|
|
|
|
Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Come next Tuesday night, we’ll get a resolution (let’s hope) to a great ongoing battle of 2012: not just the Presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, but the one between the pundits trying to analyze that race with their guts and a new breed of statistics gurus trying to forecast it with data.
In Election 2012 as seen by the pundits–political journalists on the trail, commentators in cable-news studios–the campaign is a jump ball. There’s a slight lead for Mitt Romney in national polls and slight leads for Barack Obama in swing-state polls, and no good way of predicting next Tuesday’s outcome beyond flipping a coin. ...
Bonus link: Esquire - The Enemies of Nate Silver
|
Bookmarks
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
Hot Topics
Newsblog: Mitchell: Pedroia, Cano and Magical Thinking (25 - 9:17am, May 24)Last: Cowboy PopupNewsblog: [OTP-May] Politico: Congressional baseball game, May 1, 1926 (4288 - 9:15am, May 24)Last:  snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster)Newsblog: Richie Ashburn’s Widow in Tears Over His Endangered Gladwyne Grave (10 - 9:10am, May 24)Last: Jose Can Still SeabiscuitNewsblog: HHS: Autin: Miguel Cabrera to the max (2 - 9:09am, May 24)Last: AROMNewsblog: Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 5-24-2013 (6 - 9:08am, May 24)Last: RepozNewsblog: Tangotiger Blog: Ensberg and Tango speak on being locked-in (4 - 8:19am, May 24)Last: bigglou115Newsblog: ESPN: Forging bond with Pete Rose has helped fuel Joey Votto's desire to be great (128 - 8:17am, May 24)Last:  Bitter Mouse is a genre addictNewsblog: Demystifying Red Sox Ownership - What Do They Do? (WEEI) (28 - 8:10am, May 24)Last: Bob TuftsNewsblog: OT: The Soccer Thread, May 2013 (1125 - 7:39am, May 24)Last:  Shooty is in the Trust TreeNewsblog: OT: NBA Monthly Thread - May 2013 (1217 - 7:28am, May 24)Last:  Scott LangeNewsblog: OT: NHL is finally back thread (363 - 3:49am, May 24)Last:  BurlyBuehrleNewsblog: Mariners sending Jesus Montero to Triple-A (66 - 2:32am, May 24)Last: rb's team is hopeful for the new year!Newsblog: Mets’ Ike Davis On Struggles: ‘I Can’t Do Any Worse’ (24 - 12:28am, May 24)Last: bobmNewsblog: OMNICHATTER for MAY 23, 2013 (77 - 11:10pm, May 23)Last: Los Angeles El Hombre of AnaheimNewsblog: Astros vendor brings snow cones into bathroom stall, gets fired (21 - 10:03pm, May 23)Last: Sunday silence
|
|
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
Your statement is accurate only if you discount your own posts on the subject, along with SBB's. Otherwise, dead on. But you can continue to insist that other people only interpret words and utterances as you allow them to-- that words and statements only mean the things you say they do. The problem is, they don't have to obey your interpretive guidelines. Individuals get to negotiate meanings in their own contexts, and bring their own experiences to the table in doing so. Telling these individuals they're not allowed to do that is just another technique for wielding power over them, and attempting to bully them into abiding by your vision of reality. And that "negotiation" part is where you really seem to stumble, since for you there is only ever one interpretive frame-- all the others must be wrong.
==
In terms of institutional racism being an "unsolvable" problem, how about we start with an easy one: equalize the sentences for powdered and rock cocaine. That should be a no-brainer, right? How about we put a moratorium on stop-and-frisks? These are just two easy ones OTH. This notion that institutional racism is somehow amorphous and untied to public policy shows zero understanding of what the term actually refers to.
The second language thing is common in humanities PhD programs in the US, too. In Ms. McGunnigle's program you either do a language or languages relevant to your work or you do a language in which there is a lot of research about your field (which almost inevitably means German). It's a hassle, but the language skill can really expand your range of available sources.
Yeah. In Philosophy programs you usually have to learn German or Ancient Greek, though you can get through with Latin or French. The day I realized no program was ever going to accept my secondary proficiency in Jive as a valid option was the day I knew the acadamey was not for me.
So who is it, I wonder?
Is it Rep Ralph Hall, chair of the House Science, Space, and Technology committee?
How about Rep Dana Rohrbacher?
Todd Akin is on the House Science committee to. Remember him? "If it’s a legitimate rape, the female body has ways to try to shut that whole thing down." Not very scientific.
