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If Bosh doesn't play, it means Miami beats Boston in 6 instead of 4-5.
I can just imagine what Steagles is thinking... maybe it's not Boston that's going to take advantage of all these injuries... maybe it's PHILLY... maybe... maybe...
i think the great thing about this postseason has been that the sixers are starting to pull some of these games out. they were 0-8 in games decided by 4 points going into the last week of the season, but since they beat indiana to clinch a postseason berth, they've gone 3-1 in such games.
i think they were 2-25 in games where they trailed going into the 4th quarter, but they pulled out wins in 2 of those games in the chicago series.
it's just a hell of a lot more fun to win these games, and if the team is winning them now against boston and chicago, i can't help but feel optimistic about what they'll be able to do next season (though in fairness, optimism about this team has never really been lacking for me).
Ditto.
also, andre iguodala was 2/7 from the FT line. i don't even have words for that. god knows how he pulled it together to make those FTs against the bulls.
I don't know - as a Celtics fan I still feel pretty confident as well. The Celtics will probably win one in Philly, and then it's 2 out of 3 with home court to the Celtics. Looks like it will take seven, though, either way. Everyone gets caught up in the most recent game in the playoffs.
Couple of frustrating calls there for a Celtics fan in the final minutes - the obvious traveling on Turner with about 2 minutes left when he scored was just a bad call, period. The Garnett offensive at the end was certainly a foul, but kind of made you go "well, he does that like 12 times per game, you're calling it now?" Please note that I am NOT saying these calls swung the game - just that I found them frustrating.
Good for the Sixers for closing it out though. Turner's reverse in the final minute was huge, as was that Holliday three. Big shots all around. Still, from Boston, I'm kind of shrugging and saying "yeah, we'll get 'em eventually". Maybe my confidence is misguided, we'll see.
*rolls eyes*
STEAGLES, you're a bigger homer than than the color guy "that guy with him" used to announce games with on CBS in the 80s.
Also, it annoys me that Reggie Miller has a job.
Down 2-0 heading into LA is a virtual lock.
also, before the tipoff of games 3 and 4 against chicago, i made mention of the fact that i felt that both games were must-win. but going back to philly tied 1-1 against boston, against a healthy boston, i don't really feel the same way. i think the sixers can go back to boston for game 5 tied 2-2 and still have a chance to win the series.
Isn't that just a ripoff of the Facebook page Sarah J Phillips scammed?
It has also occurred to me that maybe it's Indiana. With no Bosh, I think they can compete with Miami.
Since there was some disagreement about it earlier, I will clarify by saying that I would still pick Miami to win the East even if Bosh were guaranteed to miss the next this series and the next. But like Zach Lowe wrote today, it's "trickier." I think the other teams have a chance now, with Chicago gone and Bosh injured.
I don't blame you for feeling confident, either. Certainly a veteran team with a long track record of going far into the playoffs should expect to handle the Sixers, but after watching Game 1 I felt that the Sixers could not only compete, but beat the Celtics. With Paul Pierce somewhat gimpy, I feel like Iguodala should be able to contain him pretty well. Garnett is certainly going to have good games but I feel like it comes down to Rondo; if he plays like he did in Game 1 it's obviously going to be a problem.
I'll say this, I think the Celtics do have a better chance of winning 2-3 games off the Heat than the Sixers, who will be really lucky to win more than 1. However, I like the matchups against the Celtics and I think the Sixers have a decent shot at blowing them out at home.
P.S. I think the call on Garnett certainly gets ignored many times.
Celtics are scary because they know how to close out games. Just compare their clock management in the final seconds to what happened in game 1. Celtics took no time at all to commit the foul, and very little time off the clock to inbound the ball to Allen for a 3. They scored 6 points in the final 6 seconds which would have sent the game to OT if the Sixers had not hit all 4 of their free throws (no easy feat for a team that was 11-17 before the final seconds).
