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Tuesday, July 22, 2008

SportTicker: Diamondbacks acquire RHP Rauch

The Diamondbacks bolstered their bullpen Tuesday, acquiring righthander Jon Rauch from the Washington Nationals for infielder Emilio Bonifacio.

At 6-11, Rauch, 29, is the tallest pitcher in major league history, surpassing the “Big Unit” by one inch. He went 4-2 with a 2.98 ERA and 17 saves in 48 appearances this season as the Nationals’ closer.
...
“Jon Rauch is a proven late-game reliever who we control through 2010,” Arizona general manager Josh Byrnes said. “We are pleased to add him as we attempt to defend our division title.”
...
“This trade brings us a quality, young player, who has the potential to develop into a solid leadoff hitter and outstanding defensive second baseman,” Nationals general manager Jim Bowden said. “He is a high-energy player with a lot of potential, and we anticipate he’ll fit nicely into our long-term plan of drafting, acquiring and developing a solid nucleus that will lead our club in the near future.”

NTNgod Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:11 PM | 43 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: arizona, nationals

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   1. Teheran's Uranium Enriched Missiles Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:14 PM (#2868317)
As I posted in the other thread, its an underwhelming return for the Nats. Surely someone would have offered more.

And also is Bowden still in charge of operations, with his investigation in progress? Or is Rizzo reaching for a guy he drafted?
   2. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:16 PM (#2868320)
I hope they only airbrush this picture and don't replace it!
   3. frannyzoo Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:17 PM (#2868321)
More importantly, will Rauch get more than the one save opportunity per month with the D'Backs? Or is he going to setup for Lyon? And yes, fantasy baseball is for dorks.
   4. Russlan will never be fond of Jason Bay Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:17 PM (#2868324)
Wasn't Bonifacio supposed tp be O-Dawg's replacement? I wonder if this means Zona is looking at signing Hudson or Ellis this offseason.
   5. Chris Needham Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:18 PM (#2868325)
FIRE BOWDEN!!!!
   6. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:20 PM (#2868327)
So much for Oakland cornering the market on second base prospects.
   7. Teheran's Uranium Enriched Missiles Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:20 PM (#2868329)
I hope they only airbrush this picture and don't replace it!


This is my favourite
   8. Esoteric Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:25 PM (#2868335)
Surely someone would have offered more.
Really? I'm not so sure about that. Rauch has questionable peripherals, and I sense that GMs are evolving at whiplash speed these days into being far more cautious w/r/t trades. Moreover, if Bowden is known for one thing, it's for not giving away his pieces cheaply if at all possible. Would the Rays or the Dodgers really have given up one of their top prospects?

I know Needham wants nothing more than to conduct an orgy in the spilt blood of Lerner/Kasten/Bowden, but I don't necessarily think this was a "bad" trade, more a trade that reflects the realities of the market. If another comparable reliever subsequently goes for a ridiculous haul before the deadline, I'll reevaluate.
   9. Chris Needham Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:26 PM (#2868336)
I know Needham wants nothing more than to conduct an orgy in the spilt blood of Lerner/Kasten/Bowden,

You're confusing my two favorite pastimes.
   10. DKDC Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:28 PM (#2868339)
Rauch has questionable peripherals


Really?

I just looked at Rauch's stats for the first time this year and the first thing I noticed was how good his peripherals (particularly K/BB) were. What am I missing?
   11. The Kids Are Enright (1k5v3L) Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:29 PM (#2868341)
Well, Bonifacio won't be the second baseman of the future in Arizona
I wonder if the Dbacks would be bold/crazy to move Reynolds to 2b next year
Personally I don't see them springing the cash for Hudson or Ellis

Jon Rauch rhp
2 years/$3.2M (2008-09), plus 2010 club option

re-signed 2/2/08 (avoided arbitration, $1.4M-$1.1M)
08:$1.2M, 09:$2M, 10:$2.9M club option
2010 option must be exercised within 5 days of end of 2008 World Series

