With Sunday being the Hall of Fame induction ceremony in Cooperstown, NY, baseball fans were treated to a bit of an empty feeling. That is, no living players were enshrined this time around and none from the BBWAA ballot made the cut.
In looking ahead to next year, it appears there won’t be a repeat—though I was pretty sure last time around that Craig Biggio was a sure bet, so you never know.
Jack Morris— We’ll have plenty of time to fight about Morris’ merits for inclusion this coming December and January. For now we’re only discussing whether or not he’ll get in and my hunch is he will. He got 67.7 percent of the vote last year and with this being his 15th and final try, I think he gets enough of a “last try” bump. Then again, will the BBWAA end up with four players having more than 75 percent of the vote? Maybe Thomas gets squeezed out. Maybe Morris falls short. Maybe both. But I really feel like Maddux and Biggio are locks.
Best of ‘outside looking in’
Curt Schilling— He has been incredibly outspoken about being clean and speaking out against juicers, and has over 3,000 career strikeouts with a good (216-146) record, good ERA (3.46, 127 ERA+) and amazing postseason numbers (11-2, 2.23 ERA in 19 starts). Still, he got only 38.8 percent of the vote. So he’s not getting in yet.
Roger Clemens— Career stats say one of best five pitchers ever. The PED connection is what likely held him to 37.6 percent of the vote in his first go-round. If he ever gets in, it’ll be several years down the road.
Tom Glavine— He has 305 career victories. Every pitcher with at least 300 is in the Hall of Fame except Maddux (he will be in soon), Clemens (see above), Glavine and Randy Johnson (not yet eligible). I think that alone gets Glavine in eventually, but I feel like he’s behind at least Maddux, Thomas, Biggio and Morris this time around. And a five-man Hall of Fame class is unprecedented, aside from the inaugural class of Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, Babe Ruth, Christy Mathewson and Walter Johnson. To reiterate: I think Glavine should get in and my prediction is he ends up with the fifth-highest vote total this year. Based upon history, I don’t think five guys get over 75 percent of the vote, so I think Glavine has to wait.
Mike Mussina— A decent case can be made for Moose, but he’s far behind the likes of Maddux and Glavine, so he’ll have to wait a while. If ever.
Posted: July 29, 2013 at 07:39 AM | 83 comment(s)
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