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Thursday, December 07, 2006

Robothalapooza: Meche signs; Garland traded?

Before Robothal heads in for his annual maintenance check…

One day after sending right-hander Freddy Garcia to the Phillies, the White Sox were discussing sending right-hander Jon Garland to the Astros for center fielder Willy Taveras and right-handed pitching prospects Taylor Buchholz and Jason Hirsh, FOXSports.com has learned.

Aaaannnndddd….

Gil Meche signed with the Royals for five years, $55 million.

Sean McNally Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:23 PM | 126 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: astros, royals, white sox

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   1. Sean McNally Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:28 PM (#2254482)
The Astros must be convinced Pettitte is going back to New York.
   2. Dewey, Steven Wright Wannabe and Soupuss Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:31 PM (#2254488)
This rumor has been thoroughly debunked - the trade is dead.
   3. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:31 PM (#2254490)
the royals? really?
   4. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:32 PM (#2254491)
"Ev'ry Royals fan's building big ships and boats,
Some are building monuments,
Others, jotting down notes,
Ev'ry Royals fan's in despair,
Ev'ry girl and boy
But when Gil the Eskimo gets here,
Ev'rybody's gonna jump for joy.
Come all without, come all within,
You'll not see nothing like the mighty Gil."
   5. Too Much Coffee Man Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:35 PM (#2254494)
So, is Meche at 5/55 BY THE ROYALS now the worst deal struck?
   6. The District Attorney Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:35 PM (#2254495)
So Zito is worth.... $140M/7 yr?

Seriously, we'll be hearing about this one for a real long time. Awful. Desperate, and awful.
   7. Biff, highly-regarded young guy Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:36 PM (#2254496)
55 million for Gil Meche. Oh my.
   8. Dave Bell Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:38 PM (#2254499)
Its not so much the amount, its the team that shocks me (and probably everyone else.)

It seemed to me like Moore was doing a good job before this...
   9. Urban Faber Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:38 PM (#2254500)
Come all without, come all within,
You'll not see nothing like the mighty Gil.


Whatever happened to Mark Quinn, anyway?
   10. bob gee Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:39 PM (#2254503)
please post someone by rob neyer's side and remove all blunt instruments from within his reach...
   11. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:40 PM (#2254505)
Look, nothing against Meche. I think he could be at worst a league average 4.5 era guy and at best high 3s power pitcher if everything comes together. Not a bad pitcher to have. BUT, before this offseason I was thinking he would make a nice semi-cheap option for the Yankees: like, two years, $8 million, or something.

Christ, $11 million for FIVE YEARS! The Mike Mussina signing looks friekin awesome now.
   12. Tracy Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:41 PM (#2254506)
It's too bad if the Garland-Taveras trade doesn't happen - Ozzie could bat Taveras leadoff, and then Thome could have 40 HRs and 60 RBI next season.
   13. Tim M Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:41 PM (#2254507)
The Royals?

Meche? $11M per year?

This boggles the mind on many levels. Meche hasn't broken a 100 ERA+ in any of the last 4 years, nor has he ever pitched 200 innings, and he gets 11M per. <speechless>
   14. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:41 PM (#2254508)
The clear winner here is Mike Sweeney. Now he's not the most overpaid guy on the team.
   15. My guest will be Jermaine Allensworth Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:43 PM (#2254511)
Whatever happened to Mark Quinn, anyway?

What, you don't remember his eight at-bats in the Sox organization last year?
   16. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:43 PM (#2254512)
Barry Zito is going to get a ton more money due to this Meche signing.

Something like $114M/6
   17. Dingbat_Charlie Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:43 PM (#2254515)
somewhere Allard chuckles.
   18. Randy Jones Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:44 PM (#2254517)
So, Meche is traded in a salary dump at the deadline in '08, '09?
   19. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:44 PM (#2254518)
2007 Salary:

Mike Mussina: 11.25 million
Gil Meche: 11 million



Wow. The smart thing to do this season was to sign all your targets as quickly as possible before everything went haywire.
   20. Urban Faber Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:44 PM (#2254520)
AP:

"We were proud to be a part of the process and delighted that Gil Meche made the decision to join the Royals," general manager Dayton Moore said. "He is an impact pitching talent who fits in with our plan for long term success. At 28, he is entering the prime of his career."
   21. My guest will be Jermaine Allensworth Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:45 PM (#2254521)
It's too bad if the Garland-Taveras trade doesn't happen - Ozzie could bat Taveras leadoff, and then Thome could have 40 HRs and 60 RBI next season.

