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They are an easy target.
When you illegally assassinate American citizens, destroy the economy, and inflate the debt, you aren't in particularly good position to criticize those who have merely destroyed the economy and inflated debt.
Forget it, he's rolling.
Step away from the alcohol.
I'm curious to see the extent to which that small bump was a result of the RNC being poorly produced, Romney or just the new normal. If the race continues deadlocked or at D+1, then I was wrong about Romney's bump being small and about the RNC. If Obama swings back up to around 3, then it appears that small bumps are the new normal. If Obama swings up to around +5, then to me, that's attributable to a better produced convention. If Obama swings up significantly higher than that, i.e. +7-+9 (not likely), then I am guessing it has to do with Romney's personality.
This is probably not that interesting to the rest of the board, but I felt like I had to document my thinking.
Edit: Also, I decided to let go snapper's reply re: natural rights. I think he's massively wrong in a fundamentally Protestant way, but I am quite sure that no one cares, as opposed to being only mostly sure that no one cares about convention bumps.
Unless there's some kind of hidden history we're unaware of, that is just plain brick-stupid.
Better Know a District is the best piece of political journalism conducted today. I watched that last night and almost died laughing. I'm just afraid that Nancy Pelosi is going to tell D's to stay away again. Only time I've ever written a letter to a congressperson was when Nancy said that congresscritters could go on BKAD again, so I wrote to thank her.
If you stuck around until the interview, Colbert likewise eviscerated Reihan Salam.
I'm certain there are other people on this board more qualified to speak to this, but it strikes me that it could be hard to parse out the DNC and the Friday jobs report.
The National Debt passed 16 trillion dollars the day before the Democratic Convention opened, and the unemployment report comes out the day after it closes. If the unemployment announcement is more bad news, I suspect any bounce would be short-lived as the economic numbers sink in.
This wasn't really news to anyone.
Does the actual jobs report affect polling? Obviously, the economy / number of employed/unemployed affects polling, but I always assumed it was on a more personal level: people develop their own sense of how the economy is doing based on their own personal lives. Are my friends and neighbors losing their jobs and having trouble finding new ones? Are there real people who would change their opinion of Barack Obama if the reported unemployment rate falls from 8.3% to 8.1%, or would a fall in the unemployment rate from 8.3% to 8.1% be indicative that people are getting jobs and seeing their friends and neighbors getting jobs and it's that personal-level observation that might drive people to re-evaluate their opinion of President Obama? I hope that rambling makes sense.
Did any Dem delegates go to non-Obama individuals? I've been hoping that Vermin Supreme would sneak one out.
There were a few places where fringe candidates received enough votes to get delegates, but the state parties found ways to disallow them.
I also think that it was funny that Colbert went down to DC to do the interview. The Congresswoman's district is in Brooklyn.
Are the two of you confused as to why a statist who wants to control the private economy for the benefit of the state is a fascist? I may give you a hard time about being a roadie for Metallica and looking like M Emmet Walsh, Lassus, but I think you know why freedom lovers call statist cheerleaders fascists.
If you don't, let me know, as I'd be happy to shine the Nieporent signal into the gloomy night sky.
I will say that I look forward to jdbkaput presenting a very serious, thoughtful, argument that has never been made in such detail or with such care that Bill Clinton's politics are well-defined as "fascist".
I'll let him take it away, but I'll spot him one - did you know that Hitler was a vegetarian? From this, the entire edifice of social democracy as an originally anti-fascist ideology comes crumbling down.
on the other hand, when sentient human beings speak of fascism, they tend to be referring to the fact that fascists committed one of the most gruesome mass-genocides in human history.
No one outside of a few junkies pays attention to job reports. It would take a massively bad report (i.e., actual loss of private non-farm), or a massively good report (250K plus), to move the needle. No one pays attention to reports that come in around expectations (100K-200K).
Coke to 817.
Please explain. We could use a good laugh.