Don't forget another committee member, Randy Neugebauer who sponsored a bill requesting that:
Is Jim Sensenbrenner a true Scottsman? Is
Sandy Adams a proper Scottish lass, or only when she served on the House Science, Space, and Technology committee?
And I'd be remiss in omitting Rep. Paul Broun, also serving as a Republican member in good standing on the House Science, Space, and Technology committee:
That's just the science committee. James Inhofe doesn't serve on that (well, he's a senator, but anyways...) so maybe we shouldn't consider the pernicious effect of his serious, fact-based scientific knowledge:
Now go ahead and ask me - do you think I could go on in this vein, or do you think I've exhausted my list?
Sorry Harvey, the party of sober scientific thought hasn't been the Republican party for a generation. You're now part and parcel of the party of superstition, conspiracy theorizing, and ignorance.
Sam - Sent you a message/email thing, fyi.
EDIT: Sent email directly. Should work if I got the email address correct.
I can certainly see the merit in that. For a while I was trying to teach myself Latin for that purpose, but ended up giving up.
It would have come in handy a couple times in my research thus far. Spanish would have really helped in one area. I'm looking at the public self-fashioning of the Duke of Buckingham, and he had a crucial, identity-forming trip to Spain in 1623 which was covered pretty extensively in the Spanish press. Buckingham then had those newsbooks translated into English for consumption at home, and I've read at least one Spanish historian say that the English translations differed in some particulars. Possibly could have been an opportunity to see him explicitly trying to frame his public image...if I could translate the Spanish versions. It's actually a little late in the game now to use that material anyway, but I'm thinking of ways to use that stuff in some future project. (As it happens one of my supervisors in a historian of early modern Spain and she's offered to help out with the translations for me...we just haven't done it yet, so I guess with everything else it comes down to laziness.)
I don't disagree with this - in fact, I'll agree with it to a large degree... but I'll say two things -
First, it is rather interesting that children tend to get over this rather quickly... the question of 'differences' may come up, but it rarely becomes much of a sticking point long-term unless there are external factors (parents, etc) who reinforce those differences.
Second, I'll refer back to what I said in 5710 --
Democrats are yielding the fruits of seeds planted decades ago... they simply have more 'others' in various positions within the party. As such, they're simply better positioned to be able to attract minority voters. They've paid the price for this outreach in some cases -- losing electoral viability in various swaths of the south, problems with areas that have friction over immigration, etc -- but they're yielding returns now, as demographics have shifted.
As I said - I do applaud the GOP in the fact that it does have some relative newcomers (Jindal, Rubio, etc) that it's likewise trying very hard to highlight... However, I continue to believe that the GOP has a problem with some of its purveyors getting exasperated that it's "not enough".... it takes time and a critical mass. You can't just put Michael Steele or Ken Blackwell on camera and expect AA's not to notice that the local party leadership, the door knocker, the crowds, etc look nothing like them.
The Democrats simply don't have this problem -- up and down the apparatus of the party -- federal, state, local, party leadership, party organization, volunteers, etc, Democrats really don't even have to consciously try to create a diverse outreach to any minority community they wish.
People just tend to most easily trust strangers that look, talk, or seem like they share at least some cultural background.
I'm not concern trolling here in the least -- and again, the GOP can go about addressing this deficit however they wish -- but on the Democratic side, they've employed a variety of methods to get to the point they are now.
1) They made some tough choices generations ago that would necessarily cleave off some folks who were once reliable voters... and they've continued to make those same choices - but it took a concerted, multi-decade effort. Someone not even alive when Reagan signed a massive immigration overhaul that included, yes, 'amnesty' isn't all that much more likely to care than a AA that is told to vote Republican because Lincoln was a Republican.
2) Structurally, the Democrats actually have employed systems that are equivalent to what you might call 'affirmative action' - even quotas... For example, the DNC has delegate rules that require 50/50 delegation gender splits. Many states likewise go out of their way to ensure their delegations are ethnically diverse. Absolutely - it's brought in some charlatans.. but it's also brought on some talented people that they might not otherwise have picked up, and it's also ensured that the Democratic party can now present a face to any minority that looks familiar without really even trying.
3) They've listened from an issues perspective -- and not all those 'issues' involve some of the more flashpoint items that stereotype those communities... symbolic things like pushing MLK holidays... changing flags... honoring someone like Cesar Chavez... I mean - I'm a midwestern white guy of Polish ancestry -- and you better believe I know who Casmir Pulaski was, and while it may sound silly, Chicago's Pulaski Day IS a big deal to a lot of folks in the Polish community and even as the older generations who may actually remember a grandfather or somesuch who came over from the 'old country' fade, you better believe they still pass down the importance of such things to their kids. A lot of these symbolic things matter quite a bit - they tell a community "we're listening, we're interested, tell us more"... it's only natural that a community reacts to that.
