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Monday, March 29, 2010

The Book Blog: Community Forecast: Playing Time

Here’s a little survey you can all join in with
It’s very simple…

Playing Time

As I did last year, I am using the Wisdom of Crowds approach to determine how often each player on your team is expected to play. Unlike my past surveys, this one is available in real-time! Select your team, then choose how you think each player will be used.

Your results will be used as an input to the Marcel The Monkey Forecasting System (aka The Marcels), which is going to compete with all the bigshots out there in another project I am conducting. Who knows more about whether a pitcher will be in the starting rotation or the bullpen: an algorithm or a true fan? Who knows more about the number of games an injured Joe Nathan will play in 2010: an algorithm or a Twins fan? There are certain human observation elements that are critical for forecasting. That’s where you can come in, and why you are here. Thanks for helping.

The rosters are based on the 40-man rosters as of Mar 25, 2010, as shown on MLB.com . If you have any write-in candidates beyond that (like Elvis Andrus with the Rangers), tell me.

Repoz Posted: March 29, 2010 at 02:31 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: community, projections, sabermetrics, special topics

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