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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, June 21, 2012
Can’t wait to see him on the Royals.
The Mariners in recent weeks touched base with the Cubs on shortstop Starlin Castro, asked the Royals about designated hitter Billy Butler, talked to other clubs about other hitters….
Let’s go back to the Royals. No, they couldn’t afford Hernandez’s contract. But they could send back Butler, get cash in the deal and include say, top outfield prospect Wil Myers and/or top pitching prospect Jake Odorizzi.
Think the Mariners wouldn’t be tempted by such an offer? Think the Royals wouldn’t want King Felix through 2014 at say, $12 million to $14 million per season, even for a steep acquisition price?
I’m not saying either team would do it. I’m just saying that it’s the kind of concept that GMs kick around — along with dozens of other scenarios at this time of year.
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1. SM Posted: June 21, 2012 at 04:47 PM (#4162971)This is stupid. Every team in baseball can afford Felix' contract.
I think you missed the part about cash coming KC's way. With the cash they can "afford" him.
If the Mariners traded King Felix for Manny Machado....
Seriously how does someone hit .257/.335/.421 in A/A+ ball and move UP to #11 in BA's prospect lists?
Is he the second coming of Ozzie? (Smith not Guillen)
plus he's hitting .241/.325/.357 in AA, yes he's very young
looking looking.... Machado is not expected to remain at SS and is seen as a hitting prospect? Oy Vey (so no, not the next Ozzie)
Oh I see, Machado is supposed to get bigger and develop power... wake me up if/when that actually happens...
He turns 20 next month, why is he in AA after hitting .245/.308/.384 in the Carolina League, is Tony Bernazard running BLT's farm system?
OTOH Jurickson Profar is certainly looking like the intriguing prospect- he's YOUNGER than Machado, he's hitting .295/.374/.481 in AA, and he's expected to remain at SS...
They could afford $11M+ for Gil Meche 4 years ago, but now they can't afford $2M and change more for Felix Hernandez. Right.
Which is not to disagree with the general sentiment. If the Reds can afford 300 years, 75 billion for Joey Votto, I'm pretty sure every team can afford at least one superstar contract if they want to.
BBref dWAR numbers include positional adjustment now, so the -.8 this year includes -6 runs for position, mostly DH.
Whoops, that's me. I breezed through the excerpt and assumed that number.
Still, like you say, 18.5M/19.5M/20M for a superstar in his prime is something every team should be able and willing to pay.
Oh. That makes sense. It seems like positional adjustment ought to be separate from defensive WAR, but I'll defer to those who know more than me.
That being said, what's happened with Felix? His last two years ERA+'s are pretty pedestrian, but his peripherals don't look to have gotten worse. Was he just always a little overrated, or is it something else?
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