My brother taught himself to read German so he could read Nietsche in the original tongue.
So...
....we're actually the elites?
I don't think BTF-mail is forwarding properly. Resend to Sam dot H at Bell South dot net.
Oh, god yes.
Allen Ginsberg?
This is really true. (and it is a great post, btw)
There has been some "local downside", sometimes better folks have been turned away and "less talented" have been givern a step up. The party has gone out of its way to put in place structures which somewhat reverse the structural issues non white males deal with, and have clearly paid some deadweight cost for doing it.
I think the diversity bonus and the advantages Dems have now is very worth it, but there have been costs.
I contracted syphilis for the same reason!
*deep nod of appreciation*
Why not?
Working for a European headquartered company, I'm always very impressed and more than a bit sheepish that whenever I have to meet or talk with Italian, German, Dutch, French, or Spanish colleagues -- we inevitably talk business in English... and they inevitably apologize for their English... and I inevitably respond "well, your english is much better than my French/German/Italian/whatever" - and I really do often wish that weren't the case.
Especially given that Spanish is probably the 2nd most spoken language in our hemisphere (or is it the most? I suppose Brazil speaks mainly Portuguese, which isn't the same) - I don't see a big issue with people learning Spanish.
I took two years of college German and all I needed to do was contract syphilis instead? Dieses ist sehr argerlich zu lernen!
I read that the first time as Paczki Day, which I must say is a Mid-western treasure, even though I know the difference. Haven't lived in Michigan in while, but one of my best friends was Polish and for Pulaski Day his mother would give us Paczki's. Those are some good damn donuts.
Ray's usual snark aside, I often re-post preceding points for the simple reason that most people (myself included) drop in and out of these threads. When you read a decontextualized comment, it's often impossible to know what point is being made. And it's compounded when people like Ray grab a snippet of something you write and "respond" to that in a way that completely distorts your original point. It's like the BTF version of "You didn't build that", and I don't see any particular reason for enabling it just to make the post a bit shorter.
It also doesn't help that the Ed Brookes of the former GOP have been largely replaced by the Michael Steeles. That's probably an overgeneralization, but it's hard to think of any 21st century counterparts to politicians like Brooke. You've got Colin Powell and Condi Rice, but the former is being slowly driven away by the extremists while the latter can't pass the litmus test because of her views on choice / abortion.
Dude! You're giving away my whole friggin' game here!
A lot of us drop in and out.
***
From a few pages back:
College: Making college more available to people, in large part through making loans more available, has played a big role in it getting so much more expensive in recent years.
When we talk about expanding access, we should consciously ask ourselves why we’re doing it – to increase socioeconomic mobility, because college is worthwhile in and of itself - outside of the opportunities it offers, to address the future needs of the labor force, etc… What you want to accomplish should dictate how you go about addressing the issue, rather than bland platitudes that more college is good.
(To be clear - I'm quite pro-college.)
I started to teach myself Russian when I was 13 so I could read the Russian chess magazines.
Fortunately Chess Informant started publication and I was able to drop that little project.
I'm a requoter myself, (but I try to trim). Usenet posting habits mostly. Though I think it adds context.
This may be the most perfectly Ron Johnson story of all time.
My son has started to teach himself Russian (in addition to the French and Spanish he's studying in high school), but just becuase he wants to learn Russian. He's applied for a program to spend 8 weeks in Russia learning the language this summer (and if not there, then Tajikistan learning Persian or Turkey learning Turkish).
And given what I've seen over the past 25 years, I should probably learn Tagalog in order to better my mastery of English. Because when it comes to English, Tagalog speakers rule.
Non-responsive to the questions asked.
***
Already did. See #5520, et al.
LOL. The idea that 57 million people all voted for Obama for a unique reason is absurd. The idea that there's no such thing as an accurate generalization is also absurd. (And you're probably the worst offender when it comes to generalizations about non-liberals, so this was just a strange complaint all around.)
***
Latinos got crushed in the recession, and 75 percent of Latinos tell pollsters they want a bigger government with more services (see #5563). With Romney spending 6 months talking about shrinking the government, it's not hard to figure out why Obama was the overwhelming choice of Latinos.
It's a chicken or the egg thing, I think... and I tend to think it's an egg problem.
