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Friday, December 21, 2007
LOVE/HATE? This could be the biggest wasting of a Chamberlain…since Richard Chamberlain mitchumdrumed his way through “Night of the Hunter”!
Scroll past the PED talk in Buster Olney’s latest blog entry, and you will arrive at a tidbit about Joba Chamberlain. The Yankees, Olney reports, plan to start the season with Joba in the pen. They just can’t quit him.
...For many, your reaction will be like ours: Are the Yankees really going to stick Joba in the pen with the intent of limiting his innings? Or will they keep him in the pen - and thus stunt his development - because they can’t resist the appeal of that 100 mph fastball and nasty breaking pitches in the 8th inning?
While we’ve long espoused the theory that 180-200 innings of Joba the Starter help the Yankees more than 70-80 innings of Joba the Reliever, I’m beginning to think the differences is not as great as we once thought. Using a study of VORP for starting pitchers and Win Expectation about Replacement (or WXRL) for elite relievers, the difference isn’t so great. But there’s a caveat: The Yankees would have to use their elite relievers in high pressure situations and not just as the de facto 8th inning set-up man or 9th inning, three-outs-with-a-three-run-lead closer to truly bridge this gap.
Posted: December 21, 2007 at 11:14 PM | 30 comment(s)
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