +6.7. I didn't put the numbers above up as some kind of analytical trump card. What I do know is that Abbott and a lot of other people have asserted that:
a) Bynum has had a big breakout year (that is sort of true but mostly what has happened is that he has a higher USG and has stayed in the lineup while putting up similar stats to his past stats).
b) He would be even more awesome if his USG were even higher and the reason it isn't higher is because Kobe Bryant is a ballhog. Abbott even uses the term "ballhog" in the article.
With Bryant gone, however, Bynum's FGA spiked and his efficiency numbers tanked. That does not necessarily prove anything, but I think it is worth knowing if one is discussing Bynum's and Bryant's respective USGs and their effect on the team in a serious way. Abbott isn't doing that, but he is acting like he is, and that is why Lakers fans can't stand him.
The Lakers' overall numbers with Bynum, Gasol and Bryant on the court together this year are not all that impressive. My own opinion about that issue, as I have stated, is that the Lakers have skill overlap problems. In theory, it sounds awesome: "Kobe Bryant and two All-Star 7-footers!" But as I have said, there were reasons that Phil always had Odom finish games and why Odom got more minutes with Bynum or Gasol than they got with each other.
The defense of Bryant has always revolved around the idea that the diversity of his offensive game and the defensive attention he draws makes it easier for the other guys. The criticism of him is two-fold: first, that he takes difficult shots that he shouldn't take, and second, that his personality and style of play frustrates ("exasperates")his teammates, causing them to disengage defensively and stand around offensively, thus hurting the team.
When Bryant was gone, Bynum and Gasol shot a lot more and their percentages went down. The team did pretty well overall, but it was a small sample.
My other take is that Kobe often hurts the team on D a lot now but people only talk about his offense. He is still pretty good when he hustles, but lateral movement always goes with age, no matter how hard you work, and he rests/roams a lot on D. Put him out there with guys who can't D up, and it is a problem. You can see some evidence for these patterns on the Lakers' five-man units page at 82games.com:
http://www.82games.com/1112/1112LAL2.HTM
*I remember watching a high school game of his; the state championship against Schaumburg (a suburban, affluent school) his senior year. His team lost, and he was guarded by a couple of 6'4" kids the whole time. He didn't demand the ball, and allowed other guys to take too many shots; he also didn't play much defense. That's not to say I would overpsychoanalyze and should have known he'd bust out, but it wasn't promising even if you can see how much talent he had.
Never met Shaq, but Mark Eaton came into my work a few times last fall, and holy hell that guy is huge.
Boston should really be up by a lot more than 1.
joey crawford has basically taken jrue holiday (who's been the sixers most effective player against the bulls this year) out of the game with that ########, and hamilton has 10 points while shooting 1/6 from the floor.
on the plus side, i love that the bulls have basically forgotten about asik and gibson these last two games. not that those guys are great, but their energy and activity can really be a momentum changer, and the game is just much more predictable when boozer and noah are leaned on so heavily.
(As for adjusted +/-... I love it in theory. We don't live in theory, though. I consider it an important, but lesser tool.)
Deng is hurt and Boozer is being exposed.
this officiating is just abhorrent. lou williams is getting mauled in the act of shooting and can't get a call, but when rip hamilton runs over a sixers defender and flails his arms, he gets a pair of FTs without touching the ball.
It's been a physical series, and there's a lot of contact going uncalled on both sides. Hell, I don't think Turner has made a drive this series where he hasn't committed an offensive foul and I don't think it's been called yet. And I know this was heat of the moment, but I still think it was wrong.
Let me preface this by saying the officiating didn't cost the Bulls the game; their offense was beyond terrible. However, there were 2 *brutal* missed calls in the last minute that weren't mentioned at all. On the Hawes missed jumper, Holliday double dribbled on the offensive rebound. He got the ball, and I think it was Brand that ran into him. He dribbled it once, collected himself on the contact from Brand, and then dribbled to the basket and was fouled. On the last Turner play, Elton Brand was in the lane for 8! seconds (I rewound and counted twice to be sure) while Turner was struggling with the ball and flopping around before drawing the foul. Sixers got 4 FTA out of those plays in the last minute. (They showed an earlier offensive interference call on Asik that was clearly wrong, but the Sixers were gonna get the rebound anyway so that blown call was irrelevant.)
