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I thought of this reading Moses' post. There is no question that coaching and fit matter a lot in the NBA, but I am still in many respects a "it mostly comes back to the talent" guy, and the fact that Del Negro is coaching a team that has won 17 in a row while a Thibodeau team struggles (Doc Rivers' team is struggling, too) reminds me of why I feel that way. So did the fact that Mike Brown lost in the same round of the playoffs in 2012 that Phil lost in in 2011. It is obviously more complex than that; the coach and the talent have to fit as well and the coach makes meaningful decisions about the talent. It might be, for example, that Charlotte would be even worse than they are with VDN and VDN just works on a team a with Paul, Griffin et al. And maybe VDN has grown as a coach. But the Clippers have Paul, Griffin, and a great bench. That is pretty much what it is, I think. Guys coaching in the NBA may do certain things that we really, realy think are dumb, but they are mostly not "idiots" who ruin everything as angry fans (not thinking of people here) sometimes say they are.
Anyway, that's a long-winded way of me saying that it seems natural that the coaching ranks will become more competitive over time.
I think, robin, you might be overstating things slightly. Phil Jackson, to name one guy, may have had Jordan, Pippen, Kobe, Shaq, Pau Gasol, etc., at exactly the right times in their career. There were other coaches who had those guys who didn't win any championships. Dennis Rodman comes to mind as a guy who won a couple titles for a great coach, kicked around the league a while and played on some talented teams but didn't win and was a huge problem child, then went to play for another great coach and helped them become one of the greatest teams of all time. That's not coincidence.
There are also several examples of legitimately great players who were on terrible teams. The Kareem Lakers, pre Magic, were pretty mediocre. Wilt played on some bad teams. The Dwyane Wade-Pat Riley combo famously won a title together and also finished in the lottery together.
Kobe -- I used to be a pretty big hater.
The future can actually change the past: I used to argue that Pau Gasol was as valuable/more valuable than Kobe in those title years, and that Pau should have been the MVP over Kobe when they beat the Celtics. I think the evidence did (and obviously still does) point to that, but it seems so bizarre and wrong to make that argument anymore. Similarly, I used to argue that Kobe is not even among the top 2 Lakers guards. His durability and longevity are such that it becomes impossible to argue West over Kobe anymore, IMO. It's more than just a peak/career thing, too -- the magnitude of what Kobe is doing just makes it seem like he must be an innately greater player.
Utterly remarkable win for the Sixers, and some befuddling late-game moments. This thread started with Steagles making an off-the-cuff remark about Holiday being MVP. He's not, obviously, and no one took it seriously, but he could be the most underrated player in the league right now.
Perhaps. But OTOH, Phil lost in the 2nd round w.o Jordan and was 34-31 w.o Jordan and Grant the next year. He did great work with those teams, but w.o Jordan they could only go so far. He had decent teams, but nothing more than that, in 2006 and 2007, when the Lakers team was basically Kobe and Odom. The pre-Magic Lakers rosters around Kareem were pretty weak.
I said in the post that coaching and fit are obviously important. But talent 1-9 ultimately matters more, IMO, in terms of contending for a title. Put it this way: I would certainly rather have an elite roster and an OK coach than the reverse. I don't think many people believe that Scott Brooks and Erik Spoelstra are geniuses.
As to the 2013 Lakers, they are 15-16 and the next five games are:
"at" LAC
DEN
at SA
at HOU
OKC
Tonight's loss was huge; if they go, say 1-4, over the next five, which is certainly quite possible, it is hard to say what will happen after that.
If you told me that the C's and Lakers would have nearly identical records about 30 games in, I would have assumed the Celtics had gotten off to a better than expected start. Records aside, though, the Celtics have been handily outscored on the season (unlike the Lakers) and may not have the talent to get out of the first round of the playoffs (perhaps unlike the Lakers, though being in the West makes that a taller order for them).
Curious what Ainge will do if the Celtics have a losing record on January 15, which seems fairly likely.
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