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1. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: September 20, 2012 at 04:49 PM (#4241473)1. Matchups - Teams should be able to work toward a platoon advantage as much as possible late in games.
2. Long Games/short starts - I don't want to be the guy who runs out of pitchers first in a 15 inning game. It's an extreme example but the Red Sox and Royals both used 8 pitchers in a 12 inning game earlier this year. I was at that game and at no time did I feel either team was being particularly ridiculous with their pitching changes.
If I take 9 that leaves me with 16 position players. The first 12 are fairly obvious;
9 starters
Infielder
Outfielder
Catcher
I then want two pinch hitters, ideally slotted as LHB/RHB depending on the makeup of my utility players above and a pinch runner. That leaves a 16th man. I think a lot at that point depends on what I have. If I don't have a guy who is more useful I'd take a third catcher but I'd prefer something a bit more useful than that.
So you might go with fewer pitchers if you don't think some of your starters will help you. I do think you have to bring at least 3 SPs, though, one to start, one to match-up if need be, and one to be first/last man out of the bullpen and eat innings. (That's first if the starter gets killed, last if you're going 15 innings.)
I’d never take a third catcher in a game like this. It’s far more valuable to have another pinch hitter, pinch runner or defensive replacement.
Let’s say the Orioles have clinched a wild card spot, but are 2 games back of the Yankees going in to game 161. I think you could make a pretty strong case that the Orioles should save their best arms for the play-in game.
That's probably true but if you've got catchers with heavy platoon advantages you might find it useful. My other thinking is I want my manager comfortable pulling the trigger and running or hitting for the starting catcher. I'd hate to hear a manager say "I didn't want to leave myself with one catcher, what happens if he takes a foul ball off the finger?"
Generally I think you have to keep going for it. The benefit of not playing a winner take all game is too great. The only type of team that I think would make sense playing it the way you suggest is a team with two great pitchers. For example, the 2004 Red Sox would probably have felt good going with Pedro in the Wild Card game and Schilling in Game One of an LDS (or vice versa) but even then a one game situation should be ducked as much as reasonably possible I think.
But in this scenario, wouldn't the O's at best still have to play a 1-game playoff with the Yankees to determine the division winner? In that case, that playoff game is the one they would be saving their best arms for I would think.
Yeah that’s was my thought.
The only way to avoid a one-game play-in is a bit of a long shot - they’d have to win two while the Yankees lose two, and then win the division tiebreak game. It’s equally (un)likely that they’d end up in the worst case scenario of losing the division tiebreaker and then having to play the play-in game after spending all their ammo chasing the division.
I wouldn’t throw the games or anything, but I’d skip my best starter and go easy on my bullpen aces to make sure they were available for the play-in.
With Up and In no longer in production, I strongly recommend following them.
Catchers -- Norris, Kottaras
Infield -- Carter, Moss, Barton, Weeks, Rosales, Pennington, Drew, Donaldson
Outfield -- Cespedes, Crisp, Reddick, Smith, Gomes, Cowgill
Pitchers -- Blackley (starter), Balfour, Cook, Doolittle, Blevins, Neshek, Figueroa, Scribner, Milone
Injured/Suspended -- McCarthy, Norberto, Colon, Devine, Braden, Anderson, Inge, Carignan, Sizemore, Sogard
Unavailable Starting Pitchers -- Straily, Griffin, Parker
Not Selected -- Chavez, Ross, Miller, Hicks
The only position player not on the active roster would be Brandon Hicks and his main skill is being able to play all IF positions badly. This could come in handy if Melvin were to PH for 3 other IF. I could see keeping Hicks instead of Scribner or Figueroa.
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