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1. PASTE Thinks This Trout Kid Might Be OK (Zeth) Posted: July 25, 2012 at 08:45 AM (#4191651)Rudy Owens is basically Zach Duke. He's probably isn't going to improve very much from what he is now, but he's ready to be a major league fifth starter now. He's actually probably no worse than the third-best starter in the Astros' organization now. I honestly don't know why they decided to keep him in AAA. But if he doesn't blow his arm he'll likely give them four or five years of #5/maybe #4 starter production. Zach Duke.
Colton Cain is a random A-ball arm.
I like this deal for the Astros. Wandy's no spring chicken; I think it's an open question whether he or Rudy Owens will produce more value overall from here forward. And Grossman's a prospect. For the Pirates, of course, it's about winning now (and I haven't looked yet but I would certainly hope Correia has been DFA'd by now). I think the trade is a mistake for the Pirates because they're not going to win this year and they're likely going to miss Robbie Grossman; it's not like they're swimming in outfielders. It's unlikely to cripple them, though. They still have two more Rudy Owenses (Justin Wilson, Jeff Locke) in Indianapolis, but they would do well to hold onto them both now. They're going to need one for sure when Bedard goes on the DL for the rest of the year, which should be any day now.
The Pirates have a great shot to win the division,and lord knows their fans deserve an honest effort from the front office to go for it. The Reds are on a hot streak but have plenty of flaws, as do the Cardinals. Getting an above-average starter for the stretch run and next year is a great move.
I do agree that this is different. The Pirates are spending assets as well as money, which they haven't done in a long time.
What about the Matt Morris pickup? Sure, it didn't have any bearing on the Pirates' season, but surely that helped some team's playoff chances.
Wandy is signed for two more years, and with the Astros eating some money, his contract is now very reasonable. Makes sense to make a move for a guy that will be here a few years.
OK, well, you know, you guys, I mean, just, well, whatever.
Wandy is signed for two more years, and with the Astros eating some money, his contract is now very reasonable. Makes sense to make a move for a guy that will be here a few years.
Also, "Now that they've traded Rudy Owens, they only have two other guys left at AAA just like him." is not an argument likely to make too many fans upset.
That Wandy's locked up through his age 35 season is far from certain to be a positive. This is mostly about trying to win now, for the Pirates. Problem is the Reds are still at least as good as the Pirates--without Votto. I don't think it's realistic to expect the Pirates to stay in contention for either the division or a wild card. The Pirates have been on fire lately--but so have the Reds, and they're slowly but surely losing ground on the Reds already.
But hot damn, you can't possibly blame them for taking their best shot at it, after 20 ####### years.
I don't think you can underestimate this. An entire generation has never even seen this team have a winning record. They need to exorcise some demons this year.
Cincinnati: 90.8
Washington: 87.9
San Francisco: 84.4
St. Louis: 60.4
Atlanta: 57.3
Pittsburgh: 57.2
Los Angeles: 31.8
Arizona: 20.7
Everybody else: 9.5
It's gonna be a very interesting postseason.
That's my thought process as well. Seems the Pirates need more offensive help at corner OF / 1B (and also SS) than they need a quality arm. Wandy does help their team for the playoff push, but that lineup is terrible.
They should absolutely be in on Hunter Pence, though. He'd be a perfect fit for that roster, a multiple win upgrade on the dreck they have in corner OF.
if the pirates put him on the bench that team would be seriously impaired
zeth's proposal is the best option but it's kind of crazy how third base has become a tough position to fill in the big leagues
Hunter Pence would make a lot of sense, but that are so awful in the corners they could get basically anybody and improve.
I think it's very likely that some of the remaining pitchers in the high minors (Justin Wilson, Bryan Morris, Jeff Locke, Kyle McPherson) will be made part of a package for an outfielder or first baseman.
If you factor consistency in, Wandy is probably the best pitcher on the staff now, so you have to like the trade. It's a little disconcerting, though, that they're adding Burnett/Bedard/Rodriguez over about six months instead of filling holes through the system.
because of his size and plate approach i don't like corey's long term future chances. in the short term it would be painful but if the pirates have a young centerfielder or shortstop and some arms that would be a start
The Cubs may have someone.
True, LaHair would fit the Pirates' needs...
those guys are seriously gonna be up in september like luhnow is talking about? i don't get this trade. not at all. i don't get one single trade that has gone down from carlos lee to wandy. the astros have eaten ALL their salary and not gotten back much of anything.
i keep looking at the stats. what am i missing here? which guy that we have gotten looks as if he is going to be a legitimate major leaguer - not the he gets called up in Sept because this say the team can show that their tradees "made the ML roster" and sit in the bench and get 4 pinch hit ABs against the best relievers in the league/ sent in as a ROOGY/LOOGY against one of the top 10 hitters in the NL.
after this year, ima root for pittsburgh. as long as they keep mah boy wandy
These doesn't seem like a fair way to judge a trade. It would probably be worse if he was taking players who were almost MLB ready.
I get them - they're, flatly, unconcerned with winning this year. They want as many cheap, potentially usable assets (this includes future high draft picks) as that can get to replenish a lousy farm system and hope to emerge in a few years as a very different club. Seems like a reasonable strategy to me, albeit one I can get a 'Stros fan not supporting.
But they did. Rudy Owens is a low ceiling (as in, he's probably already at his ceiling) MLB-ready pitcher. The trade is him, an outfielder a year away and a random live arm.
But I'd repeat what I said last time I posted, that the Astros probably weren't getting a high-impact young prospect for Wandy, so they traded him for a couple useful names to write into their lineup for the next few years. Someone has to play.
BBC represents the bitterest faction of Astros fans that are going to hate pretty much everything the team does. But the team has to move veterans, because they're going to be very, very bad for the next two or three years.
As a pitching depth move and Proven Veteran value aside, I wonder just how much value they really gained by upgrading from Rudy Owens to Wandy Rodriguez. Wandy's good but he hasn't been pitching the lights out anytime lately.
But they didn't give up THAT much and the salary isn't a problem for them, so why not? I think they'll miss Grossman, but nobody's likely ever going to slam his head off the desk for having let Grossman get away.
Yes, I was hoping to see Grossman in Indy in the next year or so. Guess this explained why Logan Kensing was suddenly wearing Owens's number yesterday....
I'm still not sold on Marte, but it is clear the guy has loads of talent and is doing something positive with it. He is showing substantially improved pitch recognition, but I think he's still tending to decide that he's going to swing at the next pitch before the pitcher has even gotten a signal. Marte's ceiling is certainly higher than Grossman's, but I think the "most likely" outcome isn't terribly different, and I suspect Marte's floor may be lower.
I think it's a little of both. I think the Pirates will make a move, but Huntington is probably trying to play the Padres, Phillies, and Diamondbacks (Headley, Pence, Upton) off of one another. As long as none of those players have been moved, the Pirates can keep their asking price for all three pretty low. It's only after one (or definitely two) are traded that the Pirates lose leverage.
The Pirates might be able to sneak off with Pence for the draft pick + useful minor league player without dealing any of their star prospects, so I would guess that they won't trade a big prospect unless Pence goes somewhere else and then they're sort of forced into trading for one of the other two players.
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