Jesse Jackson or Al Sharpton too polarizing? Here's an Obama... Rangel gets himself in ethics problems? Here's a Conyers... Obama's 2nd term up? How about a Deval Patrick... and here's a Corey Booker right behind him...
You can do nearly the same thing all over the ethnic dial.... and that's the thing, if we can all accept that in some way - we would prefer a truly 'color blind' society where these differences are just interesting conversation pieces - the Democrats are well-positioned to do so. As I said, the Democratic party doesn't really even need to try -- we can offer up clowns and charlatans of any race or ethnicity and competent, even gifted legislators and politicians of the same.
When you're continually forced to reach down to A ball to thrust someone into the spotlight - it's just common sense that those 'prospects' are going to fail more often than not, and when they do - even your already thin depth gets further depleted. Your margin of error just trends towards nil.
I'll be interested to see what happens to Mia Love - while I find her political views to be unacceptably far right personally, I have little doubt that she probably could play quite well in Utah. From what I've heard and read of her an from her, I do think she has some serious political chops... but now that she's lost her congressional race, what happens? Is she forgotten and just left to be longtime mayor of a smallish Utah burg? Does she run for and get a prominent role in the state legislature? Does said state legislature and the party leadership make a concerted effort to groom her for higher office? Governor? Senate?
I hate to offer the GOP any advice -- but the trick isn't finding the Mia Loves and shining national spotlights on them... the trick is finding lots of them, giving them the same sort of grooming and fostering that has happened to white male party players for generations, accepting that some of them will flame out, some of them you'll be wrong about, actually backing them when the inevitable fights occur with entrenched powers that be, and building that deep bench such that they can sort of 'appear' at state and federal levels without needing to continually rush the new kids into prominence just so you can say "See?!?!"
i understand the connections you are making and that's fine.
and if you want to dismiss me as ignorant stooge that's fine too. i have been branded as worse
but every party has their members with curious beliefs. i am not the googlemeister like you and matt so you win that battle hands down.
but i am not aware of any gop effort to thwart, stop, or end scienctific efforts.
if you are going to toss out climate change i know there are many climate skeptics in the party and out
personally i am open minded on the topic knowing first that the earth has been around a long, long time and our time on it is very brief but also that humans are a new addition (in earth time) so it's very reasonable to think that humans have impacted the world around them. but to make the direct link from one to the other i don't know. i get that the global temp has increased. is that 'us'?
i think the more important discussion is what are we going to do to adapt. sure we can talk about root causes but meanwhile what are doing to adjust the infrastructure? because it took a long time to get to this point and any 'fix' will take a long time to generate an impact. meanwhile, stuff keeps happening. is the world preparing for an altered climate? i don't hear that conversation happening.
it's the boy scout in me. be prepared.
And now we have the polar opposite to the typical Devil post, utterly resolute in its opaque and faddish gibberish ...
Andy is perfectly free to carry on with stuff liberal white people do, which he knows. I bet he doesn't feel "bullied" in the least.
I don't know anything about the video in question (and not really excited about following the link, chasing down truth), but when in doubt ascribing something to incomptence or greed takes care of a huge percentage of why questions where something went wrong. If the video is a bombshell and would have gained huge ratings for CBS then they would have played it unless incompetence got in the way IMO.
what has happened in that the efforts to cobble together a coaltion accomodations keep being made.
president bush winning accelerated that approach. he was a decent man but the folks around him set the groundwork for a lot of this nonsense.
that is why part of me is glad the party lost. forces some level of reckoning. y'all think it's about diversity. i think it's about absolutism. these binary bs needs to go away
There you go again, ascribing malice to a situation where there's little or none. Does the GOP have a few racist wingnuts? Sure. So does the left. On neither side do such people speak for the party or hold any real power. (I didn't see Sheriff Joe a single time in the past six months.)
The GOP, or at least the truly conservative portion of the GOP, wants to see the size and scope of government massively reduced. The vast majority of Latinos, meanwhile, want to see the size and scope of government substantially increased. We've seen this in the polls, and we've seen it in the home countries of the places from which most Latino immigrants emigrate. Thus, the GOP and most Latinos have fundamentally different visions of the role of government, and there's no easy or mutually satisfactory compromise. If one side wants less and the other side wants more, neither side will be happy with the status quo as a compromise.
The simple fact is, the United States was founded on the basis of limited government. We've obviously gone way beyond that, and conservatives want to reverse that trend. The GOP isn't anti-immigrant or anti-Latino; the GOP is simply anti-people-who-want-big-government. It's no different than a political party closing its primary, or Jim telling us we can't discuss politics in every single thread on his baseball site.