Very good contract for a durable reliever
   12. The Kids Are Enright (1k5v3L) Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:30 PM (#2868343)
I just looked at Rauch's stats for the first time this year and the first thing I noticed was how good his peripherals (particularly K/BB) were. What am I missing?
He's questioning whether those really are Rauch's peripherals. You know the underground market in strikeouts is booming in the nation's capital
   13. Chris Needham Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:33 PM (#2868345)
Rauch has had his problems -- especially with the unfortunately timed gopher ball -- but he's been pretty damn solid this year.

I just don't get it from the Nats side.

On one hand, I wanted them to trade him because he has had a workload that worries me a bit (though that's been tempered thanks to being the closer). On the other hand, he's on a below market deal for someone as good as he's been.

I'm not sure why they'd trade him unless they were getting a return a little more solid. The Good Face looks like there's a glimmer of hope in there, but the odds of him being a legit regular? I think I'd take my chances with Rauch's arm in that case.
   14. Esoteric Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:33 PM (#2868346)
Crap, I blew it. I was confusing Rauch's numbers with someone else's I had recently examined. Well in that case, WTF Jim Bowden?

Although I will point out that his workload has been immense over the last two seasons. No real reason to think there's an injury risk there, but then...Luis Ayala anyone?
   15. The Kids Are Enright (1k5v3L) Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:35 PM (#2868347)
Nick Piecoro with thoughts on the trade

Rauch has been serving as the Nationals’ closer since Chad Cordero went down, but it would be very unlikely that he would step into the Diamondbacks’ closer role. Got to imagine that is still Brandon Lyon’s job, even despite his recent struggles.

However, Rauch does give them another alternative, for this season and next. This is important since Lyon and Juan Cruz are set to become free agents at the end of the year.

So view this move as more than just a short-term fix. The club’s 2009-2010 bullpen looks fairly strong from here, with guys like Pena, Qualls and Rauch under the team’s control and pitchers like Reid Mahon and Daniel Schlereth coming along.


If Burke doesn't start hitting enough over the next 60 games to make a case for the 2b job next year, he'll very likely be out of baseball before he turns 30. I seriously doubt the Dbacks can afford Hudson or Ellis, and I really don't think they should invest in 2bmen over the age of 30
   16. Chris Needham Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:36 PM (#2868348)
Hopefully Manny will do the smart thing and move the torchtastic Luis Ayala to the closer's role! Since he's been so much by the book this year, that's one way of minimizing his innings and getting him out of those reallly high leverage situations!
   17. Teheran's Uranium Enriched Missiles Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:37 PM (#2868349)
On the bright side, we might see Jimbo's doodle pad on TO.
   18. Moneyball can't buy you love (Joey B.) Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:49 PM (#2868358)
The Snakes now have perhaps the two tallest players in MLB history. It's the new Twin Towers.
   19. Russlan will never be fond of Jason Bay Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:51 PM (#2868362)
The Snakes now have perhaps the two tallest players in MLB history. It's the new Twin Towers.

It's really going to give them a presence in the paint and help them clean the glass.
   20. Ivan Grushenko of Hong Kong Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:51 PM (#2868363)
surpassing the “Big Unit” by one inch

Was this really neccessary?

EDIT:
The Snakes now have perhaps the two tallest players in MLB history. It's the new Twin Towers.

It's really going to give them a presence in the paint and help them clean the glass.


It adds length to their front line
   21. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:56 PM (#2868365)
It's amazing that the earlier Twin Tower candidate never actually spent a single inning with the Mariners. He must have been on the 40-man roster for something like 6 years, undergoing all those surgeries.

What was the previous record for tallest pair of teammates? Randy Johnson and Jeff Nelson, I am guessing.
   22. birdlives is one crazy ninja Posted: July 22, 2008 at 10:59 PM (#2868368)
According to today's Sun, the O's are looking for 2 to 3 prospects for George Sherrill. I think this trade pretty much insures Sherrill's continued presence in BAL past July.
   23. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:01 PM (#2868373)
Don't be so sure, Birdlives.

