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Saturday, May 12, 2018

Padres’ Chase Headley experiment is over

“Chase has been great to this organization for a long time,” manager Andy Green said. “This has been a tough start to the season, and he got very limited opportunity. It got to the point where it was probably best for everyone involved to make that move. … Nothing but gratitude for the way he went about his job, the professionalism. He showed up every day, (he made) an investment in these guys. He was trying to make an impact every day.”

Headley had spoken in recent weeks of his being let go being a matter of time for an organization that is invested in seeing who among its young players can stick around for a time when the Padres envision being a contender.


Headley was fairly decent as recently as last year, but Father Time is still undefeated.

Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 12, 2018 at 08:54 PM | 22 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: chase headley, general, padres, san diego padres, transactions

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   1. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: May 13, 2018 at 11:03 AM (#5671498)
I'll give Headley credit - he turned a career year into more money than most ever will. He turned an awesome 2012 season into $62.5 million in the five years afterwards. In return, a 97 OPS+ in about 3000 PAs.
   2. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 13, 2018 at 11:40 AM (#5671506)
but Father Time is still undefeated.

I'd be surprised if Headley is really done. 60 PAs isn't much of a sample.

Once he's playing for the league minimum, I think someone will pick him up, and he'll produce about 1.5/600 PAs.
   3. perros Posted: May 13, 2018 at 11:43 AM (#5671507)
If he isn't done, he should be.
   4. Captain Supporter Posted: May 13, 2018 at 12:09 PM (#5671511)
If he isn't done, he should be.


Why? He was quite decent the last two years, if not great (about .265/.340/.400 with okay defense; plus, as the article indicates, he is very good in the clubhouse). He'll be a good option for someone who needs a professional third basemen at the minimum salary.

   5. puck Posted: May 13, 2018 at 12:32 PM (#5671519)
I hope Ian Desmond is not another one in this category, though he's a few years younger. Hard to see him DFA'd with 3.5 years on his deal, but he is struggling--.175 with a .584 OPS so far. He got booed at Coors Field the other day while achieving a golden sombrero. People said was the first time a player had been booed like that since Jeremy Guthrie in 2012.


It's also nice that he's the highest paid player on the team this season ($22 million). (Weird contract: 8-22-15-15-8-[club option w/$2m buyout]).
   6. Howie Menckel Posted: May 13, 2018 at 12:41 PM (#5671521)
best part is that the deal was for the Padres to eat Headley's silly contract so they could also get the wonder that is Bryan Mitchell (0-3, 6.21 ERA, 44 H, 29 BB in 37.3 IP and now out of the starting rotation).
   7. Tom Nawrocki Posted: May 13, 2018 at 12:46 PM (#5671522)
Desmond was bad last year too, although not quite this bad. There's no reason to think he has anything left. The Rockies raved about "versatility" and "flexibility" when they signed him, but they're set at shortstop and centerfield (in the minors as well as the majors), the two positions where Desmond's versatility might be helpful. Just a dumb, dumb contract from the beginning.

Desmond also shows the downside of being a good clubhouse guy. Everyone raves about his work ethic and attitude, and he's clearly very well-liked. So everyone is bending over backwards to make sure he gets all the chances he can, when really, he needs to be DFA'd. Maybe if he was more of a jerk, he'd be easier to cut loose.
   8. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 13, 2018 at 12:51 PM (#5671523)
If he isn't done, he should be.

Bizarre comment.

Headley would probably be an upgrade for Cleveland (sliding Ramirez over to 2B) and getting Kipnis out of the batting order. Noe there's a guy who looks done.
   9. Bote Man the walk-off king Posted: May 13, 2018 at 02:08 PM (#5671541)
Ian Desmond was done or close to it in his last year with the Nationals. Each of his plate appearances was an exercise in prayer, while he began each of those final 2 seasons as a Human Error Machine at shortstop. What the Rockies were thinking I have NO idea.

From the Father Time Undefeated desk, yesterday the Nats placed Ryan Zimmerman on the 10-day DL with pick-an-injury and filled his spot with Mark Reynolds who was an offensive threat as recently as last year with .267/.352/.487 and 30 HR. We shall see what he can do at the Major League level in this, his age 34 season.
   10. Ray (CTL) Posted: May 13, 2018 at 04:00 PM (#5671569)
He was never my type of player -- not enough BA and/or XBH for a corner IF -- but the idea that a league average hitter is suddenly done based on 60 sporadic PA is fanciful.
   11. puck Posted: May 13, 2018 at 05:30 PM (#5671622)
Desmond did have a bounce back year w/Texas. Though I'm pretty sure everyone (at BBTF and across the media) were dumbfounded why the Rockies signed Desmond as a first baseman, and on a 5-year deal.

I thought maybe he'd be a super utility guy since a recurring Rockies problem is someone going down for half a year (usually Tulo or CarGo) and then having a really crappy hitter off the bench getting 300 AB's. But they not only haven't moved him around, he's one of the really crappy hitters...


Bridich's record on FA's doesn't seem too good so far.

The misses:
Desmond (-2.2 WAR, 2nd yr of 5/70M deal), Gerardo Parra (-2.0 WAR, 3rd yr of 3/27.5), Jason Motte (0 WAR, $5M), Chad Qualls (-0.2 WAR, $6M), Mike Dunn (0.3 WAR, 3rd yr of 3/19M), Kyle Kendrick (-0.7 WAR, 5.5M)

The successes/part successes:
Nick Hundley (2.2 WAR, 6.6 million), Mark Reynolds (2.4 WAR, 4.1 million), Greg Holland (1.4 WAR, not sure how much he ended up making, but they got 41 saves and a draft pick out of it?), John Axford (0.7 WAR, 2.6M)

Too early to tell, but expensive:
Last offseason's reliever binge: Wade Davis (3/52M), Bryan Price (3/27M), Jake McGee (3/27M)
Price and McGee are off to bad starts in 2018.


