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1. DL from MN Posted: September 26, 2012 at 03:02 PM (#4246434)Deduno's done it with mirrors to a large extent this year, mostly by virtue of a low BABIP (.269) and in-play ISO (.059), and with only one runner reaching base on an error despite a heavy diet of ground balls against him. Those patterns aren't likely to repeat in the future.
-- MWE
Deduno has a LOT of movement on his fastball. I don't think it's mirrors, at least according to the batters I've seen shaking their head. It's a knuckling fastball. The low BABIP and ISO are because the batters don't know how to get the head of the bat on the ball. xFIP is going to do a terrible job with Deduno because it will regress his line drive rates to league average when nobody makes solid contact at league average.
True, but he's not exactly a great guy to have as a starter either when you don't know if he's going to walk 6 guys a game or zero. Oddly, his best position might be as a closer, since he'd almost always enter the game with no one on and often with a lead of 2 or 3 runs, so a couple walks don't matter, as long as the hitters don't make decent contact the rest of the time. Get him some Coke bottle glasses and call him Wild Thing. It would be an awfully fun expirement.
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