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1. hscs Posted: May 30, 2008 at 04:38 PM (#2799693)Antonelli at 2B for 2012 seems like kind of a stretch at this point, even as an alternate. He's really struggling right now.
Is this guy's name really Tristan H. Cockcroft?
Whoa! The talent is there, both offensively and defensively, but having his first full season at 26 pretty much means he won't have the career totals.
Utley is a fabulous talent, but projecting something like that is asking a lot.
It is asking a lot but Utley is still improving offensively at 29. If any 2B can, it would be him.
But as #9 said, Utley will not be in the best 2B ever discussion until long after 2012. I hope he continues his excellence long enough that he will be the poster child for a MSM discussion about pure-peak HOF candidate.
I'm going to go waaaaay out on a limb here & guess that he's white.
I was actually pretty impressed with his 2004 starting pitcher picks. OK, Prior bombed out. But the rest are Beckett, Peavy, Greinke, Halladay, Vazquez, Zambrano and Hamels. He got badly hit by injury in only 1 of the 8, Greinke's emotional/mental issues to the side. And those guys are still looking pretty nice in 2008. Sure, he just picked hugely talented guys and maybe got lucky on the injuries, but still a nice job.
In the current list, I'm not sure there's a reason to prefer Longoria over Gordon, Zimmerman and maybe others ... at least not to the extent that he deserves "first line" mention.
Of course I have to keep in mind he's doing fantasy baseball projections and I'm guessing traditional fantasy stats. That might explain Rollins who I really don't think is going to be a particularly productive player by 33.
I can't really argue with the OF picks ... but at the same time, there's only one major HR threat there which seems odd. And that's Braun who at his very best will be Manny Ramirez, not a Sosa-Griffy 50+ HR type. Who are we missing? (Again, the steals you'd get from Upton, Young, etc. are part of what's driving their fantasy value.)
I really don't see the Verlander pick. His K-rate is not particularly outstanding (just 8th in K/9 last year, his only good K year so far) nor is his K/BB (and he hits a lot of guys too). I'm not saying he's bad but I'll be surprised if he's one of the top 6 starters in MLB in 2012 -- by ERA, ERA+ and even wins, he wasn't top 6 in the AL last year.
And Carlos Marmol is a god! In his last 103 IP, he's K'd 145 and given up just 55 hits. Holy f'ing crap! Those are Gagne-Papelbon type numbers. Granted, he's on pace for 100 relief IP this year which probably means his arm will fall off but man it will be fun until then.
Why there's endless clamoring about Joba to the rotation while nobody even seems to consider it for Marmol is a mystery to me.
Anyway, this article seems like it was written before the season started and not updated. Verlander, Gallardo (injury), Joba (as a reliever given the move to the rotation), Buchholz (performance), D Young, Cano, Towles, Howard, Butler are all guys you might be a bit more hesitant labelling as among the best in 2012 given what they've done so far this year. (Yes, small sample sizes should not change your projections much ... but someone like D Young hitting worse with even less power than last year has to be seen as a hint that he's more likely to come in on the lower side of his 2012 projection.
Anyway, this list isn't as impressive as what he posted from the last one because he's got so many honorable mentions -- he'll be able to claim all sorts of success in 2012. :-)
Now, where's Dan Uggla?? :-)
Meanwhile, he put Stephen Drew on his best of the rest - despite the fact that Drew's overall batting numbers last year were worse than Tulowitzki's road numbers.
There are reasons to exclude Tulowitzki, but this ain't one of them.
If They Only Knew
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