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Tuesday, September 11, 2018

OTP 2018 September 10: Former executive Neil McMillan reflects on a long career in baseball, politics and mining

Neil McMillan never made it to the big league, but that hasn’t stopped the former politician, financier and mining executive from blaming his success on the time he spent on the pitcher’s mound all those years ago.

“The real difference in my career … has been a function of my attitude, and it starts out as a willingness or a drive to risk failure,” said McMillan, who recently retired from his last job as chairman of the uranium miner Cameco Corp.

Politics was something of a second choice for McMillan, after a physician ended his lifelong dream of flying for the Snowbirds.

After Trudeau-hating voters turfed him out of office — the alternative would have have been to jump ship and run as a Conservative, an idea he wasn’t prepared to indulge — McMillan spent almost two decades working in finance, as a broker.

(As always, views expressed in the article lede and comments are the views of the individual commenters and the submitter of the article and do not represent the views of Baseball Think Factory or its owner.)

Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 11, 2018 at 08:06 AM | 1379 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: canada, off topic, politics

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   301. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:36 AM (#5742842)
   302. BDC Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:36 AM (#5742843)
Russia had their eyes on the port of Bar as a forward naval base


The Game never ceases. Once the Kremlin has its warm-water port their dreadnoughts will dictate terms to the other Great Powers, you betcha.
   303. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:37 AM (#5742844)
   304. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:39 AM (#5742845)
NEW POLL: The only thing red state Democrats risk by voting against Brett Kavanaugh is pumping up their base.


But... but...
   305. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:41 AM (#5742846)
More of two-fisted Donald Trump's solemn 9/11 patriotism and perspective:
Donald Trump to Bloomberg News:
“The advantage we have is, I am actually a very popular president, which people don't like to say, you know. In fact, I guess the Republican poll came out, there's one at 92 and one at 93 and one at 90, and they're the highest numbers that have ever been, with the exception of a tiny period of time with a bullhorn. But that period lasted for about a week.”
CNN:
Imagine my poll numbers if I had an attack like 9/11, Trump is clearly insinuating.
   306. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:46 AM (#5742849)
with the exception of a tiny period of time with a bullhorn


Come on, mad respect for this description of 9/11. Who says conservative aren't funny?
   307. You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:47 AM (#5742850)
I think I heard Dilbert swooning.
   308. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:47 AM (#5742851)
Speaking of which, and speaking of the link in #303, Ben Shapiro's been pounded so hard this week for his "Obama LITERALLY gave us Trump" tweetfart, we really should give him a cookie whenever he does better.
Ben Shapiro:
I will no longer be jacking off into Nike socks.
   309. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 10:52 AM (#5742852)
#302:
Once the Kremlin has its warm-water port


They already have it. It's called the presidential suite of the Moscow Ritz-Carlton.
   310. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:02 AM (#5742854)
I, however, will continue to jack off into Ben Shapiro's socks....

...but only because he pays me good money to do so.
   311. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:23 AM (#5742861)
It's a mistake to assume that delays in figuring out precisely what charge to bring always means that no charges will be brought.

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Bravo, Clapper! It's be really great if some of the fine folks here would apply that kind of logic to the Mueller investigation instead of bleating NO COLLUSION!NO COLLUSION!

The investigation of the Dallas shooting is just days old; the investigation of collusion in the 2016 presidential campaign began more than 2 years ago. See the difference?
   312. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:27 AM (#5742864)
Look, an idiot!
‏@realDonaldTrump 5h5 hours ago

We got A Pluses for our recent hurricane work in Texas and Florida (and did an unappreciated great job in Puerto Rico, even though an inaccessible island with very poor electricity and a totally incompetent Mayor of San Juan). We are ready for the big one that is coming!
He'll #NeverForget the 3,000 that died on 9/11, but the 3,000 that died due to Maria weren't that big a deal.
   313. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:27 AM (#5742865)
The investigation of the Dallas shooting is just days old; the investigation of collusion in the 2016 presidential campaign began more than 2 years ago. See the difference?


One of them has a ton of indictments, convictions, and guilty pleas.
   314. The usual palaver and twaddle (Met Fan Charlie) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:27 AM (#5742866)
The investigation of the Dallas shooting is just days old; the investigation of collusion in the 2016 presidential campaign began more than 2 years ago. See the difference?


