Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Tuesday, May 29, 2007

The Baseball Analysts: Lederer: A Roundtable with Three of the Country’s Top Draft Experts

And that would be…Baseball America’s Jim Callis, John Manuel, and Alan Matthews.

Rich: Well, let’s do as much of a mock draft as possible. Are we all in agreement that David Price will be—or at least should be—the first pick?

Jim: Price will be and should be the No. 1 overall pick. The consensus among most scouting directors is that Price stands above everyone else in his draft class. As one put it, “There’s David Price, but after that there aren’t a lot of top-of-the-draft guys.” I’d say that he’s rated just slightly higher than Andrew Miller was as the top prospect last year. Price also is advised by Bo McKinnis, so there shouldn’t be much risk of protracted negotiations. He’ll probably get the standard contract given to the best college pitchers each year, a big league deal worth from $5 million to $6 million, and MLB may have the Rays wait to announce it because it doesn’t want that deal to affect others. Price also would be a good fit for Tampa Bay. The Rays’ biggest weakness in the majors is pitching, even though they have some impressive arms coming up through the minors.

Repoz Posted: May 29, 2007 at 11:21 AM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: college, high school, prospect reports, scouting

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 29, 2007 at 06:26 PM (#2382670)
No other comments? As a Pirate fan, I thought this was fascinating...
   2. Social media assassin (Templeusox) Posted: May 29, 2007 at 06:44 PM (#2382687)
Many high school players this year are asking for astronomical bonuses which some teams are scoffing at. Just something to watch out for. Other storylines:

1. Scott Boras clients: Andrew Brackman, Matt Wieters, Jake Arietta, Julio Borbon, Josh Fields, Matt Laporta, Wynn Pelzer, Rick Porcello, Matt Harvey, Greg Peavey, Mike Moustakas, and Kentrail Davis (add Max Scherzer if he doesn't sign by midnight Wednesday). With the formal signing date now in place (August 15th), Boras Corp. will not be able to take their sweet time with these kids. Porcello has the highest price tag in the draft (I'd guess around 8 or 9 million on a major league deal), and I'm not sold that he won't slip, maybe all the way to UNC.

2. Matt Latos: He's got nasty stuff (he's better than Brackman right now), but he's a headcase, he's been tough to deal with and reports have him asking for 3.5 million dollars. The sense I'm getting is that the Padres' basic stance is "If we sign him, good. If not, good riddance."

3. Two-sport athletes: There are always football/baseball stars whose draft status is up in the air. Last year there was Brent Brewer, Joe Benson, Jared Mitchell, D'vontrey Richardson, etc. The first two signed with baseball teams (Brewers and Twins, respectively), the next two went to school (LSU and FSU, respectively). This year there is Chad Jones, Eric Eiland, Londell Taylor, and Wendell Fairley. Jones was the #1 ranked athlete among all prep football players this year, but his first love is baseball. Though he has a scholarship to LSU waiting, he is signable in the first 2 rounds. Fairley could go as high as the back of the first round, and he will most likely forego a Southern Miss. scholarship for baseball. Eiland and Taylor are up in the air.

4. The August 15th Signing Date: Because of the elimination of DFE's, the draft might be significantly shortened (by as much as 15 rounds). Teams will take some raw high schoolers or JUCO players and follow them over the summer. But it's still much tougher to get a read on them doing that than if they were headed to JUCO. Also look for a lot more senior signs to be taken where some DFE candidates would have gone in the past.
   3. Mike Emeigh Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:07 PM (#2382717)
Porcello's not going to play college ball; certainly he won't slide past the Nationals at #6, Boras or no Boras, and my understanding is that the Nats aren't going to be afraid to go over slot if need be to sign the guy they want.

Scherzer's almost 100% sure to be back in the draft, at this point.

No one has any idea what the Pirates are going to do if Vitters is gone when they pick (which I'm convinced will be the case). I can't imagine that they'd take Moustakas or Wieters (even though they should) and I can just imagine the uproar in Pittsburgh if they take yet another college pitcher. Do they gamble on Parker or do they reach for Mills?