The Heat really should just get a bye to the Finals. Maybe Indiana will play them tough - and if Boston makes it to the ECF(and I no longer have any delusions of the Bulls beating them even if they get by Philly and if Noah is out - and I'll be shocked if he isn't - they won't) they might steal a game if they're healthy by then, but it wouldn't be a surprise if Miami was undefeated going into the Finals.
Beyond the Heat, the East looks really bad right now.
anyway just quickly looking forward to sunday, i think that's a must win situation, as well. this game basically means nothing if they can't build on it in game 4 and put the bulls in the hole going back to chicago. as amazing as these last two games have been, if chicago wins on sunday, the series is back to even, and the bulls are back in the drivers seat, and that would just be a terrible outcome. there is no moral victory anymore. just playing the bulls tough is no longer acceptable. they need to win this. the bulls are wounded, the door is open, and i want to go to round 2.
This series is over.
No offense to all our Boston and Chicago fans, but I still not seeing anything from Chicago minus Rose, or from Boston, to reduce my skepticism about those teams trying to deal with Miami. Philly obviously has a real shot to win now, and if Smith can go in Game 4, I don't think Atlanta is dead, either.
I agree. As glad as I am that the Celtics pulled that one out, it was an uninspiring way to take out a Hawks team missing both Smith and Pachulia, especially with Ray Allen back (or partly back or whatever). If they can't find another gear they didn't show tonight, they're not going to have a chance against the Heat.
I like the Celtics to beat the Hawks, still, though I'm definitely not counting the Hawks out.
The question right now seems to be whether the Heat will need 4 or 5 games to take the ECF. Things do change in a hurry, though - we are all sometimes quick to change our judgments and expectations from game to game in the playoffs. You never know what's around the next corner, what might happen tomorrow.
Not that I think they'll win, but Indiana might give them some trouble before then.
Like I said before the playoffs, beating the Lakers will be a big deal to people emotionally as long as Kobe is wearing the uniform, but the team as it is at this moment is just a second-tier challenger, not much different in quality than the Pacers or the Clippers or the Grizzlies. The Lakers will probably win the series, but Denver had a pretty decent chance before it started and nothing has changed. If Denver wins Game 4, anything can happen in Game 5, or 7 if there is one.
Stuff that happened to the Lakers tonight:
serious trouble protecting the D glass
too many TOs
opponents packing the paint and the Lakers missing 3s
Has been happening all year.
By the way, before you say, "Well, there are more playoff games now," Robertson got his in 86 games, Wilt in 160, Bird in 164, and Kidd in 145. Rondo has his 7 in 75 playoff games, James in 95.
The Celtics struggled against the Hawks in 2008.
Sort of. But Boston won by 23, 19, 25, and 34 in that series. The fact that it went 7 meant a lot less than people thought it did. This ATL team is better than that one, but the Hawks had a pretty ragged group out there last night.
Basically, I think a lot of Boston and LAL fans are overrating their team's chances based on the names on the fronts and the backs of the jerseys (not here so much, but in general).
rose or no rose, noah or no noah, this was a game that the sixers would have lost two months ago.
Yes, I strongly agree with this. I expect both teams to lose in the first or second round.
I agree with this, but I also think that Philadelphia (as well as Chicago and maybe even Atlanta) has a decent shot at the ECF. I can see where Boston fans are coming from; they can get out of the bracket and they match up well in some ways with Miami. But I see Miami as a prohibitive favorite.
