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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, September 29, 2011
American League
Detroit at New York
Tampa Bay at Texas
National League
St. Louis at Philadelphia
Milwaukee at Arizona
Let the bold and absolute certainty prognosticating resume.
McCoy
Posted: September 29, 2011 at 04:05 PM | 125 comment(s)
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NYY 3 - DET 1
TEX 3 - TBR 2
PHI 3 - STL 0
ARI 3 - MIL 0
NYY 4 - TEX 2
ARI 4 - PHI 3
NYY 4 - ARI 3
10 years later, sweet revenge. Maybe Cano can hit a foul ball that will hit Curt Schilling in the head in the stands, leaving him with permanent brain damage that renders him permanently unable to speak.
Tampa over Texas 3-2
Philly over STL 3-0
Milwaukee over Arizona 3-1
Detroit over Tampa 4-2
Milwaukee over Philly 4-3
Milwaukee over Detroit 4-2
Rays over Texas in 5
Phillies over Cardinals in 3
D'Backs over Brewers in 4
Rays over Yankees in 6
Phillies over D'Backs in 5
Philles over Rays in 6
TEX 3, TBR 0
PHI 3, STL 0
ARI 3, MIL 0
TEX 4, DET 1
PHI 4, ARI 0
PHI 4, TEX 0
TEX 3 - TBR 2
PHI 3 - STL 1
MIL 3 - ARZ 2
TEX 4 - DET 2
PHI 4 - MIL 3
Phillies over Rangers in five
Now that would be anticlimactic.
Naw, I kid.
Detroit over Philly in 6.
Yeah, I'm always torn between picking the thing I'm rooting for and the thing I find most likely. I don't care a great deal about any of these teams, and it's not like I'm betting or anything, so I'll just pick rooting interests (mild though they are) here.
PHI over STL
MIL over ARI
TB over TEX
DET over NYY
MIL over PHI
TB over DET
MIL over TB in 7 thrilling games
Detroit over NY 3-2
Texas over Tampa Bay 3-2
Philly over St. Louis 3-1
Milwaukee over Arizona 3-0
Detroit over Texas 4-1
Milwaukee over Phil 4-3
Detroit over Milwaukee 4-3
(Although I will be rooting for the opposite in the WS.)
Yankees in 5
Philiies in 4
Brewers in 3
Rangers in 7
Phillies in 6
Phillies in 5
Texas over TB in 3
Milwaukee over Arizona in 5
Philadelphia over St. Louis in 3
Detroit over Texas in 6
Philadelphia over Milwaukee in 5
Philadelphia over Detroit in 4
Welcome to the Philadelphia Phillie Invitational.
I found this one.
TEX 2 - TBR 3
PHI 3 - STL 1
ARI 2 - MIL 3
NYY 4 - TBR 1
MIL 2 - PHI 4
NYY 4 - PHI 0
Texas over Tampa, 3-2
Detroit over Texas, 4-2
Philadelphia over St. Louis, 3-1
Milwaukee over Arizona, 3-2
Milwaukee over Philadelphia, 4-3
Detroit over Milwaukee, 4-3
Texas in 4(Tampa comes in the playoffs strong, but so is Texas)
Milwaukee over Arizona in 5
Philly over St Louis in 3
Detroit over Texas in 6 (Detroit had Texas number this year in non-Alexi starts)
Philly over Milwaukee in 5
Detroit over Philly in 7 (homer alert, Verlander pitches final 3 games of the series...)
Articles about the lack of ratings: 124
I think there had to have been another, too.
And that's what I'm sticking with.
Texas in 4 over Tampa
Detroit in 5 over NYY
Philadelphia in 5 over STL
Milwaukee in 3 over Arizona
Texas in 6 over Detroit
Milwaukee in 6 over Philadelphia
Texas in 5 over Milwaukee
Rays over Rangers, 3-2
Tigers over Rays, 4-2
Cardinals over Phillies, 3-2
Brewers over Diamondbacks, 3-1
Brewers over Cardinals, 4-2
Brewers over Tigers, 4-3
TB 3 - TEX 2
PHI 3 - STL 0
MIL 3 - AZ 1
DET 4 - TB 2
PHI 4 - MIL 3
DET 4 - PHI 3 (Over/under total runs scored in all 7 WS games combined: 8.5)
NYY 3, DET 2
TAM 3, TEX 2
PHI 3, STL 1
MIL 3, ARI 1
TAM 4, NYY 3
MIL 4, PHI 3
TAM 4, MIL 2
What I want to happen:
DET 3, NYY 0
TAM 3, TEX 2
STL 3, PHI 0
MIL 3, ARI 2
DET 4, TAM 3
STL 4, MIL 3
STL 4, DET 3
Rangers over Rays 3-1
Phillies over Cardinals 3-0
Brewers over Arizona 3-0
Tigers over Rangers 4-1
Phillies over Brewers 4-3
Phillies over Tigers 4-2
My specific prediction is that the Phillies/Brewers series is easily the best of the bunch. Milwaukee's power-hitting offense seems like the best weapon you can have against that Phillie pitching.