I do, yes. But the Mueller investigation is still not finished. See the similarity?
   315. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:28 AM (#5742867)
See the difference?


Not really - your Dear Leader is in the wrong house, too.

But don't you worry none, Clapper - we'll be fixing that next year.
   316. You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:31 AM (#5742871)
We got A Pluses for our recent hurricane work in Texas and Florida (and did an unappreciated great job in Puerto Rico, even though an inaccessible island with very poor electricity and a totally incompetent Mayor of San Juan). We are ready for the big one that is coming!


What a dick. "I was great but they were all stupid."
   317. Nasty Nate Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:34 AM (#5742873)
Puerto Rico is inaccessible?
   318. You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:36 AM (#5742877)
Well you can't drive there. And lord knows you can't walk off the island.

Who gave him the "A pluses"?
   319. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:36 AM (#5742878)
Even Inaccessible Island is accessible, though since it's a wildlife preserve - you need a permit.
   320. The Interdimensional Council of Rickey!'s Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:38 AM (#5742880)
What a dick. "I was great but they were all stupid."


Literally anyone who supports this jackass deserves to die.
   321. Nasty Nate Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:40 AM (#5742881)
Even Inaccessible Island is accessible, though since it's a wildlife preserve - you need a permit.
Are you talking about Monkey Island?
   322. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:43 AM (#5742884)
   323. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:43 AM (#5742885)
The more info that comes out (not sure if it's called "evidence" yet), the worse it looks for the cop.
It's a mistake to assume that delays in figuring out precisely what charge to bring always means that no charges will be brought.
Actually, the original warrant does indeed specify manslaughter. If the mat is that distinct, and the pounding/yelling holds up, it pretty much has to be murder.
   324. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:49 AM (#5742888)
I was hoping the tweet in 312 was just an exaggeration, but this piece of trash really did call the mayor of PR incompetent while discussing the incoming hurricane.
   325. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:50 AM (#5742889)
Who thought "if bribery doesn't work, let's try harassment" was good strategy? Collins Staff Getting Vulgar Calls Over Kavanaugh:
Aides for the moderate senator, on social media and in multiple reports published on Tuesday evening, detailed calls and voicemails Collins's offices have been receiving as the battle over Kavanaugh kicks into high gear ahead of an end-of-the-month Senate vote.
. . .
Annie Clark, a spokeswoman for Collins, separately gave The New York Times copies of letters and voice mail messages being sent to the senator's offices that included threats. "Staffers in our 6 Maine offices - and in our D.C. office - are receiving offensive, sometimes vulgar calls - harassing the staff," Clark added in a tweet on Tuesday evening.

Yesterday's "You Can't Bribe Susan Collins" stance seems likely to be followed up by one noting "You Can't Threaten Susan Collins". Those are pretty good themes to have in play.
   326. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:53 AM (#5742892)
The more info that comes out (not sure if it's called "evidence" yet), the worse it looks for the cop.


When you break into someone's home and murder the resident, I'm not sure there are many ways for it to look better.

...maybe if she was in the Secret Service rather than the Dallas PD I could see a possible upside.
   327. You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:54 AM (#5742893)
Oh no, vulgarity!

*drops monocle*
   328. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:55 AM (#5742894)
Collins Staff Getting Vulgar Calls Over Kavanaugh:


Maybe it's just the police calling the wrong number.
   329. Jack Keefe Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:56 AM (#5742895)
There is no thing I hate worse than some 1 who is vulgar Al and that is why since my closed head injury I so admire Donald Rump. I would like to take those shitlapping cockwarblers who called Terry Collins with their asswiping vulgarity and shove every clitnipping ####### of their dickshaped penisheads down the ############ Toilet Al.
   330. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:57 AM (#5742897)
Puerto Rico is inaccessible?

Well you can't drive there. And lord knows you can't walk off the island.
Yes, that was literally Trump's reasoning - you can't drive there.
Who gave him the "A pluses"?
He did. QED.
   331. Jack Keefe Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:58 AM (#5742899)
Ooops Al what have I Dunn cover your eyes when you read #329 for Shame.
   332. The usual palaver and twaddle (Met Fan Charlie) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 11:58 AM (#5742900)
I will be interested to see what Clapper will post if Collins votes "no," anyway.
   333. Swoboda is freedom Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:02 PM (#5742903)
Puerto Rico is inaccessible?

Well you can't drive there. And lord knows you can't walk off the island.
Yes, that was literally Trump's reasoning - you can't drive there.