Taveras: .333 OBP
Podsednik: .330 OBP

Sigh.
   22. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:47 PM (#2254523)
"Entering his prime" is a Daytonism for "Grudzielanek is going to save his ass this year"
   23. BDC Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:49 PM (#2254528)
Well, I hope we don't have to hear a single nother word about how small-market clubs can't afford hope and faith.
   24. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:51 PM (#2254529)
GIL MECHE IS A MECHINE, YEEEEEEEEAAAAARRRRRGGGGGHHHH!

*arm thrust*
   25. Suff Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:51 PM (#2254531)
Gil Meche has never had a good year. This is absolutely, amazingly, unbelievably terrible. I am a fan of the Astros and Royals, and I thought the Carlos Lee signing was bad, but this is just SO bad. $55 million for a guy who has NEVER had a good year. That's the same contract as Mike Sweeney got (I think) - a guy who nearly won a batting title, who holds the club single-season RBI record, a multiple-time All-Star - and that turned out poorly for them. Now they're giving the same money (in a different market, obviously) to someone who has never had a good year. I can't find the words to describe how bad this is.

I would be very surprised if the Astros traded Jason Hirsh. I am all for trading Willy Taveras and (even more so) Taylor Buchholz, especially if it gets them Jon Garland. But Hirsh just won't be part of the deal.
   26. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:52 PM (#2254532)
Just wait until Gil Meche has a 33-0 season with a 1.35 ERA, as the Royals finish 76-86!
   27. Shooty is in the Trust Tree Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:53 PM (#2254533)
Darren Dreifort redux

It's worse than that. The Dodgers could at least afford to absorb the Dreifort contract better. This is, what, the Royals biggest free agent acquisition since the Joe Carter/David Cone year? Gil Meche? Really? Are Royals fans pumped or what!
   28. Juan V Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:53 PM (#2254534)
The years are what really shock me. That contract´s gonna overlap with Gordon´s arbi years. Can´t say I like it.
   29. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:54 PM (#2254536)
The Royals never got Joe Carter.

And this is the biggest free agent signing since the offseason where Allard got all doped up and signed a Zombie Catcher and Juan Gonzalez.
   30. Justin T is expanding the aperture of awareness Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:54 PM (#2254537)
I wonder if Dayton thinks that he needed to just get someone to sign with the Royals so that they may become a more legit option for some players. Like, he thinks that the Tigers signing Magglio was the springboard to their ascent or something. Problem is, Ilitch would spend beyond the Magglio signing. Is Glass going to let Moore sign more guys in the future? Hard to see that. But equally hard to see how Moore would decide Meche is a good player to eat up 25% of his payroll.

I had seen recently (maybe here), some stuff about the new CBA putting in some stuff to not allow teams to so easily sit back and collect revenue sharing. Could it be that the Royals just needed to spend a little more in order to keep collecting? I don't think anyone really knows the details of that provision, if it exists.
   31. Suff Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:54 PM (#2254538)
Taveras: .333 OBP
Podsednik: .330 OBP


Yeah, but Willy doesn't have Podsednik's power.
   32. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: December 07, 2006 at 08:54 PM (#2254540)
But he's a Babylonian Epic Hero!
   33. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:00 PM (#2254546)
Okay Royals fan here. I was pretty lukewarm about Gil Meche before. He's been a pretty mediocre pitcher in a pitchers park. Yes, they WAY overpaid for him. But....

This is a franchise that has been the laughingstock of baseball for the last decade or so. They aren't going to be able to sign anyone decent at market value. What this signing does is at least give the Royals SOME credibility on the free agent market that they are not the cheap Wal Mart franchise that they were portrayed as under Allard Baird.

Gil Meche is awfully mediocre. That's a huge upgrade for the Royals pitching staff. Does this help them long term? Probably not a whole lot. But they still have to field a team for this year, and losing 90 games instead of 100 could be a big difference when you're trying to develop young players and eliminate a cloud of hopelessness hanging over the franchise.