Billy Wagner day-to-day with spasms
   24. NTNgod Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:02 PM (#2868376)
I think he meant that it hasn't exactly been a seller's market so far.
   25. birdlives is one crazy ninja Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:10 PM (#2868388)
I think he meant that it hasn't exactly been a seller's market so far.

Yeah, pretty much. Either somebody over pays or Sherrill isn't going anywhere, and I don't see anyone over paying.
   26. DKDC Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:26 PM (#2868409)
Well, he starting pitching market didn't seem to have any consistency from Sabathia to Harden to Blanton. I don't know if this sets the market or just eliminates one unit of supply and one unit of demand.
   27. ValueArb Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:35 PM (#2868427)
I really like the idea of Mark Reynolds at 2b. Not sure if pitching staff will.
   28. Walt Davis Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:43 PM (#2868435)
Wasn't Bonifacio the prospect the D-Backs were supposedly reluctant to give up for Sabathia or Burnett or Holliday or somebody like that?

And all this time I thought Rauch was a lefty. I'm sure I've seen him pitch ... and I still thought he was a lefty.
   29. shoewizard Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:51 PM (#2868444)
Jon Rauch by the numbers:

Negatives first:

1.) Pretty high workload the last 2 1/2 years.
Most appearances any reliever since 2006
Most innings too
It's also notable that in the previous two years his numbers when working on back to back days were excellent, but this year Struggling a bit on back to back days.

2.) Extreme flyball pitcher and somewhat homer prone. Also, although the FB rate is down this year compared to previous years the line drive rate is up quite a bit
FB/GB/LD Chart.
Homerun Chart

3.) Struggling since June 30th

Jon Rauch pitching from career game #249 (Jun 30, 2008) to game #255 (Jul 19, 2008)

W  L  G  GS CG SHO GF SV   IP   H   R   ER  BB  SO HR   ERA   BF  HBP WP BK  Pit  Str GmSc   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS   IR IS 2B 3B  SB CS
+--+--+---+--+--+---+--+--+-----+---+---+---+---+---+--+------+----+---+--+--+----+----+----+-----+-----+-----+-----+---+--+--+--+---+--+
  
0  1   7  0  0   0  6  1   7    11   7   6   1   8  3   7.71   34   0  0  0  127   86       .344  .364  .688 1.052   0  0  2  0   0  0 



Positives:

1.) You have to be very good and consistent to get that much workload.

2.) Despite the FB rates, he induces a lot of popups. His IFFB rate is 17.3% this year and over 16% for his career. Thats almost double the league average.

3.) His K/BB ratios keep getting better and better, and this year are LITERALLY off the charts.

4.) Other positives to be gleaned from his career splits page

A.) Equally tough on rightie and lefties the last two years.
B.) Looks very solid in the on base, risp, clutch, and leverage breakdowns
C.) His numbers vs. current roster Dodgers , Giants, & Rockies is EXCELLENT.
Only the Padres have a good record against him.

SUMMARY:

As already discussed in this thread, Bonifacio is unlikely to ever be a major league caliber hitter. If he turns out to be one, then I got this one wrong. Rauch is a reliever with a strong track record, and a cheap controllable contract for 2 1/2 years. So this is very good value and addresses a major weakness of the team. He has a very strong record vs the hitters on 3 of the 4 division rivals, and if he holds true to form, will be a major asset.

HOWEVER...there are caution flags with his workload the last 2+ years, his increasing LD Rates, and the fact that he has been less effective than in past years on back to back days.

Working In the Arizona bullpen, he should not have to have quite such a heavy workload, and I think having to work a little less frequently will help him maintain the level of performance he has reached the past few years. Just beware Melvin overusing his newest toy.