I am not going to defend Trump, but it was harder as Puerto Rico was an island. When Texas was hit by hurricane, neighboring states could send help and vehicles to Houston. It is much harder on an island.
   334. McCoy Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:05 PM (#5742905)
Yes and no. With an effective Central government it should actually be easier to ship people and goods to an island than to drive it in over hundreds or thousands of miles.
   335. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:08 PM (#5742907)
I am not going to defend Trump, but it was harder as Puerto Rico was an island. When Texas was hit by hurricane, neighboring states could send help and vehicles to Houston. It is much harder on an island.
I actually do agree with this; of course the logistics are more difficult.

So say that, and express sorrow, instead of making excuses, saying how great you are, and attacking the Mayor of a US city that lost power for days/weeks and in which hundreds of residents died. San Juan and New Orleans have approximately the same population...

ETA: Re #334, the port was a mess, and so were the roads leading from it, so distribution was a big problem. If only we had a big shiny military with helicopters.
   336. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:10 PM (#5742909)
I guess those folks who live on the Outer Banks are truly ######.
   337. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:10 PM (#5742910)
Yes, that was literally Trump's reasoning - you can't drive there.


Between this and him seemingly not grasping that a wall isn't going to stop the way a lot of illegal immigration occurs, are we positive Trump knows about the existence of air travel?
   338. Hot Wheeling American, MS-13 Enthusiast Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:11 PM (#5742911)
I will be interested to see what Clapper will post if Collins votes "no," anyway.

Maybe he'll finally detail why he prefers Republican-appointed judges? Some say he's been cowardly ducking that question, posed by a number of contributors to this space.
   339. dlf Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:12 PM (#5742912)
Not sure if you saw it McCoy, but an hour or so ago there was a convoy of trucks from Alabama Power going past the perimeter up 85 towards the Carolinas. As someone who has gone through this a couple of times while living on the coast going back to Frederick in 1979, immediate priority after ensuring folks are physically safe and in shelters is getting power restored. That has also been the biggest failure in Puerto Rico and would be easier in the continental 48.
   340. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:15 PM (#5742914)
Between this and him seemingly not grasping that a wall isn't going to stop the way a lot of illegal immigration occurs, are we positive Trump knows about the existence of air travel?


Air travel is obviously an implausible pipe dream...

Trump is a very stable genius. Trump Air failed. Hence, air travel is a myth.
   341. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:15 PM (#5742915)
   342. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:19 PM (#5742919)
Hmmmm.... remember how Trump looked at the solar eclipse because he was told not to?

Is there some way we can get him to the Carolina coast to hear evacuation orders?
   343. DavidFoss Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:20 PM (#5742921)
San Juan and New Orleans have approximately the same population...

Puerto Rico and Connecticut are about the same size -- both in area and population.
   344. stig-tossled, hornswoggled gef the typing mongoose Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:24 PM (#5742924)
Literally anyone who supports this jackass deserves to die.


That's a bit much. Severe beatings should suffice in several cases.
   345. PreservedFish Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:24 PM (#5742925)
It is much harder on an island.

Particularly when the government is restricted by the Jones Act, for several days, that is until they decided to suspend it after mounting criticism for being incompetent and heartless.
   346. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:35 PM (#5742932)
   347. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:36 PM (#5742933)
Dallas investigators have filed a warrant to search murder victim Botham Jean’s home for narcotics


The warrant states that the door was left open possibly for a drug deal?

Huh?

I'm no George Jung, but don't drug deal normally involve doors being shut and locked?
   348. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:38 PM (#5742936)
I am not going to defend Trump, but it was harder as Puerto Rico was an island. When Texas was hit by hurricane, neighboring states could send help and vehicles to Houston. It is much harder on an island.

Also worth noting that there seems to be some confusion about the role of FEMA via-à-vis state & local governments. FEMA doesn't have a role in designating shelters or evacuation zones, or ordering evacuations. That's all state & local governments. FEMA only becomes involved once there is a disaster, and it's primary role is to funnel supplies & $$ to state & local governments. A lot of the problem with the response in Puerto Rico was due to actions & decisions of the government there, although to be fair it does seems that expectations about government's ability to mitigate the effects of large scale natural disasters have become somewhat unrealistic.
   349. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:46 PM (#5742941)
If they can find or plant drugs, that gives the murderer/cop a legal reason to be in his apartment. And from there it’s “wasn’t obeying commands, feared for my life” and the grand jury no-indicts.
   350. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:53 PM (#5742943)
All this to cover up for a cop who murdered her neighbor.