If 15 million people entered or remained in the U.S. illegally, and the Dems knew that 80 percent of them were all but guaranteed to vote for Republicans if they were amnestied and given citizenship, does anyone here claim that Dems would be making it a moral imperative to bestow voting rights on this group of people? It's ludicrous to even suggest it. But the Dems find themselves in the enviable position of having 10 or 15 million votes just a piece of legislation away, so they pander to Latinos by expanding the welfare state and they demagogue the issue of amnesty to solidify their support in that demographic. It doesn't have anything to do with racism or anti-racism or anything like that; it's just naked, bare-knuckles American politics, and pretending otherwise is dishonest.
And in any event, heaven forbid that a party have to win on the strength of it's ideas and candidate with the people rather than the latest in a looong line of silver bullets that never seem to work.
I live in Japan. I disagree.
Here's Mark Levin's response to Romney's loss:
Harvey, I honestly wish you and yours would retake the reins of this on-going train wreck of a party. Hell, I *voted with you* prior to the second Clinton term. But it was clear by the late 90s that the GOP was eaten alive from the inside, that the Dixiecrat/Fundamentalist cells they had gobbled up via the Southern Strategy had metastasized and taken over the vital organs already. Hell, this "death spiral" started with the Clinton impeachment, IMHO.
Arpaio won reelection by 10 points.
The "I'm going to make life so unenjoyable here that they'll want to pack up and move out of the country" stuff probably didn't help much, either.
Your posting history, your attitude, and your espoused worldview. You demonstrated the point prefectly on this page, when you dismissed what fdp as "faddish gibberish." It obviously doesn't occur to you that, abrasive though he can be, you might be able to learn from him as well.
Like I said to HW: if you want to work the sociodemographic/subjectivity angles, the best place to start looking is in the mirror.
Arpaio hauled in an absolute ton of money, and let's not forget Tom Tancredo... sure - both sides have "theirs"... but it's just blindly inaccurate to say t"on neither side"... We can discuss the proportional mix - but hey, I'm offered enough honest advise on the matter, so frankly - I encourage you to knock yourself out with the delusion... we'll have more elections in 2014, in 2016, etc - and seeing clear demographic trends, I hope that, electorally, most Republicans continue to think just like you.
Yup - and guess what, the founders themselves went "way beyond that", too... I'm assuming you're aware that the "United States" was founded by the Articles of Confederation and that by any rational reading, the Constitution radically expand the size, scope and power of the government. When you compare the Articles and Constitution side-by-side, I don't even think you need to be versed in something like Thomas Paine's Agrarian Justice to see that we really haven't moved the dial as much as the founders themselves did, in relative terms, within their own lifetimes.
I don't know... how did it happen in 1983? Or - is illegal immigration a new thing?
And rationally decided that of the two choices, the best option for getting out from under that crush was the guy guiding the on-going recovery, not the guy promising to return the nation to the status quo ante from 2008 that led to the crash. (HINT: getting crushed by the recession doesn't mean they're stupid enough to fall for your attempt to blame the recession on Obama and the Dems.)
So they voted for the guy whose policy proposals matched their interests, and also happened to not be running as the candidate repping the party that alienates and hates on them with vigor? Weird.
Could you provide a single example of Mitt Romney doing any of the above? (And before Andy jumps in with another screed about the evils of "self-deportation," please keep in mind that (1) "self-deportation" was Obama's policy for well over three years and remains his policy for non-Dreamers, and (2) there's nothing nativist or racist about it. This whole idea that illegal immigrants are an aggrieved party not only deserving of amnesty but entitled to amnesty is one of the most bizarre ideas in American politics. If some people crash your Super Bowl party and they're still at your house on Easter Sunday, they're not the aggrieved party.)
Arpaio is a local sheriff and Tancredo hasn't been in office in years.
Yes, we will, and if Obama and the Dems thought immigration was a net winner, they would have moved legislation back in 2009 when they had complete control of the federal government. Absolutely nothing would be better for the GOP than for Obama and the Dems to try to jam an immigration bill through in the lame-duck or in 2013. We all saw what happened in 2007, and the good times were still rolling back then.
Ha... you mean, you missed the "47%" video?
Or - do I need to walk you through how communities that have heard 'welfare queens' or been told of 'leeches' to clog up emergency rooms or need to stop being 'victims' for better than a generation might strongly suspect that when Romney talked about having no hope of getting 47% of the vote because they're "victims" and "dependent" - he just might be referring to them especially.