And I agree with you and tshipman about the Lakers. They are still a good team, with Sessions helping the O and Hill being a bit better than McRoberts. But Kobe is almost 34, Pau is almost 32 and they are thin overall. Bynum is very good, but he's not Shaquille O'Neal. OKC and SA just look better.
I also thought Boston had an outside shot coming into the playoffs, but this series against Atlanta has certainly given me pause. Smith, Horford, and Pachulia were out last night. And it was in Boston. And Ray Allen was back. That game should not have been close if Boston is going to make a serious run.
I cling to some hope based on how well I think the Celtics were playing late in the season, but at the moment I'm not taking anything for granted -- not this series, and not the next round either (if they get there), let alone whatever might happen after that should they get that far.
Edit: Griz-Clips, that is.
If it's contact with the other team. That's why I mentioned it was Brand he ran into. It was a pretty clear double dribble.
rose or no rose, noah or no noah, this was a game that the sixers would have lost two months ago.
Uh, Rose *or* Noah and the Sixers don't win that game last night.
Thibs is saying Noah is a gametime decision tomorrow, but he's not playing. I mean, not much more to say. #### happens, it just feels like it's all happened to the Bulls. Now Deng is talking about putting off his wrist surgery until after the Olympics (and is his right, and I don't fault him for wanting to play for England in London), but the recovery time is 3-4 months, which means he'll miss the beginning of next season too.
I'm not 100% sold on any Western team, and so a Lakers' run seems to me not at all out of the question.
Really? The Spurs and Thunder look like the 2 best teams, and I'm not sure the gap is that close to the next tier teams (Lakers/Grizz/Clips).
Yeah. Nothing's happened to NY. Just the Bulls. Cry me a river, Moses!
Sure. So are the Clippers. The Lakers are a "threat"--but not a serious contender.
Well, if Phil were still here, Fisher (10 points on 4/5 shooting tonight--Lakers message boards are all over Steve Blake right now) probably would be, too.
The main question about Phil right now is whether any of the Knicks-related rumors about him will actually turn out to have legs. I am guessing no, but we will see.
OKC within 1.
Fisher with the shot to put OKC up 3.
Yeah, no. I don't think the Clippers are a threat to beat OKC or SA. I think the Lakers are.
Based on what?
The Lakers are very poor at forcing turnovers, and not very good at avoiding them (Denver was #18 in that category--last night, they had 6. The Lakers had 15). On the season, they committed 252 more TOs than opponents. Sessions replacing Bryant as the primary ballhandler has helped, but it is still an issue. When you are playing good teams, you need to limit their possessions and value your own. They also have trouble protecting the D glass, as Kenneth Faried will attest.
They do not shoot 3s well. They were 26th in that category. SA was #1. OKC was #11. LAC was #12.
They overcome these issues to an extent with size and core talent; they shot .457 on the year, while the bad guys shot .437. They get a lot of ORBs, although they give up a few more. But these issues, as they were last night, are just basic limitations the team has, due to how it is constructed. When they hit 3s and avoid TOs, as they did in Game 1 of the Denver series, they are basically unbeatable. But they do not have the personnel or the coaching to do those things consistently.
OKC had the most turnovers in the NBA but committed only 142 more than opponents. SA committed the 3rd fewest in the league, 11 fewer than opponents. The Clippers, thanks to Paul, were #2 in TOV, and committed 87 fewer than opponents. This, as much as anything, is why they have given OKC some trouble.
The Clippers, if they are able to get by Memphis, are unlikely to get out of the next round themselves. They are banged up, they miss a lot of FTs, and their roster is not that strong. But I have not seen anything all year long or in post-season that makes me think the Lakers are on a different level than either the Clippers or the Grizzlies are.
The Lakers have probably the best big man left in the playoffs in Bynum, a Hall of Fame wing player in Bryant, plus Pau Gasol. Star C/G combo + another really good player is pretty much the definition of a title contender.
Plus the Lakers went 6-2 vs. OKC and SA during the season.