It's too bad she wasn't tapped as the first Native American keynote speaker. :)
Jeez, how disloyal. You think loyal soldier Krauthammer would have used his weather 8-ball to let W know when Katrina was coming. He needs to use those powers for good.
Um. What?
If Warren were running for Senate in Oklahoma, no one would bat an eye about the Cherokee thing, btw. This is the current head of the Cherokee Nation. So it drives me crazy that because Harvard Law was racist and didn't want to hire female people of color, and used her as an excuse not to, that she's taking #### about the fact that she's actually Cherokee. Of course, if she were running in Oklahoma, she'd be lucky to pull 40%.
Meet Elizabeth Warren:
Oh, and don't forget her "contributions" to "Pow Wow Chow," available at amazon.com: http://www.amazon.com/Pow-Wow-Chow-Collection-Civilized/dp/9996688445.
But claiming that liberals are "hypocrites" on choice sort of misses the point; their stance on other issues doesn't originate from hypocrisy, but in the fact that "pro-choice" is simply a euphemism for pro-abortion. They just try not to say what the "choice" is.
Both of these comments miss the point; I'm not dismissing the earlier-named leftist ideas as wrong because of their vintage (they're wrong for other reasons); I'm simply pointing out that holding them is hardly advocating "progress."
Well then, what would be progress? Building casinos on the moon?
Again, see the list in 785. Do you like the company we're keeping? How about most of the rest of the civilized world.
Just speaking for myself, I perform at least 6 or 7 a day, but most of those have the mother's consent.
Wow, I never thought of it that way. Is that the first time a political entity has couched their position in a euphemistic way? Maybe the Republicans aren't really pro life, as many support the death penalty. Maybe they are really anti-abortion.
And when it comes down to it, pro abortion isn't as accurate as anti abortion. When a woman get's pregnant, the pro lifers say "Don't get an abortion" That's pretty clearly anti-abortion. On the other hand, a pro choicer doesn't say "get an abortion", they say "if you want to get an abortion, you can". It's less clear that that position is pro abortion. If you want, you can characterize their position as "pro abortion to be legal under certain circumstances", but that's a lot to put on a bumper sticker.
Say that a hospital institutes a program under which sterilization procedures are stepped up and in-hospital infections drop. This is of course progress because the germ theory of disease is right and lowering the rate of preventable infections is good. It's progress toward a lower rate of harm done by hospital stays, by medical errors, and so on. The moment in time when the germ theory of disease was first theorized or demonstrated is completely irrelevant to the question of "progress".
We can find attacks on the system of legal slavery in the Mediterranean world dating from at least the 4th century CE (Gregory of Nyssa), and I'm sure there are other examples all over the place. When slavery was abolished in the US in the 19th century, this was progress because slavery is wrong and its abolition is good. The 14-plus century gap between the invention of the idea that slavery is bad and the abolition of slavery doesn't mean that this doesn't quality as "progress". It means that it takes a long time for good ideas to be implemented in an effective way.
Your confusing David's attempt to piss off liberals with a serious argument.
Just speaking for myself, I perform at least 6 or 7 a day, but most of those have the mother's consent.
George Carlin: "I'm not pro-choice; I'm pro-abortion. I believe all people, men and women, should be legally required to have at least two abortions per year, even if they're sterile homosexuals who have no genitals. [Pause] It's a rather extreme position, I realize... "
While acknowledging the obvious truth of dp's 851, I'd go one further and say they're not only not truly "pro-life," they are anti-sex, as many of them oppose contraception as well. (Cue snapper lecturing me on how I've got it all wrong, and that it's not sex that's the problem, but non-procreative extramarital/premarital sex. Provided there's no masturbation or sodomy involved in the foreplay to said sex, of course...)
These are political positions having to do with how a legal code is organized. The question that people are arguing about is whether abortion should be against the law, or not.
16th century idea. Copernicus.