Tex over TB 3-2
Phi over Stl 3-1
Az over Mil 3-2
Tex over Det 4-2
Phi over Az 4-1
Tex over Phi 4-3
Mike Napoli WS MVP so I can be even more pissed that AA traded him for Francisco.
Rays in 4
Tigers over Rays in 6
Phils in 3
Brewers in 4
Brewers over Phils in 7
Brewers over Tigers in 7
I expect these predictions to be at least as accurate as my preseason wildcard predictions.
as for my prediction, i guess i'll go with more than half of ESPN's baseball analysts picking the cardinals to advance to the NLDS, only to see them get swept like the dying, choking dogs they are.
DS:
Tigers in 5
Rays in 5
Phillies in 3
Diamondbacks in 4
LCS:
Rays in 7
Phillies in 6
WS:
Phillies in 5
We'll see how that stacks up.
-- MWE
TAM 3, TEX 1
MIL 3, ARI 1
PHI 3, STL 0
------
DET 4, TAM 2
PHI 4, MIL 2
------
PHI 4, DET 2
Rangers in 5
Phillies in 4
Brewers in 5
Rangers in 6
Phillies in 5
Phillies over Rangers in 7
The NYY's will either fail to take the WS or I will win about 1100-1500 clamato's.
Rays in 4
Phils in 3
(What were those other teams again?)
Oh, right. Brewers in 5
Tigers in 6
Phils in 5
Phils in 7
Tampa Bay 3, Texas 2
Philadelphia 3, St. Louis 2
Milwaukee 3, Arizona 2
New York 4, Tampa Bay 1
Philadelphia 4, Milwaukee 0
Philadelphia 4, New York 2
DET 3 NYY 0
TBY 3 TEX 2
PHI 3 STL 2
ARI 3 MIL 2
TBY 4 DET 0
ARI 4 PHI 3
TBY 4 ARI 3
Do I really want the Rays to win the Series? I didn't think I did, but given the alternatives, I guess I do. Actually the Rangers would be okay too.
Texas in four over Tampa Bay
St. Louis in four over Philadelphia
Arizona in four over Milwaukee
Texas in seven over Yankees
Arizona in five over St. Louis
Arizona in six over Texas
This isn't what I want to happen, but I got a feeling that Tampa's spent, the Yankees will at least make the ALCS and that this is Arizona's year.
Detroit over New York
Tampa Bay over Texas
Detroit over Tampa Bay
Philly over St. Louis
Milwaukee over Arizona
Philly over Milwaukee
Detroit over Philly
MVP: Justin Verlander
Tampa Bay over Texas in 4
Philadelphia over St. Louis in 4
Milwaukee over Arizona in 4
New York over Tampa Bay in 5
Milwaukee over Philadelphia in 7
New York over Milwaukee in 7
Rays in 4 (Revenge!)
Phillies in 3
Brewers in 4
Rays in 6
Brewers in 7
Rays in 5
Me, biased? Whatever dude.
TB over Texas 3-0
Phi over Stl 3-0
Mil over Az 3-1
Tb over Det 4-3
Phi over Mil 4-1
Phi over TB 4-2
Cliff Lee wins series MVP. Tampa votes Carl Crawfod a full playoff share. Casey CmGhee strikes out 17 consecutive times
Tampa Bay 3 Texas 2
St. Louis 3 Philadelphia 2
Milwaukee 3 Arizona 0
Tampa Bay 4 New York 1
Milwaukee 2 St. Louis 4
Tampa Bay 4 St. Louis 2
My prediction before the season:
Eerie!
Eh, not so much.