I also can't see this crippling the franchise economically, even if he does turn into a huge bust. They have $18 million coming off the books next year with Sweeney, Sanders, and Elarton. They have $18 million coming off the books after 2008 with Berroa, Grudzielanek and Perez. They will have no young free agents. The only arb eligible players will be Mark Teahen, John Buck and possibly Zack Greinke. By the time they have to dish out big time money to their young players, Gil Meche will be on his way out.

Also factor their revenue streams under the new CBA, their renovated stadium, and their new deal with FOX Sports Midwest.

I know there is a feeling that they should "invest the money into scouting." Well they're doing that too.

Anyway, I agree that isn't a great signing if you look at in a vacuum. It probably would be a terrible deal for the Blue Jays or Cubs. But for the Royals, it makes sense to me. And maybe I'm not being objective and I'm just thrilled the Royals outbid other teams for a sought-after free agent for the first time since David Cone came home. But I cautiously approve.
   34. Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:02 PM (#2254550)
You have contracted Gil Meche. What would you like to do?

>Rest.

How long?

>Five days.

Resting . . . resting . . . resting . . . resting . . . resting . . .

Continue?

>Yes.

You wake up in the morning to find that Gil Meche has stolen 400 pounds of food and two oxen. What would you like to do?

>Hunt.

You were unable to find any food. You have died of starvation.
   35. Shooty is in the Trust Tree Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:02 PM (#2254551)
The Royals never got Joe Carter.

You are correct. It was just Cone in 1992. I'm thinking of Cone's teaming up with Carter in Toronto, but that was the result of a trade. Still, is Meche the biggest since 1992, not counting guys they retained, of course?
   36. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:05 PM (#2254554)
Still, is Meche the biggest since 1992, not counting guys they retained, of course?

Technically, I think Calvin Pickering was the biggest free agent the Royals have signed since 1992.
   37. Suff Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:08 PM (#2254556)
#1 Fan,

I can agree with many of your statements, but only if "their revenue streams under the new CBA, their renovated stadium, and their new deal with FOX Sports Midwest." truly makes a difference. Otherwise, this will be a contract that ownership points to as "tying their hands" or whatever.

Plus, I think when you sign someone to a multi-year deal you have to look at him and say, "I hope he can perform even better in the past than the level that made him so attractive to us, but if he performs a little worse, he will still benefit the club." But in Meche's case, he HAS to perform better to earn his contract, and if he's ANY worse than he's been, he'll be Mac Suzuki at $11 million per year.
   38. Shooty is in the Trust Tree Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:08 PM (#2254557)
Technically, I think Calvin Pickering was the biggest free agent the Royals have signed since 1992.

Well played!
   39. Suff Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:11 PM (#2254559)
"I hope he can perform even better in the past than the level that made him so attractive to us, but if he performs a little worse, he will still benefit the club."

That should read, "I hope he can perform even better in the future than the past level that made him so attractive to us, but if he performs a little worse, he will still benefit the club."
   40. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:11 PM (#2254560)
Actually, the Royals will sell lots of Gil Meche t-shirt jerseys to make up for the costs of the Meche salary.

Which is good news for Ethiopia.
   41. Toolsy McClutch Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:19 PM (#2254568)
Technically, I think Calvin Pickering was the biggest free agent the Royals have signed since 1992.


I think there needs to be more baseball players nicknamed 'Hoss'.

Anyway, as a Jay fan who was hoping they signed Meche over Lilly, I'm a tad disappointed. I think this makes it clear that Wells resigning for just-under-insane money is a priority.
   42. Tom Poquette Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:19 PM (#2254569)
Also in the article:

The Royals also have made a 3-year, $24 million offer to free agent right-hander Miguel Batista. The Cards and Mariners are also pursuing Batista.

In addition, the Royals are one of four finalists for free-agent right-hander Octavio Dotel, who they likely would use as their closer.


The rotation is now:
Meche
Hudson
Greinke
Odalis Perez
Jorge De La Rosa


I don't mind the signing; it is expensive, but like AG said, it isn't like the Royals hands are now tied. They will still have a lot of money to throw around over the next few years. With Teahen, Gordan and Butler lurking, a few good pitchers can make the team better awfully quick.

I'm also simply trusting Moore's judgment. He comes from a background that rarely missed on pitching; I'll give him the benefit of the doubt for now.
   43. Crispix Attacks 2: Swag Airlines Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:21 PM (#2254571)
This is, what, the Royals biggest free agent acquisition since the Joe Carter/David Cone year?