Pierce was 2-9 last night and not really a factor. It might be the injured knee, but I sure wouldn't put any money on that. I fully expect him, injured or not, to put up a 33 point game with 15 coming in the 4th quarter before this series is over. Ray Allen was a lot more aggressive than he had been so far in the playoffs, looking like he's stepping in to do what Pierce was not able to do. He hit 2 threes, but when the 3 wasn't there he took the ball to the basket. I haven't seen Allen do that in a while, and it seemed he was becoming more of a Steve Kerr-like specialist instead of a reliable scorer. Philly doesn't seem to have an answer for Garnett. Hawes doesn't have the vertical ability to challenge Garnett's shot. They did a pretty good job double teaming him and for the most part recovering on the passes.
But at the time he hears it he wouldn't know who it's on. He might have thought it was being called on his defender for being so brazen as to challenge him in his building, setting up a possible 4 point play.
Reporter: Can you guard them?
Kobe: Excuse me?
Reporter: Can you guard them? As a team?
Kobe: No.
Before the series, Kobe was asked how badly the lack of rest due to going 7 with Denver would hurt the team. He said, "It doesn't matter. We could rest for a year and we wouldn't be any faster."
Sounds like mind games, and probably a good tactic. The Thunder have always made an effort to stay focused on the short term and have kind of positioned themselves as underdogs. Kobe may be trying to get them out in front of themselves a bit.
I thought it was a good way to get a reporter to shut up. I think the reporter thought he could bait Kobe into an argument. Just giving him that answer gets him to be quiet.
Doubtful, IMO. I think he mostly just says what he thinks when he is in the mood, as much as a big name can at the podium. As I said, he has been making comments about how slow the Lakers are all year.
Anyway, I thought it was funny, but I do want to see the Lakers make a better showing in Game 2, even though it is clear--and was clear going in--that they have little chance of beating this team. I suspect Bryant knows that.
The post-objective pipe Kobe Bryant has been a revelation. He gives the best press conferences in the league these days, hands down. He's pithy, a touch prickly, but mostly not trying to sugar-coat the truth. It's really deepened my appreciation for the man.
This. Come to think of it...have Kobe Bryant and Brian Cashman ever been seen in the same room?
Think tonight's IND/MIA game will be very interesting.
Like I said, I think it was both. Kobe leads the NBA in both fallaway jumpers and in disdainful looks at reporters. But as Hombre and I have shown, this has been a theme with him all year.
The Lakers match up worse with OKC than with any other team, including Miami and San Antonio. I think Bryant knows that.
I really disagree with this. I saw the press conference. He was pissed by the stupidity of the comment. He was being sarcastic, not honest.
EDIT: The third answer, of course, is that there are at least three more games to play, so he's not going to tongue bath the Thunder when he and his guys are going to have to try and do exactly that — guard them — the entire rest of the series.
Trust me on this one: Bryant multi-tasks with those two adjectives. He could have poked the reporter in other ways.
I don't understand, to be honest. He had just finished answering questions with details about how they could guard better (e.g., guarding the pick and roll, weakside help, etc) and then the bozo asked his question, he paused and gets visibly angry and says, "no," despite the whole preceding conversation being about how they COULD guard them. I read him as sarcastic, and as Jimmy said, in a STFU way.
So optimistically, he'll be back for the second half or so of next season. Pessimistically, he misses the whole year. Ugh.
That stinks for you guys. I'll miss Shump next year.
You haven't been listening to him all year. To be clear, I am not saying Bryant deserves any props for his habit of short, honest soundbites, although it is entertaining at times.
I wouldn't worry. The Bulls will finish just barely in the lottery and get the #1 pick in the draft again, setting themselves up for a dynasty. Yes, I'm still bitter about Derrick Rose being on the Bulls in the first place.
I won't hold my breath.
Better yet, this one seemed to be born out of frustration for his flopping going unrewarded two trips earlier.
God, I don't know if I'm ready for STEAGLES to post about it in this thread.
