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Saturday, July 14, 2012

Peter Funt: Baseball has a stat for everything

Funt bares BUSTS! (just wish someone would have done this earlier with PFLUG)

Baseball has a stat for everything: WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched), LIPS (late inning pressure situations), ERA and IRA (earned runs allowed and inherited runs allowed), plus dozens more. But as my math teacher was fond of saying, “Garbage in means garbage out.”

Baseball’s nagging problem is BUSTS (bad umpiring and scoring tarnishes stats).

Players and fans alike are losing patience with inconsistencies among umpires and scorers. What good is a pitcher’s K/BB (strikeout-to-walk ratio) if umps can’t agree on the strike zone? How important is a fielder’s FPCT (fielding percentage) if scorers differ widely in determining what is a hit and what is an error?

...In most cases, scoring seems to protect fielders while boosting offensive stats. Too windy? Hit. Bad bounce? Hit. Ball falls while two fielders stare at each other? Hit.

During the All-Star game, outfielder Bryce Harper stood with a confused expression as Mike Napoli’s routine fly dropped to the ground. Ruling: a hit. Come on.

The trend to favor fielders is unmistakable. The 11 highest fielding percentages of all time have come in the last 11 seasons, and overall errors are down by about 25 percent since 1970.

Repoz Posted: July 14, 2012 at 06:35 AM | 5 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: sabermetrics

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   1. I Am Not a Number Posted: July 14, 2012 at 07:56 AM (#4182322)
“Garbage in means garbage out.”

I felt the same way reading this article.
   2. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: July 14, 2012 at 08:03 AM (#4182324)
...In most cases, scoring seems to protect fielders while boosting offensive stats. Too windy? Hit. Bad bounce? Hit. Ball falls while two fielders stare at each other? Hit.


At the scorekeepers panel at SABR this year one of the scorers (Stew Thornley I think) mentioned that several years ago MLB had issued an edict to scorers that if there was any doubt the benefit should go to the hitter.
   3. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 14, 2012 at 11:19 AM (#4182371)
I was just thinking about this when I heard a Royals minor leaguer had a HR taken away because he was alleged to have passed a baserunner. OTOH, in a long season I would imagine eccentricities like that and bad umpiring evens out.
   4. smileyy Posted: July 14, 2012 at 12:18 PM (#4182378)
How long has the author been watching baseball? Because when I started 25 years ago when batting average and RBIs and fielding percentage were king, scorers still only gave errors for physical mishandling of the ball, not mental or judgment mistakes.

Perhaps the author could look at things like range factor or zone rating if he's interested in balls that guys couldn't get to.
   5. PreservedFish Posted: July 14, 2012 at 02:48 PM (#4182434)
I wish that official scorers took advantage of the leeway that they are given in awarding the Win. It doesn't come up much, but every once in a while you get one of those games where the reliever that walks three guys and records a single out gets the win, while the starter that pitched a good game and the reliever who was lights out over 2 innings are left in the lurch.

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