Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Thursday, May 01, 2014

Perry: Breaking down Adrian Gonzalez’s early resurgence

Max Adrian: Deliverus.

At this writing, Dodgers first baseman and fulcrum Adrian Gonzalez leads the NL in homers (tied), ranks second in slugging percentage and checks in at seventh (tied) in doubles. It’s early, of course, but this has the makings of a power resurgence for the veteran slugger.

...As for what happens when Gonzalez does put bat on ball, thus far in 2014 Gonzalez is hitting home runs on 27.6 percent of his fly balls. That’s a lofty figure, especially in comparison to his 2013 mark of 11.4 percent. Still, it’s not wildly out of step with A-Gon’s prime HR/FB rates in 2008 (20.7 percent) and 2009 (22.2 percent). While you can expect his 2014 rate to come back to earth a bit, it may not be as much as you’d think. That is, Gonzalez has proved that he’s capable of HR/FB percentages in the 20s.

...This season, exactly half of his NL-leading eight homers have been to left or left-center. That’s a good thing, insofar as Gonzalez’s near-term outlook is concerned. Moreover, Gonzalez, per Jeff Zimmerman’s data, has added almost 15 feet of distance to his average fly ball versus last season.

Yes, sample-size caveats apply, but Gonzalez’s improved health in tandem with his renewed ability to hit balls with authority and use the entire field bode well. Gonzalez is of course soon to be 32 years of age, so a long-term renaissance isn’t likely. The 2014 season, however, may turn out to be a vintage A-Gon campaign.

Repoz Posted: May 01, 2014 at 09:33 AM | 4 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: dodgers, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Walt Davis Posted: May 01, 2014 at 06:58 PM (#4698493)
No comments? C'mon, who's the fulcrum on all the other teams?

Was AGon one of the wrist injury victims? Folks here have speculated that it saps your power for a couple of years.

And this season's real comeback story? Justin Morneau is hitting 343/367/618, 154 OPS+. I don't care if it's Coors, I don't care about the walks and even if it doesn't last, that's great to see.
   2. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 01, 2014 at 07:12 PM (#4698495)
Was AGon one of the wrist injury victims?
Yes, but that was more than 10 years ago. He's been remarkably durable.
   3. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 01, 2014 at 08:19 PM (#4698516)
I thought it was a shoulder injury that sapped his power his second year with the Red Sox and carried over for some time in LA.
   4. Dale Sams Posted: May 02, 2014 at 12:19 AM (#4698642)
I hope he keeps it up so all the doomsayers can eat crow.


...and yes, I have been a doomsayer but certainly not about him.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
HowardMegdal
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogSanchez-Fueled Yanks Penning Thrilling Script
(8 - 1:07pm, Aug 27)
Last: He who brought the butter dish to Balshazar (CoB)

NewsblogOT: August 2016 Soccer Thread
(361 - 1:01pm, Aug 27)
Last: He who brought the butter dish to Balshazar (CoB)

NewsblogBaseball’s minor leaguers pursue their dreams below the poverty line - The Washington Post
(13 - 1:00pm, Aug 27)
Last: McCoy

NewsblogOTP 2016 August 22: Baseball has much to teach us about politics
(930 - 12:48pm, Aug 27)
Last: GregD

NewsblogThe San Diego Chicken Heads Into a Sunset
(1 - 12:34pm, Aug 27)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight

Newsblog2016 New York City Softball Game
(444 - 12:14pm, Aug 27)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogWhite Sox GM Rick Hahn says talk of trade-deadline discord 'simply untrue'
(26 - 11:39am, Aug 27)
Last: McCoy

Gonfalon CubsDog Days of Summer
(104 - 11:31am, Aug 27)
Last: Brian C

NewsblogDodgers land Ruiz from Phillies | dodgers.com
(45 - 9:38am, Aug 27)
Last: Bote Man makes baseball fun again

NewsblogJeff Francoeur is Still Employed by a Major League Team
(24 - 8:25am, Aug 27)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 8-25-16
(166 - 2:31am, Aug 27)
Last: Spahn Insane, stimulus-funded BurlyMan™

NewsblogOT: NBA Offseason Thread, July 2016
(1029 - 2:31am, Aug 27)
Last: maccoach57

Sox TherapyIt Gets Easier...But Not Easy
(9 - 1:26am, Aug 27)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogAstros analysis: Third baseman of the future has to be Alex Bregman - Houston Chronicle
(7 - 12:10am, Aug 27)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOT - College Football offseason thread (February - August 2016)
(37 - 11:16pm, Aug 26)
Last: Tulo's Fishy Mullet (mrams)

Page rendered in 0.1579 seconds
47 querie(s) executed