Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Sunday, August 05, 2012

Sox acquire 3B Danny Valencia from Twins

In 1362 career plate appearances, Valencia and Will Middlebrooks have 73 walks, or five more than Kevin Youkilis had in 2011 alone.

The Boston Red Sox today acquired third baseman Danny Valencia from the Minnesota Twins in exchange for outfielder Jeremias Pineda. Valencia has been optioned to Triple-A Pawtucket.
The announcement was made by Executive Vice President/General Manager Ben Cherington.

Valencia, 27, has hit .260 (257-for-989) with 52 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs, 129 RBI, 106 runs scored and 63 walks in 273 career Major League games with the Twins over the last three seasons. The right-handed batter is 25-for-126 (.198) this season with six doubles, one triple, two homers, 17 RBI and 13 runs scored in 34 games for Minnesota in 2012…

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 03:21 PM | 44 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: danny valencia, red sox, twins

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: August 05, 2012 at 04:49 PM (#4201041)
Um, sure why not. I guess he's insurance for Middlebrooks.
   2. Ray (RDP) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:11 PM (#4201061)
It just highlights the idiocy of giving Youkilis away.
   3. Banta Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:21 PM (#4201069)
If you put any stock in in-season bWAR, Youkilis is crushing Middlebrooks this season. 1.5 to .3.

Even throwing out dWAR, they're about tied in oWAR at this point (Middlebrooks 1.1 to Youkilis 1.0). You'd most likely want Middlebrooks going forward, but jeez. I don't think there's actually been enough made about how bad of a trade that was.
   4. tjm1 Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:25 PM (#4201071)
Is Valencia really any better than Punto or Ciriaco? Should you really trade a guy who has some chance of being good for Valencia when you have very little chance of making the playoffs and especially not if Middlebrooks gets hurt?
   5. Banta Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:28 PM (#4201073)
Speaking of people who don't walk (and it's funny there hasn't been a thread on him lately, unless I've missed it), Francoeur is rocking a 72 OPS+ this year and a staggering -2.8 bWAR.
   6. JE (Jason) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:42 PM (#4201080)
It just highlights the idiocy of giving Youkilis away.

Sure, it was a lousy trade, but what was the alternative at the time? Send Middlebrooks back to the minors even though he was raking and had been penciled in as the 3B of the future? And wasn't Youkilis an unhappy camper and pretty vocal about his feelings?
   7. Walt Davis Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:50 PM (#4201084)
Banta,

I raised that the other day in Royals thread (yes, Royals threads exist!). That -2.8 WAR gives him a shot at the all time record of -4.1 and a better shot at the Royals record of -3.4 (I think it was, held by Lou Piniella actually).
   8. Ray (RDP) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 05:53 PM (#4201085)
Sure, it was a lousy trade, but what was the alternative at the time? Send Middlebrooks back to the minors even though he was raking and had been penciled in as the 3B of the future?


I'd have found PAs for them somewhere. 3B/DH/1B, playing Adrian Gonzalez some more in the OF, playing Ryan Sweeney some less in the OF.

And wasn't Youkilis an unhappy camper and pretty vocal about his feelings?


It's Bobby Valentine's job to handle that. Otherwise, what is he there for? There's no shortage of people who are able to "manage" a big league club.

The course they did choose - giving him away - was pointlessly self inflicted.
   9. Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:06 PM (#4201088)
Send Middlebrooks back to the minors even though he was raking and had been penciled in as the 3B of the future?


Yes. Young guys get sent back to AAA all the time, and Middlebrooks had not really displayed anything other than some hot luck. Ship him to Pawtucket with a slap on a butt and a "See ya in September" and try not to get no return whatsoever for your all star.

It was an incredibly bad trade.
   10. madvillain Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:15 PM (#4201093)
It was an incredibly bad trade.


Youk now has a 260/387/511 line in Chicago, to move him to a 787 OPS for the year.

It's amazing to me that so many smart people seemed to bend over backwards to say he was toast when in reality, you had an injury filled 400 or so PA to make that judgement. It wasn't enough of a sample either way, but the big sample -- his career -- pointed to a turnaround IMO.

Yea he's not the Youk of old, he'll prolly never bat above 270 or play more than 120 games a season again, but for this year it's hard to see how trading him for scrubs helped. The simplest, most obvious move to was to send Middlebrooks to AAA, if Youk continued to suck, well, then trade him at the deadline. His value couldn't have gone any lower, judging from the return they got.
   11. JE (Jason) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:19 PM (#4201095)
It's Bobby Valentine's job to handle that. Otherwise, what is he there for? There's no shortage of people who are able to "manage" a big league club.