This is what All Cops Are Bastards means. It’s not that all cops are racist psychopaths who will murder their neighbor over a noise complaint; probably less than half are like that. But they’re all bastards because they all help cover up fjr their racist psychopathic colleagues who DO #### like this. It’s systemic corruption and they’re all protecting the system.

The analogy to Catholic priests is apt. They’re not all child rapists, but they all look the other way when their organization covers up for child rapists.
   351. Fernigal McGunnigle Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:58 PM (#5742946)
From the last page:
I am a huge fan of travel literature and the massive Black Lamb and Grey Falcon has been intimidating me, daring me, for years. Do you recommend it?
I unfortunately only read scraps of it (maybe 200 pages, but that's scraps in a book this long), as part of a project I was doing with a couple of Bosniak friends. The scraps were brilliant, but I haven't been back to it in a decade. It's one of those that I think one should be willing to live inside of for a long stretch of time, and I haven't had the time.

From what I saw of it, it clearly is the masterpiece everyone says it is, but the reading I did in it also didn't give me access to the cumulative argument that she makes, so I can't really speak to it.
   352. Lassus Posted: September 12, 2018 at 12:59 PM (#5742947)
I am not going to defend Trump, but it was harder as Puerto Rico was an island.
I actually do agree with this; of course the logistics are more difficult.
What? Really? Boo-fucking-hoo. Have we not invented boats? Airplanes? Does THE GREATEST COUNTRY IN THE HISTORY OF THE KNOWN UNIVERSE have an inability to traverse water effectively? Are we short on the cash and resources required?

I'm sorry, but that is the weakest of weak sauce that was ever weakened.
   353. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:02 PM (#5742949)
Literally anyone who supports this jackass deserves to die.


Deserves got nothing to do with it.
   354. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:06 PM (#5742952)
it does seems that expectations about government's ability to mitigate the effects of large scale natural disasters have become somewhat unrealistic.


This was the original title of Woodward's book, but the publisher thought it too wordy.
   355. This is going to be state of the art wall Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:08 PM (#5742954)
The drug dealers don't seem to have a problem with the logistics of Puerto Rico, just sayin'. It's a small island, it has a US quality highway traversing large parts of it as well as many natural harbors, including obviously San Juan. The power infrastrcture is poor, but getting clean water and crews out to fix the grid should not have been an issue for a focused, passionate about service POTUS and admin.

But, that's not the Trump admin, not hardly.
   356. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:09 PM (#5742955)
There's a rather lengthy agenda for tomorrow's meeting of the Senate Judiciary Committee, with votes on Kavanaugh, 3 Circuit Court nominees, and 19 U.S District Court nominees. Committee rules allow the minority to have a 1-week postponement, so that almost certainly pushes the Kavanaugh vote to September 20. However, a lot of the other nominees are package deals agreed to with the Senators from New York & Illinois, so I'll be curious if they are voted on this week. That's the normal practice, but Democratic activists were quite critical of the deal that slightly expedited floor votes on a group of non-controversial judges in exchange for ending the August session early. We'll see if Schumer & Durbin will risk their wrath again.
   357. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:09 PM (#5742956)
If they can find or plant drugs, that gives the murderer/cop a legal reason to be in his apartment. And from there it’s “wasn’t obeying commands, feared for my life” and the grand jury no-indicts.
Davo, actually, *if* drugs were part of it, her entire narrative is a lie and she's gonna get zapped.

I get that you hate cops, but you can still think logically about this stuff.
   358. RoyalFlush Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:15 PM (#5742959)
Davo, actually, *if* drugs were part of it, her entire narrative is a lie and she's gonna get zapped.

I get that you hate cops, but you can still think logically about this stuff.


I didn't read all of the documents, but I never really saw a reason listed for her trying to get into his apartment. The original narrative around the story seemed to say she thought it was her apartment, but I didn't see that in the document posted. Maybe she changes her narrative to include, "I smelled or suspected drugs and was concerned for tenants safety".
   359. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:16 PM (#5742962)
I get that you hate cops, but you can still think logically about this stuff.