They signed Tim Belcher away from the Mariners after the 1995 season; I think he was a bigger name then than Meche is now. Still, that was only a 3-year, $6 million deal.
   44. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:21 PM (#2254573)
I don't think Greinke is a lock for the rotation yet. I would guess he starts in Omaha and works his way back by Memorial Day. Brian Bannister is also a better candidate for the rotation than Jorge de la Rosa who may be a long reliever or the odd man out.
   45. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:23 PM (#2254575)
Wow, I'm dumbfounded. The Royals deserve another decade of sub-.400 baseball for this move alone. Meche's upside is a #3 starter, with #4/#5/swingman much more likely. I can't wait to see the ZIPS projection on him in KC.

Seriously, WTF??? They couldn't afford Carlos Beltran two years ago, and suddenly they find $55M to piss away on a crappy, below-average starting pitcher? With some health issues a few years ago no less, IIRC.

Meche is going to get absolutely killed in KC. There's no way that he finishes this contract up in KC; he'll be released, traded (with KC taking a major hit on the salary), or his career will end from an injury. The last time I thought that about a contract was with Russ Ortiz in Arizona, and before that Park in Texas and Dreifort in LA. I have absolutely no doubt that Meche will join the group of highly overpaid mediocre starters.
   46. jwb Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:23 PM (#2254576)
"But he's a Babylonian Epic Hero!"

And he got a nice write-up in the Neyer/James pitching book. Some durability issues, IIRC, though.
   47. The District Attorney Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:28 PM (#2254584)
They will still have a lot of money to throw around over the next few years.
Which they'll presumably have to spend on pitching, to make up for the below-average guy who has to be in the rotation because he makes $11 million a year.
   48. DCA Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:28 PM (#2254586)
The Royals also have made a 3-year, $24 million offer to free agent right-hander Miguel Batista. The Cards and Mariners are also pursuing Batista.

Batista's better than Meche, isn't he? This is the worst deal ever given to an MLB player. Wow. This is really bad. Like Ryan Leaf bad, except more money.
   49. billyshears Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:32 PM (#2254590)
I know there is a feeling that they should "invest the money into scouting." Well they're doing that too.

I think baseball would be a lot more interesting if teams like the Royals basically stayed out of the FA market and really threw all this money into scouting, the draft and international signings. You can't win by allocating your resources exactly the way the Yankees do if you only have 20% of the resources the Yankees do. If the Royals went whole hog into player development and used this money to give 6 supposedly unsignable prospects a $2 mil bonus and did this for a few years, things might get really interesting in five years or so. As it is, it's a really problem when you can look at a $55 mil expenditure and say that it enhances the Royals ability to make the playoffs only marginally.
   50. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:32 PM (#2254592)
Batista's better than Meche, isn't he?

Maybe, but he's 36. I don't think they're really still pursuing Batista. I'd like to see them deal Emil Brown and/or Reggie Sanders for some pitching slop. Rodrigo Lopez wouldn't be a terrible return.
   51. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:33 PM (#2254596)
I hear some rumors of the Royals having interest in Gagne.
   52. Smyly Smile (Walewander) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:34 PM (#2254598)
I don't think this is at all comparable to the Maggs-Pudge deals, because they at least came with All-Star and HOF track records, respectively. Meche has nowhere near that level of success, and he;s moving to a worse park. Leaving aside how much more Royals ownership will spend, this is a very poor deal.

Also, this, on the heels of the Lilly deal, makes J-P's Clayton signing (and overall winter so far) look pretty piss-poor.
   53. Smyly Smile (Walewander) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:37 PM (#2254601)
OTOH, this disappoints me as a Tigers fan, because, IIRC, Meche owned the Tigs last year, in the two games I watched, anyways.
   54. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:45 PM (#2254609)
Gil Meche at Kauffman Stadium: 5 starts, 25 innings, 18 runs given up, 9 walks, 16 strikeouts

Whuh-ooh
   55. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:48 PM (#2254620)
Ok, now that I've had some time to think about this...wow.
   56. Smyly Smile (Walewander) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:50 PM (#2254622)
Gil Meche at Kauffman Stadium: 5 starts, 25 innings, 18 runs given up, 9 walks, 16 strikeouts

And that's pitching against the KC offense. What happens when Cleveland or Chicago come to town?
   57. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:52 PM (#2254625)
I'm going to give notice this afternoon. With 6 months of hard core training and practice, I figure I can get to the point where I'll have at least 1% of Meche's ability, and in this market that's worth $500K.
   58. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 09:54 PM (#2254629)
Bucking the trend here, I don't hate this for the Royals. They have the money, Meche is worth having, and they're going to have to pay top dollar for FA talent until they turn the team around. Plus, he doesn't cost a draft pick, unlike a Suppan.
   59. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:01 PM (#2254644)
Meche does strike out people around the league average, which makes him better than most Royals pitchers.