But Copernicus himself is a 15th century idea (born in 1473).
Worst thing about last night's convention: It was competing with the NFL's opening night.
Consolation prize about the worst thing: Neither Dallas nor New York is located anywhere near a swing state.
Yeah, but he came of age in the 16th.
Woah! Let's not let them get away with this 'anti-abortion' dodge!
They are anti-freedom, anti-sex, pro-torture* and in most cases pro-rape. If we are going to demand honesty in labelling, let's do it on both sides!
*That is what forcing a woman to go through an unwanted pregnancy amounts to
Honestly it seems to be done to name call and distract because one has nothing better to say, but it is still more than a little feeble.
For example Fascism is (among other things) known to be extremely nationalistic. It is kind of a defining characteristic in fact. But the same folks calls Liberals fascists also spend much effort painting Liberals as Anti-US, going on world apology tours, planning for the UN to take over as part of a new world order and so on.
Might I suggest name calling us statists and authoritarians. Those terms at least are a bit more rooted in reality, but I do recognize they lack the cache of Fascism. Just trying to help lend some credibility to the name calling.
I think the ad hoc change to the Party Platform was weak and embarassing. Not a hugely important thing, but still a bad misjudgement. And note I am not taking a position on the party platform one way or another, but changing it at the last minute throguh a voice vote (and clearly without getting their ducks in a row) was a really bad idea and displayed a weakness and sense of panic I don't think was justified.
Collectivists is the best and most descriptive term, but it drives Andy nuts.
The essence of modern liberalism is that the collective has the first claim on our talents, ambitions, dreams (*), accomplishments, and money.
(*) Unless the dream is to obtain a late-term abortion, of course, but that aside ....
These are almost as stupid, as they make the typical libertarian error of assuming that the absence of state power equals the absence of authority, and the presence of freedom. Corporate power, unrestrained by the state, is equally capable of tyrannizing people. The Libertarian conception of power was articulated by elite businessmen and intellectuals as a response to feudal and religious power, and it hasn't evolved much since then.
Except when it comes to anything sexual. Then the individual has radical autonomy.
It's an odd cognitive dissonance. Especially since the collective desperately needs more young workers to shore up the welfare state. Liberals should be wildly pro-natalist.
That's essentially correct, if you replace "collective" with "corporation." Your inability to understand how power actually operates does not negate its operation. It's a descriptive rather than prescriptive position, and recognizes that the state is there to protect individuals from the operation of unrestrained private power.
We are, for those who wish to be.
Who knows? Someday they might be, since their philosophy is to simply lurch from this enthusiasm to that.
Look how dumb you are.
Then why don't you follow the same logic on other issues?
Why not socialized medical insurance, or social security for those "who wish to be" included?
So who protected the actually talented and qualified from Harvard's exercise of its private power to give Elizabeth Warren a job and tenure because she was part-"Cherokee"?
I also note that when I advocated for a far stricter ethic of consent and consent-certainty in sex, snapper opposed it. Sexual ethics are extremely important to me, and to a lot of other folks on the left. It's just that our sexual ethics involve a different set of values and restrictions.
Do you get the tinfoil from Costco or is delivered straight from the factory?
You're babbling again.
Your "ethic of consent" involved branding misunderstandings as criminal, and applying different standards of consent and criminality based on the sex of the person.
My sexual ethic doesn't propose criminalizing anything that isn't already criminal.
Sure it is stupid, but I would argue much less so. Libeals do believe in the efficacy of the state and suggest that the state needs a certain amount of authority to do its job. You can build a narrative (though a dumb one) where Liberals are authoritarians, but you can't really for Liberals are Fascists.
Collectivists? No, that is more in the Communist and Socialist wheelhouse. Liberals tend to believe in the interdependence of things and because of that interdependence there needs to be occasional collective action taken (ususally by the state), but I don't think the base drive is to collectivise.
