|
|
|
|
Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Saturday, June 23, 2012
More than a month remains before the July 31 trade deadline, but a major league source suggested this morning that the Red Sox will jettison embattled third baseman Kevin Youkilis “sooner rather than later.“Several teams have dispatched scouts to watch Youkilis since he returned from the disabled list, with the Pittsburgh Pirates, Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers expressing early interest. Multiple reports last night indicated the Chicago White Sox may have emerged as a frontrunner, especially because they have been using slumping second baseman Orlando Hudson at third.
The Red Sox, meanwhile, appear to have concluded that they’re better off maximizing rookie Will Middlebrooks’ playing time. Youkilis hasn’t played since Wednesday night, and before last night’s game at Fenway Park , Bobby Valentine met with him to explain his decision to keep “riding the hot hand” with Middlebrooks.
“He doesn’t necessarily totally agree with it. He doesn’t wake up in the mornng and hope that’s the case,” Valentine said. “The professional person that Kevin is, he understands it. I think he’s fine.”
Thanks to Geo.
Repoz
Posted: June 23, 2012 at 01:52 PM | 65 comment(s)
Login to Bookmark
Tags:
red sox
|
Bookmarks
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
Hot Topics
Newsblog: Matt Harvey challenged Jon Rauch to a fight (78 - 12:35am, Jun 20)Last: base ball chickNewsblog: OT: NBA Finals and June thread (1024 - 12:34am, Jun 20)Last:  Los Angeles El Hombre of AnaheimNewsblog: OMNICHATTER for JUNE 19, 2013 (86 - 12:27am, Jun 20)Last: Los Angeles El Hombre of AnaheimNewsblog: Sports on Earth: Super-Royal (43 - 12:23am, Jun 20)Last: ZachNewsblog: Deadspin: Manny Ramirez is Leaving Taiwan (6 - 12:17am, Jun 20)Last: GamingboyNewsblog: Former New Orleans baseball player Gene Freese dies at age 79 (2 - 12:09am, Jun 20)Last: Bruce MarkusenNewsblog: Draft signings (141 - 12:07am, Jun 20)Last:  cardsfanboyNewsblog: OT: NHL is finally back thread (1128 - 11:52pm, Jun 19)Last:  Bull PainNewsblog: OT: The Soccer Thread June, 2013 (644 - 11:04pm, Jun 19)Last:  SpiveyNewsblog: Neyer: Computing Manny Machado's shot at the record (47 - 10:49pm, Jun 19)Last: Forsch 10 From Navarone (Dayn)Newsblog: [OTP-June] Economic Times: Hope politics, sports don’t get mixed up: Manmohan Singh (2282 - 10:42pm, Jun 19)Last:  KurtNewsblog: ‘Old man’ Arroyo pitching better than ever (13 - 10:38pm, Jun 19)Last: SoSH U at workNewsblog: WSJ: Well That Was an Unlikely Mets Comeback (76 - 10:15pm, Jun 19)Last: LassusNewsblog: ESPN.com: Yankees Acquire Fartinez (26 - 10:03pm, Jun 19)Last: Cooper NielsonNewsblog: NCAA Baseball Division I Tournament OMNICHATTER (274 - 9:49pm, Jun 19)Last:  Mike Emeigh
|
|
Reader Comments and Retorts
Go to end of page
Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.
1. DarrenIf the Sox get a good return, hey, good trades are good. If Youkilis actually sucks now, then I guess trade him before he's immovable.
But I have trouble believing the former is likely or that the latter is the case.
Doesn't the urge to trade him right after he gets off the DL point to the RSox thinking that he isn't very good anymore?
The best thing is the Sox can't possibly give up a decent prospect in the deal because they have no decent prospects to trade!
Unfortunately, Endy Chavez is on the DL, so I don't think he can be traded.
Youkilis really would make sense on the White Sox. They desperately need someone in the non-Konerko portion of the infield who can be average, or at least non-horrible. Right now the non-Konerkoes have combined for something like -2.6 WAR, and none of them are above replacement. If they could get to average at a non-Konerko position it'd be a vast improvement for this team. Beckham seems a decent bet to be replacementish as the season goes on, and maybe Ramirez too -- I mean, he's not really a .230 hitter, right? Right? -- so a 3B makes sense, and Youkilis is the sort of high-risk high-reward guy that Kenny seems to like.
I can't imagine who the Red Sox would be interested in as a return.
I don't see who the Red Sox would want off this team, either, and for that, I hope he goes elsewhere.
Youkilis does look done, but he doesn't look as done as David Ortiz did 3 years ago. I wouldn't be surprised if Youk performed very well when he got elsewhere.
When he gets to a ball in the field, he still makes the play, and makes a nice, accurate throw to first...but his range is limited.
I love Youk, and he's been a big part of the Sox success over the past many years, but he is done, and he is not somebody who is good at recognizing it, I suspect.
I'm not suggesting Middlebrooks is Middlebrooks Robinson - but he is better than Youk at this point. The REd Sox should trade him to whoever will take him. If you get a useful arm for the bullpen, or maybe a fringe-y infield prospect, I'm OK with that, too. The more we're willing to pay of his remaining salary, the more the receiving team should eb willing to give up - but I don't expect much of a return on Youkilis, in any case.
