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Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 4-15-2014

Pittsburgh Gazette Times, April 15, 1914:

A Brooklyn magistrate paroled “Jake” Daubert of the Brooklyn National League club in the Coney Island Police Court [yesterday], so that his team might not be deprived of the services of its captain and first baseman on the opening day of the championship season.

Daubert was in court on a summons to explain why he violated the Sunday law relating to baseball…The magistrate told Daubert he could play with the Brooklyns against Boston [yesterday], but to be in court again [today].

The Dodgers didn’t play on April 15-16, 1914, so there was plenty of time to scold Daubert. Jake took advantage of the adjournment to go 2-for-3 with a triple and two runs scored in a 8-2 Opening Day win over the eventual World Champion Braves.

Greasy Neale Heaton (Dan Lee) Posted: April 15, 2014 at 10:06 AM | 20 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: dugout, history, jake daubert

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   1. Greasy Neale Heaton (Dan Lee) Posted: April 15, 2014 at 10:10 AM (#4686366)
A couple of talented and erratic outfielders on today's Birthday Team, not to mention guys named Cinders, King, and Hub.

C: Ed Bailey
1B: Sy Sutcliffe
2B: Hub Collins
3B: Eddie Mayo
SS: Ted Sizemore
LF: Milton Bradley
CF: Willie Davis
RF: Jeromy Burnitz

SP: John Danks
SP: Cinders O'Brien
SP: King Cole
SP: Chris Tillman
SP: Aaron Laffey
RP: Billy Brewer
   2. Greasy Neale Heaton (Dan Lee) Posted: April 15, 2014 at 10:15 AM (#4686369)
Apologies for the late dugout today, guys. There was a hiccup in the hosting change and I couldn't log in to the control panel.
   3. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 15, 2014 at 10:17 AM (#4686372)
Matt Moore to undergo TJ surgery. That's a lot of TJ surgery already this year.
   4. salvomania Posted: April 15, 2014 at 11:47 AM (#4686398)
I was just looking at Andrelton Simmons' 2014 batting line: does anyone make more contact?

Through 45 plate appearances, he's drawn one non-intentional walk, and has yet to strike out.
   5. esseff Posted: April 15, 2014 at 12:39 PM (#4686413)
I remember birthday catcher Ed Bailey from my yout' as a guy with a bit of pop in the bat and for being from one of Harry Caray's gazillion "favorite towns": Strawberry Plains, Tenn. Mostly, when I see his name I think of the episode recorded both in Jules Tygiel's "Baseball's Great Experiment" and Bill James' 1992 "Baseball Book" in which Bailey tears down the rope segregating the black and white sections of the ballpark in Tampa, saying, "This is stupid." (After he and Brooks Lawrence had come out of a spring training game and found that they would have to sit with the rope between them to watch the rest of the game.)
   6. Tom Nawrocki Posted: April 15, 2014 at 12:39 PM (#4686414)
Brett Anderson actually broke his left index finger the other day, on what was initially reported as a contusion. He'll be out six weeks. He's like a poor man's Rich Harden.
   7. Moeball Posted: April 15, 2014 at 01:16 PM (#4686426)
Jake took advantage of the adjournment to go 2-for-3 with a triple and two runs scored in a 8-2 Opening Day win over the eventual World Champion Braves.


This being the 100th anniversary of the 1914 Miracle Braves team I thought I’d recap just how bizarre this season was. There really has never been a championship team in Major League history that even came close to the roller coaster ride this team endured. There were 3 distinct phases to their season:

1)With the above referenced Opening Day 8-2 loss, it looked like a bleak season indeed for Boston. Things didn’t get any better over the next month as they found themselves with a 4-18 record, firmly lodged in last place and already double digits in games behind the league leaders. The closest I could find of any other eventual champion starting out the season poorly was the 1991 Twins that started that year at 2-9 before turning things around. But 2-9 is only half as bad as 4-18. The 1914 Braves really were in a class all by themselves.

