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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
Come next Tuesday night, we’ll get a resolution (let’s hope) to a great ongoing battle of 2012: not just the Presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, but the one between the pundits trying to analyze that race with their guts and a new breed of statistics gurus trying to forecast it with data.
In Election 2012 as seen by the pundits–political journalists on the trail, commentators in cable-news studios–the campaign is a jump ball. There’s a slight lead for Mitt Romney in national polls and slight leads for Barack Obama in swing-state polls, and no good way of predicting next Tuesday’s outcome beyond flipping a coin. ...
Bonus link: Esquire - The Enemies of Nate Silver
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Sounds like the filming schedule arrangements for "Yankeeography", circa 1973.
The original key parties!
Right. Had Petraeus WON Afghanistan, I would get behind an unlimited supply of government supplied hookers for him.
Silly git didn't win, so keep it in your pants.
On whitehouse.gov, there are ~72,000 signatures on the
drone strikesuccession petition. WH policy is to issues formal replies at 25K. The anticipation is too much to handle.So LA has something just shy of 20K signatures, TX is second with 15K or so. Be generous and say the other states average 10K per petition. 18*10K = 180K + 20K + 15K... Hell, say we have 250K petitioners at the end of festivities.
250K / 312M citizens*
Are we really surprised that .08% of the population are neoconfederate idiots?
*20 million illegal immigrants have been left out of this by design
Ever read the comments section to an article on a big media site? There is no literacy requirement on the internet.
It only will reply if the topic of the petition is within the purview of the President's executive authority, so I doubt anything will be forthcoming.
Some are sarcastic bastards willing to be rid of some states, I'm guessing.
That's a relief. I mean, I already speak Texan, but if we'd really bolted, I was fixing to have to learn the lyrics to George Strait's River of Love and the rules of NASCAR.
That's great and all when you're young, but the negative effects on stewardship, diplomacy, and martial really suck when you become king.
(Too much CK2.)
GOP Invites Rep. West To Run In Georgia
From the never ending font of entertainment that is Free Republic:
That last one had "NOT voting for the GOP's socialist - Romney" as their signature.
I love the supposition that a party to the right of the GOP would somehow be viable.
A local columnist suggested that the White House give those petitioners free tickets to Lincoln. I like that idea. Plus if they took them they'd be free loaders!
I don't have a joke, but I love CK2.
Bobby Jindal: We can’t be ‘dumbed-down’ party
QFT
Go fast. Turn left. How hard is that?
I wish he would - he could have a choice of getting his ass kicked in one of the gerrymandered Democratic districts or primary-ing one of the equally reprehensible Republicans we already have.
But, but, shouldn't that turn the weak minded back on the path of righteousness?
The liberal in me hates to rain on anyone's "do whatever you want whenever you want with whomever you want" parade...and I *definitely* agree that we're a Puritanical country with a very unhealthy relationship/obsession with sex...
If the question is why should we indict our public officials for extra-marital affairs, then I guess I agree with the thought of "who cares."
But, in something more than the abstract, wedding vows mean something, just as "vows" generally mean something. If you promise to someone that you won't do X (i.e., won't sleep with anyone else) for as long as you remain married, isn't the other person entitled to rely on that promise? Does it not say something about your character that you couldn't or wouldn't be bothered to keep that promise? Hey, I think everyone should f**k whomever they want however they want, etc.
But if you're married, I think that means, at a minimum, telling your spouse "I want to f**k other people" first. If they acquiesce, great. If not, well, get a divorce, and then proceed to do whatever you want. But I don't think glossing over the marriage contract should be done quite so easily.
I imagine Sue Everhart in her little dungeon dreaming of how Allen West could finally unseat John Lewis in GA-05. I mean, Allen West is black, you know.
Yeah, Yglesias has a piece on the larger Politco Jindal article sarcastically entitled Bobby Jindal's plan to reposition the GOP on economics without changing any of their economic policies.
Let's take this a couple of steps farther:
1. If you really believe all of that, do you think a little thing like a petition will stop Obama?
2. If you really believe all of that, do you want to identify yourself to the government be signing your name to a petition?
I refuse to believe that anyone honestly thinks
because of a ####### petition...
My district - boy howdy would I enjoy watching him try.
You clearly don't know these people. I know these people. This is how these people really think.
We're totally district buddies!
You'd think so, but it's harder than you think to sign up to troll Freeperland. They are quite skilled at detecting real crazy from fake, and have no truck with the latter. The overwhelming majority is real.
Apparently, I've only dated activist judges because they seem to have no respect for precedent...
An account. At White House dot gov?! God, you might as well implant the tracking/mind control chip yourself, Obamacare fools.