I see no reason why the Red Sox shouldn't have done the same.
You want to explain the upgrade at DH part?
So is Barry Bonds. And for that matter, Willie Mays.
Is Hendry working for the Red Sox now?
It is true - Ortiz has had a hot streak. It's called most of the last 10 years.
This is something that continues to get wildly underplayed. Gonzalez has been a complete non-factor this season, and the team is still second in the majors in runs scored. We can ding Cherington for some of his moves, but the complimentary players he acquired this off-season have played extremely well (Sweeney, Ross, Shoppach, Podsednik) have played really well. Trading Scutaro and putting in Aviles has worked out well.The team is letting Nava and Middlebrooks play everyday now, and they are both playing extremely well.
I'll never forget the home run he hit off CC Sabathia in Game 5 of the 2007 ALCS - my wife's water broke soon after and she had the twins about 3 hours later - he's a part of our family folklore , that's for sure.
Some might say that he is the real father.
Can I post a photo of the girls to prove it?!!!
That line was the tipping point for me.
Right there, that's when I realized that karlmagnus was working one of the longest troll performances I've seen in a while.
He's been working it for so long, and so consistently, that you wouldn't have noticed.
Until now.
Anyone trying to suggest adding Manny (40yr old, .697 OPS in AAA) Ramirez to a roster would be an "upgrade", is just trolling.
Hey, while we're at it, did anyone tell you that Jack Keefe is a poorly-executed literary conceit?
Whoa, there. You may not enjoy it, but the execution is strong. AJ Pierogi? Spelling Mientkiewicz perfectly? It's pretty well-executed.
edit: No, I don't think he trolled the HoM, I just think he's Dan Duquette.
WMB? I like that nickname. Weapon of Mass BABIP!
Can I post a photo of the girls to prove it?!!!
If Youkilis really is the father, PLEASE DON'T!
Brilliant!
Eso, emulating Ray and the Grumpazoids is not a good plan.
Youk, I am your father.
Most players - including most really good players - are cooked at age 35 or earlier. Other players born the same year as Youkilis:
Ryan Howard
Johan Santana
Byung-Hung Kim
Of course, Adrian Beltre and Adam Dunn were also born the same year as Youkilis, and both of them sure looked done at various times...and have come back to perform at a very high level.
Keeping it all in perspective: There are 317 players who have appeared in the big leagues from Youkilis' birth year. Only 50 are still playing in 2012, and virtually all of those 50 are pretty much done. So, we shouldn't be surprised that a player of Youkilis' age may very well fall off the table at age 33.
This is something I noticed way back when Bill James extensively studied aging patterns of ballplayers in (IIRC) the 1987 Abstract: players who get a later start seem to fall off the cliff quicker than those who started younger, even if at their peaks they have the same value as someone who started younger. Youkilis had his first full season at age 27. The Phillies might also be seeing the effects of this with Howard (26) and Utley (26).
You know, it's funny, it was just 6 years ago that the Red Sox were the ones willing to take a chance on Mike Lowell, who had had one horrible year in his early 30s. Today, they appear to be the team willing to jettison a guy who played through an injury at the end of last year and had a start to this season. Nice.
I wonder why this would be. My guess--it has to do with perception. The guy who comes up at 23 and spends the next 8-10 years excelling is seen as a star. When he starts to lose it, he's bound to get a few chances to recover. When the guy comes up at 27 and is great for 4-5 years then falters, the thought is, 'well, that was a nice fluke while it lasted.'
Edit: Someone ambitious could look at how long each group is allowed to hang around as replacement-level players before not getting anymore chances.
Alternately, talented guys with flaws in their mechanics take a bit longer to develop, and thus get called up later, and are more prone to losing it altogether over small losses of bat speed or other age-related declines, so thus wash out earlier.
Your theory assumes someone in the scouting department is to blame. Mine assumes most players get the careers they deserve.
Seriously? When were the words "can't miss" ever applied to Youkilis during his development days? Despite Moneyball celebrating his minors walk rate, I don't think that label was used on him even once.
I think it has more to do with the fact that most guys play in the majors pretty much as soon as they're good enough. And the younger you are when you're first good enough to play at an MLB level, the older you're likely to be when you can no longer play at an MLB level. There will always be exceptions -- the guys who could have played in MLB at 22 but were blocked for a couple of years, etc.
134 batters debuted at Age 25 since 1947 (min 130 AB in Age 25 season).
Top 25 sorted by career WAR and grouped for legibility:
Obviously Youkilis, Ellis, Zobrist, and Ryan being active players near or below age 33 affects the data set, but it's not as if the Age 25 rookies are outstanding as a class to begin with.
(Players who had a cup of coffee in their first season are by definition excluded from the above.)
I have read surprisingly little throughout this process about what the return is expected to be.
Rob Bradford
@bradfo
Boston
WEEI.com Site Editor/Red Sox beat writer/Occasional Author
But him being at the very top of the list in WAR bodes well.
You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.
<< Back to main