Mitt Romney represents the party. He is therefore guilty of the party's sins. That's just the way these things work, Joe.
Thus you think that all the other reasons people are bringing up are fringe issues that do not explain the central voting pattern?
NOTE: Sam, I tried a couple times and got bounces. "Sam dot H at Bell South dot net" did not work. Was I suppossed to spell out the last name? Was the dot between Sam and H? Am I being the biggest idiot ever?
Gosh, if only these stupid Negroes had realized that this was all about preventing voter fraud.
The "I'm going to make life so unenjoyable here that they'll want to pack up and move out of the country" stuff probably didn't help much, either.
Nah, it's just that those illegal swimovers have a chip on their shoulders. Just ask Sheriff Joe.
It is faddish gibberish. If he'd write better, I might pay closer attention.
The one piece of faddish gibberish that warrants addressing further is this: "Individuals get to negotiate meanings in their own contexts, and bring their own experiences to the table in doing so."
When I commented on Andy (and others) I brought "my own experiences to the table." I've had the experience of seeing plenty of white people condescend to and patronize black people. I brought that "to the table" and was accordingly able -- as were others -- to easily identify it.
Nor, of course, is he truly willing to let "individuals ... negotiate meanings in their own contexts." Only certain people get to do that, so long as they "negotiate" certain meanings.
change is a hard thing.
i wish my party members would remember president reagan's golden rule about not speaking ill of other republicans. it distresses me that folks are attacking the governor.
i find the work visa notion ridiculous. companies should be able to hire the best candidates, period.
you are welcome to shut yourself in but you cannot shut the world out.
it's a fool's errand
SamH. Not Sam.H. My bad! Last attempt got through successfully.
i promise to not give your email address to any known 'nutters' in my party.
just your address
The Dem leader in the Senate for decades was a former member of the Ku Klux Klan, but that was OK. But Mitt Romney and the GOP apparently can't win elections because of a few wingnuts who hold no power within the party. Very convenient.
***
Joe is from the Northeast, and Joe's parents are essentially non-political.
The biggest influence on my politics over the past 20 years has probably been Thomas Sowell. Maybe some of the lefties here can tell us about "tolerance" as it pertains to Sowell and the slurs regularly hurled at him by people on the left.
I certainly never ascribed any such status to you. C'mon, you're talking to the Yankee Redneck!
Granted, but there are "curious beliefs" and then there are "vehemently ignorant anti-scientific beliefs which imperil the future of our nation, flaunted proudly for the edification of simpletons." If you "conservatives" really want to give China a nice boost in the coming decades just keep pushing for more Bible-based education.
Googlemastery aside, all you really need to do is pay attention. I'm a scientist, so of course I have more of an interest in this that your average Brewers fan, but surely the general anti-science bent of the Republican party as currently constituted can't have escaped your notice, even if the specific names and quotes have.
Now you may have noticed I listed several Republicans on the House committee on science. What does this committee do?
Now are any of these areas of oversight ones where having virulently anti-science (or, if you want to be exceedingly generous, just damn ignorant) members might pose a risk to applying the best solutions after serious consideration of the best data? For example, does the bible contain any valuable insight into atmospheric chemistry? If not, why would anyone reference it as an authoritative source, assuming they didn't just simply hate science?
I doubt you know any "climate skeptics". You probably know many climate denialists. Sadly, you won't find any resolution to denialism in the bible or in far-flung conspiracies where scientists are given $5000 (from unknown but presumably nefarious sources) for signing a position paper. But these are the people the Republican party have charged with making such assessments.
That sounds like a question for scientists involved in serious science. I'm not sure if that's the sort of question best addressed by people who think "evolution and embryology and the Big Bang Theory, all that is lies straight from the pit of Hell". I'm sure our enemies would be delighted if we adopted such opinions as policy.
There's really no way around it - hating science is hating America. We didn't beat the Russians to the moon because we outprayed them.
Except that assumes that one can clearly make life miserable for the those in the US illegally and those people that look like them on the surface but who are here legally. Self-deportation measures are likely to bother many who were born in this country. Is it unreasonable for a 20 year old hispanic male born in the US for example to think that he is going be inconvenienced during this effort? If so, why?
Yes. There is plenty of room in America. America is not a "pure bred" we are a mongrel. Woof.
SBB: Nearly 80% turn out in MN. Does my heart good.