Cite?
   360. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:17 PM (#5742963)
Clapper is feeling all perky about another McConnell threat to cancel recess to expedite some judges, not realizing that the ploy also reflects the creeping fear of the absolutely ridiculous possibility that the GOP could lose the Senate.
   361. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:19 PM (#5742965)
I didn't read all of the documents, but I never really saw a reason listed for her trying to get into his apartment. The original narrative around the story seemed to say she thought it was her apartment, but I didn't see that in the document posted. Maybe she changes her narrative to include, "I smelled or suspected drugs and was concerned for tenants safety".

Yep. She doesn’t even need the “concern for tenant safety” lie, drugs just give her a better reason to be in his apartment, so she can ditch the “thought it was my place” story.
   362. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:21 PM (#5742966)
Poll: Midwest Abandons Trump, Fueling Democratic Advantage For Control Of Congress

"Every way we are looking at the data, the same general pattern is emerging," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted the poll. "The Midwest is an area that is getting restless about what they hoped was going to occur and what they feel is not occurring."

Trump has waged trade wars with several countries, aiming to renegotiate deals and has instituted tariffs on imports that have been met with retaliatory tariffs on exports. Many of those have taken a toll on Midwestern farmers, for example. And some automakers have come out against Trump's moves on car imports, hitting Trump with some tough headlines.

And that appears to be sticking to the GOP now.

"Republicans have not only been fairly silent in opposition to the president," Miringoff said, "but they've been driving very hard in the Senate when it comes to his Supreme Court nominee. Congressional Republicans are buying into Trump for November. In terms of brand, they look totally in lockstep with the president — and that has become extremely clear to voters."



I get why the Senate is walking in lockstep with Trump, but it is going to make it a little hard to then claim "Trump? No, I am totally independent of that guy!".

Clearly there are some potential downsides to the GOP judicial plan, but maybe they are OK with cozying up even closer to Trump. Then again as the election approaches we may see many signs of candidates trying to separate from him. Worth watching.
   363. Gonfalon Bubble Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:24 PM (#5742968)
538.com's generic ballot aggregator, currently at 9.2%, includes a slew of polls. Of all the pollsters included, fourteen of them are judged by 538 to have grades of B+ or better for superior methodology, transparency and accuracy.

These are the most recent generic ballot margins from each of those fourteen pollsters. Some of them have lots of poll activity (e.g. Ipsos has 45 listed polls since January 2018). Others like Selzer or CBS News have only one poll apiece.

Twelve of the pollsters' most recent results are from the last month, nine of them from the last two weeks. But the last two pollsters shown date back to late June, and early May.

Ipsos: 10
Quinnipiac: 14
Marist: 12
Selzer: 2
Emerson: 13
IBD/Tipp: 11
ABC/WaPo: 14
Suffolk: 11
NBC/WSJ: 8
Fox News: 11
Monmouth: 5
CNN: 11
WaPo/Schar: 10
CBS News: 9

RCP adjusted average of all polls: 9.2%
Average of the five most recent from the top-graded pollsters: 10.2%
Average of ten most recent from the top-graded pollsters: 10.6%
Average of the fourteen most recent from the top-graded pollsters: 10.1%
   364. ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:25 PM (#5742969)
I guess those folks who live on the Outer Banks are truly ######.

Up to 40 inches of rain. When the Washington area got 3 to 4 inches in a 24 hour period back in 2014, it was considered to be a month's worth of rain.
   365. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:26 PM (#5742970)

If they can find or plant drugs, that gives the murderer/cop a legal reason to be in his apartment.
Nope.

Plus, it would contradict her own story, so it wouldn't help.


(And why would they apply for a warrant to plant drugs?)
   366. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:31 PM (#5742973)
366-She’d just give a new story to fit the new details. Then the Prosecutor would omit her first story when presenting the case to the Grand Jury.
   367. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:32 PM (#5742974)
Yep. She doesn’t even need the “concern for tenant safety” lie, drugs just give her a better reason to be in his apartment, so she can ditch the “thought it was my place” story.
She can't "ditch" her story. FFS, Davo, you posted the warrant, her statement is here. She's on record as saying she thought it was her apartment. Nothing about drugs. If that were to become part of the narrative, it would mean a big ugly backhistory between the two of them, and she gets fried. Full stop.