I give the trade a grade of B+. It was a good and sensible move for the D Backs, but there are no sure things, and people should be aware of the warning signs due to Rauch's workload.
   30. We don't have dahlians at the Palace of Wisdom Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:53 PM (#2868450)
Wasn't Bonifacio the prospect the D-Backs were supposedly reluctant to give up for Sabathia or Burnett or Holliday or somebody like that?


I'm pretty sure that would be Scherzer.

Bonifacio is a slick fielding second baseman with a career .283/.338/.360 hitting line in the minors. That line includes his 546 at bats in 2006 while playing on the moon and hitting .321/.375/.449. Did I ever mention how happy I am that Lancaster is no longer the Diamondbacks A+ affiliate?
   31. TerpNats Posted: July 22, 2008 at 11:57 PM (#2868461)
Jeez, the Roger Bernadina of the infield.
   32. Chris Needham Posted: July 23, 2008 at 12:18 AM (#2868508)
Jeez, the Roger Bernadina of the infield.

I was trying to come up with the right Nats-related comp! That might take it. My gut said Pete Orr. Endy? Nook? Make the pain stop!!!
   33. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 23, 2008 at 12:24 AM (#2868520)
Roger Bernadina

All right, another alumnus of the Hoofdklasse Honkbal has made the majors!
   34. Der Komminsk-sar Posted: July 23, 2008 at 12:41 AM (#2868544)
Given that we're talking about the Snakes and tall pitchers, I'd be remiss if I didn't mention this guy (retired due to injury).
   35. Dave Spiwak Posted: July 23, 2008 at 01:08 AM (#2868601)
Who steps in as closer for the Nats-- or are they figuring on not really winning enough games to need one?
   36. Walt Davis Posted: July 23, 2008 at 02:06 AM (#2868825)
I'm pretty sure that would be Scherzer.

No, it was Bonifacio. I forget what player he was attached to in the trade rumor but it was definitely him and how the D-Backs were reluctant to include him ... and the comments were almost all along the lines of "why would tney be reluctant to give up this guy?" Somebody mentions it in another thread today and they said Nady.
   37. Chris Needham Posted: July 23, 2008 at 02:10 AM (#2868837)
Dave -- Looks like it's Joel Hanrahan.
   38. NTNgod Posted: July 23, 2008 at 04:31 AM (#2869147)
Of course, the day the D'backs trade away a 2B, Hudson gets hit on the ankle and has to be carried off the field.
(I realize they still have Augie and Burke)
   39. nick swisher hygiene Posted: July 23, 2008 at 04:59 AM (#2869180)
Prince Fielder and Chocolate City: two largest teammates ever?

Meanwhile, I need a new screenname.....
   40. Crispix Attacks Posted: July 23, 2008 at 05:01 AM (#2869183)
How about "Rauch's got the ugly face!"
   41. The Kids Are Enright (1k5v3L) Posted: July 23, 2008 at 05:03 AM (#2869188)
Of course, the day the D'backs trade away a 2B, Hudson gets hit on the ankle and has to be carried off the field.
Word is Hudson doesn't have a break. Probably just a really mean bruise
No, it was Bonifacio. I forget what player he was attached to in the trade rumor but it was definitely him and how the D-Backs were reluctant to include him
The rumor was "a package of prospects including Bonifacio". I doubt Bonifacio was the deal breaker
   42. The Kids Are Enright (1k5v3L) Posted: July 23, 2008 at 05:09 AM (#2869190)
The Dbacks are interested in acquiring Shaq next
   43. BeanoCook Posted: July 23, 2008 at 06:38 AM (#2869213)
Well, he starting pitching market didn't seem to have any consistency from Sabathia to Harden to Blanton. I don't know if this sets the market or just eliminates one unit of supply and one unit of demand.


I actually think these trades were valued properly. At least if you ignore Milwaukee already has gotten a 3-0 out of CC.

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