I remember you being quite unhappy at the time the deal went down, but unless Cherrington was going to can Bobby V, then it was inevitable.

On the trade thread, I don't recall many folks claiming that Youk was going to rake the rest of the way,* only that any live body would be better than who Ventura had been starting at 3B.

* In 34 games on the South Side, Youkilis is outperforming even his '11 numbers.
   12. madvillain Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:22 PM (#4201099)
On the trade thread, I don't recall many folks claiming that Youk was going to rake the rest of the way,* only that any live body would be better than who Ventura had been starting at 3B.


Youk as a White Sox has probably improved the club 2 games or so since he's been with them. It wasn't even like he was replacing a below average regular, he was replacing a vortex of suckitude. Obvious trade for Chicago. That they gave up nothing was shocking to me then, and still is.
   13.     Hey Gurl Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:24 PM (#4201101)
I remember you being quite unhappy at the time the deal went down, but unless Cherrington was going to can Bobby V, then it was inevitable.


Then can Booby V. Managers are fungible.
   14. Ray (RDP) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:27 PM (#4201104)
I remember you being quite unhappy at the time the deal went down, but unless Cherrington was going to can Bobby V, then it was inevitable.


Brings me to my next complaint...
   15. JE (Jason) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:28 PM (#4201105)
Then can Booby V. Managers are fungible.

Eight months after he was hired? Be serious. Youk was history after this season anyway. By the way, did he ever make peace with Ellsbury?

EDIT: To be sure, I never defended the talent Cherrington got in return, just that he seemed to be in a no-win situation (no pun intended).
   16. Ray (RDP) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:36 PM (#4201109)
Eight months after he was hired? Be serious.


Well, I didn't like the hiring to begin with, but, yes, I agree there is no way they were going to fire him so soon. We'll need to wait a while for that.
   17.     Hey Gurl Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:44 PM (#4201115)
If it's not working out, its not working out. Why would you let the wound fester?
   18. Dale Sams Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:50 PM (#4201117)
It was an incredibly bad trade.


AL WAR Leaders

1. Trout
2. Cano
3. Verlander
4. Reddick

Bailey was two years removed from his ROY campaign. He put in two injury shortened seasons afterwards, and last year if he had thrown 120 innings he still wouldn't have equaled Josh's short 2011 campaign.

Don't.Trade.Position players for relievers.
   19. Ray (RDP) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 06:59 PM (#4201120)
Don't.Trade.Position players for relievers.


Indeed.
   20. JE (Jason) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 07:07 PM (#4201124)
If it's not working out, its not working out. Why would you let the wound fester?

Youk no longer was working out either and the new front office was not going to pull the plug on their first big decision so soon. BTW, Ellsbury reportedly likes playing under Bobby V; if so, it would be rather silly not to take that into account.
   21. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: August 05, 2012 at 07:15 PM (#4201126)
BTW, Ellsbury reportedly likes playing under Bobby V; if so, it would be rather silly not to take that into account.


Which of the following two things is likely to happen;

1. Jacoby Ellsbury will give the Sox a meaningful discount and sign a long term contract if they promise to keep Bobby V. as manager

2. Jacoby Ellsbury will say the right things then sign for the biggest pile of money he can get regardless of who manages the Red Sox.
   22. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 05, 2012 at 07:22 PM (#4201131)
On the trade thread, I don't recall many folks claiming that Youk was going to rake the rest of the way,* only that any live body would be better than who Ventura had been starting at 3B.
In my ST post on Youks, I said I wouldn't bet against Youkilis making the necessary adjustments to deal with his aging, slowing body. He has a long history of making the right adjustments and proving the doubters wrong.
   23. Greg K Posted: August 05, 2012 at 07:29 PM (#4201135)
Don't.Trade.Position players for relievers.

Tell that to AA!
   24. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: August 05, 2012 at 08:36 PM (#4201151)
Listen, AA can make some head scratching decisions, but he got $130 MILLION off of the payroll between Rios (dead car bounce) and Wells (dead cat?). Don't ##### about him as you GM. I don't care what else he does, he's a net win and many clubs would be happy with those two moves...

[edit] - mobile typos...
   25. Swedish Chef Posted: August 05, 2012 at 08:46 PM (#4201157)
AA has nothing to do with getting rid of Rios more than not pulling him back from waivers.

I don't think playing better than he ever has can be described as a dead cat bounce.
   26. JJ1986 Posted: August 05, 2012 at 09:04 PM (#4201160)
AA has nothing to do with getting rid of Rios more than not pulling him back from waivers.


He was even less involved than that since JP was GM at the time.
   27. Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim Posted: August 05, 2012 at 09:13 PM (#4201163)
I'd like the Angels to trade Vernon Wells for a reliever.
   28. Walt Davis Posted: August 05, 2012 at 10:13 PM (#4201188)
I'd like the Angels to trade Vernon Wells for a reliever.