Research roundup
Some of the money quotes
The Effects of Negative Political Campaigns: A Meta-Analytic Reassessment
(study limited to Democratic candidates in U.S. Senate and Gubernatorial elections from 2002 to 2006)
A Framework for Dynamic Causal Inference in Political Science
(The only targeted ads that had measurable affects were those directed at parents, and even then they were roughly 15 times as expensive [measured by influence on likely turnout] as door to door get out the vote efforts.
Variability in Citizens’ Reactions to Different Types of Negative Campaigns
The Implicit and Explicit Effects of Negative Political Campaigns: Is the Source Really Blamed?
Do Voters Perceive Negative Campaigns as Informative Campaigns?
Comparing Negative and Positive Campaign Messages: Evidence From Two Field Experiments
The Role of Candidate Traits in Campaigns
The Seeds of Negativity: Knowledge and Money”
When Does Negativity Demobilize? Tracing the Conditional Effect of Negative Campaigning on Voter Turnout
The Influence of Tone, Target and Issue Ownership on Political Advertising Effects in Primary Versus General Elections
A Negativity Gap? Voter Gender, Attack Politics, and Participation in American Elections
The Mass Media and the Public’s Assessments of Presidential Candidates, 1952-2000
Did I say you did? I'm talking about the general viewpoint of the left. Of course there are individuals that have different nuances. Hell, there are even a few pro-life leftists.
But, IIRC, you still believe in a version of radical sexual autonomy. You just believe that people have to be stone cold sober, and hyper-communicative, to exercise autonomy.
Or, do you believe there is some sexual conduct that is wrong, regardless of consent? Correct me if I'm wrong.
You believe in radical sexual autonomy for women. I'm not sure that's an improvement over radical sexual autonomy generally.
Do gays have to sign the form at each stage, too? If so, who signs?
We do. Liberals want to allow choices, to give opportunity. Thus we want to provide access to healthcare, so people have the opportunity to avail themselves of it. We want people to have the opportunity to retire with enough money and security to have reasonable choices. Liberal programs tend to be about providing access to those who need it.
I agree that in order to ensure the ability to provide that access collective actions (taxes, health insurance mandates) need to be taken. It is all about the complex task of governance where there are competing interests, rights and responsibilities. Not everyone wants everything (some folks don't want to pay taxes), but every society in history has mandates and a social contract everyone is expected to follow.
I view the base drive as more of an "overindulgent mother" mindset.
The leftist view is that people are never at fault for their bad outcomes, and society should always bail them out of trouble. Criminals are criminal because of "root causes" not because they're venal or evil. Poor people are always victims of circumstance, never laziness and stupidity, and have to be supported in a near-middle class lifestyle, by the rest of us. No one is ever to be made to suffer for their bad choices, if a sufficient amount of taxpayer money can alleviate that suffering.
But, you don't just want to provide access. You want to provide good outcomes, regardless of the decisions of the people.
If you wanted to provide access, you'd be for voluntary health insurance pools, and a voluntary retirement savings system. Perhaps they'd be subsidized, but they wouldn't be mandatory and hugely redistributive. And, they would allow people who failed to plan to suffer for it.
The guy that drops out of high school, gets addicted to drugs, refuses to work, engages in criminality, and fathers a bunch of children who he doesn't support, still gets benefits under your system.
I'm all for helping those who are trying, but if you do wrong and stupid things, you need to pay the consequences.
There have been hundreds of posts by Liberals here on this (extended) political thread. I would love some cites that back up this view.
I for one believe that there is a level of subsistence (education, housing, food, healthcare and so on) that society can and should provide for all its citizens. How that becomes "Poor people are always victims of circumstance" or "No one is ever to be made to suffer for their bad choices" is a complete mystery to me.
It is true that poor people should only be allowed to fall so far and no farther, and they should always have the opportunity for themselves and especially their children to better themselves.
it is also true that people should not be punished unecessarily for their choices - for example having sex should not result in one of the people having that sex being forced to carry an unwanted baby to term. Preventing unneeded consequences is not the same as claiming immunity to bad choices, and it is silly to think other wise.
