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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
As you might’ve seen or read about already, Blevins came through with a clutch ninth-inning relief appearance that allowed the A’s to beat the Angels, 6-5. According to Cool Standings, the win boosted Oakland’s playoff odds from 85 percent to 90 percent, and the loss dropped LA’s playoff odds from 32 percent to 26 percent. Recall that the Angels were supposed to be one of the best teams in recent baseball history. There is now a three-in-four chance they don’t even reach the one-game playoff. I don’t know how these odds would’ve swung had the Angels rallied and won, but suffice to say things would look very different indeed.
The save that won the critics prize at Cannes and the wet t-shirt contest at the Salty Dog in Gainesville, Florida. Right now the save is stealing a twenty from your wallet and you don’t even care, for it is money that you have and a Jerry Blevins save is what you need.
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1. Famous Original Joe C Posted: September 12, 2012 at 05:23 PM (#4234160)Who? What? They were supposed to be better than they are, but didn't they project to be about as good as Texas, Boston (ha!), and NY, in the 90-95 win range?
This was a good article. I followed along that inning listening on audio, so I appreciated Sullivan's GIFs. Some things struck me:
- For having a reputation as an ultra-aggressive manager, Scioscia should have had Peter Bourjos running before the GIDP happened. Mike undoubtedly was relying on the 64% Win Expectancy by standing pat, and not going with his gut.
- Bob Melvin seems to use Ryan Cook when Balfour isn't available to close (or is it the reverse? Hadn't Melvin taken away Balfour's closing privileges earlier in the year and caused him to pout?). If Cook had been available for Kendrick instead of being burned in the 8th, no way Kendrick gets to face Jerry Blevins.
I've been following his career since 2007. Morales swung at some stuff a lot of other guys wouldn't have--that last one in that GIF sequence is usually the pitch that gets Blevins in count trouble.
If you want to do some fanboy crowing (and I would tend toward waiting until you've clinched), I'd point out that the A's weren't considered contenders in the preseason. The Angels weren't supposed to be one of the best teams in baseball in 2012, let along "recent baseball history".
I meant to say that they weren't supposed to be the best team in 2012, which should be a requirement for "one of the best in recent memory."
Not meant as a criticism, just to recall what at the time seemed pretty reasonable guesses.
Red Sox - 91 wins
Baltimore - 70 wins
White Sox - 76 wins
Oakland - 76 wins
Philadelphia - 89 wins
Pittsburgh - 72 wins
Dodgers - 75 wins (they've had a real roller-coaster year)
Goes to show what a crazy, unpredictable year it's been.
Angels were at 90 wins, good for the second WC (by a game over the Rays). Which is I believe around where I had them. I think my pre-season guesses were Yankees, Tigers, and Rangers in the divisions, and the Wild Cards between Boston/Tampa/Angels
The cool thing about that double play is that the pitch came from the team's LOOGY throwing to a right handed hitter, the ball went to a guy who was a catcher last year to a guy who was a shortstop 2 weeks ago to a guy who was a minor league outfielder at the start of the year. It's just one if those years.
But as noted, they were projected to the 4th most wins in the AL, in a cluster with Texas, Boston and TB so arguably in a tie for second. I don't recall anybody claiming they were way better than the Rangers and if you aren't perceived as being way better than your division rivals, how can you be expected to be one of the best teams in recent memory?
But we're all entitled to a throw-away line here or there.
I thought Bourjos would run, too, especially since Kottaras can't throw. But I was surprised to see that he's only tried to steal three times this year--twice successfully).
This.
Also, it was astonishing listening to Amazing GF's profane rant about how nervous Balfour looked after walking the first two batters: "Get him out of there! Get him out of there right now! Just look at him! Why is he still in the game?" I tried to explain about needing to actually warm somebody else up first, but MAN did she not want to hear about it. Strangely impressive for somebody who insists that she is confused and kind of bored by the baseballing.
If I'm remembering right the closer job this year has belonged to (in order) Balfour, Fuentes, Balfour, Cook, Balfour.
[Edit: looks like I misremembered, and that middle Balfour stint didn't happen]
Are people saying this? If so, they're nuts. No one's out of it yet and especially not the Angels, who have the single most obviously talented roster after the Rangers in the AL. And I personally would put the A's significantly below 90%, though I guess it's nice to hear the math says this, not that it matters.
Also, it was astonishing listening to Amazing GF's profane rant about how nervous Balfour looked after walking the first two batters: "Get him out of there! Get him out of there right now! Just look at him! Why is he still in the game?" I tried to explain about needing to actually warm somebody else up first, but MAN did she not want to hear about it. Strangely impressive for somebody who insists that she is confused and kind of bored by the baseballing.
I was screaming the same thing. I was following on the computer, which is absolutely maddening, shut down the browser and walked away, figuring I would open it up in 20 minutes and see how they were doing in extra innings (hopefully). When I saw they won I was rather surprised.
Fuentes was the one who cried when he was removed from the role.
It was both of them. Not a big deal, though. Nobody likes to loose his job and so long as he voices his displeasure without making an a$$ of himself or disrupting the team, it's fine. Fuentes would get a free pass for being the guy who greased the chute for Bob Geren's departure. (Stay away, Piazza!)
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