Alfonso Soriano is NOT available.
   29. Jim (jimmuscomp) Posted: August 06, 2012 at 12:11 PM (#4201482)
Doh' sorry. Thought AA was at the helm at the time of the Rios waiver wire move.

Apologies.
   30. villageidiom Posted: August 06, 2012 at 01:29 PM (#4201546)
It's amazing to me that so many smart people seemed to bend over backwards to say he was toast when in reality, you had an injury filled 400 or so PA to make that judgement. It wasn't enough of a sample either way, but the big sample -- his career -- pointed to a turnaround IMO.
The biggest argument in favor of Youkilis being "toast", or at least unlikely to return value, was his health. There's nothing in an injury-filled 400 or so PA, or in his prior history, to suggest a turnaround in health.

As of this moment Youkilis is not injured, and has remained generally healthy with Chicago. If he stays healthy through the rest of the year, I'd say his good health from the time of the trade to the end of 2012 is a decent surprise.

Trading him for essentially nothing, well, that's another story. I don't know what they could have had for him, but throwing out both pairs of Sox there were 28 teams that could have beat Chicago's offer, but didn't. And given how obvious it is alleged that he would turn it around, surely one of those teams would find room for Youkilis and be willing to give up more than the White Sox did. And yet they didn't. That's because his questionable health was a huge factor in the return Boston could get. Ignoring that is simply revisionist.

The obvious, and valid, counterpoint is that they didn't need to trade Youkilis. They didn't have to worry about his health so much, given they had a ready replacement in Middlebrooks. Fair point. It's also been suggested (previously, not in this thread) they shouldn't have traded him when stock in his health was so low. The problem there is that you have to trade him before he gets injured again. Like 28 other teams, the Red Sox did not want any part of that injury risk.
   31. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 06, 2012 at 01:48 PM (#4201568)
The obvious, and valid, counterpoint is that they didn't need to trade Youkilis. They didn't have to worry about his health so much, given they had a ready replacement in Middlebrooks. Fair point. It's also been suggested (previously, not in this thread) they shouldn't have traded him when stock in his health was so low. The problem there is that you have to trade him before he gets injured again.
If they didn't need to trade Youkilis, then they didn't have to trade him before he gets injured again.
   32. Nasty Nate Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:03 PM (#4201581)
If they didn't need to trade Youkilis, then they didn't have to trade him before he gets injured again.


I was about to post the same thing. If you aren't going to need to get back salary relief nor a good player, then you don't have to time the trade for when he's healthy.

This article, which was linked to in one of the threads at the time, suggests that doing right by Youkilis might have been a motivating factor.
   33. Nasty Nate Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:08 PM (#4201586)
There's nothing in an injury-filled 400 or so PA, or in his prior history, to suggest a turnaround in health.


You don't need some indication to suggest a turnaround in health. For injured athletes, a turnaround in health is the default expectation.
   34. Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:25 PM (#4201608)
I raised that the other day in Royals thread (yes, Royals threads exist!). That -2.8 WAR gives him a shot at the all time record of -4.1 and a better shot at the Royals record of -3.4 (I think it was, held by Lou Piniella actually).

It's funny that most of it is defense. How can you have a 76 OPS+ as a corner outfielder and only have a -1 WAR for offense? That seems broken. In '08 he posted a whopping 653 PAs of 72 OPS+ and that was only good for -1.4 oWAR. That seems broken too.

It sure is weird how he repeats the pattern of hot first year, ice cold after that in every stop of his career. Do teams somehow forget their scouting reports when he changes uniforms?
   35. The Mighty Quintana Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:41 PM (#4201622)
The Royals need to trade for Peter Bourjos, then they could trot out an outfield of Francouer-Bourgeois-Bourjos. Tres bien!

   36. AROM Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:48 PM (#4201634)
It's funny that most of it is defense. How can you have a 76 OPS+ as a corner outfielder and only have a -1 WAR for offense? That seems broken. In '08 he posted a whopping 653 PAs of 72 OPS+ and that was only good for -1.4 oWAR. That seems broken too.


What number would seem correct to you? -1.4 oWAR in a full season is 34 runs below average. That's pretty bad.
   37. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:54 PM (#4201638)
10 runs worse than a replacement level player seems about right, no? A replacement level corner outfielder is someone like Scott Podsednik or Joe Mather. These are bad ballplayers.
   38. Bitter Mouse Posted: August 06, 2012 at 02:56 PM (#4201640)
You don't need some indication to suggest a turnaround in health. For injured athletes, a turnaround in health is the default expectation.


