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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Sunday, July 31, 2011
Not so fast on that trade for Rich Harden.
Hours after agreeing late last night on a deal to acquire Harden from the Oakland Athletics, the Red Sox backed out after reviewing the right-hander’s recent medical information, a baseball source confirmed early this morning. Harden, meanwhile, told reporters in Oakland that he expects to start Tuesday night for the Athletics.
Harden, 29, has been on the disabled list 10 times in his career, most recently during the first three months of this season because of a strained muscle under his right arm. Regardless, it’s common for teams to exchange players’ medicals before completing a trade, and the Red Sox weren’t confident Harden will be able to make enough starts to contribute down the stretch, the source said.
Thanks to D. L. Barnald.
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1. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: July 31, 2011 at 12:38 PM (#3889505)Seriously. I am not a doctor, I've never read a medical chart, I couldn't tell an elbow from a shoulder on an X-ray, and even I can tell you that Rich Harden is fixing to have more arm trouble soon.
Yeah, but just exactly how bad does it have to be for even the Red Sox to see it?
It's bad enough that they finally have a name for it. Rich Harden Disease.
Not as bad as it has to be for the Mets and the doctors from the Hospital for Regular Surgery.
From 2009:
http://www.nypost.com/p/sports/mets/item_XW1gMcvAdBrjk7tzFRTiBI
Given the recent performance of the Red Sox medical people, expect a Schilling-like stretch of seasons for Harden in his 30's.
Former prospects at 1B are the new market inefficiency.
Too soon?
Without Bedard, you're looking at Kyle Weiland, Brandon Duckworth, or Kevin Millwood if someone were to go down. Bedard is quite likely an upgrade over those guys, and may even an upgrade over the current #5 Miller. Injury history and pitching in Seattle in front of that Seattle defense has to make one a bit cautious about Bedard.
Chiang was raking with an ISOP over 300 if I recall rightly, though given he's a corner outfielder he'll have to continue to rake to make it.
I have to assume some scout on the Red Sox thinks Josh Fields is fixable (9 walks in 9 AAA innings with a G/F of 0.37, even in a small sample is a little disturbing).
Seriously? Every single one of Erik Bedard's seasons is better than every single one of Andrew Miller's seasons. Bedard gets hurt a lot. When he's able to pitch he is much, much, much, much, much better than Brandon Duckworth, and quite possibly worth a fraction of a win or so over Andrew Miller and his career ERA+ of 75.
A healthy Erik Bedard is much closer to being the best pitcher on the Red Sox than he is to being comparable to Andrew Miller.
It's reasonable to think Bedard won't be repeating his 2007 ever again. It's not reasonable to think he'll be anything less than a slightly above average pitcher when he is able to take the mound. Tim Wakefield is working on his second straight season with an ERA over 5, and Andrew Miller is below replacement level, by a rather significant margin. How are they in any way comparable?
But you're right. The K/9, K/BB ratio this year suggests that labrum surgery hasn't been the career ender it often is for pitchers (though my understanding is success rates for labrum surgery are getting higher), but you can understand why I take stats compiled prior to 2010 with a grain of salt.
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