I say "if" because there's so much uncorroborated info flying around that nothing matters, really. But from 1000 miles away, it looks more and more like she gets sent up.
   368. This is going to be state of the art wall Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:33 PM (#5742975)
Because it's guaranteed to piss of a lurking JE, here's the latest Palmer Report:

Donald Trump has never shown any particular grasp of political or social issues to begin with. He’s never demonstrated much competence, or intellect, or coherence, or for that matter mental stability. But as things have closed in on him over the past few weeks, we’re seeing something new altogether: there is nothing left in Trump’s head.


Sure, Donald Trump woke up this morning and began dishonestly ranting about Hillary Clinton instead of posting something about 9/11, seemingly having forgotten what day it was. But his behavior later in the day was what gave away that he’s hurtling toward invalid status. When Trump showed up to deliver a 9/11 speech in Pennsylvania, he got off the plane and gave a big thumbs up to the crowd and pumped his fists, having once again forgotten that this was a somber event. He clearly thought he was there for some kind of political rally. Then came the hurricane debacle.


Trump spoke about Hurricane Florence preparations from the Oval Office this afternoon, and he could only get enough brain cells firing to mutter that it was going to be “tremendously big and tremendously wet.” This is how a first grader would describe a hurricane. He then began telling fictional tales of how he supposedly did such a great job responding to the hurricane in Puerto Rico. Not only was it offensively dishonest, it was mentally vacant.


This comes after Donald Trump gave a speech last week in which he slurred every other word and twice failed to say the word “anonymous” before giving up. During his 9/11 speech today, he sounded like a zombie while mumbling his way through a prepared speech. There is nothing left in this guy’s mind – either that, or he’s doing an incredible job of faking it, because he’s aiming for a “not guilty due to mental defect” verdict in his inevitable trial.
   369. BDC Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:35 PM (#5742976)
I looked at the warrant in the tweet that Davo posted, and it includes a long list of items that may be searched for – I assume this is boilerplate text of a sort. The place is a crime scene, after all, and the killer may have left something behind that's relevant to the investigation. I am far from being a lawyer but I doubt that there's some sort of "she was investigating a nefarious character" aspect to the warrant, particularly since (as many have said) she herself doesn't claim anything of the sort.
   370. Srul Itza Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:36 PM (#5742977)
How can we talk this much about Montenegro and not mention its greatest fictional favorite son and detective of all time?


Satisfactory.
   371. PreservedFish Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:36 PM (#5742979)
Davo's legal analysis is less than convincing.
   372. Swoboda is freedom Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:37 PM (#5742980)
If they can find or plant drugs, that gives the murderer/cop a legal reason to be in his apartment.
Nope.

Plus, it would contradict her own story, so it wouldn't help.


She is not going to change her story. The drugs are only going to show how he became a wild and crazed animal and attacked her so she killed him.
   373. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:39 PM (#5742982)
I looked at the warrant in the tweet that Davo posted, and it includes a long list of items that may be searched for – I assume this is boilerplate text of a sort. The place is a crime scene, after all, and the killer may have left something behind that's relevant to the investigation. I am far from being a lawyer but I doubt that there's some sort of "she was investigating a nefarious character" aspect to the warrant, particularly since (as many have said) she herself doesn't claim anything of the sort.


Why would the police need a warrant to search a crime scene, though?
   374. ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:41 PM (#5742983)
BTW here's one little paragraph from one little story about hurricanes:
Hurricane Florence is expected to create significant storm surge in North Carolina, in part because human-caused climate change has raised sea levels in the region by several inches since 1954, the last time a Category 4 storm hit the state.
   375. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:41 PM (#5742984)
367 - You keep assuming the DA wants the Grand Jury to indict her, or that he’s so darn committed to justice he just has to include evidence that makes the cop look bad. They’ll “find” drugs, she’ll “clarify” her story, and all the Grand Jury will hear is “I smelled marijuana and knocked on his door to investigate.” No-indict, she’s back on the job the next day.
   376. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:44 PM (#5742985)

366-She’d just give a new story to fit the new details. Then the Prosecutor would omit her first story when presenting the case to the Grand Jury.
All they would have to do is find 23 people who don't own a television or radio or smartphone, and they're all set!


She is not going to change her story. The drugs are only going to show how he became a wild and crazed animal and attacked her so she killed him.
Nope; that would also require changing her story.
   377. BDC Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:45 PM (#5742987)
Why would the police need a warrant to search a crime scene, though?