Nick Johnson, Mark Prior and a chorus of others would love to subscribe to your newsletter.
   39. Nasty Nate Posted: August 06, 2012 at 03:02 PM (#4201645)
Nick Johnson, Mark Prior and a chorus of others would love to subscribe to your newsletter.


Oh, I'm sure they would have wished they got the default concerning injury prone-ness
   40. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: August 06, 2012 at 03:05 PM (#4201647)
Kevin Youkilis dealt with injuries in both 2010 and 2011, missing about 100 games. He hit 280/390/510 between those two seasons. The new issue for Youkilis wasn't injuries, it was playing poorly overall. There was risk that he had finally taken one too many knocks, but I disagree with the suggestion that it was the most likely outcome.
   41. Drew (Primakov, Gungho Iguanas) Posted: August 06, 2012 at 06:45 PM (#4201876)
The simplest, most obvious move to was to send Middlebrooks to AAA


Wasn't obvious at all at the time. If he'd been sent down then, there'd have been a mutiny, because he was hitting like Ted Dimaggio.
   42. Drew (Primakov, Gungho Iguanas) Posted: August 06, 2012 at 06:49 PM (#4201882)
I do like getting Valencia for a 21-yr-old rookie-league maybe.
   43. villageidiom Posted: August 06, 2012 at 07:55 PM (#4201916)
If they didn't need to trade Youkilis, then they didn't have to trade him before he gets injured again.
I brought up two distinct counterpoints to the trade in that paragraph:

(1) They didn't need to trade Youkilis.

(2) If they were going to trade him, they shouldn't have done it when his stock was so low.

You're treating them as though they were one counterpoint, which is wrong. Sorry if I made that paragraph needlessly confusing.

EDIT: Re-reading this I think I'm making it more confusing in this post. The conditional in (2) presupposed that (1) was effectively not an option, that he "needed" to be traded. If that were true - which it wasn't - they would have had to wait until he was healthy and good, according to the argument. But if you can't count on his health, you can't count on him ever getting to "healthy and good".
   44. villageidiom Posted: August 06, 2012 at 08:01 PM (#4201918)
You don't need some indication to suggest a turnaround in health. For injured athletes, a turnaround in health is the default expectation.
On the Red Sox?* Since when does an injured Red Sox player get anything but more injured?

In all seriousness, did anyone think at the end of June that Youkilis was completely healthy and wouldn't get re-injured in the second half of the year?

* Said in my best Jim Mora "Playoffs?!" voice.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
TedBerg
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogRays name managerial finalists: Cash, Ibanez, Wakamatsu | Tampa Bay Times
(13 - 3:52am, Nov 23)
Last: Spahn Insane

NewsblogOTP Politics November 2014: Mets Deny Bias in Ticket Official’s Firing
(4170 - 3:40am, Nov 23)
Last: Joe Kehoskie

NewsblogESPN Suspends Keith Law From Twitter For Defending Evolution
(99 - 3:12am, Nov 23)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogCashman in wait-and-see mode on retooling Yanks | yankees.com
(18 - 2:55am, Nov 23)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - November 2014
(966 - 2:27am, Nov 23)
Last: Random Transaction Generator

NewsblogDeadspin: Curt Schilling’s Son Accidentally Brings Fake Grenade To Logan Airport
(12 - 1:50am, Nov 23)
Last: ptodd

NewsblogOT - November 2014 College Football thread
(553 - 1:35am, Nov 23)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 11-21-2014
(48 - 11:13pm, Nov 22)
Last: Sweatpants

NewsblogBraves shopping Justin Upton at a steep price | New York Post
(28 - 11:04pm, Nov 22)
Last: Squash

NewsblogFemale Sportswriter Asks: 'Why Are All My Twitter Followers Men?' | ThinkProgress
(134 - 10:49pm, Nov 22)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogMike Schmidt: Marlins' Stanton too rich too early? | www.palmbeachpost.com
(24 - 10:32pm, Nov 22)
Last: Moeball

NewsblogFriars show interest in dealing for Bruce | MLB.com
(19 - 10:19pm, Nov 22)
Last: Moeball

NewsblogPirates DFA Ike Davis, clear path for Pedro Alvarez - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
(4 - 10:00pm, Nov 22)
Last: jingoist

NewsblogMLB.com: White Sox Land Adam LaRoche With 2 Year/$25M Deal
(19 - 8:03pm, Nov 22)
Last: boteman

NewsblogKemp drawing interest, raising chance he's the Dodgers OF dealt - CBSSports.com
(9 - 7:26pm, Nov 22)
Last: PreservedFish

Page rendered in 0.5006 seconds
52 querie(s) executed