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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Come next Tuesday night, we’ll get a resolution (let’s hope) to a great ongoing battle of 2012: not just the Presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, but the one between the pundits trying to analyze that race with their guts and a new breed of statistics gurus trying to forecast it with data.
In Election 2012 as seen by the pundits–political journalists on the trail, commentators in cable-news studios–the campaign is a jump ball. There’s a slight lead for Mitt Romney in national polls and slight leads for Barack Obama in swing-state polls, and no good way of predicting next Tuesday’s outcome beyond flipping a coin. ...
Bonus link: Esquire - The Enemies of Nate Silver
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I'm waiting for the calls. Being disciplined!
Chris Christie ad just came on for some reason.
Yes, and as you know (but others may not), the latest reporting counties in Indiana are the blue ones (time zone difference between NW Indiana and the rest of the state). Mourdock/Pence (though I can't see Gregg beating him) better have a lead before our results come in.
I didn't say it was a great vagina.
Yup. In a tight swing state 15% is too close to call for the networks. 2000 Florida is still fresh in their minds, they don't want to get burned.
I voted at 7:15 pm in NJ.
As usual the line was..... zero. No waiting.
NJ has 566 municipalities. I wonder if they also have WAY too many polling places?
Convenient, though.
Not necessarily. Since the reporting isn't distributed evenly throughout the state there can be big shifts in both directions as the various areas report in.
You have never heard of Utah jazz?
Called what?
The Western Hemisphere, most likely.
Of course, no surprises there at all, but it makes for the tally to look closer.
The polls closed in Florida one minute ago.
You set your clock wrong over the weekend.
EDIT: Central time! Curses!
Is that just west of the Apalachicola or ...
Still confident.
He's probably having a beer.
Do witches drink beer?
Source?
Maddow gently corrected her without making it too obvious.
the bunny must be giving 15 pct points....
Surely some of them brew it.
Actually he's got a live blog.
2016
"Ominous Black Panther to give Romney's concession speech"
CHRISTIE VS. CUOMO: THE NORTHEAST'S REVENGE
McCoy: No, curious to find where I can get better Florida than what I've got.
I recognize that this wasn't a serious question, but there's no reason for that, no. There's no "technicality"; it's just a definitional question of how we measure age. There's no reason it must be years since one was alive, as opposed to years since birth.
More importantly, it's a question of how the legislature chooses to measure age for a particular statute. It can say, "1) You must be 16 years old to drive a car.
2) For purposes of this statute, age shall be measured from the time one learned to walk."
Yes. Corporations can be, and are, charged criminally. They can be fined or even executed (dissolved) if convicted. (They can't be put in jail, but that's a question of physics, not law.) Individuals who work for the corporation are entitled to their own due process and their own trials, though.
Also, I thought Fox News had a monopoly on newsbunnies.
It's entirely libertarian to pay the toll, because otherwise someone else is being forced to subsidize your use of the road.
(Note that even non-toll highways are relatively libertarian; they tend to be funded with gas taxes, which of course are generally paid by road users. (Except that -- see above -- the gas taxes keep getting diverted to whatever the mass transit fad of the month is.)
Everything you say about rent-seeking corporations using the government to grow and gain power is true, and liberals' failure to understand this is a big failure. But even if corporations and government are not working hand in glove, this notion of "playing off" corporate power and government power is a bigger conceptual failure because it's like arguing that Galileo should have defended himself by playing off the Catholic Church and the Jews of Europe. It completely misunderstands the scale. Corporations cannot possibly be played off against government, because corporations are impotent against government. The richest, most powerful corporation in the world can do nothing other than run and hide if a government comes after it.
Corporations (with a few exceptions, such as Fannie Mae) are creations of private people, not the state. You register your corporation with the state, but you form it privately for your own private purposes.
Pnahandle hasn't come in yet. But most of the rest of the north has come in and it has come in for Romney but Palm Beach and Miami are coming for Obama.
That's a lot of Somalis.
I'll go with North Carolina.
meanwhile, so far Mitt seem to have a pretty substantial lead in Virginia, OTOH he's losing by a lot in Ohio.
Needs more airships.
Context is everything. Without knowing where the votes are coming from the raw totals now mean nothing.
Who are they?
Charter school vote is going to be close.
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