I doubt these are the majority opinions of people there - but they are fringy enough that they bring in a few from WAY out in left field, I think. Or, you could be right. I've thought about doing that once or twice, but why bother when you have (supposedly) the real thing? Instead, I once registered and tried to convince people that Obama was not a madman who was coming to take their guns (this was in 2008, after the last election). Once I started to argue with folks about his real objectives, my account was closed, just like that. No dissent allowed at Free Republic.
Point conceded.
Possibly, but I am not sure Grandpa Simpson knows how to use the internet.
It's very much that, Buehrle. It's just that we define fitness for public service in this country by a bizarre set of irrelevant moral standards. I'm a strong supporter of people who want to remain monogamous, too.
Did anyone even indict Petreaus? It seems like he 1) was banging a couple of extras on the side, 2) got caught up in a woman-scorned scenario that revealed leaked classified documents, which 3) led to a wider FBI investigation, which 4) was going to hit the media and become a scandal-story*, so he 5) resigned of his own volition.
You can argue that the scandal-story shouldn't be a scandal story, but dude, that's a bit much to ask. Sex scandals are as old as pair-bonding evolution and social hierarchies.
A story I read suggested that the classified documents were his travel schedule (which is classified) that she knew because he told her.
Not exactly earth shattering stuff if true (not to be read as condoning any of the things that happened).
Still I admit this story just keeps getting better with the recent addition of the other other woman's twin sister and the child custody hearing and the various bankruptcies. It is a never ending spiral. I still want more about initial FBI agent/crazy guy with no shirt.
GOLD, JERRRY! SOLID GOLD!
I'd say there is a reasonable need for absolute OpSec regarding the Director of CIA's travel, wouldn't you?
Yep. So he didn't give her the nuclear codes. That's a win, I guess. But on the other hand, the Director of CIA sent his bang-buddy classified docs so as to facilitate the humpback tango. That's pretty good reason to fire his ass if he didn't step down voluntarily, actually.
A friend in another forum (career military guy) has repeatedly points out the fact that two primary targeting keys for blackmail of agents and personnel are 1) marital infidelity and 2) large ratios of debt, to the point that they actually screen for those things when you're applying for security credentials.
I refuse to believe that anyone honestly thinks
because of a ####### petition...
Anyone who's ever heard of "Operation Water Moccasin"**, and the reaction to it throughout the South, will never underestimate the creulity of a large segment of our population.
**AKA the plot to have UN troops occupy the South and force us all into World Government....
They would be idiots not to.
Are people so naive that they really think all of these elected politicians believe in God?
Yeah it is like that in pretty much every survey. Atheists scored worse than Muslims post 9/11 (If I remember correctly).
The first words out of a long time coworker when she found out I was an Atheist "But you're so nice." (Little did she know).
http://www.mediaite.com/tv/denver-abc-station-misnames-paula-broadwells-petraeus-book-all-up-in-my-snatch/
surrendering seltzer with lime to 7648, although that one didn't have the word "snatch" in it (twice)
EDIT: NM, I have google.
See [7648]
I'll take a seltzer with lime, please (unless there's a fountain coke machine nearby).
Dude, if they're mining your email server, you've already been caught.
I act like the director of the CIA potentially leaking classified documents to his mistress is something that should go directly to the President, without passing Go, without collecting two hundred dollars. Who cares whether the documents related to his travel schedule (even assuming that unproven fact arguendo)? It is a serious breach that raises questions of what else she might have access to, and the breach in itself would render the CIA director unfit for his job.
WTF.
(She was also going around saying things at speeches that nobody else had ever heard before, such as the Libya facility housing prisoners, which was a potential reason for the attack. At a minimum her public comments should be investigated. Again, WTF.)
Looks to be 1963. Late Kennedy term.
You really want to blame Obama for this, don't you?
You really want to not blame Obama for this no matter what. Don't you.
I want to investigate and figure out who deserves blame, including Obama. If he didn't know about this until after the election, he set up a system of willful blindness. If he did know about it, that raises another problem. Sticking your head in the sand like an ostrich because you like Obama's policies is fine for you, but not to be taken seriously by others.
Wow, there are more Hindu congresspeople than atheists.
What problem is that?
EDIT : And hasn't it been reported that this investigation already followed the proper channels?
Possibly. It's hard to tell what she is:
Obama set up the FBI?
Explain this one to me.
Are you suggesting he told the FBI not to tell him anything about any investigation until after the election?
I agree w these assertions. In a previous life (prosecutor role, and judicial law clerk), it was also mandated that if you were ever in the presence of drug use, you were to leave the location at once. Concerns over blackmail are not exaggerated. Big concern in law enforcement, justice and military.
So the answer is yes then?