Do you get the tinfoil from Costco or is delivered straight from the factory?
Let's hope he got it from Costco, since their CEO carved right through that sort of pidgin wingnut rhetoric in his speech last night.
Yeah, but it is currently legal to exercise that sexual autonomy. So either you also approve of it, or you are in fact proposing to criminalize something that isn't already criminal.
I believe the point Mikael is making, is that you can't have it both ways.
Let's hang the #############!
Yes, the whole purpose is to provide for everyone. Even people who make bad decisions. The idea is that a higher floor provides people with the ability to recover from bad decisions. This is good for society, as it encourages dynamic risk taking and innovation.
You have to remember that for fundamentalist Catholics, recognizing that there's such a thing as spousal rape constitutes a huge step toward radical sexual autonomy.
No we want to provide access. Access to health insurance pools is meaningless. Access to healthcare is what matters to people. We want to provide access to healthcare, which in our current system means affordable access to health insurance, but the insurance is a means to an end and not an end itself.
Both the other examples speak to the idea of a safety net. In our society you can fall so far and no farther and we will help you climb up again. People are important. They are valuable. The children and other vulnerable members of our society need the safety net and the people around them to have that net as well. So we have some things that are madated to provide that net.
If we could provide the net without mandating anything and for free we would. But we can't, so we make choices, because providing the net is worth the costs.
How do you know?
Why? Everyone freaking knows that's a potential consequence of sex. It's not "punishment"; that's sex working as designed.
If you don't want to have or father a baby (and I fully favor equal rights and responsibility for both parents, and the state enforcing paternal responsibility), you know damn well which activities to avoid.
To my mind, both the man and women have accepted the potential responsibility when they have sex. If the guy doesn't want to be on the hook for 18 years of support, he knows what not to do. If the women doesn't want to have/raise a child, likewise.
Speaking only for myself (and I personally identify as a member of the "base"): I think that the safety net has an inescapable moral component, and that poverty can and should be eliminated wherever possible. Thus, a strong safety net ought to include universal, single payer health care (or at least a public option buy-in for Medicare), significant support for retirees, children and the disabled, universal low-cost/free access to higher education, and generous unemployment benefits for those who find themselves between jobs. In an advanced economy, no person should die from hunger, treatable disease, or involuntary exposure to the elements. There simply isn't a good reason for it, and if there is, I'd like to hear it.
These policies seem to have the happy consequence of improving the function of markets; better educated citizens who don't fear homelessness with their next disease or firing are more likely to work as rational actors in the marketplace. They are more likely to take risks, less likely to engage in criminal behavior, and more likely to be generally productive members of society.
It puzzles me also that anything there should be radical or an imposition.
It also puzzles me that anyone thinks anything past that is anyone's business but those involved.
How do you know?
To be fair to snapper, I believe that sort of market solution would fall into Mr. Nieporent's department.
Yeah, but it is currently legal to exercise that sexual autonomy. So either you also approve of it, or you are in fact proposing to criminalize something that isn't already criminal.
I believe the point Mikael is making, is that you can't have it both ways.
Wrong. I don't think everything legal is moral, or everything immoral should be illegal.
In many cases, the effects of criminalizing something would be worse than the effects of the immorality itself.
? The issue is that liberals claim to be "progressives." And yet they are trumpeting centuries-old ideas.
####, there isn't cotton candy at the end. I heard there was cotton candy and cigarette smoking.
This is nonsense. It removes the salutory effects of fear from the equation. People need fear. It shapes us, drives us, forces us to do things we otherwise couldn't or wouldn't do, allows us to achieve things we otherwise couldn't achieve. Removing the fear of suffering the consequences of failure breeds weakness and complacency, not risk taking or innovation.
Necessity is the mother of invention, not welfare checks.
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