TBR over TEX 3-2
STL over PHI 3-1
MIL over ARI 3-0
NYY over TBR 4-0
STL over MIL 4-1
STL over NYY 4-2
PHI over STL in 5
DET over NYY in 4
TEX over TB in 3
PHI over MLW in 6
DET over TEX in 7
PHI over DET in 6
Rangers in 4
Phillies in 3
Snakes in 5
Rangers in 6
Phillies in 5
Phillies in 5
Rays in 4
Yankees in 5
D'Backs in 4
Cardinals in 4
Yankees in 5
Cardinals in 4
Yankees in 4
Number of games garnered from the tone of the response. I assumed for instance that "Yes. Definitely." meant a shorter series than "It is decidedly so."
Would bet on PHI over DET in 5 or so.
Rays in 5
Brewers in 4
Phillies in 3
Yankees in 6
Brewers in 7
Yankees in 4
Actually not an upset, BPro gives this result a 99.97% probability.
Rangers over Rays
Phillies over Cardinals
Brewers over D'backs
Tigers over Rangers
Phillies over Brewers
Phils over Tigers.
It'll be the lowest-rated World Series ever, but Phils over Tigers.
You were actually pretty close.
Rangers over Rays in 4
Phillies over Cardinals in 3
Milwaukee over Arizona in 3
Rangers over Tigers in 6
Milwaukee over Phillies in 7
Rangers over Milwaukee in 6
Rangers > Rays
Phillies > Cards
Brewers > Braves, wait, no, Diamondbacks
Tigers in 6 over Tex
Phillies in 5 over Brewers
Phillies in 6 over Tigers
DET 3, NYY 2
TB 3, TAM 2
PHI 3, STL 1
MIL 3, ARI 0
Championship Series:
TB 4, DET 2
PHI 4, MIL 2
World Series:
PHI 4, TB 2
Pujols prediction for fun: Re-signs w/ Cardinals, 8 years, AAV 27.5
NLDS: Phillies over Cardinals, 3-0; Brewers over Diamondbacks, 3-2
ALCS: Rangers over Yankees 4-3
NLCS: Phillies over Brewers, 4-2
WS: Rangers over Phillies, 4-2 (MVP: Michael Young)
Texas in 4
Philadelphia in 5
Milwaukee in 5
Texas takes Detroit in 6
Philly takes Milwaukee in 5
Texas wins WS in 5 games with Neftali Feliz's 4 saves earning him MVP
Now that would be anticlimactic.
Would that be the worst thing in the world? After last night's wildness, I am already worn down to a nub.
Tampa Bay at Texas 1-3
Texas at New York 2-4
St. Louis at Philadelphia 1-3
Milwaukee at Arizona 3-0
Milwaukee at Phila 2-4
New York at Phila 2-4
With the caveat that I stink at prognostication
That would be great fun
TEX 3, TB 2
PHI 3, STL 0
MIL 3, ARI 2
NYY 4, TEX 3
PHI 4, MIL 1
PHI 4, NYY 3
Bonus prediction: the Tampa-St. Pete area will continue to embarrass itself with its tradition of not coming close to selling out their playoff games.
Second to worst attendance for the season in all of baseball (under 19k per game) despite having had a very good team for four seasons now. The situation down there is just beyond pathetic.
irrelevant
irrelevant
irrelevant
NYY 4, whoever 0
irrelevant
NYY 4, whoever 0
Yankees in 5
Phils in 5
Crew in 5
Rangers in 7
Phils in 6
Phils in 6
Rangers in 4
Tigers in 6
Cards in 5
Brewers in 4
Brewers in 5
Tigers in 5
Rays in 4.
Brewers in 4.
Phillies in 3.
Phillies in 7.
Tigers in 6.
Phillies in 6.
Indeed. Could get a little chippy.
Rangers in 4.
Phillies in 4.
Brewers in 5.
Rangers in 6.
Phillies in 6.
Phillies in 6.
Carlos Ruiz is World Series MVP
The red @ass Cards vs. Beach Bum Brewers?
Even the announcers dislike one another
A Rays-Diamondbacks Series (the two youngest franchises in MLB, if you look at the Nationals as the refashioned Expos) would likely be the lowest-rated Series ever, since neither has a substantial constituency. (Heck, with both located in spring training hotbeds, each have trouble dominating their home markets.)
I think this would be best for America, even if the east coast doesn't realize it yet.
we still have yet to have a World Series with out at least one 'original' team.
