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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Monday, January 31, 2011
Everyone seems to have an opinion about Brian Cashman’s comments regarding how Derek Jeter might need to move to the outfield by the end of his current four year agreement. Not only do I believe it won’t happen- Jeter would never allow it – but I have serious doubts that Jeter could even effectively patrol the corners, much less centerfield, one of the critical defensive positions on the diamond.
...With that said, Jeter is not immortal and age is against him. For the success of Robin Yount there are other athletes that tried to move from the infield to the outfield with poor results. Juan Samuel and Howard Johnson are two examples locally of players that could not adjust to the demands of centerfield. They also were in their prime when making the switch. An argument could be made the demands of switching positions hurt their offense and assisted in the ultimate decline of their production. Jeter also has never shown the defensive prowess of Yount at any point in his career, highlight reel plays notwithstanding. Yount was a better player in most facets of the game and, if he played in New York, there would be similar canonization of him just like Jeter.
Brian Cashman could say whatever he wants about Derek Jeter changing position, but when he can’t play shortstop adequately every day the only place Derek Jeter will move is to the retirement home. Age and history are against him, and no “C” on his chest can battle the reality of Father Time.
Thanks to Bo.
Repoz
Posted: January 31, 2011 at 02:15 AM | 30 comment(s)
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1. Best Regards, L.M. Posted: January 31, 2011 at 02:35 AM (#3739649)That's just a theory. He hasn't died yet.
exactly he has been testing some anti aging products for the last 3 years and wow they really work
Jeter's brawny presence.
Works fine on 1280x1024, so I'm going with bad code.
He suggests an alternative to our almighty Saviour's presence!
BURN HIM
...unlike Rivera.
Yes ... but he was +7 at age 37! If he'd played another year out there, they'd have given him a GG.
And while Yount was -72, that was as a CF. From ages 32-37, he'd have been about average in a corner. I don't particularly doubt that Jeter would be a decent LF (the competition isn't that high anyway) and he's got a shot at being a decent CF if he switched now ... which obviously he won't be.
Maybe Gardner could cover the LF gap for him?
Strangely enough I first really noticed in his second MVP season. After that it became pretty obvious. He tried to compensate via positioning but that can only do so much.
Strangely, that's also what his wife said.
That doesn't make Jeter a decent CFer, or even give him a shot to be one. That makes him a sh!tty CFer who's having his inadequacy covered up by another player. If this is the route the Yankees were going to go they should park Jeter in a corner (I'm guessing RF would be better in YS) and put Gardner in CF.
I'm horrible at remembering writers, but I thought Silva was a mostly reasonable writer that I massively disagree with about most things. He posts here pretty frequently I thought.
The problem is that even most _good_ CFs are done as real CFs by age 37. I don't see a reasonable argument that Jeter could be passable there, having never played the position.
And I don't really see a benefit to suffering through a terrible CF as opposed to a terrible SS. Unless you trade for Hanley Ramirez or something.
As this team is constructed, Jeter _only_ makes sense at SS. There's nowhere in the infield for him to move to. Not 2B, since Cano is there. Not 3B, since ARod is there and you don't want to make ARod a DH with years to go on that contract if you can help it. Not 1B, since Teixeira is there and Jeter's bat probably can't play at the position. Not DH, since Jeter's bat probably can't play there. They could easier find a spot for him in the OF, but they're better off with him at SS.
(And I _do_ doubt that he'd have been a "perfectly good" CF 10 years ago. It _may_ have happened. There was a plausible chance for it. But I still think odds were against it.)
The Mutts were desperate, they had two perfectly adequate CFs (defensively) and then had none,
Samuel was horrible at 2b (Al Soriano bad) and horrible in CF, HoJo in Cf was a bad joke- not as bad as Samuel
The Mutts also moved another 2b, Keith Miller, to CF- that looked like it was working, but- Miller's offense was iffy for an OF (even a CF) and he kept getting hurt.
Nobody involved with the Yankees, probably not even Jeter himself, is dumb enough to think a 38-year-old ex-bad-shortstop can play center field at any level above disastrous.
Two years of high-impact aging down the line, though, I can't imagine the Yankees are going to be able to live with Rodriguez and Jeter's gloves side-by-side in the infield anymore. And the DH slot may not be available, so one of them is going to left field.
Knoblauch did okay (defensively, anyway) moving to LF at age 32, according to WAR.
Sure but if he's gonna be getting 500 PA per year in his late 30s, they've got to come somewhere.
Not 3B, since ARod is there and you don't want to make ARod a DH with years to go on that contract if you can help it.
Jeter will probably eventually move to 3B, with Rodriguez to 1B and Teixeira to DH.
Why in the world do people want to keep AROD in the field? A move to DH will help him stay healthier, making that contract less of a risk.
Post-integration, only 4 guys have played 400+ games at 3B from ages 35-37 and we'll give Schmidt honorary membership (this was the Rick Schu era!). That's compared to 15 who did so ages 32-34, only 2 of whom are on both lists (Schmidt & Robinson). And AROD's on the "didn't play 400+ games at 3B ages 32-34 list."
Want to cut it back to 350 games? OK 31 from ages 32-34; 6 from 35-37. 300 games? 41 to 11.
AROD of course will still have the bat for 3B which, all else equal, "improves" his chances of staying at 3B. But I can't see why you'd risk that much money when you're paying him to hit.
Same reason you want to keep Chase Utley on the field. He has more value there.
I know you know that, Walt, but how are you so sure that ARod-at-DH would be more value than ARod-at-3B, once injury and effectiveness are taken into account? The presumption should be that ARod-at-3B has the most value, until it's shown that he can't stay healthy at the position. (And I don't really see any evidence that a player's bat improves -- i.e., from less wear and tear -- going to DH.) Thus, you want to try to keep him at 3B as long as possible.
Right. How many 3B weren't at third because their bat could no longer handle the position? ARod has a HOF bat, so I don't see why we'd compare him with any certainty to "ordinary" 3B.
Because they're not "paying him to hit." They're "paying him" to provide value. He provides the most value if he can stick at third.
This is like when people say about Player X's offense, "they're paying him to drive in runs." As if, e.g., getting on base is not important. No, they're not paying anyone "to drive in runs." They're paying them to provide value on offense. To extend the analogy to ARod, they're paying him to provide as much value as possible, considering offense *and* defense.
The Yankeezz are doo00med!11!
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