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Wednesday, October 04, 2017

Piecoro: Arizona Diamondbacks riding closer Fernando Rodney into postseason

If the Diamondbacks find themselves with a slim lead after eight innings on Wednesday night, they will put their season in the hands of a closer few in baseball trust. The bullpen door will swing open and Fernando Rodney will begin his slow trek to the mound. The image alone creates anxiety for Diamondbacks fans.

Good stuff on the ups and downs with Rodney this year.

shoewizard Posted: October 04, 2017 at 11:39 AM | 21 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: closers, diamondbacks

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   1. Zonk Tormundbane Posted: October 04, 2017 at 11:57 AM (#5544324)
If Rodney's nickname isn't The Undead, it probably should be....

I've lost count - is the 3rd or 4th time he's resurrected a career (or at least, non-12th man bullpen fodder career) that looked to be done?
   2. shoewizard Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:03 PM (#5544337)
Interesting to note also, even though article doesn't mention it, but he is a big time favorite within that clubhouse. The other players and pitchers really pull for him and love the dude. Doesn't mean much in "our" world, but it does in theirs.
   3. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:17 PM (#5544353)
Rodney's the type of player who will rub opposing teams/fans the wrong way with his showmanship, and also infuriate fans of his current team with his high-wire act.
   4. Moses Taylor, aka Hambone Fakenameington Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:23 PM (#5544359)
He's fun, but man, he's unreliable. Which is part of the fun.
   5. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:29 PM (#5544369)
[1] Look at his numbers this year. He's been a garbage fire all year.
   6. Tom Nawrocki Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:32 PM (#5544374)
I tell ya, he don't get no respect. Nor does he deserve any.
   7. Batman Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:38 PM (#5544380)
I tell ya, he don't get no respect. Nor does he deserve any.
"It's better to look good than to feel good when you get no respect."
-Lamas Dangerfield
   8. RJ in TO Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:45 PM (#5544386)
[1] Look at his numbers this year. He's been a garbage fire all year.
55.1 IP, 40 hits, 26 BB, 65 K (10.6 per 9 IP), 3 HR allowed, a 1.193 WHIP, and a 3.03 FIP. That's actually not bad at all. He's allowing a 0.497 OPS against righties, and a 0.662 against lefties, which are both extremely reasonable.

And yet, despite those respectable numbers, he has a 4.23 ERA, as he's allowed an 0.802 OPS with runners on, and a 1.053 OPS with RISP. With bases empty, he's at an OPS allowed of 0.452.
   9. rconn23 Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:50 PM (#5544388)
Wow. I honestly didn't know Rodney was their closer. WC games are pick em's but I'll wager on Rodney blowing this game in spectacular fashion.
   10. Lassus Posted: October 04, 2017 at 12:54 PM (#5544393)
Nice Onion headline.
   11. Jose Bautista Bobblehead Day Posted: October 04, 2017 at 01:29 PM (#5544424)
[1] Look at his numbers this year. He's been a garbage fire all year.
55.1 IP, 40 hits, 26 BB, 65 K (10.6 per 9 IP), 3 HR allowed, a 1.193 WHIP, and a 3.03 FIP. That's actually not bad at all. He's allowing a 0.497 OPS against righties, and a 0.662 against lefties, which are both extremely reasonable.

And yet, despite those respectable numbers, he has a 4.23 ERA, as he's allowed an 0.802 OPS with runners on, and a 1.053 OPS with RISP. With bases empty, he's at an OPS allowed of 0.452.
All of these numbers are inflated by a horrific April: 10 IP, 16 H, 7 BB, 13 K, 2 HR, a 2.30 WHIP, 5.56 FIP, and 12.60 ERA(!).

Since May 1: 45.1 IP, 24 H, 19 BB, 52 K, 1 HR, 0.95 WHIP, 2.47 FIP, and 2.38 ERA (as well as 33-for-37 in save opportunities).
   12. Lars6788 Posted: October 04, 2017 at 03:52 PM (#5544532)
He's looked the same the last 10 years and can probably pitch 5 more.

He's kind of like Bartolo to me.
   13. Walt Davis Posted: October 04, 2017 at 05:14 PM (#5544571)
Rodney is fascinating as he seemed to oscillate from dominating to flammable and never in-between. #11 points out how good he's been after April. We presumably all remember the season with the 0.60 ERA. That came after 5 seasons (267 IP) of a 4.42 ERA/98 ERA+. He was doing it again in the first half of 2016 with a 0.31 ERA in SD before getting traded to Miami where his ERA was 5.89.

The small samples for relievers means they'll always have highly variable outcomes even in half- and full-"seasons" (unless they are a robot) but Rodney just seems nuts. For example, he has no 1st/2nd half split for his career but here are his half splits for the last 7 seasons:

1st 4.09 0.93 3.79 1.98 5.50 1.04 5.58
2nd 5.40 0.25 2.73 3.90 3.71 6.16 2.55

Maybe that's not as unusual as it looks ... and of course there is plenty of mediocre reliever in there ... but a manager would love to be able to tell when Rodney has turned into a pumpkin.
   14. bookbook Posted: October 04, 2017 at 06:02 PM (#5544590)
As a Mariners fan, it's shocking to be a reminded he's still collecting a major league pay check. My recollection is that Rodney was completely unhittable--at least half the time because he didn't throw the ball close enough to the plate for any hitter to reach it. He is the master of the one-inning two-walk save.
   15. Nero Wolfe, Indeed Posted: October 04, 2017 at 06:10 PM (#5544594)
"Hang on. It's going to be a bumpy ride."
   16. Batman Posted: October 04, 2017 at 06:24 PM (#5544601)
He is the master of the one-inning two-walk save.
He does have 13 of them, fifth-most overall. The top four have ERA's in the low 1's in those saves, but Rodney's is 4.85.
   17. The Yankee Clapper Posted: October 04, 2017 at 06:48 PM (#5544610)
He's going to kill off a significant number of Diamondback fans. This is worse than when Earl Weaver couldn't even stay in the dugout when Don Stanhouse pitched for the Orioles.
   18. Howie Menckel Posted: October 04, 2017 at 07:51 PM (#5544636)
hence the nickname "Full Pack?" for Stanhouse - that's how many cigarettes Weaver would go thru before the win was ensured. Earl himself coined the nickname.

and if you're under 35, you may be thinking - "wait, they used to smoke during baseball games?"

in 1972, a Sports Illustrated cover had Dick Allen smoking in the dugout while juggling baseballs.
   19. Jose Bautista Bobblehead Day Posted: October 04, 2017 at 11:37 PM (#5544800)
Fernando Rodney had his first full season as a closer when he was 32 years old. He's now fourth all-time in saves for pitchers 32 and older:

Rivera 437
Eckersley 387
Hoffman 373
Rodney 267
Doug Jones 257

Rodney had his first 40-save season at age 35. He's fourth in saves at 35 and older and his ERA+ (128) is about the same as Eck (128) and Hoffman (132).
   20. The Honorable Ardo Posted: October 05, 2017 at 12:27 AM (#5544839)
Rodney didn't look all that hot tonight. Fairly easy prediction: The massive disparity between Rodney and Kenley Jansen will swing at least one game of the LA/Arizona series.
   21. Cooper Nielson Posted: October 05, 2017 at 04:59 AM (#5544861)
As a Mariners fan, it's shocking to be a reminded he's still collecting a major league pay check.

Jeez, how do you think we Tigers fans feel? We were convinced this guy was washed up 10 years ago!

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