It's still the private residence of the victim, or I guess now his heirs (the warrant mentions a sister). My legal advisor Google :) refers me to a case called Mincey v. Arizona (1978) where SCOTUS ruled that police have to get a warrant to search the scene of a homicide.
   378. This is going to be state of the art wall Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:48 PM (#5742988)
Eric Trump this morning:


Eric Trump lashed out at Bob Woodward during a Wednesday interview on Fox News, calling the Watergate veteran's book a work of fiction used for publicity.

The president's son also remarked that Woodward made "three extra shekels" with his book attacking the Trump administration.

"Don't you think people look through the fact that you can write a sensational, nonsense book, CNN will definitely have you on there because they love to trash the president," Trump said, responding to Fox and Friends host Steve Doocy, who asked if the book detailed "chaos" in the White House.

"It will mean you sell three extra books, you make three extra shekels," Trump continued. "Is that really where we are? I think people see through this."


Yea but they moved the Embassy!
   379. Srul Itza Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:50 PM (#5742990)
I get that you hate cops, but you can still think logically about this stuff.


Is this the first time you have read any of its posts?
   380. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:52 PM (#5742992)
Why would the police need a warrant to search a crime scene, though?
There's no general "crime scene" exception to the 4th amendment. They can, of course, secure the immediate area and seize things in plain sight, but if they want to do a search of the home in general, they do need a warrant. That's Mincey v. Arizona. Now, of course, Jean isn't likely to be prosecuted, so they don't need a warrant to search his place for evidence against him. But let's suppose it turns out that he and the cop were having an affair (this appears to be a pure Fake Internet Sleuthing thing, but suppose it's true for the sake of argument), and she was living there. In that case, she'd have a REP in the apartment and anything incriminating against her that they found there as a result of a warrantless search might be suppressed. Better practice is to secure a warrant whenever possible.


EDIT: Not bad Google lawyering, BDC; maybe you can teach FLTB how to do it.
   381. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:53 PM (#5742993)
In economic news, Middle Class Income Hits Record High, Poverty Declines:
Middle-class income rose to the highest recorded levels in 2017 and the national poverty rate declined as the benefits of the strong economy lifted the fortunes of more Americans, the U.S. Census reported Wednesday. The median U.S. household earned $61,372 last year, meaning half of the families in the country brought in more income than this and half earned less.

That's 2017 data, more recent reports suggest further improvement.
   382. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:54 PM (#5742994)
May I say I'm glad I live on the West Coast? Manure Lagoons:
Floodwaters that come in contact with hog feces make for a toxic soup, and raises fears about the potential for bacteria from the pig feces to contaminate North Carolina’s groundwater.

Andy Curliss, the CEO of the North Carolina Pork Council, told Bloomberg that lagoons can handle as much as 25 inches (64 centimeters) of rain without failing. “If we get more than 25 inches of rain, then we’ll start to be concerned,” he said.

According to Accuweather forecasts, up to 40 inches of rain are expected in parts of North Carolina.
From what I hear, though, we are completely prepared, better than any administration ever.
   383. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:58 PM (#5742997)

The thing that makes Davo's comments so tinfoil-hat stupid is that his cynicism isn't wrong; it is very easy for cops to get away with things. I've said it many many times here over the years. But here the cop didn't take any of the steps that would make it easy for her to get away with it. She was off duty, she didn't claim that he came at her, she didn't claim to have any law enforcement justification for being there,

If she had said, "I came home from a long day at work, and he was playing loud music, and I went up and knocked on his door to ask that he stop, and he opened the door and brandished a gun/knife/baseball bat/etc. at me, and he wouldn't drop it when I told him to, and then he advanced on me, so I was in fear for my life and I shot him," she'd have a decent shot at getting away with it. But she didn't invent a reasonable, exculpatory story.
   384. Traderdave Posted: September 12, 2018 at 01:59 PM (#5742999)

That's 2017 data, more recent reports suggest further improvement.


Take a minute to search on inflation adjusted incomes. Get back to us with the year that peaked.
   385. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:00 PM (#5743000)
The president's son also remarked that Woodward made "three extra shekels" with his book attacking the Trump administration.
Maybe someone should tell the Trumps that Bernstein is the Jewish guy. Woodward is the Robert Redford one.
   386. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:00 PM (#5743001)

Take a minute to search on inflation adjusted incomes. Get back to us with the year that peaked.
That was inflation-adjusted.
   387. The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:02 PM (#5743002)
Take a minute to search on inflation adjusted incomes. Get back to us with the year that peaked.