2)If you look at teams throughout history that started a season at 4-18, not only will you not find any other teams that went on to win the championship, you won’t be likely to find teams that even reached a .500 record by the end of the year. Usually a team starting with a record of 4-18 is a truly terrible team and will continue to play poorly throughout the rest of the campaign. For that matter, it is unusual for a team starting that badly to even have an extended stretch later in the season where they were able to play even .500 ball for a while. Well, that’s exactly what the Braves did next. After their 4-18 start, they then suddenly morphed into a .500 team that went 22-22 over their next 44 games. This still left them in last place, 14 games under .500 with a 26-40 record at the end of play on July 4. They were 15 games behind the leaders and even the second to last place team was 5 games above them. But then came Phase III in this remarkable year.

3)From that point to the end of the season the Braves turned on the magic and went 68-19. From 26-40 to 94-59. From being 15 games behind the first place Giants on the 4th of July to winning the pennant easily and finishing 10 and ½ games ahead of the second place Giants. It wasn’t until August 1 that the Braves reached .500 for the first time. On September 2 they swept a double header from the Phillies that vaulted them into first place for the first time all season and they never looked back from there.

Just think of all the things they accomplished that I can’t think of any other championship teams even approaching (if I am wrong and there are other examples I’m not remembering, please correct me):

-Has there ever been another team that didn’t even reach .500 until August and yet still finished the season at least 35 games over .500?

-Has there been another team that didn’t move into first place until September yet still wound up winning the pennant by double digits over the second place team? I know the 1969 Mets came close to that, not moving into first place until September after chasing the Cubs all season - and then the Mets wound up finishing 8 games ahead of the Cubs.

-Has any other team 14 games under .500 on the 4th of July gone on to be almost 50 games over .500 after that?

Actually, I have a question for those who may be a bit more B-R Play Index savvy than I am – can one easily look up stuff like this or to see which were all the teams in history that ever started 4-18?

At any rate, here’s cheers to Rabbit Maranville and Johnny “The Crab” Evers and the rest of the lads who pulled off this wondrous Miracle. A century later and the 1914 Miracle Braves still set the standard for biggest comeback in a season from so far down to the championship pinnacle.
   8. Greasy Neale Heaton (Dan Lee) Posted: April 15, 2014 at 01:30 PM (#4686431)
Thanks, Moeball. Very nice.

It was nowhere near as impressive as the 1914 Braves, but the 2005 Indians had a similar season. They were under .500 into June and 14.5 games back at the end of July, then they went on a tear: 37-12 over their next 49 games. They were 1.5 back of first place heading into the final week of the season, then fell apart down the stretch and missed the playoffs despite a 93-69 record.

The '05 Indians had a heck of a collection of talent: The starting rotation had two eventual Cy Young winners and an ERA champ, they had the best young center fielder in baseball, big bats (if suspect gloves) at catcher and shortstop, and Travis Hafner in his prime. It's the story of Cleveland sports: A bunch of star players come together to accomplish absolutely nothing.
   9. BDC Posted: April 15, 2014 at 01:40 PM (#4686440)
Notes from Arlington last night (Seattle 7, Texas 1). The game itself was sloppy and dull, but I had fun anyway. Temperatures were advertised as in the high 40s, but there was a snappy windchill factor.

Lloyd McClendon challenged one of those dumb### "transfer plays" and won, prompting Ron Washington to see red and get thrown out of the game. After we waited five minutes and baseball crept further toward NFL-level absurdities of trying to prise out the level of existential control over one's baseball moves, we were treated to a screaming argument anyway that took another two or three. Not my favorite aspect of replay.

By the eighth inning there were about 38 of us fans left, huddled around home plate for warmth. People started squawking like seagulls and flapping their arms, perhaps some sort of mockery of Seattle that I didn't understand. There were no Mariners fans in the park anyway and I can't imagine very many of the Mariners are Seattle natives, so the point of the exercise was minimal, but it was kind of hilarious at 10pm on a freezing night. The game was pretty brisk, anyway, not much over three hours despite the replay and all the scoring.

Bullpen usage got a bit goofy after the game was out of reach. At one point the Rangers employed somebody called Hector Noesi. I looked him up on my phone to find he was a member of the Mariners, which seemed big of McClendon, lending the other team a reliever. But no, he'd been traded to Texas a couple of days before.

Prince Fielder raised his BA to .176 with a couple of hits, one of them very charitably scored a double instead of a two-base error, the other an infield single. Maybe the scratch hits will reverse his luck this year.

