Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, November 10, 2008

The Baseball Analysts: Lederer: Adding Perspective to the Jacobs Deal

Hank - Jacobs: So Far Away? No, not really.

In order to like Blalock more than Jacobs, one would have to think their career stats were not indicative of their future performance. In other words, one would have to believe that Blalock is either better or Jacobs worse than what they have shown thus far. Is that possible? Sure. But it doesn’t seem too likely from my vantage point.

Given how well Blalock has hit at home, I realize that he may be worth more to Texas than any other team in baseball. That’s fine. However, it also reduces or eliminates any idea that the Rangers may try to trade him for pitching during the offseason because the acquiring club would have to give up a player *and* pay him $6.2 million. Signing Blalock on the hope of the Greater Fool Theory would suggest that Texas is the greatest fool of them all.

I have no axe to grind here. I have no reason to favor one over the other. I have never met or spoken to them, nor am I a fan of either player or of their teams. Instead, I am simply doing my best to be objective in analyzing the pros and cons of each so as to make an informed judgment on their merits as players and contract values.

My bottom line? It says here that Jacobs is either a cheaper version of Blalock or Blalock is a more expensive alternative to Jacobs.

Repoz Posted: November 10, 2008 at 02:54 PM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: rangers, royals, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 10, 2008 at 05:07 PM (#3006042)
I'm not swayed by the argument "The Rangers are dumber". Jon Daniels is not the yardstick I want for my team as far as MLB transactions.
   2. bob gee Posted: November 10, 2008 at 05:32 PM (#3006057)
what happened to blalock? why did he do so great up til 23/24, then come crashing down?

if anyone can fill me in...
   3. A triple short of the cycle Posted: November 10, 2008 at 06:01 PM (#3006075)
...then come crashing down?

You missed his rebound. He was disappointing for two years, but he has hit well the last two years.
   4. Bob Dernier Cri Posted: November 10, 2008 at 06:09 PM (#3006081)
Blalock was playing through quite a few injuries in '05 and '06, wanting to be the strong silent type, a role that the Rangers and the Texas media did not discourage.

His rebound has come with him sitting on the DL for the hundred or so games a year he's not healthy enough to play well in.
   5. EnderCN Posted: November 10, 2008 at 06:28 PM (#3006093)
He is probably correct but with Blalock at least you have a few seasons where he actually looked like he was going to be a valuable player. Jacobs is just a low OBP bad fielding 1B with a little pop. He has to completely change as a player to be even average at 1B.
   6. Walt Davis Posted: November 10, 2008 at 07:01 PM (#3006121)
Why nary a peep about Blalock but a mild uproar over Jacobs?

1. I, and I suspect many others, didn't realize Blalock was done as a 3B. He likely has little value as a 1B/DH.

2. The Rangers had Blalock on-hand and decided to re-up so as not to be a worse team; the Royals sought out Jacobs, gave up something for him, in an effort to "improve."

3. It was the first trade of the offseason.

4. Moore had expressly stated the team needed to improve their OBP then went out and got a 1B with a 299 OBP last season.

5. The 299 OBP -- you may have noticed that statheads obsess a wee bit on that stat.

6. As mentioned above, Blalock has had some very good hitting seasons. He hit like an average 1B at 23-24, fell off a cliff, and is back hitting (in limited time and possibly platooning) as a well above-average 1B. If Blalock can give the Rangers 450-500 PA of 125 OPS+, he's easily worth $6 M -- there's a reasonable chance of that.

7. Because of the James/Neyer/Poz/Rany nexus, KC actually gets a lot more attention around here (and probably elsewhere in saber-land) than the Rangers.

Rich makes too much of the money difference too. Jacobs is $3 M cheaper this year but he'll be making $6 M next year or the year after.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
The Piehole of David Wells, Depends Salesman
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogCarlos Pena defies the traditional numbers
(1 - 10:43am, May 26)
Last: Bob Dernier Cri

NewsblogWilmoth: Nate McLouth Designated For Assignment
(15 - 10:42am, May 26)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogHP: Baseball is leaving the human factor behind
(62 - 10:40am, May 26)
Last: Bob Dernier Cri

NewsblogOT: NBA Monthly Thread, May 2012
(1836 - 10:37am, May 26)
Last: Famous Original Joe C

NewsblogMatschulat: Did I Miss The "Paul Konerko Is So Overrated OMG" Bandwagon?
(35 - 10:33am, May 26)
Last: Bob Dernier Cri

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1973 Discussion
(16 - 10:29am, May 26)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogMaddon on Red Sox beaning Luke Scott: 'I think it's ridiculous, I think it's absurd, idiotic'
(13 - 10:22am, May 26)
Last: Crispix Attacks

NewsblogBerardino: Heath Bell says he’s no meathead
(2 - 10:15am, May 26)
Last: Best Regards, Larry M.

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1972 Ballot
(30 - 10:10am, May 26)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogYESNetwork: A look at five Yankees' cases for enshrinement in Monument Park
(4 - 9:38am, May 26)
Last: SOLockwood

Sox TherapyA Winning Ballclub?
(21 - 8:34am, May 26)
Last: Darren

NewsblogThe Hall of Very Good: Former Cards Slugger Critical of "LaRussa's Regime"
(6 - 7:16am, May 26)
Last: Shooty: Applying to be Fearless Leader

NewsblogCSN to host ‘Phillies at the Beach’ on Memorial Day
(19 - 7:11am, May 26)
Last: God

NewsblogT.R. Sullivan: Of Frank Robinson, Milt Pappas and Jim Palmer
(10 - 7:09am, May 26)
Last: God

NewsblogBud Selig -- No need for more MLB replay for now - ESPN
(88 - 6:12am, May 26)
Last: Lassus

Buy MLB playoff tickets, plus 2011 World Series, 2011 ALCS tickets and NLCS game tickets. We also have Texas Rangers playoff schedule, tickets to Red Sox games and Yankees game tickets. Plus, buy Phillies baseball tickets, Tigers playoff tickets and the biggies like ALDS baseball tickets and 2011 NLDS tickets.

Demarini, Easton and TPX Baseball Bats

 

 

 

AllianceTickets.com has cheap MLB Tickets. Get all your Colorado Rockies Tickets, Seattle Mariners Tickets, San Francisco Giants Tickets and all your favorite baseball tickets here. We also carry cheap Denver Broncos Tickets, Seattle Seahawks Tickets and Denver Nuggets Tickets.

Page rendered in 0.1885 seconds
54 querie(s) executed