From the article linked in #381:
All the income figures have been adjusted for inflation and are reported in 2017 dollars.
   388. PepTech, the Legendary Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:02 PM (#5743003)
Take a minute to search on inflation adjusted incomes. Get back to us with the year that peaked.
1979. Duh.
   389. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:04 PM (#5743004)
That's 2017 data, more recent reports suggest further improvement.


I applaud Clapper for finally giving Obama some credit...
   390. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:04 PM (#5743005)
I looked at the warrant in the tweet that Davo posted, and it includes a long list of items that may be searched for – I assume this is boilerplate text of a sort. The place is a crime scene, after all, and the killer may have left something behind that's relevant to the investigation. I am far from being a lawyer but I doubt that there's some sort of "she was investigating a nefarious character" aspect to the warrant, particularly since (as many have said) she herself doesn't claim anything of the sort.


Buddy of mine who works in the local prosecutor's office noted that this is SOP.
   391. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:05 PM (#5743006)
   392. This is going to be state of the art wall Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:09 PM (#5743007)
Andrew Gillum is killing it on twitter, ripping on Desantis for not knowing his platform until "Trump informs him".
   393. RoyalFlush Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:09 PM (#5743008)
4400 Pastors Have Signed John MacArthur’s Anti-Social Justice Proclamation

MacArthur’s blog post explaining his position is here. Not surprisingly, irreligious liberals are not big fans!


I like the Christian life
My buddies tell me that I should have waited
They say I'm missing a whole world of fun
But I am happy and I sing with pride
I like the Christian life

I won't lose a friend by heeding God's call
For what is a friend who'd want you to fall
Others find pleasures in things I despise
I like the Christian life

My buddies shun me since I turned to Jesus
But I still love them they burden my heart
I'll try to lead them to walk in the light
I like the Christian life

I won't lose a friend by heeding God's call
For what is a friend who'd want you to fall
Others find pleasures in things I despise
I like the Christian life
   394. Traderdave Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:14 PM (#5743012)
Indeed it was inflation adjusted, I misread. Most surveys, however, state that inflation adjusted income peaked a loooong time ago.
   395. Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:15 PM (#5743013)
In economic news, Middle Class Income Hits Record High, Poverty Declines:


I think this is awesome news. I want the economy to do well, income to rise and poverty to decline. As a Democrat the fact that the awesome economy is not helping Republicans makes it even better! (See #290 - There’s Never Been a President This Unpopular With an Economy This Good).

The economy is roaring along and the GOP is still looking at a potentially massive blue wave. And - of course - just imagine what is going to happen when (not if, but when) the economy goes South. I expect a raft of GOP aligned judges will be cold comfort to all the out of office Republican politicians across this great land of ours, but at least it will be some comfort for them.
   396. DavidFoss Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:17 PM (#5743014)
The economy is roaring along and the GOP is still looking at a potentially massive blue wave.

Not all that different from 2006. Dems lost in 2014 with a healthy recovery taking hold as well.
   397. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:21 PM (#5743016)
Maybe people see through all those three extra shekels....
   398. Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:21 PM (#5743017)
“I mean, the Gospels are okay and all, but what I really want is a pastor who focuses on Kimberlé Crenshaw.”

It’s that ####### Moralistic Therapeutic Deism rearing its stupid head again.
   399. Lassus Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:25 PM (#5743021)
But she didn't invent a reasonable, exculpatory story.

Honestly, I think she's probably telling (mostly) the truth. (Of course, as Sam says, we'll probably never know.) Barring the part where she KILLS A DUDE, walking into the wrong apartment by mistake, especially if you were a bit tipsy, seems almost feasible, if ridiculous. The fact that the story is too stupid to make up seems telling to me that it's possible it's close to what actually happened. YMMV
   400. The usual palaver and twaddle (Met Fan Charlie) Posted: September 12, 2018 at 02:26 PM (#5743022)
381

Middle-class income rose to the highest recorded levels in 2017 and the national poverty rate declined as the benefits of the strong economy lifted the fortunes of more Americans, the U.S. Census reported Wednesday. The median U.S. household earned $61,372 last year, meaning half of the families in the country brought in more income than this and half earned less.

That's 2017 data, more recent reports suggest further improvement.


And yet, somehow, Trump's approval rating dips into the mid-to-high 30s.

How would one explain that?
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