In the 9th, Robinson Cano hit a very sharp grounder to SS, and got about a quarter of the way down the line rather quickly. Then he looked for the baseball, without breaking stride, and saw Elvis Andrus holding it and staring at him. Whereupon Cano jogged very lightly towards first and was out by 30 feet. Forgive my permissiveness, but I can't blame him. This is a superior ML shortstop, throwing to an immense target in Fielder. Six-run lead, bases empty. When Cano does this, he doesn't look like he's indifferent. He looks like he's extremely alert, under control, and assessing the situation well. Earlier on, during the Mariners' sixth-inning rally (which he started), Cano ran the bases like a demon.
   10. Moeball Posted: April 15, 2014 at 04:51 PM (#4686585)
Questions for BDC:

1)When do the temperatures at Arlington start to become scorching? Unusual to hear of games there in the 40 degree range

2)If this is an annual pattern, do you see the trend of lower scoring early in the year when it's colder often turning into slugfest after slugfest when it gets to July and the ball carries better? Given the numbers, Arlington often appears to be the best hitters park in the AL so I was wondering how much of that is the park dimensions and/or quirks themselves and how much of this is due to the weather?

3)Although the Padres lost on Saturday to Detroit, Bud Black did at least pull a run off the scoreboard for the Tigers when Castellanos doubled and then got picked off of second base. The ump called the runner safe but Bud challenged the call and the replay clearly showed the runner got nailed. The umps reversed the original call and sent Castellanos on his way. Then Avila followed that up with a single to center that most likely would have scored Castellanos had he still been on second, so that maneuver by Black saved a run (he's not even pitching any more and he's still preventing opposing teams from scoring runs!). So it would seem to me that the only times teams are going to challenge an ump's call are when the manager has a pretty good idea that he's going to win his challenge. Does it seem to you that this is how it's been playing out so far this year?

4)Is the official scorer in Arlington as generous as the one in San Diego? Gyorko got credit for a triple Friday night on a ball the Detroit right fielder (Torii Hunter, I think) had all the way down into the pocket of his glove and then squirted out before the fielder ran into the wall. I understand the scorers will often rule a play a hit if the outfielder lost the ball by getting it jarred lose upon running into the wall - but this was a case where the ball squirted out long before Torii hit the wall, and the scorer still ruled it a triple. It seems with our scorer here that unless a fielder kicks the ball at least 3 times on a play, he won't get charged for an error.
   11. Eric J can SABER all he wants to Posted: April 15, 2014 at 06:35 PM (#4686591)
It's alive!

Game of April 14, 1984: Yet another future pitching star makes his second career appearance (and this one starts the game), the home team comes from behind in extra innings, and the final play of the game provides the opportunity to answer the eternal question: How hard is it to hit a walkoff home run?
   12. bobm Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:14 PM (#4686604)
[7] NB: The 1914 Braves tied in game #16

Team Pitching Game Finder 

From 1914 to 2014, Team Lost, In team's first 22 games

                                       
Rk    Tm Year #Matching W             L
13   WSN 2009        17 0 17 Ind. Games
14   WSH 1957        17 0 17 Ind. Games
15   WSA 1962        17 0 17 Ind. Games
16   STL 1973        17 0 17 Ind. Games
17   STL 1919        17 0 17 Ind. Games
18   SLB 1951        17 0 17 Ind. Games
19   SLB 1935        17 0 17 Ind. Games
20   SLB 1949        17 0 17 Ind. Games
21   SDP 1971        17 0 17 Ind. Games
22   PIT 2006        17 0 17 Ind. Games
23   PIT 1957        17 0 17 Ind. Games
24   PHI 1945        17 0 17 Ind. Games
25   PHI 1946        17 0 17 Ind. Games
Rk    Tm Year #Matching W             L
26   PHI 1928        17 0 17 Ind. Games
27   PHA 1919        17 0 17 Ind. Games
28   PHA 1951        17 0 17 Ind. Games
29   NYM 1962        17 0 17 Ind. Games
30   NYM 1964        17 0 17 Ind. Games
31   MON 2004        17 0 17 Ind. Games
32   MIL 1970        17 0 17 Ind. Games
33   MIA 2013        17 0 17 Ind. Games
34   KCR 2005        17 0 17 Ind. Games
35   KCR 2006        17 0 17 Ind. Games
36   KCA 1965        17 0 17 Ind. Games
37   FLA 1995        17 0 17 Ind. Games
38   DET 2000        17 0 17 Ind. Games
39   DET 1920        17 0 17 Ind. Games
40   DET 1952        17 0 17 Ind. Games
41   DET 1953        17 0 17 Ind. Games
42   DET 1998        17 0 17 Ind. Games
43   CIN 1934        17 0 17 Ind. Games
44   CIN 1931        17 0 17 Ind. Games
45   CHW 1948        17 0 17 Ind. Games
46   CHC 1981        17 0 17 Ind. Games
47   CHC 1962        17 0 17 Ind. Games
48   BSN 1914        17 0 17 Ind. Games
49   ATL 1988        17 0 17 Ind. Games


