Wink Matinale, at least wink.
I’m a smart guy. I understand baseball and really enjoy the numbers, even those on the uniforms. I like playing with the numbers. However, my math skills are largely confined to arithmetic. I am not a statistician or operations research person. Those are the really smart guys who have come up with the new stuff in recent years. So declaring war on them or their concepts is useless for me. I need to confine my concerns to common sense things.
There are two things about WAR for non-pitchers that should be examined:
...So just when we smart guys were getting pretty full of ourselves, the really smart guys came up with WAR based on linear weights, which may have become the new orthodoxy and as such suspect.
Notice, we’ve come full cycle: from hits, a total, to BA, OPS, OPS+ (all averages) to WAR, another total.
Using a total will generally give an advantage to longevity, possibly at the expense of quality. Pete Rose becomes a better hitter than Ty Cobb using the original stat, hits. Rafael Palmeiro becomes a better home run hitter than Mickey Mantle. You can see the problem but I’ve heard really smart guys simply state that player A was/is better than player B because A had more Wins Above Replacement and therefore helped his team more.
...OK, that’s enough. You really smart guys need to educate the rest of us.