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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Sunday, December 25, 2011
Won’t You Be My West Coast Neighbor?
We still don’t know if baseball is going to have one or two wild cards in each league next season — the longer this goes without an announcement, the more it looks like the expanded format won’t be used until 2013 — but we can say this: Teams from the American League East better win the division if they want to get into the playoffs.
Finishing second in the AL East has gotten the Red Sox (seven wild-card appearances), Yankees (four), Rays and Orioles into the playoffs 13 of 17 tries in the wild-card era, which began in 1995. But after quiet, seemingly content offseasons in terms of roster activity, the Yankees and Red Sox have allowed themselves to become surprisingly less relevant.
Both teams are still dangerous, of course. But they don’t have the balance of starting pitching and serious lineups that make the Rangers and Angels the teams to beat in 2012. For that matter, the Tigers appear stronger than the Red Sox and Yankees, and the Rays have so many young stars — including Rookie of the Year favorite Matt Moore, who recently signed a five-year, $14 million contract with only 17 days big-league service time — that you could rank the Red Sox and Yankees fifth and sixth in the AL, in whichever order you prefer.
Repoz
Posted: December 25, 2011 at 02:17 PM | 7 comment(s)
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1. Gotham Dave Posted: December 25, 2011 at 03:52 PM (#4023252)Angels: still have holes at 3B and C (though better than last year by definition), still have Wells, still have Abreu and Hunter on the edge of the cliff. The rotation is pretty killer but the bullpen looks pretty ordinary. Good team but not spectacular. (They will now go on to win 114 games)
I make the Rangers the favorite in the West but don't see them as a juggernaut either. They had big years from Beltre, Young and especially Napoli. A promising rotation but you can't expect anybody to step in and pitch anywhere near as well as Wilson did in 2011. Feliz to the rotation, Nathan a question mark and I think they lost Oliver so the bullpen's in flux too.
And the Tigers? Better than Sox/Yanks?* Are you kidding me? Granted, if Alex Avila puts up a 143 OPS+ again, there's some chance of that. They have issues at 2B, 3B, LF, CF, RF.** I think VMart is a real question although more for 2013 than 2012 (when he should be around average I'd guess). The rotation is nothing after Verlander and Fister (surprisingly good peripherals). The bullpen does look pretty good.
I am surprised neither the Yanks or Red Sox have taken steps to improve, especially in the rotation.
* I might believe the Tigers have a better chance at the playoffs than the Sox/Yanks due to the weakness of the AL Central but they're not a better team.
** Chances are pretty good that at least one of Young, Boesch, Jackson will have a good year and you might as well keep playing Jackson regardless so they're really looking for just one OF I think.
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