In this market, Jose Lima should get at least $700K
   60. jeff angus Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:04 PM (#2254647)
Value investing metrics aside,

Gil GUH Meche has a smidgen of upside...his stuff is very good, but his head has been inconsistent. In the right hands he could be a #2 for a .500 team. If the pitching coach reaches him and gets his head in a major league pitchers' frame of mind, his mediocrity might turn into better-than-adequacy.

I agree w/Alex Gordon's #1 Fan, it's gotta be about more than this deal as a unqiue event unrelated to other business considerations -- OTOH, I agree with the one and only billyshears, and that Meche's stats are more likely to be awful than they are better-than-adequate and for that kind of money, they'd probably get better yield in scouting and development.
   61. Smyly Smile (Walewander) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:06 PM (#2254650)
Gil GUH Meche

I can't believe I never noticed that.
   62. Van Lingle Mungo Jerry Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:07 PM (#2254653)
You guys just don't understand Moore's master plan:

1. Sign Gil Meche, 5/$55 million.
2. ????
3. Profit!!!
   63. The George Sherrill Selection Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:07 PM (#2254654)
Speaking as a resident of the greater Seattle area, I have this to say to my fellow baseball fans in Kansas City:

Suckers!
   64. frannyzoo Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:09 PM (#2254657)
Bucking the trend here, I don't hate this for the Royals. They have the money, Meche is worth having, and they're going to have to pay top dollar for FA talent until they turn the team around. Plus, he doesn't cost a draft pick, unlike a Suppan



I appreciate the trend being bucked and all, but the phrase "Meche is worth having" kinda sticks out like a huge flaming turd in your thinking Vlad, imho.
   65. Shooty is in the Trust Tree Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:10 PM (#2254658)
Bucking the trend here, I don't hate this for the Royals. They have the money, Meche is worth having, and they're going to have to pay top dollar for FA talent until they turn the team around. Plus, he doesn't cost a draft pick, unlike a Suppan.

I would agree with this except I don't see how a Gil Meche is going to help turn the team around. Alex Gordon, Billy Butler and so on, might. But then, when those guys are starting to cook, you're stuck with Gil Meche. Patience would have been a virtue for the Royals this off season. Better to have taken a flyer on some low rent guys than to lock yourselves into this.
   66. Master Shake Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:12 PM (#2254660)
I don't mind the signing; it is expensive, but like AG said, it isn't like the Royals hands are now tied. They will still have a lot of money to throw around over the next few years. With Teahen, Gordan and Butler lurking, a few good pitchers can make the team better awfully quick.


you ####### morons, this is a horrible deal for the royals, do you not realize dayton just tied up 1/6th of his payroll in a guy whose #1 comparable is adam eaton? hell, he's not even as good as adam eaton.

the royals could pick up guys like matt kinney who would put up the same numbers, but never given an organizational chance for whatever reason (hey you can't not ####### mess up ryan anderson AND gil meche, one of them has got to come through). teams can find 10 pitchers on the 6-yr free agent list comparable to meche, or even better.

iin order to stop the bleeding, you have to get GOOD pitchers. paying them tons of money doesn't mean their good.
   67. Don't want the truth; just wanna see some dingers Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:23 PM (#2254673)
Facts:

1. Gil Meches is a mammal.
2. Gil Meches is hurt ALL the time.
3. The purpose of signing Gil Meches is to make BBTF flip out.
   68. S.E. Kaufman Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:24 PM (#2254675)
Given the way the market's shot up this year, might not Moore be betting on a similar increase in the future, such that the $11M for a #3 starter could be reasonable, nay, desirable trade bait this year or next?
   69. Antigonos Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:26 PM (#2254677)
might not Moore be betting on a similar increase in the future, such that the $11M for a #3 starter could be reasonable, nay, desirable trade bait this year or next?