Sticking your neck into looney tune conspiracy conspiracy land may be fine for you, but not to be taken seriously by others.
You're off the res on this one, Ray.
Eric Cantor knew since early October and SAT ON IT THE WHOLE TIME!!!!! THEY GOT TO HIM TOO!
You really want to blame Obama for this, don't you?
It's funny how he's yet to show any curiosity about the motivation of that FBI agent with the "worldview" who passed on info to a Republican congressman. No possible stench there. Or why Eric Canter or Mueller didn't notify Obama directly if it was so damn critical to national security.
It may have been upthread or it may have just been in this morning's paper, but there was a beautiful anecdote about how during the Cold War era, a Soviet official tried to blackmail a high French government official by showing him photos of the official in bed with his mistress.
Instead of caving into the blackmail, the French official just said "I'll take one of this one and one of that one, and maybe one of that one, too." The Soviet official threw up his hands and gave up, probably wishing he could get transferred to America where that sort of move seems to work a lot more reliably.
EDIT: coke to spike and to everyone else who's raised the same question about Canter, including myself upthread. Of course Ray probably thinks that that FBI guy is some sort of a citizen hero who deserves the Linda Tripp medal for bravery.
We're through the looking glass now, people.
Explain this one to me.
Are you suggesting he told the FBI not to tell him anything about any investigation until after the election?
Obviously Reverend Wright and the Black Panthers must have had something to do with this. Let's bring in Kenneth Starr so we can get to the bottom of it!
You don't understand
IT IS ALL OBAMA'S FAULT
HE'S OMNIPOTENT DONTCHA KNOW
all you have to do is dig down deep and find the evidence
because you know stuff like this never ever happened on the watch of any other president ever in the history of the US.
It works like this
Bhenghazi: totally Obama's fault (except maybe in 2016 it will be retroactively H. Clinton's fault)
Beirut: totally not Reagan's fault
9/11: totally not Bush's fault
See how that works, it makes everything clear doesn't it?
Reagan- running away from Beirut means, well nothing
Reagan- picking a fight with Libya and downing 2 planes = projecting strength
Clinton- launching a missile strike on Sudan = projecting weakness
Obama- launching drone strike after drone strike, a surge in Afghanistan and a successful hit on Bin Laden = projecting weakness
why on earth does any one any where ever take this nonsense seriously?
rightwing babbling on this is like their babbling on the alleged pro-Obama bias in polling- they're not reflecting reality they're reflecting what's been bouncing off the walls of the echo chamber
There is currently ZERO evidence that Obama has anything to do with the current Petreous situation (other than naming him as head of the CIA in the first place) - there is some evidence (not much) that this was blown out of proportion by an FBI agent due to said agent's anti-Obama bias...
Or maybe they waited to get it to him because they were extra super cautious because it was the head of the C. I. f'ing A. and they did not want to be on the hook for laying out the bombshell before they hadd all their i's dotted and t's crossed. That is at least possible, right?
Am I misreading this, or are you essentially saying that his guilt/culpability is already a 'known fact' -- now we're just figuring out what the exact charge should be?
That seems a little... well... cokes to multiples above.
I remember reading a novel a long time ago about a jihadist takeover in Egypt- one of the 1st things the government did was demolish the Sphinx/Pyramids other ancient sites...
Not in right-wing-conspiracy-land. In that world, you simply sling all the mud you can find, from any source, from any angle, for any reason, and claim "cover-up!" if no one can make head nor tails of the #### you're trying to say.
Dotting i's and crossing t's just slows you down. There is no time for "fact checking".
It's worse than that -- the government in Saudi Arabia is planning to demolish some of Islam's oldest mosques.
Dotting i's and crossing t's just slows you down. There is no time for "fact checking".
Having worked in at a government agency for a time, I will even stipulate that it is not thoroughness but rather CYA actions. I have no special insight into the FBI, but I can't imagine that wrongly going after the Director of the CIA is good for the career. So in this scenario, I have no doubt that the agents were well and truly careful about getting as much evidence as they could and ensuring they considered everything as this moved up the chain.
Edit--probably late.
What fun is that?
Also says Allen received an email disparaging Kelley and forwarded to her possibly the start of the whole incident
Well, at least we're just as trustful as rapists.
below is the response by the NY Times guy who ran the weird letter in July that began: "My wife is having an affair with a government executive. His role is to manage a project whose progress is seen worldwide as a demonstration of American leadership. (This might seem hyperbolic, but it is not an exaggeration.)"
Does this response seem a little, odd?
http://www.grantland.com/story/_/id/8624514/chuck-klosterman-david-petraeus-scandal-living-cia-conspiracy-theory
I am sure you meant Benghazi Scandal, though I hear some prefer Benghazi Crisis.
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