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Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Passan: Home runs are as plentiful as trout, and rookie Mike Trout is hitting his share

Trout masks: The HR% blows forward ‘n the HR% blows back.

The rumors of the home run’s demise, it turns out, were not just greatly exaggerated. They may not have been anything more than statistical noise. Because even though the carryover from the Year of the Pitcher in 2010 and its sequel in 2011 remains palpable, the home run’s comeback has significantly quelled the trilogy.

After 28 home runs Sunday, major leaguers have hit 3,497 in 1,717 games this season. That amounts to 1.018 home runs per game per team. Which, while below the record 1.172 set in 2000 in the throes of the steroid era, represents a significant uptick from the last two seasons, when home runs dropped below one per game for the first time since before the 1994 strike.

Homers are up 8.68 percent over last year, when they bottomed out at .937 per game, and they rose particularly in June and July. With 1.052 per game, June ranked as the fourth most homeriffic month in the last five seasons – until July beat it out with 1.059.

10. Mike Trout and do everything well. The home run-robbing catches never get old. Watching him steal a base is a treat in pure athleticism. He’s smart. He’s savvy.

I always wondered what it was like to watch a young Mickey Mantle play. Now I know.

To think he’ll develop power like the Mick is indeed far-fetched, though putting any sorts of limitations on Trout is the sort of thing reserved for fools, and I endeavor to keep my foolishness to a minimum, or at least private. So I’ll leave it to a scout to send a revised report on Trout:

“He may hit 40, but he’s not going to go much higher than that.”

Repoz Posted: August 14, 2012 at 07:47 AM | 22 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. Worrierking Posted: August 14, 2012 at 09:11 AM (#4207838)
Makes me want to grow fins.
   2. vortex of dissipation Posted: August 14, 2012 at 12:59 PM (#4208033)
Trout will do well as long as he lays off the low yo yo stuff.
   3. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:17 PM (#4208043)
Wow. Headline writer was really that determined to get a play on the last name in there, huh?
   4. Dan Szymborski Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:39 PM (#4208054)
My theory is that Yahoo is outsourcing headline writing to a country in which nobody speaks English. It reads like something you put through Babelfish into a foreign language and then back into English again.
   5. PreservedFish Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:46 PM (#4208059)
Passan: Nothing Fishy about Trout's Talent, His Last Name Also Being the Name of a Common Fish
   6. JoeHova Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:48 PM (#4208061)
Wow, that is one labored headline.
   7. Lassus Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:50 PM (#4208063)
Passan: Mike Trout Hits Better, is Better Statesman than Fishes Preserved, Hamilton, and Stuyvesant
   8. PreservedFish Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:53 PM (#4208068)
Passan: Trout are Good Swimmers, and Mike Trout's Season is Going Just Swimmingly
   9. PreservedFish Posted: August 14, 2012 at 01:53 PM (#4208069)
You know sometimes I forget that my handle is also fish related.
   10. Tom Nawrocki Posted: August 14, 2012 at 02:31 PM (#4208103)
Unlike Small-T Trout, This Trout Breathes Air, Hits Homers, Reproduces in a Manner That Results in Live Young
   11. jack the seal clubber (on the sidelines of life) Posted: August 14, 2012 at 03:02 PM (#4208139)
Pitchers Can't Get Trout to Bite on Slider Bait

Trout Scales Heights of Stardom

Trout guts records of Bass and Salmon
   12. RMc is a fine piece of cheese Posted: August 14, 2012 at 04:06 PM (#4208205)
This Trout's Not Dizzy
   13. Random Transaction Generator Posted: August 14, 2012 at 04:23 PM (#4208235)
   14. TomH Posted: August 14, 2012 at 04:38 PM (#4208256)
Mr. Trout also currently has stolen 28 bases in a row without a CS. It is quite rare for a young rook to have that kind of success stealing.

   15. AROM Posted: August 14, 2012 at 04:46 PM (#4208261)
And not exactly commonplace for anybody to have that kind of SB success. According to wikipedia, the record was 31, by Max Carey, until Davey Lopes broke it in 1975. Getting up to 35 will put Trout in the top 10, and if he can make it to 40 he'll be one of 4 players to do that. Vince Coleman has the record at 50, which started in 1988 and went into 1989.
   16. A big pile of nonsense (gef the talking mongoose) Posted: August 14, 2012 at 04:57 PM (#4208277)
This Trout a Mammal Who Hits Baseballs.
   17. Fernigal McGunnigle has become a merry hat Posted: August 14, 2012 at 05:09 PM (#4208294)
This Trout Also Catches Flies, but Unlike the Fish He Doesn't Then Get Hauled Onto Dry Land by Anglers

The great Izaak Walton wrote about his fielding prowess way back in 1653:

"The jealous Trout, that low did lie
Rose at a well-dissembled fly ..."
   18. The Mighty Quintana Posted: August 14, 2012 at 05:12 PM (#4208298)
Trout Seen Leaping out of Pond to Snare Fly


(almost works if only Angels played at the nearby Arrowhead Pond of Anaheim)
   19. The Mighty Quintana Posted: August 14, 2012 at 05:13 PM (#4208299)
Coke to Fernigal....and hell, everyone else....inlcuding Passan
   20. Yonder Alonso in misguided trousers (cardinal) Posted: August 14, 2012 at 05:17 PM (#4208304)
The Angels should have a Captain Beefheart day and sell, well, you know.
   21. valuearbitrageur Posted: August 14, 2012 at 06:50 PM (#4208408)
The home run-robbing catches never get old


I'm confused, is Trout a key part of the HR surge or is he the lone superhero holding it back?
   22. Walt Davis Posted: August 15, 2012 at 08:28 AM (#4208597)
Mr. Trout also currently has stolen 28 bases in a row without a CS. It is quite rare for a young rook to have that kind of success stealing.

That's the worst fish pun I've ever read.

This Trout's Not Dizzy

Nor Steve.

Nor Mike Crudale.



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