TBR 3 - DET 2
PHI 3 - STL 1
MIL 3 - ARI 2
TBR 4 - NYY 2
PHI 4 - ARI 0
TBR 4 - PHI 2
The 2006 Detroit-St Louis World Series was the lowest rated series at the time (though the 2008, Phillies-Rays and 2010-Giants and Rays have since been lower).
Tex in 4
Phi in 4
Mil in 5
Det in 6
Mil in 6
Mil in 7.
CC returns to NYY for 5 yrs.
I missed the entire Giants-Rays series last year it seems. ;)
(based on the FLNRSA Index, a proprietary measure factoring in team payroll, median time of games, and stylishness of uniforms):
DIVISION SERIES
Tigers over Yankees
Rangers over Rays
D'Backs over Brewers
Cards over Phillies
LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES
Rangers over Tigers
D'Backs over Cards
WORLD SERIES
D'Backs over Rangers
Yeah, it's not surprising that based on the TBS timeslots, in order of network preference, it seems to be:
DET/NYY
STL/PHI
TEX/TB
ARI/MIL
Texas 3, Tampa Bay 1
Philadelphia 3, St Louis 2
Milwaukee 3, Arizona 1
__________________________
TEX 4, DET 2
PHI 4, MIL 1
__________________
PHI 4, TEX 2
Et tu brute?
You wound me
That's a funny kind of tournament you have going on there!
Yankees over Tigers (Dull-as-dishwater sweep)
Rays over Rangers (Hard-fought, lots of extra innings)
Brewers over Diamondbacks (Five close games, but remembered as a rout)
Phillies over Cards (TLR deathwatch, Carp is great)
LEAGUE CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES
Rays over Yankees (Jorge catches more than one inning, AJ & Bartolo start games 4 & 6, lots of second-guessing)
Brewers over Phillies (in 7, Roy throws a perfecto)
WORLD SERIES
Brewers over Rays (in six, great games, lousy ratings)
Heh. I told SoSH and bunyon in an email that my ROOTING preference is Milwaukee/Tampa Bay-- with the Brew Crew prevailing, of course.
Rangers 3, Rays 1
Brewers 3, D'Backs 1
Phillies 3, Cards 0
Tigers 4, Rangers 2
Phillies 4, Brewers 2
Phillies 4, Tigers 2
Tigers over Yankees 3-2
Phillies over Cardinals 3-0
Brewers over D-Backs 3-1
Rays over Tigers 4-3
Brewers over Phillies 4-2
Rays over Brewers 4-3
Would people be interested in a BTF playoff pool? $5 for entry, the pot goes half to the winner and half to the Jim to help upkeep the site?
We could set up a thread for final predictions.
You mean except for post 3?
Upkeep? -cough-
Anyhow, i'd be in.
Tigers over Yankees, 3-2
Phillies over Cardinals, 3-0
Brewers over Diamondbacks, 3-1
Rangers over Tigers, 4-3
Phillies over Brewers, 4-1
Phillies over Rangers, 4-0
The Phillies pitching just looks too strong for anyone to do anything against it.
I give the Brewers a game because Fielder/Braun should win one game by themselves.
My rooting interest order is:
Phillies (go Halladay!)
Diamondbacks (Hill, Overbay, McDonald, Roberts...go ex-Jays!)
...
Brewers (I want to see a Prince Fielder walk-off celebration)
Rays (Young kids win big and cap off amazing comeback)
Tigers (Verlander's amazing season topped off with a perfect game)
...
Cardinals (Pujols wins, and Cardinals forced to pay through the nose for him)
Rangers (meh)
...
Yankees (Posada walk-off home run for final Yankee at-bat would be nice.)
Sweet, there's a $10 pot.
Rays over Rangers in 5 (my gutsy pick!)
Phillies over Cardinals in 4
Brewers over the D'Backs in 4
Yankees over Rays in 5
Phillies over Brewers in 6
Phillies over Yankees in 6
Rays over Rangers in 4
Yanks over Tigers in 4
Phillies over Cards in 4
Brewers over Dbacks in 5
Yanks over Rays in 6
Phillies over Dbacks in 5
Phillies over Yanks in 5
I was going for bold... or drunk. Or for not having slept in about 40 hours or so, it gets hard to keep those things seperated. And you didn't even point out I had Detroit losing both ALDSs.
Anyway, lets try again:
NYY 3 - DET 1
TBR 3 - TEX 2
PHI 3 - STL 1
MIL 3 - ARI 2
TBR 4 - NYY 2
PHI 4 - MIL 0
TBR 4 - PHI 2
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