With post players like Bynum and Gasol, Bruce Weber could coach them and they still would be a threat. But more seriously, it would seem this is the type of team that would be the least effected by Zenny baby and his triangles. A second post player is often lost in that offense. That offense been more effective when the off ball high post guy just gobbles the boards.
OKC had the most turnovers in the NBA but committed only 142 more than opponents. SA committed the 3rd fewest in the league, 11 fewer than opponents. The Clippers, thanks to Paul, were #2 in TOV, and committed 87 fewer than opponents. This, as much as anything, is why they have given OKC some trouble.
The second ball handler is an issue for the Thunder. People have made a lot about Dallas losing Chandler, but how much better would the Mavs have looked with Stephenson hawking Harden on some of those isolation sets they were running at the end of the game tonight.
The Spurs are a tougher match for Clippers, but not impossible, they did win in San Antonio this year, the season series was about even (2-1 Spurs, with one a close overtime win and decisive win by each team). It is also possible the Spur's age and health issues catch up on them at some point in the playoffs, like last year.
The Clippers are going to play Paul a ton of minutes in the playoffs, which will cover up some of their weaknesses.
Correct. The LA teams, if they get through to RD 2, would have had a better shot at setting up the Hallway Series had the matchups spun the other way.
You may have looked at 2011 data here. Or you mixed up the Clippers and the Lakers. This year, OKC beat LAL pretty easily twice and the Lakers' only win against them was the Elbow Game. The Lakers' three games against SA were all late in the year. The Lakers beat the Spurs easily (Bynum's 30-rebound game) but then the Spurs manhandled the Lakers twice. The Clippers, OTOH, beat Oklahoma City three out of four, twice by double digits. They were 1-2vs SA, with one loss coming in OT.
I see Manny Coon already noted SA/LAC results. Did not look to see which if any of SA's big guns rested those games.
FWIW, there is really no such thing as an ugly playoff win for your favorite team. The 76ers won and they are up 2-1.
Not seeing it. Have you watched the Spurs and Thunder? Both going to sweep in impressive fashion. They're in another league over the rest of the west almost as definitively as Miami is in the east.
I think people are giving the Lakers too much credit based on past success. Yes, they won it all just two years ago. But they also got swept in the second round just one year ago. And this current team seems more on par with the 2011 squad than it does with the 2009-2010 team.
I love Blake Griffin. But c'mon.
Nothing has happened to the Knicks they didn't deserve.
With all due respect to Bulls fans, Memphis fan is probably a pretty hard guy to be right now.
If you lose to a VDN team, it's your own damn fault.
but i'm still choosing to view this as progress.
Yep, if you can't beat 'em, just pray they hurt themselves. And make sure you cheer the injuries.
With post players like Bynum and Gasol, Bruce Weber could coach them and they still would be a threat. But more seriously, it would seem this is the type of team that would be the least effected by Zenny baby and his triangles. A second post player is often lost in that offense. That offense been more effective when the off ball high post guy just gobbles the boards.
Who woulda thought Phil to the Knicks would finally be the bait to draw BL out of hiding? You've been silent the entire Larry Drew era, no?
Anyone else think Blake Griffin will be involved in an ugly incident sooner rather than later? He seems to have a chippy attitude and he stares people down after almost every dunk. Someone's going to get sick of it eventually.
I know what you mean.
Lakers fans, of course, have already been harping on it for months. It was inevitable that there would be a little anti-Clipper sentiment developing in various quarters as the year progressed. I would guess Memphis fans are not that fond of the Clips right now.
It makes me long for Charles Oakley and Anthony Mason.
Good to see you back, BL!
Also I have a unique perspective on the situation but perhaps I shouldn't say anything about it at all.
Is this the New York Niggers thing? I haven't read much about it, but would be interested.