Only problem...he didn't sign a #3 starter. He signed Gil Meche.
   70. Toolsy McClutch Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:26 PM (#2254679)
I need to sign up for 6-4-3's newsletter. He's obviously physcic.

And what does the Lilly deal have to do with signing Royce? That's a bad deal no matter what, but not a killer. And their offseason has been pretty good.

Gah, sometimes this board is baffling with half the people claiming they knew the results of every move, and the other half saying every other team's move are terrible. Perspective!
   71. Nobody ##### with DeJesus Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:27 PM (#2254681)
Given the way the market's shot up this year, might not Moore be betting on a similar increase in the future, such that the $11M for a #3 starter could be reasonable, nay, desirable trade bait this year or next?

I was thinking the same thing, though with Meche's injury history, it's a HUGE gamble.
   72. dr. scott Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:30 PM (#2254684)
Man! Loiaza was a steal! See, Beane really is a genius.
   73. Master Shake Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:31 PM (#2254687)
lets sign ryan anderson and we'll have the greatest 1-2 punch in baseball!!!

#4 and #5 on gil meche's comparables for his age 27 season on b-r.com are chris carpenter and jason schmidt!!!

seriously is this what dayton is thinking?
   74. ian Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:36 PM (#2254689)
Gil Meche's career year is a 97 ERA+

Bargain!
   75. The George Sherrill Selection Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:41 PM (#2254694)
Only problem...he didn't sign a #3 starter. He signed Gil Meche.

He's a #3 starter for the Royals!
   76. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:41 PM (#2254698)
"I appreciate the trend being bucked and all, but the phrase "Meche is worth having" kinda sticks out like a huge flaming turd in your thinking Vlad, imho.

Meche struck out 7.4 per 9 last year, and he's always had pretty good stuff. I think 2006 represented genuine progress for him, and if it did, he's going to be better than a lot of people think.

Even if he gives some of that progress back, a regression to the mean for his HR/F should help matters.
   77. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:45 PM (#2254702)
"the royals could pick up guys like matt kinney who would put up the same numbers"

For your sake, I'm hoping this was a joke.

Meche had a 4.48 ERA last year. The last time Kinney put up a full-season ERA below 4.48 at any level or combination of levels, we were in the waning days of the Clinton administration.
   78. Antigonos Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:48 PM (#2254705)
Meche struck out 7.4 per 9 last year, and he's always had pretty good stuff. I think 2006 represented genuine progress for him, and if it did, he's going to be better than a lot of people think.

Meche has been terrible outside of Safeco his whole career including his step forward in 2006. I have no idea what the Royals expect to get from Meche, but his splits are ugly and he's not pitching in Safeco anymore.
   79. rombuu Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:52 PM (#2254708)
He's a #3 starter for the Royals!

He's probably a #1 starter for the Royals...sob.

On the plus side, they released Fat Elvis today. Addition by subtraction there.
   80. SteveF Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:54 PM (#2254712)
Gotta agree with Juan V. The 11 million pricetag isn't so shocking in the current market. But the fact he got 5 years is pretty striking.

These baseball owners are either making more money than we thought, or are far more willing to piss away money than we could have imagined.
   81. KJOK Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:55 PM (#2254713)
Yes, but they could have just kept Burgos, who struck out almost 9 per 9 innings in relief, and thrown him into the rotation, and probably had a Meche almost-clone for about $350,000....
   82. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:59 PM (#2254719)
Yes, but they could have just kept Burgos, who struck out almost 9 per 9 innings in relief, and thrown him into the rotation, and probably had a Meche almost-clone for about $350,000....

That's actually not a bad idea. They were having him start in winter ball. My worry would have been his failure to have a third pitch. He's all fastball (and a straight one at that) and splitter.
   83. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 10:59 PM (#2254720)
Ambiorix Burgos wasn't a good starter in the Midwest League.

Throwing him into the rotation would have been incredibly stupid.

But then again, he was loved by some Royals fans since he threw hard. Despite not throwing in the strikezone and being unreliable.
   84. Chris Pummer Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:03 PM (#2254725)
I see AG#1F's point on overpaying to land Meche and some credibility. The Royals do have to field a team between now and the time Butler, Gordon and Co. are ready for prime time. But I think a better idea would have been for KC to try to soak up portions of some bad contracts signed by some other teams, and maybe get a prospect or two back in the exhange. Sort of like they did with Od. Perez.
   85. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:05 PM (#2254728)
"Meche has been terrible outside of Safeco his whole career including his step forward in 2006."

