Good. The Swamp Fox would be the perfectly named manager for the Yankees.
The difference with this year’s pessimistic projections is that more dispassionate elements have joined the chorus.
The website predictionmachine.com ran 50,000 simulations of the 2013 season, and in just 40 percent did the Yankees even make the playoffs (just 20 percent as the AL East champs). Their average season had the Yankees finishing third behind Toronto and Tampa Bay at 85-77. The Yankees’ lowest winning percentage in the past 20 seasons is .540, which equates to 87½ victories.
The site gives the Yankees just a 4-percent likelihood of winning the World Series, which ranks 12th of the 30 teams.
...The view is the same for winning it all. With their injury spate, the Yankees have fallen to the 15-1 to 18-1 range to win the World Series. Of the three casinos I contacted, none could remember the Yankees being anywhere close to that high in the past 20 years.
“With the Yankees entering the season at 18-1, this is the longest odds they have been as far as my records go back, which is to the beginning of the millennium,” said Kevin Bradley, the sports book manager at the offshore casino Bovada, said. “Even at those odds, we cannot write a bet on them.”
Kornegay at the Hilton also had the Yankees at 18-1, which put 10 teams in front of them with better odds.
Posted: March 17, 2013 at 08:05 AM | 97 comment(s)
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