Went to MEM-LAC yesterday and had a shockingly good time. I've never been to a non-Knicks NBA game and while Chris Paul is one of my favorite players I didn't think I'd get as much into the game as I did. I was also impressed by the crowd. I assumed that since the Clippers a.) weren't good until this year and b.) are the city's second team the fans would be a bunch of bandwagoners who didn't really care. I was very wrong. Most of the people I sat around seemed like Clippers lifers who were very much into everything and it was also the most diverse crowd I've ever seen at a major sporting event. While Blake was clearly the most popular player he was also the guy most everyone was frustrated with. Was impressed by the crowd's acknowledgment of his shortcomings and everyone seemed to recognize that CP3 was just on another level. Also, the Reggie Evans lovefest was awesome. Just had a really good time and am really impressed by Clippers fans.
I can't read this without picturing NJ writing Mushnick an email saying: "Your ideas are intriguing to me and I wish to subscribe to your newsletter."
I could see that. He also takes a pounding. He also went to Oklahoma, which naturally drops his moral compass down a few pegs.
Also I have a unique perspective on the situation but perhaps I shouldn't say anything about it at all.
Just read his comments, would be interested on hearing your htoughts.
I don't watch enough to know, but did this chippy behavior start before or after he started taking a pounding?
Would be interested to hear your perspective too. From where I'm sitting, I'm not usually big on PC policing, but this seems incredibly stupid and racist to me.
Unlikely. Being the first playoff game in the Paul/Griffin era, that was not exactly a typical game. There are a lot of people in LA and SoCal who don't want to root for the Lakers for whatever reason, may have sort of adopted the Clippers, and who have gotten into the Clippers more the last couple of years. There are also people who have had Clippers' tickets for a long time, because it is a way to watch the NBA without paying Lakers prices or supporting the Lakers (Simmons is a big-money example of this) but as is the case with Simmons, buying the tickets was not originally about the Clippers per se. There certainly are "Clippers Lifers" and you may have been sitting with some, but I have lived in SoCal for almost 40 years and have met very few people who self-identify as hard-core, life-long Clippers fans.
LA NBA crowds are ethnically diverse and pretty knowledgeable, however, particularly in the mid-range and cheap seats. Many Easterners who go to games at Staples say something along those lines and often express surprise when they do so. I say this having been to games in LA with people from Boston, Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee who made very or somewhat similar comments.
Huh? He used that word in print? Or he got caught saying it?
Not only should people get off Mushnick's case, there's a lot of truth in what he says. Jay-Z's made a nice living out of calling other people n's and the rest -- a lot of it for the entertainment of white people. No reason Jay-Z can't own that.
(*) Not sure how that's going since he said it ... but he did say it.
Just so everyone's clear, he said (paraphrasing), in the wake of the Nets' Jay-Z inspired rebranding, "As long as the Nets are going full Jay-Z why don't they go all-in and call the team the New York N_______ and call the cheerleaders the Brooklyn ####### and hos."
I'm not seeing the level of intricacy that SSB got from it but YMMV.
And not that anyone cares what I think, but it is fine with me if people want to talk about it. I find the complaining about "political threads" to be one of BTF's more tiresome memes. People who don't want to talk about it can go on talking about the playoffs.
As to the issue itself, I pretty much agree with a couple of things that Chris Rock has said on the issue--short, simplified version: depends on context, who, how, when, where, why. I also always think of Dick Gregory when this issue comes up. Rock has used on the N-word in his standup act in various ways. So, I think Mushnick is wrong and doesn't get it. YMMV.
If we've got "Hoes", I'm gonna go with "Bushes" and, let's see, "Nitrogen Fertilizers"--it's urban gardening, a hipster activity typical of Brooklyn!
but again, this was another game that the sixers would not have won 2 months ago.
i don't care about the bulls excuses (thinking about it, that's kind of a loaded word, so i'll just note that that's not meant to be a derogatory statement). i understand them, and i agree that this is a completely different series if the bulls were at full strength, but #### that, my team is winning, and i'm gonna enjoy it.
Nothing to say, but I just think all of STEAGLES' Bulls/76ers posts should have asterisks.
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