Which is interesting, but not particularly significant unless you have an objective reason as to why it'd be so.
   86. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:06 PM (#2254729)
But, the Royals have Ken Ray now. So it's all cool.
   87. Starlin of the Slipstream (TRHN) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:11 PM (#2254732)
Only problem...he didn't sign a #3 starter. He signed Gil Meche.

Average ERA+ for various slots in the rotation, <a >posted by Dag Nabbit</a>:

#1 slot - 118 ERA+
#2 slot - 104 ERA+
#3 slot - 97 ERA+
#4 slot - 90 ERA+
#5 slot - 78 ERA+

Meche's 2006 (97 ERA+) and career totals (96 ERA+) suggest that he's capable of pitching like an average or slightly below #3. A quick & dirty 3 year weighted average suggests he'd be a #4 (92). Meche might be worth a bit more to the Royals, since they're not exactly awash in SP options and the guy he'd be replacing (Runelvys?, not quite sure who) is probably below replacement level.
   88. Roger Cedeno's Spleen Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:32 PM (#2254751)
So the standard salary for a league average starter(position player or pitcher) is now ~9-11 million?
My brain hurts...
   89. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:36 PM (#2254757)
"Dear New York Mets,

I want $150M over 6 years.

Sincerely,

William Barryman Zito
Pitcher, Free Agent"
   90. Roger Cedeno's Spleen Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:40 PM (#2254760)
So the Carlos Lee contract even makes sense in this context. If an average player gets 10 million then a very good one will get 16 million... and the way this market is exploding, by the time age and buffet tables wear Carlos down from excellent to ordinary... 16 million will be the going rate for "just OK."
Jesus...
   91. b-ball23 Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:44 PM (#2254765)
Okay there goes Dayton Moore under the category of GM's who should not be apart of a major league organization....wow no offense but Meche is not worth even CLOSE to that type of money. The free agent market is rediculous.
   92. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:44 PM (#2254766)
But I think a better idea would have been for KC to try to soak up portions of some bad contracts signed by some other teams, and maybe get a prospect or two back in the exhange. Sort of like they did with Od. Perez.

I totally agree with that too.

It will be interesting to see Rob and Rany's take on this. I can hear their heads exploding from here.
   93. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:47 PM (#2254770)
Some genius wanted the Royals to go for Tomo Ohka over Meche.
   94. Tom Poquette Posted: December 07, 2006 at 11:59 PM (#2254788)
Moore just made the Meche=Schmidt at 28 years old comparision. The difference I have with this and the other signings out there is that the Royals are betting on Meche taking the next step up. Whether he will or won't no one knows, not even the group-think on here. But that was their thinking behind this signing.
   95. Oriole Tragic is totally awesome in the postseason Posted: December 08, 2006 at 12:03 AM (#2254792)
Rodrigo Lopez for Emil Brown?

Deal.
   96. Brandon in MO (Yunitility Infielder) Posted: December 08, 2006 at 12:21 AM (#2254808)
A bag of beef jerky for Emil Brown?

Deal.
   97. Oriole Tragic is totally awesome in the postseason Posted: December 08, 2006 at 12:25 AM (#2254810)
Oh, you want Bruce Chen, too? You'll have to sign him.
   98. The George Sherrill Selection Posted: December 08, 2006 at 12:53 AM (#2254838)
A bag of beef jerky for Emil Brown?

That depends on which side of the trade I'm on.
   99. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: December 08, 2006 at 01:06 AM (#2254851)
flip
   100. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: December 08, 2006 at 01:06 AM (#2254853)
Royals pitchers last year who had more than 100 IP:

Pitcher      IP   ERA+
Redman      167    85
Elarton     115    91
Hernandez   110    75
Hudson      102    95 


A guy who can throw 150 IP with a vaguely average ERA would be a huge upgrade for the Royals, several wins easily. He'll take pressure off the young pitchers and off the bullpen.

The Royals aren't going to get free agents by paying market value - the free agents can get that from a team that doesn't suck. They can only get talent by overpaying, and they're not going to develop pitching with the revolving door of suck they had last year.

I don't love this signing, but I understand the logic. I think Moore deserves the benefit of the doubt.
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