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/15/2014.
   13. bobm Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:16 PM (#4686607)
[7] From 1914 to 2014, Team Lost, In team's first 22 games, Among Playoff Teams, In team's first 22 games, sorted by greatest number of games in a single season matching the selected criteria

                       
Rk    Tm Year #Matching
1    BSN 1914        17
                       
2    KCR 1981        16
                       
3    SDP 2006        14
4    PIT 1974        14
5    OAK 2001        14
6    NYG 1951        14
7    ATL 2010        14
8    ANA 2002        14


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/15/2014.
   14. bobm Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:20 PM (#4686611)
From 1914 to 2014, Team Lost, In team's first 22 games, Among WS Winners, In team's first 22 games, sorted by greatest number of games in a single season matching the selected criteria

                       
Rk    Tm Year #Matching
1    BSN 1914        17
                       
2    ANA 2002        14
                       
3    PIT 1979        13
4    NYM 1969        13


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 4/15/2014.
   15. bobm Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:34 PM (#4686620)
[7] Alternatively, one can use the BR PI Streak Analyzer and generate the record for every season and every team in the first 22 games, or the last 81 games, etc. and then copy and paste the data to a spreadsheet for further analysis.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/games/streaks.cgi?games=22&year=ALL&SHOW=TOT&includes=start_year&game_start=1&game_end=22&teams=ALL&orderby=dater&submit=Find+Streaks


Results over first 22 games, From 1901 to 2014, For all Teams - Streaks Analyzer [...]

BSN sched 1914-04-14 1914-05-19 1-22 4-17 .190 59 102 -43 94-59 1 WS Champ


   16. Eric J can SABER all he wants to Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:37 PM (#4686623)
Yesterday's Game of the Day featured four times as many runs in the last two innings as in the first seven, and also saw both teams turn ninth-inning save chances over to pitchers other than their highly-compensated closers (due to workload and injury, respectively). This went better for one team than for the other.
   17. BDC Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:42 PM (#4686628)
Moeball, this is a frustrating climate. Early April can be in the 30s and late May can be in the 90s. I'm not sure at all how that affects scoring; I've never seen data. It's perfect here at "Globe Life" tonight, 64 degrees at 6:40 pm.

I've seen 2 challenges in 2 games this year, both upheld (ie initial call reversed). You may well be right about the confidence managers have in challenges.
   18. AndrewJ Posted: April 15, 2014 at 07:46 PM (#4686630)
SABR's latest team biography is a volume about the 1914 Braves.
   19. Moeball Posted: April 15, 2014 at 09:00 PM (#4686658)
bobm - thanks for the notes on the losses through the first 22 games - that is part of why I was asking the question - because of the tie games - through 22 actual games the Braves didn't have 22 actual decisions. By the time they had 22 actual decisions in games their record was 4-18. I've never seen another team get off to that bad a start and come close to winning the championship. The list you provided confirms it - the teams that got off to the worst starts through 22 games (17 losses in the example you show above)are all pretty much a bunch of awful teams - I noticed the 1962 Mets are on that list - and then there's the 1914 Miracle Braves.

I should have remembered that my own Padres started off the 2006 season 8-14 yet still ended up winning the division. On the other hand, finishing with an 88-74 record isn't all that impressive. The 2002 Angels are a more impressive comp as far as I can tell. And of course there are always the '69 Amazin's.



   20. greenback calls it soccer Posted: April 15, 2014 at 11:11 PM (#4686687)
Pete Kozma was optioned to AAA today to make room for Mark Ellis.

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