-- MWE
   4. Social media assassin (Templeusox) Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:15 PM (#2382726)
There's a very good chance that Porcello slides past the Nationals. Going over slot is one thing. He's going to be asking for the biggest deal for a prep pitcher of all time.
   5. Mike Emeigh Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:20 PM (#2382732)
There's a very good chance that Porcello slides past the Nationals.


Nope. Dana Brown loves Porcello, and Rizzo's not afraid of dealing with Boras.

-- MWE
   6. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:25 PM (#2382739)
"Do they gamble on Parker or do they reach for Mills?"

I still like Heyward as a good option C, personally.
   7. Social media assassin (Templeusox) Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:26 PM (#2382742)
Nope. Dana Brown loves Porcello, and Rizzo's not afraid of dealing with Boras.
You'll see.

The real question is:

1. Which team is the sucker and takes Brackman?
2. How bad will Brackman be in the pros?
3. How much money will be wasted on him?
   8. Kyle S Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:27 PM (#2382743)
The Pirates will draft Kyle Sleeth, and then curse to themselves when they realize he was drafted years ago and is suffering through arm problems somewhere else.
   9. Kyle S Posted: May 29, 2007 at 07:28 PM (#2382747)
Ooh, showdown. How do I bookmark this thread so I can see who was right in a few weeks? I can't find the option any more.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
greenback
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: NBA Monthly Thread, May 2012
(1774 - 8:56am, May 25)
Last: Don't want the truth; just wanna see some dingers

NewsblogHP: Baseball is leaving the human factor behind
(12 - 8:52am, May 25)
Last: Double-Spin Mechanic

Sox TherapyThe Two Dan Bards
(13 - 8:50am, May 25)
Last: Jose Can You Seabiscuit

NewsblogRoy Halladay bobblehead with glove on wrong hand selling on MLB.com
(14 - 8:47am, May 25)
Last: smileyy

Newsblog12 Baseball Feats That Only Happened Once
(28 - 8:43am, May 25)
Last: SandyRiver

NewsblogMajor League Baseball named Sports League of the Year at Sports Business Awards
(11 - 8:33am, May 25)
Last: depletion

NewsblogFS Midwest: Streaker halts Cardinals-Phillies game
(3 - 8:27am, May 25)
Last: depletion

NewsblogMatinale: WADJ: Wins Above Derek Jeter
(2 - 8:24am, May 25)
Last: Fancy Pants is braggadocious about his Handle

NewsblogBoston.com: Curt Schilling’s 38 Studios lays off all staff
(45 - 8:04am, May 25)
Last: Golfing Great Mitch Cumstein

NewsblogNeyer: New Yankee Stadium: A Review
(75 - 8:01am, May 25)
Last: Harveys Wallbangers

NewsblogGreenberg: Cubs' Ricketts decries proposal
(750 - 7:54am, May 25)
Last: Jolly Old St. Neck Wound, Moral Idiot

NewsblogSullivan: Dan Haren Makes Mariners Look Like Mariners
(1 - 6:40am, May 25)
Last: The cushions are crowded for Edmundo

NewsblogShawn Green to play for Israel in World Baseball Classic
(12 - 5:50am, May 25)
Last: shoewizard

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 5-25-2012
(1 - 5:33am, May 25)
Last: Tim Stauffer, Trot Nixon's Coming (Dan Lee)

NewsblogWins Above Replacement: Distribution and Rarity of Talent 2011 - Beyond the Box Score
(9 - 4:18am, May 25)
Last: bobm

Buy MLB playoff tickets, plus 2011 World Series, 2011 ALCS tickets and NLCS game tickets. We also have Texas Rangers playoff schedule, tickets to Red Sox games and Yankees game tickets. Plus, buy Phillies baseball tickets, Tigers playoff tickets and the biggies like ALDS baseball tickets and 2011 NLDS tickets.

Demarini, Easton and TPX Baseball Bats

 

 

 

AllianceTickets.com has cheap MLB Tickets. Get all your Colorado Rockies Tickets, Seattle Mariners Tickets, San Francisco Giants Tickets and all your favorite baseball tickets here. We also carry cheap Denver Broncos Tickets, Seattle Seahawks Tickets and Denver Nuggets Tickets.

Page rendered in 0.1774 seconds
54 querie(s) executed