Tancredo has been out of office for 3 years - but he's also managed to stay in the news by running for governor - and frankly, I don't know of any Republican that has made any effort to denounce or otherwise put daylight between themselves and Tancredo publicly, but whatever... we can look at -
current US Senators David Vitter and Tom Coburn both ran reelection ads in their last elections that were Willie Horton-esque variations of brown looking hands grabbing cash for 'services'... You can find no shortage of Republicans that have sought or have publicly praised groups like the 'Minutemen'... We can look at things like the brouhaha over the 'wise Latina' comment from Sotomayer...
But hey, I'll say it again -- if you think the GOP's (growing and growing more significant) problem with Latinos is so simple, well -- I heartily encourage you to continue to think that and by all means, help reinforce the idea within the GOP.
Which decades, in particular, were those, Joe?
This guy needs to hook up with Elaine Benes, so they could be the King and Queen of Confrontation. And in the spirit of this "Libertarian Republican" (which is what he calls himself), anyone who doesn't like quotes can just #### off:
Byrd was in the Senate for decades, but unless I'm forgetting a lot of Senate history - he was only Senate majority leader for 2 (I believe he did another 4-6 as minority leader).... Even then, he was no more and no less a 'party leader' than Strom Thurmond... and luck of luck, they're both dead - so I'd propose we call that one a wash.
I don't think these things are exactly the same. One is outright rejection of science because it contrasts with religious beliefs. One is questioning science because it conflicts with economic beliefs. And evolution is on much firmer scientific ground than climatology (which doesn't make denies right or even useful).
Most people in the world have some religious beliefs about creation myths etc. The difference between the Democrats and Republicans is that ALL THE FOLKS the think that their religion has the right - nay - DUTY to overrule "Secular Reality" (not to mention other religious beliefs) have aligned themselves with the Republican party.
Really, I don't care if you believe how the world was created in 6 days or 80, or whether or not humans are the sole exception to biological evolution or whether the moon is really made of green cheese. What matters is how one "forces" their religious beliefs on others by attempting to modify teaching curricula etc, or deny EASY access to birth control (not to mention abortion).
It's whether or not you reject the separation of church and state - and while many, many republicans are on the right side of this - the vast majority of those who reject this and are politically active, are active via the GOP.
Now to be fair - there are plenty of liberal behaviors that mimic this (from a non "religious" standpoint) and are also loathsome (lets say... political correctness or general nanny-state ism).
You know Latinos are supposed to be very devout. Perhaps running an actual Bishop from a secretive cult that posthumously baptizes non-members without their family's consent gave them pause. Not that the librulmedia would harp on such things as a white man's religion, but people are known to talk.
That can be your new handle!
And for Joe: "There you go again."
And for Robinred: "Like I said to ____". Or: "He is a pol."
this is incredible stuff
Summary: It was a close election, was not a watershed. Not the beginning of a new Democratic era, and not the end of Freedom and Liberty.
Tactically I agree, strategically long term I am not sure (except for the part about the rise of the machines).
You simp, there's about zero chance of you engaging in any of those actions because you're a sackless blowhard secure in the knowledge that you'd quickly find yourself in the kind of confrontation that would force you to cry for the minions of big government to save you.
Thomas Sowell is like Michael Barone: Great when he reports data, not so great when he goes into his rants. His first book is a classic that's well worth reading and re-reading every few years, and his many empirical studies on race and ethnicity are all very good as well. He's kind of like a Noam Chomsky of the right, in that you have to separate his knowledge from his opinions. His main problem is that like a lot of people, he's not that great of a listener, and he never seems to grant anyone the slightest bit of a point if it's not in lockstep with his own opinion.
Family values!!
I remain sad no one would bet handle swaps with me. Oh well.
It's also Exhibit A for why I sometimes like to copy stuff instead of just leaving everything buried in the link. Though what I quoted was only the concluding paragraphs.
Hey don't discourage him. As a single liberal guy I want all those folks divorcing Liberal/Democratic women. More for me to choose from.
Heh... I like Kevin Drum, I really do - but he's a professional lefty killjoy ;-)
I don't disagree with him, though - we've got some tough issues coming up and I can guarantee that there are going to be deals made that will lead to liberal teeth-gnashing (I expect to be doing some gnashing of my own)... but this is the week for mirth and merry!
There are military families on food stamps. So he must hate our troops.
Byrd spent a solid decade as the Dems' leader, and another two decades among the Dems' top 2-3 Senate leaders.
If the theory is that Romney can't win because of Arpaio, then it's kind of a strange theory, since the vast majority of blacks seemingly had no problem voting for Dems while the Dems had a former Klansman atop their hierarchy for 30 years.
