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1. Maury Brown Posted: November 23, 2005 at 10:26 PM (#1744547)I'll withhold judgement on this until Samson or Loria say this.
This is one topic where Goodman waffled. At first he said that betting on baseball would be removed, but here's a smattering of comments since then:
On top of that is this issue:
I just wonder whether, since Loria's a New York art dealer, the New Jersey idea might be a sleeper bet.
It wouldn't be the first time in baseball history that alliances with NYC pols affected what teams played there.
If NJ were a viable option, that's one location that many felt was a better fit as a relocation jurisdiction. The thorns in the location are a large reason why it never moved out of the conceptual.
I just have a hard time seeing it work in New Jersey. Forget the incredible opposition that the Mets and Yankees would surely put up, but do the Marlins even want to go there? Any baseball fan in that region already has a team he/she roots for. What kind of support would a new team in the region really receive. It'd be like when the Mets or Cubs go to Dolphins Stadium x 100 - there'd be nobody rooting for the home team.
Personally, I think the best option for a team trying to relocate now is to go to a city in which it's the first Major League sport in town, even if it's not a huge market (and none of them are at this point). The level of excitement and support the team would get as the first top level sports team in town (and having a monopoly on the city's major league sports dollars) would make up for the overall lack of market size. Portland has only the Trail Blazers and thus is somewhat close to this situation. Norfolk doesn't have anything, so that might be an even better situation for the team. Vegas, obviously, doesn't have anything either, but that's a bit of a unique situation b/c it's not like there's a lack of entertainment options.
I just have a hard time seeing it work in New Jersey. Forget the incredible opposition that the Mets and Yankees would surely put up, but do the Marlins even want to go there? Any baseball fan in that region already has a team he/she roots for. What kind of support would a new team in the region really receive. It'd be like when the Mets or Cubs go to Dolphins Stadium x 100 - there'd be nobody rooting for the home team.
The convienence of not having to go in the Holland or Lincoln Tunnel nor over the GW to go to a ballgame would win fans over pretty quickly. Obviously for Met or Phillies games it would be a little interesting, but never underestimate the ability for people to be parochial. Jersey's always been kind of the redheaded stepchild of New York, and a team to call their own would be pretty persuasive. They'd take a few years to build a fanbase, but don't all expansion teams basically face this problem?
Considering the Northeast is still America's strongest market for MLB, I think finding fans in NJ wouldn't be that hard. I could see the possibility of an NJ franchise totally botching it, but I don't think the margin for error is any smaller in NJ than in Vegas or anywhere else - in fact, larger.
That's my point, though. It seems to me everyone is discounting NJ for the reasons you suggest, Maury. And rightly.
I'm talking about the equivalent of a longshot bet that is worth making. And if Loria has some political clout in the NY metro area, he might be able to pull it off in a way that Arte Moreno, a Westerner, could not.
No-one seems to know if Loria is well connected to NY pols. (Although doesn't he have some family link to the Bewigged Satan?) I doubt he is, since it seems he used his now-estranged wife's money to buy into the Expos. But if he is, we've got the Orioles-to-Highlanders precedent as an example of how the right political connexions can lead to a third team in the New York metropolitan area.
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