If Kobe Bryant's whole career has been secretly Brian Cashman wearing platform shoes and face paint, that would be the greatest moment in sports history.
It is odd that they both seemed to discover the objective pipe around the same time. I wish more sports figures would similarly liberate themselves. I used to think that Rasheed's quotes could not be topped, but perhaps, one day, Kobe could get there.
It'll definitely be interesting to see if Paul George can bounce back from it.
Boris Diaw is having a hell of a game.
I've always wondered why people seem to think flopping is a recent epidemic; it's been the "properly" taught way to take a charge for as long as I can remember. As soon as someone makes contact in the lane, the defender is supposed to crash to the floor like he's been hit by a truck. These guys are like 6'8 and 250 pounds - they don't really go skidding across the ground every time a 190 pound point guard bumps them during a drive. But the officials will never call it if they don't. It was pretty much inevitable that flopping would evolve to become rampant in other situations as well.
Define "great D." They were only 10th in the league in Defensive Rating during the regular season (one spot above OKC, well behind BOS, PHI, and MIA). Maybe they're playing better D in the playoffs; I haven't watched them yet and I haven't looked at the stats. But if they have a weakness it may well be that, should they make it to the Finals, they will likely face a team that is significantly better defensively than they are.
Miami may get to the Finals without Bosh, but I am almost certain that they will have to have him to win the whole thing. If they don't have him, the OKC/SA winner gets the banner.
Agreed. Miami has been my pick the entire year, and I'm sticking with them as long as they're healthy. OKC has been my pick from the West the entire season, but I'm a little less confident about that now (but I'll stick with them, just for consistency's sake). Yeah, they're still undefeated too, but SA has just looked invincible so far. Every time the Jazz/Clips made a mini run and pulled within single digits, the Spurs would hit a couple 3's and the lead was back up to 12. It's like they can do it at will.
Maybe OKC is just as good or better and I just haven't watched their games as closely since they weren't playing my team. But SA has looked very, very good.
No, he'll just say "When we all anointed the Celtics and Heat the best in the East, what we all didn't realize was that the Heat have no Alpha Dog, and the Celtics had the Winners' Curse, and both teams were hurt by the shortened schedule (You're telling me LeBron doesn't get hurt? Come on. He's been playing every day for years! By the 47th minute of Game 6 it was obvious that he was dragging.), and Jrue Holiday is the world's new #1 Irrational Confidence Guy. And the Avery Bradley injury is the most tragic thing since Shaun Livingston. We were all going to see how great Avery Bradley really is. That killed this season like the Perk trade killed last season. And what we also all didn't realize was the Pacers have Leandro Barbosa. He's clearly this season's J.J. Barea. Dare I say ... en fuego?"
I agree with all that - I was more interested in his comments about taking charges leading to injury. A 230 lb. guy crashing into you at near full speed 40 times a year (drawing a charging foul on 10 or so of them or whatever) while you're standing still as a statue does seem like a good way to get nagging back issues. He was talking about the baseball version of outfielders crashing into walls - sure it's great to get that out, but would you trade the out for not having your star player miss 15 games? Yeah.
Yeah, it doesn't seem worth it, does it? Problem is, the players who sacrifice their bodies to make great defensive plays are considered "gritty" and get lots of praise for it. And rightfully so, for the most part. But I also completely understand and agree with Kobe's point that in the long run it may do more harm than good for your team for a key player to consistently try and take charges. There's certainly a place in the game for the "hustle" type of players who come off the bench and take a charge (Jarron Collins was this player for the mid 2000's Jazz), but I wouldn't want my teams star players doing it very often. I don't consider Kobe a diva or anything for not being willing to do it.
Did I just defend Kobe? Dammit...
Has anyone ever considered anyone a diva for not taking a charge?
As to why it's an issue now, I'm not sure. I do feel that every year you see fewer and fewer guys actually challenging shots and drivers and are instead settling for trying to draw charges. And it's creeper further and further away from the basket, to the point that the offensive player doesn't even have to be making a move towards the basket and could simply be curling off a screen.