He's done better with trades:
Corey Dickerson and Kevin Padlo for German Marquez and Jake McGee.
The Tulo trade (they ended up with Jose Reyes dead money, but that's far less than Tulo's contract)
   12. Walt Davis Posted: May 13, 2018 at 05:38 PM (#5671626)
Another poor set of moves by Preller. They had Solarte under contract for 3/$16 but traded him to Toronto for two unranked prospects. They took on good money for Headley (to get Mitchell). They've ended up giving the 3B job to old Cub farmhand Christian Villanueva who is having a nice year. Solarte had played a good amount of 2B as well where they are playing the 26-year-old Asuaje who's rather old and probably under-talented to really be worth looking at as part of a future. Maybe the pitchers they got for Solarte will turn out well but at the moment it looks like Preller created an expensive hole where he had a reasonably-priced solution.

They are also starting Freddy Galvis at SS. On offense they have almost nobody over 30 but they also have almost nobody 25 or younger -- Margot and the great Franchy Cordero (no seriously, he's playing really well). Jose Pirela is pretty much the only other guy getting PT who hasn't already proven himself unworthy of substantial ML playing time (and isn't a name prospect) but he's a OF and not pushing Headley out of the door.

Tanker updata: 92-181 overall (incl Baltimore who I don't think were tanking). That's nearly an average 108-loss pace. Some might incl TB, Atl and Pitt which improves it a lot to 154-233, which is just under a 400 WP. Despite their win today, the White Sox hold at least a 2-game lead for the first pick. Detroit is completely messing up and would currently pick 9th and is just a half-game off TB.
   13. Jacob Posted: May 13, 2018 at 06:38 PM (#5671647)
Another poor set of moves by Preller


Just about all his moves have been bad.
   14. Tom Nawrocki Posted: May 13, 2018 at 07:27 PM (#5671655)
Too early to tell, but expensive:
Last offseason's reliever binge: Wade Davis (3/52M), Bryan Price (3/27M), Jake McGee (3/27M)
Price and McGee are off to bad starts in 2018.


I'd rather they had signed Bryan Price. Bryan Shaw has a 5.30 ERA. All he needs to do is throw 15 straight scoreless innings, and he'll get his ERA below 3.

Davis looks like a run-of-the-mill closer, hardly a bad pitcher but certainly not worth being the highest-paid reliever in baseball. He's clearly not the guy who posted a 1.18 ERA over three seasons with the Royals, although Bridich is paying him like he is.

The Rockies do some things really well, like developing talent and giving those players a chance to succeed. They've got Arenado, Blackmon, Story, and Dahl as homegrown starters, plus LeMahieu came over after one partial season with the Cubs. Plus, the entire rotation is homegrown (although Marquez came over as a minor leaguer), and they're all pretty good.

But they'd be better off if Bridich hadn't signed a single free agent.
   15. asinwreck Posted: May 14, 2018 at 06:27 PM (#5672249)
Preller got Tatis for Shields and some cash to pay Shields. If that goes down as his best deal, that's pretty good.
   16. bookbook Posted: May 15, 2018 at 01:04 AM (#5672479)
Can he play 2b? Some guy named Jerry on line two wants to know.
   17. Walt Davis Posted: May 15, 2018 at 02:47 AM (#5672494)
Well, according to b-r, that was $38 M in cash to pay Shields. Tatis Jr was 17 at the time of the trade ... I'm pretty sure you can get a lot of 17-year-old baseball players if you're willing to pay $38 M for them.

I know, the deal was better than that, sunk costs, etc. Hard to say how much less money they could have paid if they'd settled for rubbish in return.

And although he was rated in the top 10 coming into the season, FTJ has struggled some at AA -- very good power, decent walks but a 233 BA with 52 K in 164 PA. For good or bad, he's not running this year. Still only 19, plenty of time to straighten things out
   18. You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR) Posted: May 15, 2018 at 06:25 AM (#5672501)
Moving Headley was a controversial but clearly shrewd move by Mr. Cashman, who now has to figure out how to get the most out of two young, talented 3B. Bryan Mitchell was a reasonable throw-in to help shed salary, but while he always had great stuff he continues to be a cautionary reminder than “spin rate” isn’t everything.
   19. Zonk is a Doppleclapper Posted: May 15, 2018 at 10:50 AM (#5672582)
Another poor set of moves by Preller

Just about all his moves have been bad.


On the bright side, though - now his bad moves are no longer getting him suspended. That's a plus.
   20. stanmvp48 Posted: May 15, 2018 at 01:18 PM (#5672692)
Speaking of being finished, Ryan Braun looked absolutely awful this weekend.
   21. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: May 15, 2018 at 01:41 PM (#5672709)
Speaking of being finished, Ryan Braun
One can hope.
   22. Der-K: at 10% emotional investment Posted: May 15, 2018 at 03:10 PM (#5672824)
I liked the Headley deal for SD. He looked to be a near league average player who was only under contract for one year and not really blocking anybody; Mitchell had performed at a high level in the minors (indeed, ZiPS was pretty bullish on him) and would be cost controlled for years - all it really cost was rosters, a year of a bad contract, and an outfielder that I like (Blash) but they don't believe in and who had a natural replacement in-house (Reyes).

Oops.

Anyway, Headley's next stop, should he play again, is AAA - he needs to get back on track before getting any more big league time.

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