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1. Los Angeles El Hombre of AnaheimKeep us posted?
good people, too
Jeff is a GD American Hero.
Feel free to (or have the author) email me the write-up from SABR 48. I've got keys now, and I'll make sure it gets on the site immediately.
And please encourage GD American Hero Jeff to join us. We need some new blood.
This Thursday, June 14.
Of course, it's a city I lived in for 15 years (I was on the local committee in 1995, the last time we met in Pittsburgh), so I have lots of reasons to arrive early.
25 MLB metros (NYC, Chicago, LA have two teams, obviously. Bay Area has SF & Oakland. And Baltimore & DC are so close that at the SABR convention in DC we went to a game at Camden Yards).
The five with the longest stretch of not hosting (or never hosting) a SABR convention are: Detroit, San Diego, KC, Dallas, and Tampa Bay.
SABR went to Florida in 2016 (Miami) so I don't see them coming back any time soon. Similarly, SABR was in Texas in 2014 (Houston), and that's a big quick of a return to that state. That leaves Detroit, KC, and San Diego. I can't imagine it'll be in Detroit, because it's fairly close to this year's convention in Pittsburgh. Two in a row that close together is unlikely.
So that leaves San Diego (last hosted: 1993) and Kansas City (last hosted: 1996). I'd reckon San Diego has the edge for two reasons. First, 1993 was pre-Petco, so SABR has never gone to the current Padres stadium. Second, SABR likes going to the west coast every so often - and it's due. SABR was last there in 2011 in Long Beach (LA area). So next year will be eight years since. Long Beach was five years after Seattle (2006). Seattle was eight years after the Bay Area (San Mateo, 1998). That was five years after San Diego (1993). That was eight years after Oakland (1985). It's usually an eight-year gap, and it's been eight years as of next year.
So San Diego is the most likely place, followed by KC.
I mean, they could go to a non-MLB city. It's happened in the past, but it's rare. Last time: Louisville, 1997.
Outside chances, well the next batch of MLB metros with the longest time without hosting a SABR convention are: Bay Area (1998), Phoenix (1999), Milwaukee (2001), Boston (2002), and Denver (2003). Milwaukee is the least likely of that bunch, as SABR went to Chicago in 2015. Too close. Bay Area? If they're going to California, SABR is far more likely to go to San Diego next year. Denver? No pressing reason to do so, and by 2019 it'll only be 16 years since the last stop.
Phoenix is a legit dark horse. It'll have been 21 years since the last one, and from memory - I think SABR's offices are now located down there. I guess Boston has a chance because so much of SABR's membership lives in the northeast, but it's like Jose said - it's probably too quick a turnaround time.
Ranking sites by likelihood:
1. San Diego
2. Kansas City
3. Phoenix
4. non-MLB city
5. Boston
I'd put a big gap between 3 & 4. And a smaller gap between 2 & 3.
I may buy the Kaiser book at some point. It's another player ranking book, but he talked mainly about how Bill Martin was able to improve his team's defenses.
Even at 50, I was one of the youngsters there.
Sadly, I learned that one of the local members Rich Favano died of a heart attack earlier that week at 61. He would come up all the way from Norwalk, CT. A quiet man, so I didn't know him well, but he seemed like a nice man.
In addition to the lists above, I'd add Seattle. We've heard backchannel talk that we may be another backpocket location like (but possibly behind) Phoenix. The national office may be reluctant to do too much in their hometown, since the Analytics thing is a fixture there. However, Seattle's previous time was 2006, whereas the Jose Jimenez no-hitter was in 1999.
I'm amazed that we have never gone to Detroit. It's beyond overdue. OTOH, eschewing Tampa is eminently proper -- bad weather, horrible stadium, no community interest in the game of baseball.
Open it to the public so you get some younger folks informed about what's going on. Could even sell some merchandise.
Has anyone visited the Warhol? If so any opinions/tips and an idea of how long to allocate to visit?
I have been to the Warhol twice. Really fascinating stuff. Not that big but so you could finish in an hour but I would suggest 90 minutes to allow for lingering over what really interests you. Don't know your mindset but if you uncomfortable with provocative images you need to be ready.
The last time I went they had Warhol's nude Marilyns on display but I learned those are gone. Sad!
Whenever I read your handle I think of this goose image, which is a magnet on my fridge. You may have to scroll down a little but you'll spot it.
For anyone driving in, there's a parking garage at Ft. Duquesne & 6th that charges a lot less than the hotel lot does.
It wouldn't surprise me if SABR 50 or 51 was held in Cooperstown, to capitalize upon the anniversary of the 1971 founding there.
When a MLB city last hosted a SABR convention
Num SABR Year
1 Detroit never
2 Tampa never
3 Baltimore 1982
4 San Diego 1993
5 Dallas 1994
6 Kansas City 1996
7 Bay Area 1998
8 Phoenix 1999
9 Milwaukee 2001
10 Boston 2002
11 Denver 2003
12 Cincinnati 2004
13 Toronto 2005
14 Seattle 2006
15 St. Louis 2007
16 Cleveland 2008
17 Washington DC 2009
18 Atlanta 2010
19 Los Angeles 2011
20 Minneapolis 2012
21 Philadelphia 2013
22 Houston 2014
23 Chicago 2015
24 Miami 2016
25 New York 2017
26 Pittsburgh 2018
If you want to argue that Tampa should go on the list in 1998 tied with the Bay Area, that's fine. There are 26 big league cities, Chicago, NY, LA and Bay Area double up with 2 teams. If you want to argue that DC/Baltimore is one area, I won't fight you.
SABR is looking at San Diego next year, but right now the price structure is making it iffy.
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