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Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2018 - MLB Trade Rumors

Possible non-tender candidates.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 28, 2017 at 06:37 AM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: arbitration, non-tenders

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   1. shoewizard Posted: November 28, 2017 at 07:48 AM (#5581865)
the link you posted is their original arb estimates story from October.

THIS LINK is the Non Tender candidates list only, and includes their estimated arb amounts[/url]
   2. Greg K Posted: November 28, 2017 at 08:58 AM (#5581878)
I was about to say, Brock Holt seems like a useful utility guy to have for 2m.

But upon looking him up, ouch, he had a pretty rough year and will be 30 next season. I think I'd still give him a contract though.
   3. Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: November 28, 2017 at 10:47 AM (#5581912)
I'd say I don't see any way the Indians offer Abraham Almonte $1.1M, but it's been a while since I've had an idea why he's still on the team. So maybe Francona sees something other than a guy who has a solid glove but doesn't get on base, doesn't hit for power, and doesn't run well.
   4. This is going to be state of the art wall Posted: November 28, 2017 at 07:33 PM (#5582337)
18 million for Abreu and 6.7 for Avi? Interesting.
   5. Walt Davis Posted: November 28, 2017 at 08:57 PM (#5582362)
18 million for Abreu and 6.7 for Avi? Interesting.

You can't (really) get a pay cut in arb. Abreu's arb salaries are vastly inflated by the ML contract he signed coming out of Cuba. He had an opt-out clause to enter arb ... a little weird he exercised it but maybe he had just the one time to do it. Anyway, he could have made $10.5 if he didn't opt out last year, they signed him for $10.8 but that was only about a $1 M raise from his 2016 salary. I find it hard to believe that he's going to get a raise to $18 this year but, after a good season, $15-16 seems reasonable so I'm not ruling out $18.

Garcia was an ordinary super-2 who had never been any good before 2017. Their projection represents a raise over 100% -- maybe a little high but I'd guesstimate a 100%ish raise is fairly standard for a cheap guy who just had a big year.

On the non-tender possibilities ... the Astros will keep Fiers at that price unless he's hurt. He's been solid in the past and this year was their leading innings guy. $6 M for 180 innings even of 90 ERA+ is fine. If healthy, the same goes for Smyly. I can't imagine what reason the A's would have for non-tendering Phegley at $1.1 M or the Brewers Hernan Perez at $2.2. I might non-tender Adeiny Hechavarria but I don't think the Rays acquired him and traded Beckham just to cut him. Hector Rondon almost has to be non-tendered but the Cubs are so desperate for pitching bodies they may not. Jordy Mercer has been a much worse player than I realized and I can't see sending $4 M on Brad Miller. I'm not sure any of the rest really matter.

Vogt's the interesting one to me. A lousy season but solid as recently as last year. I'd want the up close and personal look but $4 M for a C isn't a lot.
   6. DL from MN Posted: November 29, 2017 at 11:31 AM (#5582612)
My take on most of these is the money is not that significant. If a guy is worth having on the 25 man roster he's usually worth $4M

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