It would be tough to really put Kobe's theory to the test. I don't know of any quote or source that states Bird's back injury was due to taking charges. My memory is not good enough to remember how many charges Bird has taken or how many that Jordan was taking in relation to the league. Historical information on charges taken is sparse, and even new means of tracking have problems getting it correct. For instance, there is a dearth or reliable sources for 2010-2011 charges taken. I presume that HoopData has accurate numbers for all other seasons on their CHG column. If so, we can use it to get more information about Kobe's assertion (hereinafter, the "Mamba Hypothesis"). If HoopData has bad data or CHG has a different meaning, then please ignore the rest of this post
By my count, the five oldest players in the league are Kurt Thomas, Grant Hill, Juwan Howard, Jason Kidd and Steve Nash. Their charges taken from 2007-2012 (minus the 2010-2011 season) are:
Thomas -89
Hill-121
Howard-41
Kidd-67
Nash-206
compared to Mamba at 48.
Of the geezers, only Juwan Howard has taken less total charges over the five season sample. If you look at the PER40 minute rate, he still takes more having the following rates
2006/2007- 0.34
2007/2008-0.68
2008/2009 - 0.18
2009/2010 -0.34
2010/2011 - NA
2011/2012 -0.21
Compared to Mamba at:
006/2007- 0.25
2007/2008-0.10
2008/2009 - 0.10
2009/2010 -0.15
2010/2011 - NA
2011/2012 -0.03
That would seem to indicate that Juwan isn't trying to avoid a lot of charges; he just plays less. His playing less seems more related to deterioration from skills that don't necessarily involve his having taken too many charges.
Moreover, the amount of charges do not seem to directly correlate to total career longevity or the amount of games played. Steve Nash has taken a crapton of charges and through 2010-2011 had played in 1090 games. He only has two seasons where he played less than 60 games and both of those occurred early in his career, and not during the crapton charge interval shown above. (By comparison, Shane Battier has taken 30 less charges during the same five year interval, and Battier is the poster boy for taking charges).
If we want to keep a watch on this, here are the top 10 charge takers this year:
DeMarcus Cousins
Jose Juan Barea
Marcin Gortat
Ersan Ilyasova
Kyle Lowry
Blake Griffin
Kemba Walker
Nicolas Batum
Brandon Knight
John Wall (tied)
Thaddeus Young (tied)
There are some young guys in this list. We can partially test the Mamba Hypothetical in future years by seeing if they break down more frequently compared to a random group of NBA players. (Personally, I would exclude Griffin b/c his game seems more likely to cause injury from other acts).
Nevertheless, I will give Mamba credit for this-- in the past, his unwillingness to take charges may not have had a net effect. He was still able to force turnovers by creating steals (at about twice the rate of Nash). However, over the last two years, his steal rates are dropping. He is not as effective at creating turnovers as he was in the past. That would be a valuable skill in this series.
No, but it is like a RB running out of bounds rather than engaging the defender. There is a time and place when it is appropriate. If you do it all the time you look soft.
And it's creeper further and further away from the basket, to the point that the offensive player doesn't even have to be making a move towards the basket and could simply be curling off a screen.
That is probably because screening is becoming more liberal. You have players moving with their screens like its a flag football game. KG uses offensive linemen techniques.
I do feel that every year you see fewer and fewer guys actually challenging shots and drivers and are instead settling for trying to draw charges.
The average number of charges taken per player in the league over the same Mamba-adjusted period cited above is:
0607 11
0708 9
0809 9
0910 9
1011 NA
1112 7 (adjusting to 82 games is about 8.7)
For blocks its,
0607 23
0708 23
0809 23
0910 23
1011 22
1112 20 (adjusting to 82 games is about 24.8)
Looking at those numbers, the only conclusion I can draw is that 2006 is the first year that Anderson Varejao was a regular.