We're going in circles here. The GOP's problem with Latinos is that Latinos want more government and the GOP wants less. Latinos also generally support amnesty, which, as Republicans learned in the '80s, is a net loser for the GOP politically. What's the alleged upside here? Instead of getting 20 percent of 10 million Latino votes, the GOP might get 30 percent of 20 Latino votes after amnesty? The GOP doesn't need any stats wizards to tell us that math doesn't work.
He wasn't an active Klansman, he apologized for his actions, and he took concrete steps over many decades to rebuild his image in the African-American community. Which is what Republicans need to do to win votes.
I eagerly look forward to your newly modified Harveys Wallbangers, ignorant stooge handle.
Tactically I agree, strategically long term I am not sure (except for the part about the rise of the machines).
I do think the biggest danger to Democrats is thinking that this was a huge win. They need to start working now with the 2014 election in mind, particularly in recruiting candidates for the house races. They are giving up way to many seats by running lackluster candidates. They did a good job with in the Senate in 2012, but they do have some tough races for 2014, so they need to keep their eye on that.
The best thing for Republicans if for the Democrats to think this election tells the future.
Are conservatives time lords?
I think there is some overlap, though -- at least some of the hard-core religious right question the scientific consensus on climate change because they believe in direct and active supernatural intervention by god, or don't care about it because they expect to be raptured up to heaven momentarily.
By the time Byrd was Senate Majority Leader, he'd long since repudiated his past racial views. When he filibustered against the 1964 Civil Rights bill, the leadership of his party repudiated him. When Thurmond bolted the Democrats over that same Civil Rights bill, the Republicans welcomed him with open arms and pointedly let him maintain his accumulated seniority. Byrd was a dirtball in many ways, but when it comes to nasty racial demagoguery, no prominent national politician in the past 60 years other than Jesse Helms has quite the deserved reputation of Strom Thurmond.
EDIT: half a coke to JDL
From Byrd's Wikipedia page:
He'd quit it by 1950. You can keep hammering a guy for something he did and then apologized for and disavowed, but it's not very worthwhile.
I went to grad school in Maricopa County. It's one of the relatively few places I can think of that makes Montgomery look like a socialist paradise in comparison.
I don't know what Latinos want, but Liberals want a better society, which requires (IMO) efficient and effective government.
More government in the form of random regulations, bigger defense, more TSA, more immigration authority - not so much. More government for more food and safety inspectors, IRS auditors, police, fire, and teachers - then yes up to a point. More government meaning a better safety net, more income redistribution, fostering basic research and making education affordable - again, yes up to a point.
Andy, you failed to quote some of his comments, which were a hoot:
So... was this not reasonable? Should he not have done that?
(Seriously: Note from above that his own sister was too afraid of him to tell him who she voted for.)
I'm all on board with this - I've been trading e-mails with a particularly dispirited and angry, but generally rational and not prone to oversimplification talking points... He's not one of the types that uses 'entitlement reform' as a trojan to get rid of entitlements (he ideologically opposes them, but he's willing to accept their inevitably and will give a fair hearing to ideas that deal with entitlements without eliminating or voucherizing them)... I have a rather lengthy response with a couple of Medicare ideas I was thinking about posting in this thread.
The other -
Is a good point that I'd be interested in hearing conservative views about, especially in light of 'limited government' and 'takers/makers'...
On one hand, this debate dates back more than a century -- you can find thinkers that were wondering what would happen to farm laborers, factory workers, etc -- when new machines would lead us to fewer jobs, etc.
We always seem to have found more 'work' for human beings - even if increasingly, much of it is just 'busy work - but what does happen when the day is upon us that a really big chunk of work today is handled by machines? Even, the building of machines to DO that work comes by machines?
We'll always have innovators, inventors, etc - and they'll always need some level of other humans to support those endeavors... but in that sci-fi future where there literally isn't gainful employment to be had for more than half the population, what do we do about the other half? Let them starve? Kill 'em off? Or - in such a world, would we then accept something like certain government-provided guarantees regarding income (or - in a star trek world without money, let's say shelter, food, health care and other necessities). Further, would we then be OK with massive public funding of the arts, etc? I mean - if we have fewer and fewer such jobs for people - it makes sense to me that we might as well create programs for art, music, literature, etc to have something to do in our spare time besides sweep floors, dig ditches, or fill out reports.
How could this have surprised them? Either their own internal polling was either so flawed that it wasn't giving useful data, or they simply refused to believe (famously, like some here) in the party ID results they were getting. I mean if Pretty Pathetic Polling as Joe calls them was able to accurately gauge the electorate, why wasn't Team GOP able to at least privately know what was happening?
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main