I don't know. But if players who do are praised for it, then it wouldn't surprise me if some critics might call players who don't selfish for not being willing to take one for the team, etc, etc.
Edit: Or, what Backlasher said in 977.
Well, he is pushing 34 and is in his 16th season in the NBA.
As I have noted a few times, the Lakers are dead last in the league in forcing TOs, and had a -200 or so in that caterory. They are old in spots, slow, and lack disruptive defenders. OKC had the most TOs in the NBA but had only four on Tuesday. This is one of many reasons OKC is a hopeless matchup for them.
He's since corrected the one tweet, saying it's not called the GM Committee.
I agree. Its Kobe's choice what to do with his body. I am not making a political statement. The only time I'll talk about Roe v. Wade on this forum is if Delvon makes a comeback and has a great game versus the Heat.
What is interesting is the Mamba Hypothesis on whether taking charges can have a negative effect on your career. Expanding the Mamba Hypothesis is whether it can have a greater effect on your career than other high impact activities like:
(1) Throwing oneself into defenders trying to draw a file.
(2) Unnecessary high impact jumps for showmanship.
(3) Running into a lot of screens.
(4) Playing tight cover defense.
(5) High Rebound Rates
My initial thoughts are that it would be less debilitating than other activities. When you take charges, you control and can absorb the impact. I would hypothesize that you get more charges from the 200 lb size guards than you do the 250+ front-court players.
When you throw yourself into defenders, it would seem you get a lot more targeted impact to the joints, hands and head. I'm on record about item 2 with all my past comments on Oden, so I will not bore this audience by repeating them. Many of the screens are from contact with other players that are probably bigger. The NBA is increasingly allow those screens to be blinder and blinder. I really have never thought about the latter two items until now.
What is the career span of the "energy" players? I can recall the outliers such as the great career from Rodman; however, what does the future hold for a Faried. When I think about some of the association changing injuries, I think about Bernard King giving a foul to Reggie Theus.
If you are setting for a charge, you are on the ground and with support. The only real issue is guarding your gonads.
Barea doesn't actually "take charges." He bodies his man when he has the ball 30 feet from the hoop, then flails wildly backward at the first contact. He does this every game until it gets called. It is awesome.
The Spurs have obviously been better than most of KG's teams, but those numbers aren't anything special for Duncan. Garnett averages 20, 10.4, 4.1 in 50 games against SA.
I enjoyed it, but laughed at this from the first point:
They forgot this face, which is the most common nowadays...(I like the guy, I'm just sayin').
why does Kobe get the Babe of the Day?
Didn't he wear those Dwyane Wade tights for a while some years back? Sexy...
This can also apply at a personal level. Good shot blockers also tend to not take a lot of charges. Of the 15 players that took 2 or less charges, only five of those players also blocked less than the league average of 34 shots (Boozer, Marcus Thorton, Beastley, Roddy buckets, Mamba, and Thabo). OF those guys, only Beastley was less than league average in steals. The only players that blocked more than 50 shots and had more than the league average of charges taken were Marc Gasol, Josh Smith, Marcin Gortat, Tyson Chandler, Joel Anthony, DeMarcus Cousins, Kris Humphries, Nic Batum, John Wall and Paul Millsap.
The reverse is not true for the steals leaders. OF the top 20 steals players, only five are also below the league average in charges taken (Westbrook, Brandon Jennings, Tony Allen, Jrue Holiday, Rudy Gay)
NOTE: All averages are based on populations of players with 40+ games and 20+ minutes per game.
Bird was a good pick.
The suits. The guy wears awesome Italian suits.
Zach Lowe brings up a good point in comparing the Wade flagrant to the Jason Smith on Blake Griffin one. After reading that, I'm convinced the league should have suspended Wade a game (they've announced they're not going to).
And yet, nothing from Simmons yet, 958/972.
I think it's pretty much a lock that we will. Either LA team should feel pretty proud of themselves if they can extend their series beyond 5.
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